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Friday, May 30, 2014

2014 FIFA World Cup simulations

10000 simulations using Elo ratings to generate score lines (more about this on

Top 10 most likely finals:

6.69% - Brazil vs. Spain
5.17% - Argentina vs. Brazil
2.69% - Brazil vs. Germany
2.57% - Germany vs. Spain
2.14% - Brazil vs. Netherlands
2.14% - Brazil vs. Portugal
2.04% - Brazil vs. Uruguay
2.01% - Argentina vs. Germany
1.99% - Brazil vs. England
1.62% - Brazil vs. Italy

Friday, May 23, 2014

2014 World Cup provisional squads statistics

You might remember the 2010 edition. This year I wasn't so sure about doing this, but I've been asked by a secondary school math teacher to provide a helping hand for the statistics module about to start. How could I refuse? :)

Caps, goals, ages are as of 16 May 2014. Same goes for players' clubs - based on FIFA's official list.

346 clubs have in the provisional list ( thank you PDFSplit! and Online OCR).

England are again the most represented league base, with 130 players plying their trade in one of the English leagues. Next are Germany and Italy (both 102), Spain (80) and France (63).

Friday, May 16, 2014

FIFA Ranking: June 2014 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

According to these results, Turkmenistan are expected to defeat Palestine the AFC Challenge Cup and rise 83 spots in the rankings, while Palestine will raise 64 places.

FIFA Ranking: June 2014 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the June 2014 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

FIFA Ranking: June 2014 preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 6 June.

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

59 - New Zealand
52 - Ukraine
32 - Brazil
31 - Wales
22 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
21 - New Caledonia
19 - Burkina Faso
18 - Costa Rica
15 - Congo DR
15 - Central African Republic