tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post7309513901411670127..comments2024-03-28T17:34:31.597+01:00Comments on Football rankings: The new FIFA calculation: a brief comparative analysisEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comBlogger15125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-81112561736178229512018-11-12T20:14:43.403+01:002018-11-12T20:14:43.403+01:00I think this analysis shows, at least in part, the...I think this analysis shows, at least in part, the effect of dropping the continental coefficients from the old FIFA ranking system. Eliminating the coefficients probably hurt some second-tier European teams that had fewer notable wins. It also helps teams like USA and Costa Rica, who no longer have every competitive match in their region "diluted" by a lesser coefficient. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-47937557437112228442018-11-11T05:15:11.366+01:002018-11-11T05:15:11.366+01:00Great job, Ed!Great job, Ed!Partidos de la Rojahttp://partidosdelaroja.blogspot.comnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-54143384264584545332018-11-10T11:30:36.801+01:002018-11-10T11:30:36.801+01:00Here's the top-50 of the October 2018 ranking,...Here's the top-50 of the October 2018 ranking, all matches from August 1993 calculated with the new method. You see the ranked teams with points, minimum and maximum rank during that period and in the last column the points difference compared to the start. All new teams in this period got a starting value of 968 points, the minimum value of the last team in the August 1993 ranking.<br /><br Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-59206399848372091962018-11-01T12:48:30.256+01:002018-11-01T12:48:30.256+01:00If you calculate the all time rankings, it really ...If you calculate the all time rankings, it really doesn't matter what starting values you use, the ranking order and differences would be the same, since there were enough matches (Elo converges, that's what makes it so good)Amirnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-24552897642249006432018-11-01T09:11:27.974+01:002018-11-01T09:11:27.974+01:00I'm also curious to what ranking this exercise...I'm also curious to what ranking this exercise will lead us, so I will do that as soon as I can find the time. <br />I have to have starting values for all teams. I will use the first ranking from August 1993 for that.Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-20150682641788375912018-11-01T09:06:18.069+01:002018-11-01T09:06:18.069+01:00Alisher, I calculated all the matches from May 24t...Alisher, I calculated all the matches from May 24th 2010 with the new method. The same method FIFA applies since June 4th 2018.<br />That's the reason why I compare with the June 2018 ranking, because that ranking is the last one calculated with the 'old' FIFA-method.Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-48055180946982854122018-10-30T13:05:03.481+01:002018-10-30T13:05:03.481+01:00Oh dear Afghanistan at 169thOh dear Afghanistan at 169thAnonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11583838782460737811noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-69641014387483167002018-10-29T08:09:26.353+01:002018-10-29T08:09:26.353+01:00Hello Ed, your conclusion is making much sense tha...Hello Ed, your conclusion is making much sense that the current fifa ranking makes it very hard for the teams to climb. Can you do an analysis for the African teams to be placed in pot 1 in the World Cup 2022 qualifiers assuming that the draw will be after the next African cup in June 2019? Can you please do simulations for this and let us know Egypt chances of getting pot 1 and what they need toEgyptian Fanhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12518512923699356524noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-87596122767078544822018-10-26T09:02:02.852+02:002018-10-26T09:02:02.852+02:00hopefully the phils go up..pls follow also spursan...hopefully the phils go up..pls follow also spursandsport.blogspot.com spursandsportshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06796297139610649780noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-55194409821570122272018-10-26T08:52:57.904+02:002018-10-26T08:52:57.904+02:00Those 4 were all given a starting value of 864, th...Those 4 were all given a starting value of 864, the lowest starting value in May 2010. <br />What I expect to happen when a new team is introduced, is that it gets the lowest rating at the moment of its introduction, but my assumption was a bit easier to implement and anyway it is yet unknown what FIFA will do in these circumstances.<br /><br />For instance when Kosovo was introduced in the Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-58798752677684751062018-10-26T00:02:05.170+02:002018-10-26T00:02:05.170+02:00Great stuff!
Question. What starting value did yo...Great stuff!<br /><br />Question. What starting value did you give to the new and returning teams? Kosovo, Gibraltar and South Sudan joined after 2010 and São Tomé & Príncipe wasn't ranked in 2010 because of inactivity.Timoteusnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-73427807854004711612018-10-25T14:04:35.812+02:002018-10-25T14:04:35.812+02:00I think it's clear that the new system is now ...I think it's clear that the new system is now going to be too slow to respond to changes in team quality. Given that a particular generation might only peak for 2-3 years, it's a bit useless if the ranking takes that long to 'catch-up' with form/quality. I predict that they'll have to adapt it within a few years to make it more responsive.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-13045600213667690152018-10-25T09:28:50.987+02:002018-10-25T09:28:50.987+02:00Interesting, thanks. Is it possible to see the poi...Interesting, thanks. Is it possible to see the points too, to see how big is inflaction after 8 years? This ranking will reward performances in the long period, I think probably the initial intent was to avoid that teams like Italy or Netherlands can not drop too more after an occasional bad performance, and teams like Wales or Poland can not climb too mutch after occasional good performance or jos235http://worldranking.altervista.org/noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-58892632402779644652018-10-25T01:33:29.653+02:002018-10-25T01:33:29.653+02:00Belgium would have barely if ever made it to Pot 1...Belgium would have barely if ever made it to Pot 1 in qualifying draws? Oh come on! Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-88787309297801899342018-10-25T00:25:19.708+02:002018-10-25T00:25:19.708+02:00Thanks Ed for your efforts.Applying New method loo...Thanks Ed for your efforts.Applying New method looks more fair and logic at least to my NT Jordan, in which would be 83th instead of 110th in Fifa calculation method.Tarekhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02474890493237269194noreply@blogger.com