tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16319976167281415212024-03-18T04:03:45.203+01:00Football rankingsFIFA Ranking, seedings and prognosisEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.comBlogger1807125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-92220466468252039562024-03-09T09:18:00.002+01:002024-03-09T10:03:40.265+01:00FIFA ranking: April 2024 probable rankingHere is the probable April 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday April 4th. A very diverse offering of matches in the upcoming March window:- match days 3 and 4 in the groups for AFC World Cup 2026 qualification;- CONCACAF World Cup 2026 qualification starts with the stage 1 home-and-away play-offs between the 4 lowest ranked CONCACAF teams;- the three qualification play-off paths for the Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-83278213066480162772024-03-09T09:15:00.002+01:002024-03-09T10:00:30.133+01:00FIFA ranking: April 2024 probable resultsHere are the probable results of all 161 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including March 31st, used to calculate the April 2024 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. Also the already played matches since February 12th, (probably) counting for the April ranking, are presented.In the first column is indicated if the match is included or not, according to myEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-19603681554359742242024-03-06T22:12:00.003+01:002024-03-06T22:15:27.030+01:00Qualification World Cup 2026 10.000 simulations (March 2024)In the qualification tournaments for the World Cup 2026 only Asia continues their group stage in the upcoming March window. Africa and South America have a break until respectively June and September. North and Central America and the Caribbean will start their qualification campaign with a first stage this March, consisting of two home-and-away play-offs between the four lowest ranked teamsEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-88877594268108407752024-03-02T09:32:00.000+01:002024-03-02T09:32:56.391+01:00UEFA EURO 2024 simulations (March 2024)In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's the fifth and last in this series of simulation reports: Europe.The UEFA EURO 2024 will be hosted by Germany. It's a 24-team tournament in the now known format with the four best group numbers three also progressing to the first knock-out round, the round of 16.Qualified already are 21 Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-7884369156671642582024-02-24T10:06:00.003+01:002024-02-24T10:26:49.937+01:00Copa America 2024 simulations (February 2024)In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's number four in this series of simulation reports: North, Central and South America.The Copa America 2024 was initially intended as the continental championship of South America, edition number 48 of this oldest continental championship in the football world. However, in January 2023 a Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-12356378136989341562024-02-18T13:41:00.002+01:002024-02-24T10:16:16.574+01:00OFC Cup of Nations 2024 simulations (February 2024)In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's number three in this series of simulation reports: Oceania.The OFC Cup of Nations 2024 is the first continental final tournament in 8 years. The 2020 edition was first postponed and later in 2021 completely cancelled because of the strict COVID-19 measures in the Pacific island area. Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-71108762472543705212024-02-11T09:24:00.000+01:002024-02-11T09:24:53.323+01:00FIFA ranking: February 2024 final previewFIFA will publish the February ranking this Thursday February 15th. The Asian and African Cup of Nations, played last month in Qatar and Cote d'Ivoire respectively, both left their mark on this ranking.The Asian Cup was won by host Qatar yesterday for a second consecutive time. In the final against Jordan they needed three penalties (all correctly given, according to people who saw the match) to Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com15tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-3266834622349324032024-01-06T08:54:00.002+01:002024-01-06T08:54:51.921+01:00FIFA ranking: February 2024 probable rankingHere is the probable February 2024 ranking, to be published on Thursday February 15th. No upcoming international window, but instead two continental championships in Asia and Africa to be played until then. The Asian Cup of Nations 2023 and the African Cup of Nations 2023, both originally scheduled for last summer, will start next weekend. A large batch of preparatory friendlies is already Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-7124795005894855522024-01-06T08:53:00.002+01:002024-01-06T09:18:16.224+01:00FIFA ranking: February 2024 probable resultsHere are the probable results of all 151 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including February 11th, used to calculate the February 2024 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. Also the already played matches since December 18th, (probably) counting for the February ranking, are presented.In the first column is indicated if the match is included or not, Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-47605879655017263082023-12-13T21:27:00.004+01:002023-12-13T21:37:39.826+01:00FIFA ranking: December 2023 final previewFIFA will publish the December ranking next Thursday December 21st. This final preview contains 11 matches, out of 14 matches played since November 27th: the complete knock-out stage of the Pacific Games 2023 and one friendly. I expect both forfeited knock-out matches of the Cook Islands to be included. They apparently had to leave the Solomon Islands after the two matches in the group stageEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-21856338009404562742023-12-09T10:12:00.000+01:002023-12-09T10:12:34.104+01:00Asian Cup of Nations 2023 simulations (December 2023)In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. Here's number two in this series of simulation reports: Asia.The Asian Cup of Nations 2023 was initially scheduled for June 2023 in Qatar. Just as with the World Cup last year the tournament couldn't be played in the Qatari Summer because it's much too hot there in that time of the year. So Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-58298228154695401322023-12-04T21:44:00.001+01:002023-12-04T21:44:47.677+01:00African Cup of Nations 2023 simulations (December 2023)In 2024 five of the six confederations have scheduled their continental championship for national teams. To kick off a series of simulation reports I start with Africa.The African Cup of Nations 2023 was initially scheduled for June 2023 in Ivory Coast. Much to the delight of several European top clubs, who otherwise would miss quite a few African top players from mid December to mid February Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-10971086768610851642023-11-22T21:50:00.000+01:002023-11-22T21:50:55.956+01:00FIFA ranking: November 2023 final previewFIFA will publish this ranking next Thursday November 30th. This final preview contains 189 matches, out of 200 matches played since October 23rd.The last round of four group matches in the Pacific Games 2023 is to be played tomorrow and Friday and