tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post7528810251827551909..comments2024-03-18T00:03:11.385+01:00Comments on Football rankings: FIFA Ranking: November 2016 probable rankingEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comBlogger16125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-36374230247104428642016-11-18T00:50:36.346+01:002016-11-18T00:50:36.346+01:00thanks once again Edthanks once again EdAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-36564269654635956292016-11-17T22:13:38.709+01:002016-11-17T22:13:38.709+01:00And the static elo-prediction:
-- UEFA --
After M...And the static elo-prediction:<br /><br />-- UEFA --<br />After MD4 (of 10) of the European qualifying campaign for Russia WC 2018 elo predicts the following 9 countries to qualify as group-winner:<br />A: France<br />B: Portugal<br />C: Germany<br />D: Republic of Ireland<br />E: Poland<br />F: England<br />G: Spain<br />H: Belgium<br />I: Croatia<br /><br />and as 8 best group numbers 2 (Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-20556106895388475642016-11-17T22:13:15.099+01:002016-11-17T22:13:15.099+01:00-- CAF --
columns:
1: team
2: 1st place in group (...-- CAF --<br />columns:<br />1: team<br />2: 1st place in group (= total probability to qualify for WC2018)<br />3: 2nd-4th place in group<br /><br />Group A<br />COD - 49,9 - 50,1<br />TUN - 48,2 - 51,8<br />GUI - 1,3 - 98,7<br />LBY - 0,6 - 99,4<br /><br />Group B<br />NGA - 73,5 - 26,5<br />CMR - 16,2 - 83,8<br />ALG - 8,7 - 91,3<br />ZAM - 1,6 - 98,4<br /><br />Group C<br />CIV - 74,6 - 25,4<Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-73320854862749186252016-11-17T22:12:55.698+01:002016-11-17T22:12:55.698+01:00Here are (in a few parts) the probabilities for ea...Here are (in a few parts) the probabilities for each team in each confederation in world cup 2018 qualifying after the November matchdays from last week. The scored goals for each team in a scheduled match are calculated using ClubElo's expected goals formula, which uses the home team win expectancy according to elo. <br />All probabilities [%] after 1000 simulations.<br /><br />-- UEFA --<brEdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-42792853400034687372016-11-17T03:02:10.835+01:002016-11-17T03:02:10.835+01:00Pot 1:Netherlands,Portugal,İtaly,Turkey
Pot 2:Bo...Pot 1:Netherlands,Portugal,İtaly,Turkey<br />Pot 2:Bosnia,Slovenia,Serbia,Northern İreland<br />tarzohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11687408399629926419noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-59876664120337756542016-11-16T23:48:28.167+01:002016-11-16T23:48:28.167+01:00Forty percent of games played. Time to start looki...Forty percent of games played. Time to start looking at probable UEFA play-off seeding groups:<br /><br />Pot A: Switzerland, Italy, Netherlands, Bosnia<br />Pot B: Ukraine, Czech Republic, Serbia, Slovenia<br />Out: DenmarkAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-56682897545313426292016-11-03T11:15:18.712+01:002016-11-03T11:15:18.712+01:00That's a very simple way of rigging the seedin...That's a very simple way of rigging the seeding, hopefully it doesn't happen though.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-50967366970319812582016-11-02T14:23:26.943+01:002016-11-02T14:23:26.943+01:00Three small addendums regarding the draw of the UE...Three small addendums regarding the draw of the UEFA-teams in each WC:<br />- in 2002 the 8 seeds were drawn in the 8 groups, then 8 out of 11 UEFA teams in pot 4 were drawn in the 8 groups and after that the 3 remaining UEFA teams were drawn in groups with only 1 UEFA team.<br />- in 2006 Serbia-Montenegro were last ranked among the UEFA teams in the November 2005 FIFA-ranking, though for the Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-85179955044786360712016-11-02T11:08:22.050+01:002016-11-02T11:08:22.050+01:00Act surprised when the they decide that rankings a...Act surprised when the they decide that rankings are used but you can't qualify via a play-off and be seeded. <br /><br />:)<br /><br />That kills off the chance of 5 Sth American seeds. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-19044466973732064792016-11-01T15:35:05.300+01:002016-11-01T15:35:05.300+01:00Why shouldn't FIFA want 4 or 5 seeded South Am...Why shouldn't FIFA want 4 or 5 seeded South American teams in a 'European' world cup? It's the fair result of their own ranking(methods).<br />If they start to tinker with the seeding mechanism, it surely would be a sign they don't trust their own ranking. On the other hand, I don't trust FIFA anymore when it comes to establishing seeding pots. So I won't be surprised Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-65049168718836136342016-11-01T00:50:57.994+01:002016-11-01T00:50:57.994+01:00Ed let's assume that there are 5 south America...Ed let's assume that there are 5 south American teams in the top 7 and therefore (we assume) seeded for the world cup. <br /><br />Any thoughts on what fifa would do?<br /><br />I don't think they'll want that in a European world cup. <br /><br />Issue is even if they go back to a last world cup plus rankings plan I still think you get 4 south American teams seeded. <br /><br />I'Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-36333854432466754102016-10-30T09:45:57.537+01:002016-10-30T09:45:57.537+01:00The qualifying is against Liechtenstein: pointswis...The qualifying is against Liechtenstein: pointswise that's like winning a friendly against a mediocre team. And friendlies never help your ranking when you are a top-team. If you really want to climb the ranking try doing a 'Wales': stop playing friendlies for a year.Edhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-91744930566817793292016-10-30T01:19:09.399+02:002016-10-30T01:19:09.399+02:00Italy wins its WC qualifying match, draws against ...Italy wins its WC qualifying match, draws against #2 Germany in a friendly, and ... loses two spots. Maybe the azzurri need to stop playing in order to climb the rankings.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-14246357780790056682016-10-28T13:33:12.011+02:002016-10-28T13:33:12.011+02:00thanks for info Ed thanks for info Ed Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-39218841519309955642016-10-28T12:58:36.002+02:002016-10-28T12:58:36.002+02:00As games drop from a time frame to another, the av...As games drop from a time frame to another, the averages change, and thus the total points for the them also change. It could be positive or negative.Edgarhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-33256404190860075802016-10-28T12:53:43.058+02:002016-10-28T12:53:43.058+02:00Excuse me, I just want to ask, why the team did no...Excuse me, I just want to ask, why the team did not play a few months, the point can be reduced?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com