Spain's top position finally in danger. If Spain lose against Italy and Netherlands defeat England, Netherlands will overtake Spain. If Spain manage a draw and Netherlands get the 3 points, they will be tied for 1st place with 1581 points.
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
Probable August 2011 rank - Team - Probable August 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
| 1 | Spain | 1616 | 0 | 28 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1581 | 0 | 39 |
| 3 | Germany | 1330 | 0 | 25 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 1174 | 1 | 18 |
| 5 | Brazil | 1156 | -1 | -46 |
| 6 | England | 1112 | 0 | -34 |
| 7 | Portugal | 1060 | 0 | -16 |
| 8 | Italy | 1055 | 0 | -4 |
| 9 | Argentina | 1017 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Croatia | 1009 | -1 | -24 |
| 11 | Chile | 959 | 0 | -14 |
| 12 | Norway | 943 | 0 | -29 |
| 13 | Russia | 940 | 5 | 26 |
| 14 | Greece | 937 | -1 | -22 |
| 15 | Montenegro | 927 | 2 | 12 |
| 16 | Côte d'Ivoire | 919 | -2 | -3 |
| 17 | France | 918 | -2 | -2 |
| 18 | Japan | 913 | -2 | -5 |
| 19 | Mexico | 864 | 1 | -5 |
| 20 | Sweden | 858 | -1 | -26 |
| 21 | Denmark | 857 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Slovenia | 849 | 0 | 16 |
| 23 | Australia | 834 | 0 | 3 |
| 24 | Turkey | 811 | 0 | -9 |
| 25 | Paraguay | 807 | 1 | 3 |
| 26 | Peru | 806 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | USA | 792 | 3 | 14 |
| 28 | Serbia | 784 | -1 | -13 |
| 29 | Slovakia | 780 | 0 | 1 |
| 30 | Switzerland | 758 | 0 | -20 |
| 31 | Republic of Ireland | 754 | 2 | 2 |
| 32 | Israel | 747 | 0 | -24 |
| 33 | Korea Republic | 741 | -5 | -40 |
| 34 | Ghana | 740 | 2 | 44 |
| 35 | Egypt | 738 | -1 | 3 |
| 36 | Colombia | 730 | -1 | 23 |
| 37 | Belgium | 657 | 0 | -34 |
| 38 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 656 | 3 | 14 |
| 38 | Venezuela | 656 | 2 | 8 |
| 40 | Burkina Faso | 646 | -1 | -15 |
| 41 | Senegal | 641 | 5 | 22 |
| 42 | Czech Republic | 635 | -4 | -35 |
| 43 | Jamaica | 631 | 1 | -1 |
| 44 | Nigeria | 625 | -1 | -10 |
| 45 | Belarus | 617 | -3 | -19 |
| 46 | Ukraine | 615 | -1 | -5 |
| 47 | Hungary | 613 | 0 | 10 |
| 48 | Algeria | 612 | 4 | 37 |
| 49 | Bulgaria | 604 | -1 | 5 |
| 50 | South Africa | 602 | -1 | 5 |
| 51 | Cameroon | 582 | -1 | -13 |
| 52 | Honduras | 567 | -1 | -25 |
| 53 | Romania | 558 | 0 | -13 |
| 54 | Iran | 556 | 0 | -5 |
| 55 | Lithuania | 552 | 3 | 26 |
| 56 | Northern Ireland | 545 | 6 | 47 |
| 57 | Tunisia | 543 | -2 | -10 |
| 58 | Costa Rica | 537 | -2 | 5 |
| 59 | Georgia | 522 | -2 | -8 |
| 60 | Scotland | 518 | 1 | 5 |