three of those matches will be included in the November ranking (Tahiti - Northern Mariana Islands won't be, for obvious reasons). The knock-out stageEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com29tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66235794640424506002023-11-18T16:06:00.000+01:002023-11-18T16:06:37.487+01:00Another way of ranking the international top scorers (II)There came quite some reactions and suggestions on my first post about another way of ranking the international top scorers. I can only agree with the main criticism: the measure of how valuable the top scorer is, could be better contrived than by calculating the average elo-points of the opponent per goal scored. This measure indeed mainly indicated that some top scorers played mostly weaker Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-60903942051600278042023-11-04T11:56:00.000+01:002023-11-04T11:56:10.728+01:00FIFA ranking: November 2023 probable rankingHere is the probable November 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday November 30th. In the upcoming November window matches for the following tournaments will be played:- the CONCACAF Nations League 2024 group stage in leagues B and C plays to a finish with match days 5 and 6. In league A the home-and-away quarter finals are scheduled. The winners qualify for the CNL Final Four in March 2024 Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com15tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-90680950559291353172023-11-04T11:50:00.002+01:002023-11-04T11:50:58.555+01:00FIFA ranking: November 2023 probable resultsHere are the probable results of all 186 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including November 26th, used to calculate the November 2023 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. Also the already played matches since October 23rd, (probably) counting for the November ranking, are presented.In the first column is indicated if the match is included or not, Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-28846066029759191612023-10-28T15:54:00.001+02:002023-10-28T16:28:49.337+02:00Another way of ranking the international top scorersNormally you don't see anything in this blog about individual players, because they are not my main interest in NT-football. It's about the national teams for me. But recently there was a request from a long-time reader about the ranking of international top scorers, in combination with the strength of the opponents against which they scored their goals.Especially since Portugal's Cristiano Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com14tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-87240327462614553342023-10-18T21:59:00.000+02:002023-10-18T21:59:43.439+02:00FIFA ranking: October 2023 final previewFIFA will publish this ranking next Thursday October 26th. This final preview contains 170 matches, out of 181 matches played since September 18th.One team reaches a new highest rank:Kosovo (105 - 106 in June 2022)Two teams fall back to their lowest rank:Grenada (176 in December 2007)Liechtenstein (200 in July 2023)Best movers:8 - Lithuania6 - Kosovo, BangladeshWorst movers:-8 - Finland-7 - Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-16563037168671242152023-10-18T21:33:00.003+02:002023-10-19T11:04:18.022+02:002024 UEFA EURO qualification: 10.000 simulations (October 2023)Last week the match days seven and eight of qualification for EURO 2024 have been played. See here for all the details of the qualification process and the simulation results before the groups started. See for previous simulation results: after MD2, after MD4 and after MD6.Here are the probabilities (in %) -generated over 10.000 simulations- with all match-results based on NT prediction formula'sEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66568654988115021512023-10-01T10:09:00.003+02:002023-10-01T10:09:53.333+02:00FIFA ranking: October 2023 probable rankingHere is the probable October 2023 ranking, to be published on Thursday October 26th. In the upcoming October window matches for the following tournaments will be played:- the CONCACAF Nations League 2024 group stage continues with match days 3 and 4. In league A these are already the final group matches. Numbers 1 and 2 in both groups will continue to the new quarter finals in November against Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-53717518964429175222023-10-01T10:08:00.000+02:002023-10-01T10:08:43.820+02:00FIFA ranking: October 2023 probable resultsHere are the probable results of all 154 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including October 22nd, used to calculate the October 2023 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. Also the already played matches since September 18th, (probably) counting for the October ranking, are presented.In the first column is indicated if the match is included or not, Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-5740628987338492762023-09-13T21:47:00.003+02:002023-09-14T09:40:15.925+02:002024 UEFA EURO qualification: 10.000 simulations (September 2023)Last week the match days five and six of qualification for EURO 2024 have been played. See here for all the details of the qualification process and the simulation results before the groups started. See for previous simulation results: after MD2 and after MD4.Here are the probabilities (in %) -generated over 10.000 simulations- with all match-results based on NT prediction formula's for goals Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-33277195985616384082023-09-13T20:49:00.000+02:002023-09-13T20:49:27.542+02:00FIFA ranking: September 2023 final previewFIFA will publish this ranking next Thursday September 21st. This final preview contains 165 matches, out of 182 matches played since July 17th.Eritrea played their last official match 4 years ago in September 2019. They are excluded from the ranking from now on, until they have played again. Eritrea is participating in African qualifying for the World Cup 2026, with the first round scheduled forEdhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-10629420328145568412023-09-03T09:51:00.001+02:002023-09-03T09:51:33.282+02:00CAF qualification World Cup 2026: 10.000 simulations (September 2023)The match schedule for the group stage matches in African qualification for the World Cup 2026 is finally released, so now I'm able to simulate the process. The format is very simple: all 54 African teams are divided in 9 groups of 6 teams and the 9 group winners qualify for the World Cup.The 4 best ranked group runners-up will qualify for a play-off, consisting of two one-off semi finals and a Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-48136896021905991902023-08-28T22:00:00.001+02:002023-08-28T22:01:26.596+02:00CONCACAF Nations League 2023/24: 10.000 simulations (August 2023)The upcoming September window starts a new edition of the CONCACAF Nations League. It will be the third edition and follows only one year after the previous one. It is used as qualification tournament for the Copa America 2024, the South American continental final tournament, which is in 2024 co-organized by CONCACAF (and hosted in the USA) and will be expanded to 16 teams, the 10 from CONMEBOL Edhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06640136267487836463noreply@blogger.com6