tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-16319976167281415212012-01-29T23:54:03.670+02:00FIFA Ranking, UEFA national team coefficients, various seeding infoEdgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.comBlogger9761100tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-76753540973754168772012-01-27T12:14:00.000+02:002012-01-27T12:14:09.102+02:00

The AFC have announced yesterday the draw for the fourth round will take place on March 9. Last August, AFC's Competition Committee decided to use the latest FIFA rankings to seed the teams for the fourth round draw. Looking at the FIFA ranking schedule, this means the February ranking will be used, thus the 29 February games (last match day of the third round will not affect the seeding). It

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-26691869326178023142012-01-27T11:54:00.001+02:002012-01-27T13:21:37.515+02:00

As far as I understand, most of the Welsh and Scottish football fans are against the idea of "Team GB", a Great Britain football team that will participate as hosts at the 2012 London Olympics. The Welsh, Scottish and Northern Irish football associations are reluctant to participate, because they fear they will lose their independent status within FIFA and their IFAB spots. However, it seems

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com15tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-86275284473875023142012-01-27T11:52:00.000+02:002012-01-27T11:52:51.162+02:00

In Africa, all eyes are on Equatorial Guinea's achievement (and rightly so). The Equatoguineans (or well, the football players mainly born outside of the country) managed to qualify for the quarterfinals, eliminating Senegal in the process and will climb at least 33 places, from their current ranking of 151st. However, another nation from the Gulf of Guinea is also making waves. Sao Tome and

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-84603388006033986902012-01-27T11:49:00.001+02:002012-01-27T13:16:42.807+02:00

The coefficients for the 2013 UEFA European Under-21 Championship playoff draw will take into account results from: 2009 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting 2011 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting 2013 UEFA European Under-21 Championship (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-86338349889217375622012-01-27T11:27:00.000+02:002012-01-27T11:27:55.270+02:00

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating: Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference Solomon Islands 180 121 59 Syria 117 64 53 New Zealand 118 67 51 Mauritania 204 157 47 New Caledonia 166 120 46 Vanuatu 174 130 44 Fiji 161 118 43 Tahiti 184 145 39 Papua New Guinea 193 161

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-70306213455476890682012-01-20T16:11:00.000+02:002012-01-20T16:11:59.728+02:00

In Annex I of the UEFA European Under-21 regulations, article 3 b) says: In the case of an association that hosted a UEFA European Under-21 Championship final tournament during one of the last two full cycles and therefore has no points from the respective qualifying competition, the points earned in the qualifying competition of the 2009-11 UEFA European Under-21 Championship are used. In my

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-5148491558685743652012-01-20T11:21:00.001+02:002012-01-23T13:49:29.193+02:00

Next update: 3 February 2012.  FIFA will publish the ranking on 15 February. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Lots of movement in the top 10: - Germany will overtake the Netherlands for 2nd in the ranking. - Portugal will overtake Brazil - Italy will overtake Croatia - Denmark will overtake Argentina Australia will overtake

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-41580162305079826062012-01-20T11:19:00.001+02:002012-01-20T11:22:10.373+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the February 2012 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings. Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;) 1 - First team wins X - Draw 2 - Second team wins 21/

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-77301250468833413342012-01-20T11:14:00.003+02:002012-01-23T13:49:37.118+02:00

Next update: 3 February 2012.  FIFA will publish the ranking on 15 February. Lots of movement in the top 10: - Germany will overtake the Netherlands for 2nd in the ranking. - Portugal will overtake Brazil - Italy will overtake Croatia - Denmark will overtake Argentina Australia will overtake Japan at the top of AFC. El Salvador will overtake Honduras and Costa Rica, climbing to 5th in

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-8398043312964999192012-01-20T11:06:00.000+02:002012-01-20T11:06:11.072+02:00

In my short career as match agent (not actually a match agent, obviously), I managed to schedule two friendlies: Lithuania - Armenia in August 2011 and Armenia - Canada in February 2012. Both for free. However, since I spent quite some time searching for opponents, I will stick to being a blogger and won't lose more time on this - it's a bit time consuming. Many thanks to Stephen Hart, Morgan

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-46499613613474139162012-01-13T10:45:00.000+02:002012-01-13T10:45:17.377+02:00

Robbie Butler, an Economics lecturer at University College Cork, wrote in December 2011 an article on his blog, also featured on The Score section of TheJournal.ie. Although the title of the article is "FIFA Rankings explained", there are many things wrong. While Robbie gets points for actually looking at the mechanism behind the rankings, he failed to get the formula right. First of all,

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66981811702458256062012-01-13T10:41:00.003+02:002012-01-13T10:42:43.339+02:00

As Tobcoach wrote in this comment, Germany will overtake the Netherlands in the February 2012 ranking. The Germans gain 24 points because the friendly draw against Italy (9 Feb 2011) will drop from the most recent time frame and the defeat against Norway (11 Feb 2009) will drop to the oldest time frame. The Dutch lose 6 points mainly because their extraordinary 2010 results will be divided by

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-70556986640395902812012-01-13T10:34:00.000+02:002012-01-13T10:34:21.603+02:00

