tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post5956997889678378657..comments2024-03-28T17:34:31.597+01:00Comments on Football rankings: 2024 UEFA EURO qualification: 10000 simulations (January 2023)Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comBlogger14125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-84525580915400355002023-03-01T13:40:08.331+01:002023-03-01T13:40:08.331+01:00It appears that teams in CONCACAF WCQ Stage 2 for ...It appears that teams in CONCACAF WCQ Stage 2 for 2026 will be having 5 games for each of the 5 team groups (2 per team) per window (3-11 June 2024 and June 2025) meaning that any teams also competing in the Copa America 2024 tournament would most likely need to play WCQ on 3rd and 7th June 2024 ahead of Copa MD1 from 14-17 June or thereabouts.<br /><br />So optimally the dates would be 2 * June tedhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05873166804044629576noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-61463422287886311782023-02-28T14:42:37.541+01:002023-02-28T14:42:37.541+01:00"So if all of the 12 teams in Pots 2, 3 and 4..."So if all of the 12 teams in Pots 2, 3 and 4 will be in Groups A-E, then based on notional rankings based on UNL league play each of Pots 2-4 are effectively split in 2 and the weakest 4 teams in Pot 2, strongest 4 teams in Pot 3 and strongest 4 teams in Pot 4 have a very high chance of being drawn against the strongest 4 teams in Pot 1".<br />Agree, but plenty other sport use this wayAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-10365028902212061062023-02-28T14:16:15.033+01:002023-02-28T14:16:15.033+01:00Match window means THU, FRI, SAT, SUN, MON, TUE or...Match window means THU, FRI, SAT, SUN, MON, TUE or starting from WED for UNL semifinal in June. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-29725337311946508262023-02-28T13:17:28.841+01:002023-02-28T13:17:28.841+01:00"One potential concern is teams gaming the Eu..."One potential concern is teams gaming the Euro draw by winning / losing Nations League Playoff games (if they value Euro pool over Nations League result, possible). I doubt this is a true issue, but certainly in play."<br /><br />Absolutely, not only is the drawn known but Group Play will have started and other strong teams in the group may have dropped points meaning that teams may Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-45973703392734458702023-02-28T13:12:03.814+01:002023-02-28T13:12:03.814+01:00"In each of them will be 4 teams that will pl... "In each of them will be 4 teams that will play in March P/R. And all of these teams will have to placed to groups of 4 teams. In this way we will get in each group of 5 teams 4 teams that will not participate in QF and P/R in March. So they will start WCQ in March"<br /><br />So if all of the 12 teams in Pots 2, 3 and 4 will be in Groups A-E, then based on notional rankings based on Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-33223335880651750862023-02-27T17:13:02.566+01:002023-02-27T17:13:02.566+01:00One potential concern is teams gaming the Euro dra...One potential concern is teams gaming the Euro draw by winning / losing Nations League Playoff games (if they value Euro pool over Nations League result, possible). I doubt this is a true issue, but certainly in play.dopeislandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17606692867466284723noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-20146084288585248542023-02-26T05:57:46.481+01:002023-02-26T05:57:46.481+01:00I don't have confirmation. I just explained h...I don't have confirmation. I just explained how to do it. In my opinion, if Fifa doesn't agree to pots based on UNL ranking, it will be impossible to draw groups before QF and P/R matches. But as you mentioned about Fifa. In June 2025, Fifa is planning a Club World Cup for 32 teams. Interesting... UNL final, WCQ, CWC. Footballers are people, won't they be overworked? There willAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-38897834760305501022023-02-26T03:29:38.639+01:002023-02-26T03:29:38.639+01:00You have confirmation that FIFA ranking won't ...You have confirmation that FIFA ranking won't be used to seed the teams?nogomethttps://www.blogger.com/profile/05823873287034305449noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-6280772222630791112023-02-25T11:10:12.880+01:002023-02-25T11:10:12.880+01:00It is much simpler than it looks. In Pot 1 all 12...It is much simpler than it looks. In Pot 1 all 12 teams will play in March QF and P/R. QF winners must be placed in groups of 4 teams. So during the draw we will have 4 teams called for example: winner QF1, winner QF2 and so on and 4 called loser QF1, loser QF2... This means that the final composition of all groups will be known after the QF matches. What abouts pots 2, 3 and 4? In each of them Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-85914654691620387972023-02-23T12:13:21.735+01:002023-02-23T12:13:21.735+01:00The new format for the Nations League and EUFA Wor...The new format for the Nations League and EUFA World Cup qualification is flawed. <br /><br />By that I don’t mean it is something that I disagree with or dislike.<br /><br />It is actually impossible for it to occur as published without heavily manipulating the World Cup qualifying draw so that all 12 of the World Cup pot 2, 3 and 4 teams who also play in the Nations League Promotion and Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-17016961992479014492023-02-08T21:51:48.123+01:002023-02-08T21:51:48.123+01:00Poor Estonia can be happy for a given chance.Poor Estonia can be happy for a given chance.kauhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16708353339358926318noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-77696924193285888252023-01-30T17:22:12.865+01:002023-01-30T17:22:12.865+01:00Poor Estonia falling into that A bracket playoff.....Poor Estonia falling into that A bracket playoff.....dopeislandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17606692867466284723noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-58490771446523533932023-01-30T16:08:51.448+01:002023-01-30T16:08:51.448+01:00I had the advantage that I implemented the play-of...I had the advantage that I implemented the play-off selection and formation rules already in my simulation software for the previous EURO qualification campaign (2020). This time only the role of Estonia as best league D group winner needed to be added and there is no league D path anymore to fill.<br />So that wasn't too much coding needed to get it working with the new rules :)Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-7825590195719012912023-01-30T15:43:36.522+01:002023-01-30T15:43:36.522+01:00I hope you had as much fun as I did reading throug...I hope you had as much fun as I did reading through the Playoff formation rules and trying to simulate that. It will become moderately straightforward as groups shake out but in my experience it was not so simple to simulate off the bat!dopeislandhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17606692867466284723noreply@blogger.com