Showing posts with label Gold Cup. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gold Cup. Show all posts

Monday, December 23, 2019

Gold Cup 2021 qualification play-offs simulations (December 2019)

The composition of the two qualification rounds, to be played next March and June, for the CONCACAF Gold Cup 2021 was drawn two weeks ago. Both rounds contain four two-legged play-offs.

In the first round the 4 group winners of league C from the CNL 2019 were drawn against the 4 runners-up from the groups in league B. The 4 winners of these first round play-offs are then drawn against the 4 group numbers 3 from the groups in league A.
The 4 winners of the second round join the 12 already qualified teams for the Gold Cup 2021 final tournament.

Friday, July 7, 2017

2017 CONCACAF Gold Cup simulations

The Gold Cup kicks off today.

The usual 10000 simulations.

Friday, July 5, 2013

2013 CONCACAF Gold Cup simulations

The Gold Cup kicks off in two days.

Compared to the April simulations, USA are now favorites to win the tournament.

Last in group:

80.08% - Belize
53.16% - Martinique
37.05% - Trinidad and Tobago
33.5% - Haiti
29.14% - Canada
19.47% - El Salvador
18.19% - Cuba
13.82% - Panama
9.98% - Honduras
3.88% - Mexico
1.52% - Costa Rica
0.21% - USA

Friday, April 12, 2013

2013 CONCACAF Gold Cup simulations (12 April 2013)

Last in group:

Belize - 80.65%
Martinique - 56.3%
Trinidad and Tobago - 36.54%
Haiti - 35.49%
Canada - 29.16%
El Salvador - 19.96%
Cuba - 16.63%
Panama - 11.01%
Honduras - 8.01%
Mexico - 3.53%
Costa Rica - 2.45%
USA - 0.27%

Friday, May 6, 2011

2011 Gold Cup sims

10000 simulations using the Elo Ratings.

There's a 15.50% probability of a final that doesn't involve one of USA and Mexico.USA - Mexico final - 35.35%
USA - Mexico semifinal - 0.71%
USA - Mexico quarterfinal - 5.80%
No USA - Mexico match - 58.14%

Champions:

36.12% - Mexico
34.30% - USA
8.43% - Honduras
6.89% - Costa Rica
5.85% - Jamaica
3.16% - Panama
2.70% - Canada
0.78% - Guadeloupe
0.62% - Cuba
0.62% - El Salvador
0.49% - Guatemala
0.04% - Grenada

Losing finalists:

24.80% - Mexico
24.63% - USA
11.19% - Honduras
10.75% - Costa Rica
9.73% - Jamaica
5.93% - Panama
5.73% - Canada
2.08% - El Salvador
1.86% - Guadeloupe
1.73% - Cuba
1.42% - Guatemala
0.15% - Grenada

Losing semifinalists:

31.51% - Honduras
30.17% - Costa Rica
29.83% - Jamaica
20.67% - USA
19.45% - Mexico
17.74% - Canada
17.03% - Panama
8.39% - Guatemala
8.27% - Cuba
8.10% - El Salvador
7.23% - Guadeloupe
1.61% - Grenada

Losing quarterfinalists:

49.68% - Jamaica
46.13% - Honduras
45.74% - Guatemala
40.74% - Canada
39.92% - Panama
39.41% - Costa Rica
30.19% - Cuba
28.64% - El Salvador
24.20% - Guadeloupe
18.69% - Grenada
18.44% - USA
18.22% - Mexico

Eliminated as worst 3rd place:

17.76% - Cuba
15.53% - Grenada
12.33% - Guatemala
11.92% - Guadeloupe
11.32% - Panama
11.08% - Canada
10.86% - El Salvador
4.81% - Costa Rica
2.06% - Jamaica
1.20% - Honduras
0.62% - USA
0.51% - Mexico

Fourth in group:

63.98% - Grenada
54.01% - Guadeloupe
49.70% - El Salvador
41.43% - Cuba
31.63% - Guatemala
22.64% - Panama
22.01% - Canada
7.97% - Costa Rica
2.85% - Jamaica
1.54% - Honduras
1.34% - USA
0.90% - Mexico

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Friday, March 4, 2011

Gold Cup groups to be announced on March 8

According to the Mexican Football Federation, the Gold Cup groups and fixtures will be announced on March 8th.

The 2011 CONCACAF Gold Cup will take place from 5 July to 25 July in the USA.

12 teams will be participating:

Automatic qualifiers: USA, Mexico and Canada
2010 Caribbean Championship: Jamaica, Guadeloupe, Cuba and Grenada
2011 Copa Centroamericana: Honduras, Costa Rica, Panama, El Salvador and Guatemala

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Wednesday, October 6, 2010

Combined Copa America possible in the future

Last week, Chuck Blazer (CONCACAF general secretary) said that “four or five years ago” there were talks involving potential sponsors about a 10/6 super-tournament, but that idea was rejected at the time.

Still, Blazer didn’t discard the idea for the future. “Other configurations might lend themselves to being possible,” he said. “Economic parameters would need to be met. The Gold Cup is the main source of revenue to support the youth programs and competitions that we do. If we did [a Copa AmĂ©ricas], we would have to see how it would replace what currently exists.”

Full article on Grant Wahl's SI.com blog.

O Globo jumped the gun (or maybe they know more) and announced that the 2015 Copa America could feature 10 teams from CONMEBOL and 6 from CONCACAF.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Thursday, September 18, 2008

UNCAF Nations Cup 2009 suggestion

For those who don't know yet, the UNCAF Nations Cup is a biennial football tournament for the member asssociations of UNCAF (Union Centroamericana de FĂștbol).

There are 7 nations in UNCAF (in alphabetical order): Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama. With 7 teams, they always have a group of four teams and one of three.

In 2007, UNCAF considered inviting national teams from outside Central America to participate. They did start negociations with Mexico and Venezuela, but it did not happen.

If UNCAF still want to have 8 teams in the 2009 edition, let's see who should they invite.

I don't think it's a good idea to have guest teams - sure, they could raise the interest level of the competition, but they have nothing to play for as they won't be fighting to qualify for the 2009 Gold Cup as the seven UNCAF nations.

James Lagrange suggested inviting the Caribbean champion (winners of the 2008 Digicel Football Championships) as it could create some rivalry with the UNCAF nations. However, they would be already qualified when the Nations Cup kicks off in Panama on January 22nd, 2009.

How about inviting the 5th placed team from the 2008 Digicel Football Championships and give them another shot at qualification? It's really up to UNCAF - they could have a more interesting tournament, but at the same time they could risk losing a Gold Cup spot if the Caribbean nation makes it into the top 5.

Since there are two groups of four teams and the top two from each group qualify for the 2009 Gold Cup, there would be a play-off involving the third placed teams. Last time around, it would have been Guyana vs. Martinique. Now you could have Cuba vs. Martinique (looking at the Caribbean ELO Ratings).

Assuming Cuba wins the play-off, you could see these groups in Panama:

Group A: Panama, Guatemala, Cuba, Belize
Group B: Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador, Nicaragua

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.