FIFA will publish the ranking on January 18. The official deadline for matches was yesterday, but FIFA usually include more matches up to Sunday. Best movers: 9 - Saudi Arabia, Congo DR and Nicaragua 8 - Uzbekistan, Zambia and Belize 7 - Uganda Worst movers: -14 - Gabon -12 - Benin -9 - Sudan Best movers in the top 50: 3 - Ghana 2 - Australia, Korea Republic, Czech Republic, Iran, Armenia

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-12227621342296998892011-12-21T14:04:00.000+02:002011-12-21T14:04:23.649+02:00

Next update: 13 January 2012. FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 January. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Bosnia-Herzegovina, Panama and Estonia will very likely improve their best ever ranking. Probable January 2012 rank - Team - Probable January 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points 1 Spain 1564 0 0

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-25090160382769476602011-12-21T13:58:00.001+02:002011-12-21T14:04:49.812+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the January 2012 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings. Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;) 1 - First team wins X - Draw 2 - Second team wins 22/Dec

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-72321785497033746612011-12-21T13:54:00.000+02:002011-12-21T13:54:47.601+02:00

Next update: 13 January 2012. FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 January. The official deadline for matches will be 12 January, although FIFA will most likely move it to 15 January. This preview is using the official deadline. Most points dropped (best case scenario): -57 - Egypt -37 - Cameroon -29 - Benin -28 - Gabon -27 - United Arab Emirates -24 - Algeria -23 - Côte d'Ivoire and Senegal -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-91065780493625004902011-12-21T13:44:00.000+02:002011-12-21T13:44:16.369+02:00

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating: Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference Solomon Islands 180 121 59 New Zealand 119 66 53 Syria 114 64 50 Mauritania 204 157 47 New Caledonia 166 120 46 Vanuatu 174 129 45 Fiji 161 118 43 Tahiti 184 146 38 Papua New Guinea 193

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-50923622283882313002011-12-16T10:16:00.000+02:002011-12-16T10:16:24.787+02:00

FIFA will publish the ranking on December 21st. The official deadline for matches was yesterday, but based on the ranking prognosis for teams like Palestine and Angola, it seems FIFA will extend the deadline to Sunday. Pan Arab games involving Libya and Jordan have disappeared and then appeared again on FIFA.com. I know Libya and Jordan wrote to FIFA to have those games removed. However, since

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com17tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-67921547237767779132011-12-09T12:10:00.000+02:002011-12-09T12:10:43.441+02:00

I wrote two weeks ago about a couple of errors in the November ranking. As EngelRS4 announced in this comment, FIFA have changed the October 2011 FIFA ranking, by computing the ranking without two matches that have lost "A" match status: Korea Republic - Poland 2 - 2 and Ethiopia - Sudan 1 - 2, both played in October 2011. That's a new approach, as FIFA usually didn't recompute the rankings when

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-53094289909975818702011-12-09T11:57:00.001+02:002011-12-09T11:58:18.554+02:00

Next update: February or March 2012. See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post. This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking: 1 Uruguay 449 2 Spain 413 3 Germany 402 4 Netherlands 390 5 Portugal 362 6 Argentina 360 7 Croatia 346 8 Brazil 343 9 England 342 10

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-78472290219933742992011-12-09T11:51:00.000+02:002011-12-09T11:51:13.826+02:00

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating: Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference Solomon Islands 179 120 59 New Zealand 119 66 53 Syria 115 64 51 New Caledonia 163 119 44 Mauritania 201 157 44 Fiji 158 117 41 Vanuatu 171 131 40 Tahiti 182 144 38 Cyprus 126 96 30

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-80280803610062855242011-12-09T11:45:00.000+02:002011-12-09T11:45:07.933+02:00

Many Brazilian fans are in uproar over Brazil's ranking. And it's about the get worse. Brazil have no competitive games before the 2013 FIFA Confederations Cup. Looking at the average points Brazil gained from friendlies in the last 4 years and using it for the last time frame, it looks like Brazil will have around 968 points in the June 2013 FIFA Ranking - the one released just before the start

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-41137587877928225402011-12-02T13:02:00.001+02:002011-12-02T14:00:02.842+02:00

FFA have published the 2011 - 2015 Strategic Plan. Couple of quotes: ... a vision for Australia to become a Top 10 football nation. The ambitious target goes way beyond our FIFA Ranking. Our targets include: - Qantas Socceroos qualifying for Brazil 2014 FIFA World Cup and reaching the round of 16 as a minimum. - Winning the 2015 AFC Asian Cup on home soil - The Socceroos contesting for a Top

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-59420913563532951092011-12-02T11:52:00.000+02:002011-12-02T11:52:08.306+02:00

Next update: June 2012.The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weightingEURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weightingClick here for more info on the coefficient system.The qualifying format is already known (but

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-65108956560142532792011-12-02T11:31:00.001+02:002011-12-02T16:07:47.571+02:00

A Welsh football fan asked me "to do an article giving a statistical look on how Wales fared shortly before and during his time in charge". Gary Speed's first game in charge of Wales was on 8 February 2011 and the last on 12 November 2011. I will look at points gained between 8 February and the release of the latest FIFA ranking - 23 November (288 days) and then at points gained between 20

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-65960235453883544762011-12-02T11:12:00.001+02:002011-12-02T11:58:25.624+02:00

A lot of Welsh football fans were mystified by Wales' drop in the November rankings, despite winning against a higher-ranked team - Norway and their form (4 wins in the last 5 matches). Why did it happen? I tried to explain, but with the questions still coming, I think a post is required. October 2011 The columns are as follows: Match date, Opponents' FIFA trigramme, FIFA match points for

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-50673626218731043292011-11-25T14:51:00.001+02:002011-11-28T08:58:21.182+02:00

FIFA will publish the ranking on 21 December. American Samoa and Samoa will no longer be at the bottom of the ranking. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Samoa expected to clim 54 places, Vietnam 35 and American Samoa 20. Grenada expected to drop 29 places, Cuba 25 and Bangladesh 12. Probable December 2011 rank - Team - Probable

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com28tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-61825389077596395132011-11-25T14:46:00.001+02:002011-11-25T14:53:21.707+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the December 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings. Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;) 1 - First team wins X - Draw 2 - Second team wins

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com12tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-76637419515309444912011-11-25T14:44:00.000+02:002011-11-25T14:44:57.341+02:00

FIFA will publish the ranking on 21 December. Most points dropped (best case scenario): -70 - Cuba -68 - Grenada -36 - Jamaica -29 - Libya -20 - Eritrea -16 - Seychelles -15 - United Arab Emirates -14 - Antigua and Barbuda -10 - Nepal -9 - Haiti and Jordan Most points gained (worst case scenario): 117 - Vietnam 85 - Samoa 61 - American Samoa 38 - Trinidad and Tobago 31 - Bosnia-Herzegovina

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-74531599360103127882011-11-25T12:35:00.001+02:002011-11-25T13:03:32.199+02:00

Next update: sometime in January after the Pan Arab Games. AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings. The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29, while the first match day of round 4 is scheduled for June 3. I think the draw will take place in March, using the March FIFA ranking that will be released on March 14. 4 years ago, the 4

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-76665745995745507972011-11-25T12:08:00.000+02:002011-11-25T12:08:54.140+02:00

American Samoa finally won a match. Samoa also won a match and both Samoas are ranked 204th, along with Andorra, Montserrat and San Marino. With these wins, they'll leave the bottom spot behind and those three teams will fall to 206th - an all time low for all of them. How many times did the bottom team register a win? Only 9 times. Date - Match type - Team 1 - Team 2 - Result - Rank 1 - Rank 2

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-10221583842373721442011-11-25T12:02:00.000+02:002011-11-25T12:02:05.660+02:00

Spain lost to England this month. They do have a habit of losing friendlies, don't they? They also lost to Argentina, Portugal and Italy. They only lost one competitive match - against the US at the Confederations Cup. How many times did the top team leave the team defeated (including PSO losses)? 39 times. Order of columns: Team - Friendlies - Friendly losses - Competitive matches -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-83603664674438824802011-11-25T11:36:00.000+02:002011-11-25T11:36:03.739+02:00

See previous version. Two new results in the top 20: Korea DPR - Japan 1 - 0 (5th) and Oman - Australia 1 - 0 (19th). There was another upset in October: Wales - Switzerland 2 - 0 - ranked 29th. Top 20 upsets with two restrictions: only competitive matches losing team must be in the top 20 of the FIFA ranking at the time of the match Of course, this list only includes matches played after 8

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-9561112296998178422011-11-25T11:24:00.000+02:002011-11-25T11:24:20.887+02:00

Take a look at the FIFA ranking. In reverse order of importance. 1. The "POINTS IN THE PAST 4 YEARS" section is not displayed for San Marino. Granted, they have 0 points and this makes no difference, but this section is displayed when you click on Andorra - also with 0 points. 2. Seychelles and Maldives. Clicking on them you'll still see the October ranking info. Although, their points are OK

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-9859576506197258042011-11-18T09:49:00.002+02:002011-11-18T15:57:03.557+02:00

Fixed Zimbabwe error. Thanks Tobcoach! ______ FIFA will publish the ranking on November 23. Croatia return to the top 10 (climbing to 8th), with Greece and Denmark dropping out, while England overtake Brazil. Sao Tome e Principe return to the ranking in style - they will be 192nd - bad news for Mauritania, Tonga, Timor-Leste, Andorra, Samoa and San Marino - all will thus drop to their worst

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com44tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-27377040753719933782011-11-18T09:45:00.002+02:002011-11-18T12:47:02.576+02:00

The draw will take place at the Palace of Arts in Kyiv, Ukraine at 18.00CET (19.00 local time) on Friday 2 December. Pot 1: Poland, Ukraine, Spain, Netherlands Pot 2: Germany, Italy, England, Russia Pot 3: Croatia, Greece, Portugal, Sweden Pot 4: Denmark, France, Czech Republic, Republic of Ireland Source: UEFA.com Croatia needed two wins to climb to Pot 2. After their 3 - 0 win in Istanbul I

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com26tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66832368173611549552011-11-11T11:49:00.002+02:002011-11-11T11:53:42.280+02:00

This is based on (FIFA points for a win) / (actual effort from Elo rating). Doesn't include teams that have competitive matches for both of the November dates or teams that would bring less than 250 points for an OFC opponent. Team - Opponent(s) in November Algeria (Tunisia, Cameroon) Armenia Slovenia (USA) Slovakia Sierra Leone Greece (Russia, Romania) Switzerland (Netherlands, Luxembourg)

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-23107488556188502932011-11-11T11:04:00.000+02:002011-11-11T11:04:50.189+02:00

Next update: 18 November 2011. Sao Tome e Principe will return to the ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on 23 November. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Haiti, Puerto Rico, Bermuda, Congo and Curacao expected to climb 20 or more spots. Dominica, St. Kitts and Nevis, Suriname, Thailand and Senegal expected to drop 15 or more

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-87380803663820776682011-11-11T10:56:00.001+02:002011-11-11T11:05:21.373+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the November 2011 probable ranking (II) . They are generated using the Elo Ratings. Only matches displayed on FIFA.com this morning around 8:00 CET. Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com14tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-26872588474692109832011-11-11T10:55:00.000+02:002011-11-11T10:55:07.614+02:00

Next update: 18 November 2011. Includes matches up to November 10 (Gabon - Brazil 0 - 2 included). Many changes to the fixtures list that's why I chose to post another update. Sao Tome e Principe will return to the ranking after 4 years. Their last appearance was in October 2007 - ranked 200th.   Most points dropped (best case scenario): -39 - New Zealand -38 - Bulgaria -34 - Lithuania -28 -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-75126951227335876922011-11-04T13:20:00.000+02:002011-11-04T13:20:18.092+02:00

Go to the FIFA ranking page and then click on Congo (not Congo DR!) and add two wins (or any other combination of results except two losses) against Sao Tome e Principe, Congo will get no points. The "T" part (for Sao Tome e Principe's ranking) is 0. Thanks to the anonymous reader who pointed it out to me.

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com12tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-90583087061017212192011-10-28T12:26:00.000+02:002011-10-28T12:26:11.649+02:00

In September 2010, CAF announced the qualifying system for the 2013 edition. Countries that do not qualify for the Orange CAN Gabon – Equatorial Guinea 2012 will play a first round eliminatory, with direct elimination, with a view to finding fifteen teams. The period from 15 January 2012 to 15 February 2012 was chosen for this first round. If Libya South Africa doesn’t qualify for the Orange

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-31028698731741188732011-10-28T12:19:00.001+02:002011-10-28T12:20:03.003+02:00

Most of this article is based on fillow's post on Bert Kassies forum. Who would have qualified for a 2012 EURO with 24 teams? The two hosts, 9 group winners, 9 group runners-up and 4 teams from play-offs between the best third placed teams. Ranking of third placed teams discarding results against the sixth ranked team in the group where applicable: Norway 16 10 - 7 Hungary 13 11 -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-11843865023466627022011-10-28T12:12:00.000+02:002011-10-28T12:12:54.573+02:00

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating: Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference Solomon Islands 180 120 60 Vanuatu 174 130 44 Syria 106 65 41 Mauritania 200 160 40 New Zealand 105 66 39 New Caledonia 156 119 37 Tahiti 182 145 37 Kuwait 96 61 35 Korea DPR 124 92 32

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-87546001894766821722011-10-21T11:55:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:55:47.138+02:00

Next update: 18 November 2011. Sao Tome e Principe will return to the ranking if they don't withdraw from the World Cup qualifiers. FIFA will publish the ranking on 23 November. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Haiti, Congo, Curacao and Puerto Rico expected to climb 20 or more spots. Dominica, Suriname, St. Kitts and Nevis, and

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-82022163654294230572011-10-21T11:50:00.002+02:002011-11-11T11:11:48.645+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the November 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings. Only matches displayed on FIFA.com this morning around 8:00 CET. Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com11tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-67811861093735544352011-10-21T11:48:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:48:16.789+02:00

Next update: 18 November 2011. Sao Tome e Principe will return to the ranking if they don't withdraw from the World Cup qualifiers. Most points dropped (best case scenario): -44 - Burkina Faso -39 - New Zealand -38 - Bulgaria -34 - Lithuania -28 - Wales -25 - Fiji -24 - Georgia -23 - Hong Kong -22 - Belarus -18 - Northern Ireland Most points gained (worst case scenario): 58 - Cuba 44 - Cape

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-19042395586816865152011-10-21T11:41:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:41:07.914+02:00

Since it would have been quite a long post, I decided to split the CAF and UEFA seeding in two different posts. The groups using the October ranking are based on the actual groups taking into account the zonal rank in July and October. For instance UEFA Group I had the teams ranked 1, 10, 25, 30 and 38 (Spain, France, Belarus, Georgia and Finland). Using the October rankings Group I would have

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-31530851254872839782011-10-21T11:31:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:31:00.987+02:00

This is what actually happened using the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams. Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, England, Portugal, Italy, Croatia, Norway, Greece Pot 2: France, Montenegro, Russia, Sweden, Denmark, Slovenia, Turkey, Serbia, Slovakia Pot 3: Switzerland, Israel, Republic of Ireland, Belgium, Czech Republic, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belarus, Ukraine, Hungary Pot 4: Bulgaria,

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-30979247099775330042011-10-21T11:23:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:23:40.773+02:00

This is what actually happened using the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams. Pot 1: Mozambique, Congo DR, Togo, Liberia, Tanzania, Congo, Kenya, Rwanda, Ethiopia, Namibia, Burundi, Madagascar Pot 2: Guinea-Bissau, Equatorial Guinea, Chad, Swaziland, Comoros, Lesotho, Eritrea, Somalia, Djibouti, Mauritius, Seychelles, Sao Tome e Principe Seychelles - Kenya Guinea-Bissau - Togo Djibouti -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-12860685842401093022011-10-21T11:13:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:13:33.348+02:00

Next update: 18 November 2011 or later. See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post. This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking: 1 Spain 405 2 Netherlands 375 3 Germany 369 4 Uruguay 340 5 England 284 6 Argentina 278 7 Italy 277 8 Greece 275 9 Portugal 272 10

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-69790700950836089352011-10-21T11:09:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:09:17.579+02:00

Next update: 18 November 2011 or later. AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings. 2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3. Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :) The last match

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-6016462133660736222011-10-21T11:04:00.000+02:002011-10-21T11:04:44.635+02:00

Next update: 18 November 2011 or later. The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from: 2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting 2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting Click here for more info on the coefficient system. The qualifying

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-59397077397291052712011-10-14T10:05:00.000+02:002011-10-14T10:05:39.059+02:00

France will root for Bosnia-Herzegovina... Isn't that something :) Sure to be in pot 4 if they qualify: Czech Republic, Republic of Ireland, Turkey, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro and Estonia. That leaves Croatia and Portugal as the ones that could push teams to a lower pot. Teams that could be affected: Russia, Denmark and France. So who's safe? Pot 1: Poland, Ukraine, Spain, Netherlands

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com21tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66137012682396461212011-10-14T09:23:00.001+02:002011-11-18T09:34:01.115+02:00

FIFA will publish the ranking on October 19. The official deadline for matches was yesterday, but FIFA might include Grenada vs. St. Vincent and the Grenadines, a 2014 WCQ scheduled for tomorrow. Greece (8) and Denmark (10) enter the top 10, with Croatia dropping out. Denmark are tied for 10th with Argentina. The Danes return to the top 10 after more than 8 years - they were 10th in May 2003.

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com16tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-49329559429732463992011-10-14T09:19:00.000+02:002011-10-14T09:19:03.046+02:00

1. It doesn't display the point totals for the last 4 years for these teams: St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Grenada, Mauritania, Brunei Darussalam, Bhutan and Guam. 2. The predictor tool doesn't work properly for Bermuda and Congo. 3. For teams with no matches in the current month (New Zealand for instance) there's no way to find out (on FIFA.com) how many points they will have in the next

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-73414083714058989202011-10-14T09:18:00.002+02:002011-10-14T14:59:31.796+02:00

The draw will take place on October 29th. See the official seeding: CAFOnline.com (PDF file). Pot 1: Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire Pot 2: Angola, Tunisia, Zambia, Guinea Pot 3: Mali, Senegal, Morocco, Burkina Faso Pot 4: Sudan, Libya, Botswana, Niger Here's the full table, including the teams that failed to qualify: Egypt (1st with 42 points), Cameroon (3rd - 18), Nigeria (

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com13tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-24371497053601349922011-10-07T11:59:00.000+02:002011-10-07T11:59:40.175+02:00

Yesterday FIFA changed the ranking section of their site. Readers now have access to more details than ever. As well as explaining in detail how each team has won or lost points, the page also shows their points totals for the previous month, how many points will be discounted from their tallies and their points averages over the previous four years, the idea being to make the Ranking much more

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com17tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-13723602930974631512011-10-07T11:49:00.001+02:002011-10-14T10:15:41.858+02:00

In the November 2008 issue of uefadirect (page 12) it says: "... the traditional system of groups of five or six teams (at least eight matches per team) will stand and the play-offs between third-placed teams will create and sustain interest." It seems the system is about to change, as Mr. Platini came up with a different proposal at the full strategy meeting of the 53 member FAs (20-21

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com26tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-23407741002896914312011-10-07T10:53:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:17:47.022+02:00

A quick update to fix the number of games issue found by Tiksa. Next update: 14 October 2011 or later. The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from: 2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting 2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66216032739892839942011-09-30T10:18:00.000+02:002011-09-30T10:18:51.913+02:00

I wrote last week about the problems I found in the September edition of the FIFA rankings. I also e-mailed FIFA about it and even tweeted to @fifamedia about it. They've replied on Monday: Thank you for your email and notification of a possible error in the World Ranking. We have reviewed the calculation and confirmed that there was a mistake. We will therefore issue a new ranking this

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-61697717926750613162011-09-30T10:01:00.000+02:002011-09-30T10:01:16.989+02:00

I read this hilarious article (for me at least) today in the Nigerian Tribune. PRESIDENT, Nigeria Football Federation, NFF, Aminu Maigari, says the body will appeal the downward slide of the Super Eagles of Nigeria in FIFA's monthly ranking of national teams in the world. Nigeria is currently ranked 43rd in the world and sixth in Africa but Maigari believes the rating is not a true reflection

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-7933295344407534192011-09-30T09:55:00.001+02:002011-09-30T10:21:54.631+02:00

See why I had to post an unscheduled update. Next update: 14 October 2011. FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 October. Spain's top spot in danger, but Netherlands need results to go their way to return to the top. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Suriname, St. Kitts and Nevis, Zambia and Ecuador expected to climb 15 or more

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-12267912216661765372011-09-30T09:51:00.001+02:002011-09-30T10:19:43.776+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the October 2011 probable ranking (II). They are generated using the Elo Ratings. Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;) 1 - First team wins X - Draw 2 - Second team wins

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-27835190320392326932011-09-30T09:48:00.001+02:002011-09-30T10:22:09.488+02:00

See why I had to post an unscheduled update. Next update: 14 October 2011. Spain's top spot in danger, but Netherlands need results to go their way to return to the top. Most points dropped (best case scenario): -67 - New Zealand -36 - Benin -27 - Burkina Faso and Yemen -26 - Kyrgyzstan -21 - Namibia -19 - Mauritania -16 - Gabon -14 - Netherlands and Australia Most points gained (worst case

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-86907427513956456242011-09-30T09:06:00.001+02:002011-09-30T09:09:28.741+02:00

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating: Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference Solomon Islands 178 120 58 Syria 109 64 45 Vanuatu 173 129 44 Kuwait 99 61 38 Iraq 107 70 37 Tahiti 184 148 36 Fiji 147 113 34 Bermuda 189 155 34 Korea DPR 121 88 33 Mauritania 193

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-38316770309135213952011-09-23T13:36:00.000+02:002011-09-23T13:36:53.475+02:00

In order to return to the top that is... The Dutch need at least 2 points from their qualifiers against Moldova and Sweden to stand any chance of reclaiming the first spot. Spain play against the Czech Republic (away) and Scotland (at home). If the Netherlands win against Moldova and lose against Sweden (WL) or draw both matches (DD), then they need Spain to lose both matches. WD: Spain must

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-19408692319702163422011-09-23T13:24:00.002+02:002011-09-23T13:37:40.922+02:00

Next update: 14 October 2011. FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 October. Spain's top spot in danger, but Netherlands need results to go their way to return to the top. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Suriname, Zambia, Ecuador, St. Kitts and Nevis and St. Vincent and the Grenadines (difficult to make a list when these two are

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com22tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-32661979601737573462011-09-23T13:14:00.002+02:002011-09-23T13:28:14.620+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the October 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings. Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;) 1 - First team wins X - Draw 2 - Second team wins 23/Sep

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com27tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66948500295019174792011-09-23T12:58:00.001+02:002011-09-23T13:31:04.316+02:00

Next update: 14 October 2011. Spain's top spot in danger, but Netherlands need results to go their way to return to the top. Most points dropped (best case scenario): -67 - New Zealand -35 - Benin -27 - Yemen -26 - Burkina Faso and Kyrgyzstan -21 - Namibia -19 - Gabon and Mauritania -15 - Australia -14 - Netherlands Most points gained (worst case scenario): 47 - St. Vincent and the

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-60441937198372700132011-09-23T12:45:00.001+02:002011-09-30T10:53:29.147+02:00

30 September 2011: Problems solved. ________________________ I expected FIFA to include the awarded results of the Tajikistan - Syria qualifiers for the September edition. It didn't quite happen. Don't know why. Lesotho seem to be missing the August 20 draw against Swaziland. Wrote to FIFA about it. Hopefully they will answer. Also unexpected differences for Qatar, Dominican Republic, Sudan,

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-87435508172832994212011-09-16T09:53:00.000+02:002011-09-16T09:53:40.998+02:00

The Argentina - Brazil friendly played on August 14 finished 0 - 0. This is the September 2011 top 10: September 2011 rank - Team - September 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points 1 Spain 1605 1 42 2 Netherlands 1571 -1 -25 3 Germany 1290 0 -40 4 Uruguay 1184 1 10 5 Portugal 1158 3 98 6 Italy 1142 1 32 7

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-5953607118517259362011-09-16T09:42:00.001+02:002011-10-07T12:23:19.352+02:00

See the first AFCON seeding post for more details. Bostwana, Côte d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso and Senegal have already qualified. Removed from the table: Egypt, Cameroon, Congo DR, Benin, Mozambique and Namibia. Team ACN'06 ACN'08 ACN'10 Total Pts Goals ------------------------------------------------------- 1 Ghana 1 3 5 22 2 Côte d'Ivoire 5 3 2

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-65628367420501582712011-09-16T09:38:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.896+02:00

Next update: 14 October 2011 or later. AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings. 2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3. Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :) The last match

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-40872315339552631782011-09-16T09:28:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:17:47.024+02:00

Next update: 14 October 2011 or later. The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from: 2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting 2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting Click here for more info on the coefficient system. The qualifying

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com11tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-78713125346510031862011-09-16T09:16:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.897+02:00

Next update: 14 October 2011 See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post. This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking: 1 Netherlands 357 2 Spain 342 3 Uruguay 314 4 Germany 305 5 England 268 6 Argentina 257 7 Portugal 249 8 Italy 238 9 Brazil 228 10 Japan 226

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-41943508914945725892011-09-16T09:10:00.002+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.899+02:00

It seems Norway chose to play against Lithuania (see Google Translation to English in case your Norwegian is a bit rusty) in June and not a more dangerous opponent in order to keep their first pot position. The Danish media and football officials consider this to be a "manipulation". However, Norway didn't always play against weak/medium opponents and they didn't always win. Lost to Poland,

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-49838709377564070402011-09-12T09:27:00.000+02:002011-09-12T09:27:43.685+02:00

FIFA will publish the ranking on September 21. Only one match left before the deadline: Argentina - Brazil, a friendly scheduled for 14 September in Cordoba, Argentina. This is how the totals can change for these 8 teams. Brazil (L:1118, D: 1132, W: 1159) Argentina (L: 1014, D: 1024, W: 1046) The values displayed in the table below are the lowest possible. Biggest change is at the top -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com23tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-27333098851714025262011-09-12T08:58:00.001+02:002011-10-07T12:17:22.330+02:00

Next update: 14 October 2011 The coefficients for the EURO 2012 final draw will take into account results from: EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting 2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting EURO 2012 (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting Click here for more info on the coefficient system. Hosts Poland (23806) and Ukraine (

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com29tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-13905831310831651032011-09-12T08:43:00.001+02:002011-09-12T08:45:51.457+02:00

Chris Wathan asked me how big of an upset a Wales victory against England would be based on FIFA rankings. I thought this would also make an interesting post. So here's the top 20 upsets with two restrictions: only competitive matches losing team must be in the top 20 of the FIFA ranking at the time of the match Of course, this list only includes matches played after 8 August 1993 - the first

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-21989834923162937462011-09-02T12:49:00.000+02:002011-09-02T12:49:37.506+02:00

This won't be a defense of England's 4th position (I think it's a bit too high) or a defense of Ghana's 36th position (too low). Well, there's not much to say that hasn't already been said (see Mirko Bolesan for instance). This morning I chanced upon this WorldSoccer.com piece by Jim Holden. FIFA Rankings are flawed, I admit - but this is really not the way to show it. There are a couple of

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-53462439003173719962011-09-02T12:38:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.900+02:00

10000 simulations using the Elo Ratings. Group A El Salvador 93.1 Suriname 6.34 Dominican Republic 0.55 Cayman Islands 0.02 Group B Trinidad and Tobago 79.24 Guyana 14.53 Barbados 4.44 Bermuda 1.8 Group C Panama 99.07 Dominica 0.54 Nicaragua 0.39 Group D Canada 97.75

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-89927967625655234162011-09-02T12:30:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.901+02:00

10000 simulations using the Elo Ratings. Group A China PR 88.93 Iraq 63.83 Jordan 39.98 Singapore 7.26 Group B Korea Republic 98.1 Kuwait 72.98 United Arab Emirates 28.28 Lebanon 0.64 Group C Japan 99.13 Uzbekistan 62.8 Korea DPR 34.61 Tajikistan 3.47 Group D

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-76627481240092832592011-09-02T12:20:00.000+02:002011-09-02T12:20:00.699+02:00

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating: Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference Solomon Islands 177 120 57 Canada 102 58 44 Wales 117 77 40 Iraq 109 70 39 New Caledonia 165 128 37 Tahiti 183 148 35 Kuwait 95 61 34 Syria 97 64 33 Vanuatu 162 129 33

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-41309022821505350612011-08-26T11:46:00.000+02:002011-08-26T11:46:19.356+02:00

You might have noticed (Alex certainly did) the last paragraph in the article FIFA published to announce the August ranking. For this edition of the world ranking, the confederation weighting for the AFC has been increased from 0.85 to 0.86 backdated to August 2010, after a review of the confederation weighting calculation found that 0.86 is the correct figure. This alteration has led to only

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com11tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-31719344055743591372011-08-26T11:36:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.902+02:00

Bahamas have withdrawn from the World Cup qualifiers. Consequently, Group C, in Round 2 of the CONCACAF qualification phase will remain a group of just three teams: Panama, Dominica and Nicaragua.  Source: FIFA.com. That's too bad - I think it would have been better to replace them with Aruba - eliminated by St. Lucia after penalties. Not Turks and Caicos Islands, since Bahamas broke no

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-61155967364637756352011-08-26T11:30:00.000+02:002011-08-26T11:30:07.161+02:00

Next update: 9 September 2011. FIFA will publish the ranking on 21 September. Spain in pole position to claim first place in the rankings. Read more about Netherlands chances of remaining on top. Samoa and American Samoa avoid being unlisted. With no games they would have been removed from the ranking. Papua New Guinea return to the ranking. Samoa will join the club of teams with 0 points.

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com14tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-59622805701977120192011-08-26T11:22:00.001+02:002011-08-26T11:30:36.756+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the September 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings. 1 - First team wins X - Draw 2 - Second team wins 26/Aug Bahrain - Sudan 1 (Friendly) 26/Aug Antigua and Barbuda - St. Vincent and the Grenadines 1 (Friendly) 27/Aug Oman - Kuwait X (Friendly) 27/Aug Jordan - Indonesia 1 (Friendly) 27/Aug Angola - Congo DR 1 (Friendly) 27/Aug

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-90302492253614132642011-08-26T11:19:00.001+02:002011-08-26T11:23:27.944+02:00

Next update: 9 September 2011. Spain in pole position to claim first place in the rankings. Read more about Netherlands chances of remaining on top. Most points dropped (best case scenario): -88 - England -52 - Peru -41 - El Salvador -35 - Syria -26 - Samoa -25 - Netherlands -21 - Gabon and Chad -17 - Germany and Zambia Most points gained (worst case scenario): 106 - Tajikistan 31 - New

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-70050891996109572812011-08-19T12:58:00.000+02:002011-08-19T12:58:43.672+02:00

If Spain win against both Chile and Liechtenstein they will return to the top. If Netherlands win against both San Marino and Finland and Spain tie Chile and defeat Liechtenstein, both teams will be tied for 1st in the FIFA rankings. Assuming Spain win against Liechtenstein and Netherlands against San Marino, then this is how the totals can change: Netherlands (L: 1480, D: 1510, W: 1571) Spain

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com11tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-36373163706224553062011-08-19T12:56:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.904+02:00

AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings. 2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3. Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :) The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29,

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com6tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-32627653569054545292011-08-19T12:50:00.001+02:002011-08-19T12:53:16.063+02:00

I noticed two weeks ago on StatCounter that I received a couple of visits from someone using Federation Internationale De Football Association as Internet provider. See the screen shot from StatCounter. Looking over Google Analytics it seems someone from FIFA made 5 visits in the last month: July 26, August 5, 12 (two visits) and 15. See the screen shot from Google Analytics. It might be the

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-75823848744775893522011-08-12T09:36:00.002+02:002011-08-12T10:06:54.917+02:00

With some help from Italy and the London riots, Netherlands finally claimed the top spot in the FIFA ranking (see the August FIFA ranking final preview). Why did the London riots help the Netherlands? For top teams, friendlies will bring their average points down. Before the cancelation, I wrote: "If Spain lose against Italy and Netherlands defeat England, Netherlands will overtake Spain. If

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com21tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-33171565010490446212011-08-12T09:26:00.002+02:002011-08-17T08:32:54.557+02:00

FIFA will publish the ranking on August 24. Only 5 matches left before the deadline for matches - all friendlies. 14/Aug Liberia - Sierra Leone 16/Aug Fiji - Samoa 17/Aug Oman - Kuwait 17/Aug Barbados - India 18/Aug Fiji - Samoa This is how the totals can change for these 8 teams. Kuwait (L: 333, D: 336, W: 341) Oman (L: 303, D: 307, W: 317) Sierra Leone (L: 302, D: 313, W: 334) Liberia (L:

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-66891699818581069832011-08-12T08:52:00.001+02:002011-10-07T12:17:22.332+02:00

Next update: 9 September 2011 The coefficients for the EURO 2012 final draw will take into account results from: EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting 2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting EURO 2012 (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting Click here for more info on the coefficient system. Hosts Poland (23806) and Ukraine

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-61976227697129998262011-08-12T08:49:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:17:47.025+02:00

Next update: 9 September 2011  The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from: 2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting 2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting Click here for more info on the coefficient system. The qualifying format

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-28378013417364758632011-08-12T08:46:00.000+02:002011-10-07T12:19:29.905+02:00

Next update: 9 September 2011 See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post. This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking: 1 Spain 320 2 Netherlands 319 3 Uruguay 304 4 Germany 277 5 Argentina 240 6 Brazil 227 7 Portugal 218 8 Japan 216 9 Chile 215 10

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-61802509193395381492011-08-05T10:31:00.000+02:002011-08-05T10:31:46.220+02:00

Next update: 12 August 2011. Spain's top position finally in danger. If Spain lose against Italy and Netherlands defeat England, Netherlands will overtake Spain. If Spain manage a draw and Netherlands get the 3 points, they will be tied for 1st place with 1581 points. Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. Probable August 2011 rank -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com36tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-55597792224265731722011-08-05T10:25:00.001+02:002011-08-05T10:32:31.129+02:00

Here are the probable results used for the August 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings. 1 - First team wins X - Draw 2 - Second team wins 07/Aug Comoros - Maldives 2 (Friendly) 07/Aug Seychelles - Mauritius 1 (Friendly) 07/Aug El Salvador - Venezuela 2 (Friendly) 09/Aug Ghana - Nigeria 1 (Friendly) 09/Aug Mauritius - Comoros 1 (Friendly) 09/Aug Seychelles - Maldives

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-1631997616728141521.post-54869137892980083402011-08-05T10:23:00.001+02:002011-08-05T10:29:49.726+02:00

Next update: 12 August 2011. Spain's top position finally in danger. If Spain lose against Italy and Netherlands defeat England, Netherlands will overtake Spain. If Spain manage a draw and Netherlands get the 3 points, they will be tied for 1st place with 1581 points. Most points dropped (best case scenario): -38 - Central African Republic -35 - Tajikistan -29 - Norway -25 - Curacao -23 -

Edgarhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03420252819752301980noreply@blogger.com0