| 61 | Panama | 514 | 4 | 27 |
| 62 | Libya | 504 | 1 | 10 |
| 63 | Poland | 498 | 6 | 24 |
| 64 | Albania | 491 | -5 | -33 |
| 65 | Austria | 490 | 1 | 11 |
| 66 | Gabon | 482 | -6 | -35 |
| 67 | Ecuador | 474 | 0 | -4 |
| 68 | Morocco | 472 | -5 | -22 |
| 69 | Guinea | 465 | -1 | -10 |
| 70 | Armenia | 456 | 0 | -6 |
| 71 | China PR | 446 | 2 | 10 |
| 72 | Cape Verde Islands | 444 | 10 | 47 |
| 73 | Malawi | 436 | -1 | -3 |
| 74 | Zambia | 434 | 0 | -1 |
| 75 | Cyprus | 427 | 5 | 29 |
| 76 | Botswana | 424 | -5 | -16 |
| 77 | Uganda | 411 | -1 | -6 |
| 78 | Mali | 408 | -1 | -8 |
| 79 | El Salvador | 404 | -1 | 3 |
| 80 | Latvia | 401 | 3 | 13 |
| 81 | Uzbekistan | 399 | 2 | 11 |
| 82 | Benin | 394 | 4 | 14 |
| 82 | Bolivia | 394 | -2 | -4 |
| 84 | Finland | 390 | -9 | -29 |
| 84 | Zimbabwe | 390 | 2 | 10 |
| 86 | Estonia | 374 | -7 | -25 |
| 87 | Niger | 370 | 11 | 39 |
| 87 | Saudi Arabia | 370 | 5 | 17 |
| 89 | Moldova | 364 | -4 | -19 |
| 90 | Qatar | 355 | 0 | -14 |
| 91 | Angola | 354 | 9 | 25 |
| 92 | Sierra Leone | 348 | 1 | 0 |
| 93 | Jordan | 346 | -2 | -15 |
| 94 | New Zealand | 345 | 0 | 0 |
| 94 | Trinidad and Tobago | 345 | -6 | -34 |
| 96 | Syria | 343 | 8 | 19 |
| 97 | FYR Macedonia | 340 | -1 | 2 |
| 97 | Kuwait | 340 | -2 | 1 |
| 99 | Cuba | 327 | 0 | -3 |
| 99 | Mozambique | 327 | 4 | 0 |
| 101 | Bahrain | 324 | -1 | -5 |
| 102 | Sudan | 322 | -5 | -11 |
| 103 | Canada | 319 | 2 | 5 |
| 104 | Central African Republic | 316 | -15 | -54 |
| 105 | Antigua and Barbuda | 308 | 1 | 0 |
| 106 | Oman | 307 | 1 | 1 |
| 107 | United Arab Emirates | 297 | 2 | -3 |
| 108 | Iraq | 288 | 0 | -15 |
| 109 | Gambia | 287 | -9 | -42 |
| 110 | Suriname | 285 | 0 | -11 |
| 111 | Azerbaijan | 283 | 0 | 1 |
| 112 | Faroe Islands | 273 | 0 | 0 |
| 113 | Guatemala | 261 | 2 | 1 |
| 114 | Guyana | 260 | 0 | -9 |
| 115 | Korea DPR | 254 | 0 | -6 |
| 116 | Wales | 251 | -4 | -22 |
| 117 | Grenada | 250 | 3 | 3 |
| 118 | Liechtenstein | 248 | 0 | -5 |
| 119 | Haiti | 244 | -2 | -12 |
| 119 | Thailand | 244 | 0 | -7 |
| 121 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 239 | 1 | -4 |
| 122 | Iceland | 232 | -1 | -12 |
| 123 | Togo | 231 | 0 | -7 |
| 124 | Congo DR | 230 | -1 | -8 |
| 125 | Tanzania | 228 | 2 | -2 |
| 126 | Liberia | 221 | -1 | -11 |
| 127 | Kazakhstan | 216 | -1 | -15 |
| 128 | Luxembourg | 211 | 0 | -2 |
| 129 | Singapore | 207 | 2 | 8 |
| 129 | Vietnam | 207 | 15 | 44 |
| 131 | Congo | 201 | -2 | -5 |
| 132 | Indonesia | 199 | 5 | 16 |
| 133 | Dominican Republic | 198 | -1 | 0 |
| 133 | Kenya | 198 | -3 | -6 |
| 133 | Yemen | 198 | 2 | 10 |
| 136 | Dominica | 193 | -3 | 0 |
| 137 | Rwanda | 192 | -3 | 2 |
| 138 | Nepal | 191 | -2 | 7 |
| 139 | Bangladesh | 181 | 8 | 33 |
| 140 | Fiji | 180 | 16 | 51 |
| 141 | Turkmenistan | 179 | -3 | 3 |
| 142 | Namibia | 169 | -2 | 1 |
| 143 | Puerto Rico | 167 | -2 | 0 |
| 144 | Ethiopia | 166 | -5 | -4 |
| 145 | Burundi | 164 | -2 | 0 |
| 146 | Barbados | 156 | -1 | 0 |
| 147 | Malaysia | 155 | -1 | 0 |
| 148 | Belize | 146 | 0 | 0 |
| 149 | US Virgin Islands | 144 | 0 | 0 |
| 150 | Bahamas | 141 | 2 | 0 |
| 151 | Madagascar | 140 | -2 | -4 |
| 152 | Equatorial Guinea | 139 | 3 | 8 |
| 153 | Chad | 131 | 5 | 4 |
| 153 | Tajikistan | 131 | -11 | -35 |
| 155 | Guinea-Bissau | 130 | -4 | -12 |
| 155 | Hong Kong | 130 | -1 | -3 |
| 157 | Maldives | 117 | 3 | 2 |
| 158 | Lebanon | 116 | 1 | -3 |
| 159 | Palestine | 115 | 7 | 19 |
| 160 | India | 112 | -7 | -23 |
| 160 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 112 | 1 | 0 |
| 162 | Mongolia | 105 | 1 | 0 |
| 162 | Philippines | 105 | 0 | -3 |
| 162 | Vanuatu | 105 | 7 | 12 |
| 165 | New Caledonia | 104 | -1 | 0 |
| 166 | Curacao | 103 | -9 | -25 |
| 167 | Myanmar | 99 | -2 | 0 |
| 168 | Chinese Taipei | 96 | -2 | 0 |
| 169 | Aruba | 92 | -1 | -3 |
| 170 | Pakistan | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 171 | Cayman Islands | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 171 | Swaziland | 90 | -2 | -3 |
| 173 | Solomon Islands | 86 | 8 | 16 |
| 174 | Sri Lanka | 85 | 2 | 6 |
| 175 | Cambodia | 82 | -1 | 1 |
| 176 | Kyrgyzstan | 79 | 3 | 7 |
| 177 | Malta | 77 | -4 | -6 |
| 178 | Nicaragua | 75 | -1 | 0 |
| 179 | Tahiti | 74 | 3 | 17 |
| 180 | Afghanistan | 70 | -1 | -2 |
| 180 | Laos | 70 | -3 | -5 |
| 182 | Comoros | 63 | -7 | -17 |
| 183 | St. Lucia | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 184 | Seychelles | 51 | 15 | 44 |
| 185 | Lesotho | 41 | -1 | -3 |
| 186 | Bermuda | 40 | -1 | 0 |
| 187 | British Virgin Islands | 38 | -1 | 0 |
| 188 | Mauritius | 33 | 7 | 23 |
| 189 | Eritrea | 29 | -1 | 0 |
| 190 | Mauritania | 27 | -3 | -5 |
| 191 | Samoa | 26 | -2 | 0 |
| 192 | Macau | 25 | -2 | 0 |
| 193 | Somalia | 23 | -2 | 0 |
| 194 | Tonga | 15 | -2 | 0 |
| 195 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 13 | -2 | 0 |
| 196 | Djibouti | 12 | -2 | 0 |
| 197 | Cook Islands | 10 | -2 | 0 |
| 197 | Guam | 10 | -2 | 0 |
| 199 | Brunei Darussalam | 9 | -1 | 0 |
| 200 | Anguilla | 7 | -1 | 0 |
| 201 | Bhutan | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Timor-Leste | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | American Samoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |