Showing posts with label UEFA Champions League. Show all posts
Showing posts with label UEFA Champions League. Show all posts

Tuesday, September 30, 2008

European Cups: Changes in coefficient calculation

Andreas Dimatos, the director of Greek sports daily newspaper Goal News, published a very interesting article concerning the changes in coefficient calculation that UEFA will implement from next season (2008-2009).

Bert Kassies has translated the most relevant parts:

UEFA Europa League by Andreas Dimatos

...

Changes in coefficient

1) club coefficient ... from next season not added the 33% of the country coefficient, but it will be reduced to 20%. This will benefit medium strenth clubs (that don’t benefit from the low coefficient from their country, unlike clubs from e.g. Spain) and also the clubs that regularly (annualy) play in Europe and have their own points, in stead of being supported by their country coefficient.

2) the bonus of 3 pts for entering the group phase of the champions league, will be raised to 4 point (thus equalling 2 ‘paper’ wins) and the same bonus will be given to teams qualifying to the round of 16, in stead of just the 1 point that this yielded till this year.

3) the clubs will benefit from their points in the qualifying rounds, while till now these points (reduced to half their value) only went to the country coefficient. The basic rule is that the points they will get will be standard and independent from the match results. This way, for the first Q-round of UEFA cup they will obtain 0.25 pts, for the Q2 0.5 and for Q3 1.000 and for Q4 1.5 and for qualyfying for the group phase 2.0 pts. The same way, in the 1st qualif round of the CL the bonus will be 0.5 pts, Q2 1.0 pts. No points bonus is foreseen for Q3 (as the teams that will not qualify will continue in the last Q round of UEFA cup), also no added bonus for the play offs (as the teams that qualify will get 4 pts for the group phase of CL and those losing will get 2 pts for the UEFA group phase).

Mr. Dimatos has been kind enough to vouch for the validity of his UEFA source although understandably he couldn't tell me their identity. However, he did promise to keep me informed of new developments.

For more scenarios, take a look at the "Changes in calculating club coefficients from 2009" topic.

Bert has already computed the rankings and coefficients applying the new rules. Here are some of his posts:

Date: 26-09-2008, 21:09

Coefficients and rankings 2009 calculated with the new method (retroactive). Assuming table of MTC except bonus points for winning the final (not sure and my program needs more adaptation).

Country Ranking 2009
Country Coefficients 2009
Team Ranking 2009
Team Coefficients 2009

Date: 27-09-2008, 13:00

Coeffcients when applying ALL changes retroactively:

Country Ranking 2009
Country Coefficients 2009
Country Coefficients 2008
Country Coefficients 2007
Country Coefficients 2006
Country Coefficients 2005

Team Ranking 2009
Team Coefficients 2009
Team Coefficients 2008
Team Coefficients 2007
Team Coefficients 2006
Team Coefficients 2005

Date: 27-09-2008, 19:26

And then finally the most probable Team Ranking that will be used for seeding next season. I think that only the new 20% country contribution will be used retroactive, so only the Team Ranking 2009 will be changed. The Country Ranking 2009 will not change. I assume that the new bonuspoints and points for qualifying will not be used retroactive, and thus the rankings for 2009/10 will be the first to use the new calculation method.

Team Ranking 2009 with of 20% country contribution.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Tuesday, May 27, 2008

Country ranking prediction 2008/2009 (27 May 2008)

Fixed: added group stage points for all the countries. Thanks Ricardo! I hope it's ok now. :)

_____________

References:

Country ranking 2007/2008 prediction by Ricardo.
2008 Qualification from Bert Kassies.
2008 Seeding CL from Bert Kassies.
2008 Seeding UC from Bert Kassies.

The seeded teams always qualify for the next stage.
In KO matches, the seeded team gets 4 points (i.e. a win and a draw).
In group play, I used the coefficient points averages from the last four seasons (for the UEFA Cup) or only from the last season (for the UEFA Champions League).

Columns: Rank 08/09, Rank 07/08, Country, Coef0408, Coef0809, Coef0409

1 1 England 64.499 15.337 79.836
2 2 Spain 60.954 15.641 76.595
3 3 Italy 51.535 13.656 65.191
4 5 Germany 44.008 9.523 53.531
5 4 France 39.168 9.638 48.806
6 6 Russia 37.875 9.672 47.547
7 7 Romania 36.266 5.804 42.070
8 9 Netherlands 32.797 6.734 39.531
9 8 Portugal 29.677 8.478 38.155
10 10 Scotland 26.000 7.300 33.300
11 11 Turkey 25.225 6.680 31.905
12 12 Ukraine 25.225 6.414 31.639
13 14 Greece 21.665 6.850 28.515
14 13 Belgium 20.825 5.430 26.255
15 16 Switzerland 22.350 3.200 25.550
16 15 Czech Republic 18.375 4.531 22.906
17 17 Bulgaria 19.000 3.375 22.375
18 20 Austria 15.575 4.667 20.242
19 18 Norway 16.300 3.931 20.231
20 19 Denmark 16.250 3.638 19.888
21 21 Serbia 12.250 3.172 15.422
22 22 Israel 13.500 1.750 15.250
23 23 Sweden 12.191 2.000 14.191
24 24 Slovakia 9.832 2.833 12.665
25 27 Croatia 7.999 2.833 10.832
26 28 Cyprus 8.749 2.000 10.749
27 25 Poland 7.916 2.333 10.249
28 31 Latvia 7.998 2.000 9.998
29 30 Finland 7.957 2.000 9.957
30 29 Slovenia 7.749 2.000 9.749
31 26 Hungary 7.166 2.167 9.333
32 33 Lithuania 7.166 1.500 8.666
33 34 Moldova 5.999 2.000 7.999
34 35 Ireland 6.999 1.000 7.999
35 32 Bosnia-Herzegovina 6.832 1.000 7.832
36 37 Iceland 5.499 1.500 6.999
37 38 Georgia 5.498 1.000 6.498
38 39 Liechtenstein 5.500 0.500 6.000
39 36 Macedonia 4.665 1.000 5.665
40 40 Belarus 4.666 0.500 5.166
41 41 Estonia 3.999 0.500 4.499
42 42 Azerbaijan 3.832 0.500 4.332
43 43 Albania 3.333 0.500 3.833
44 44 Armenia 2.999 0.500 3.499
45 45 Kazakhstan 2.416 0.500 2.916
46 47 Wales 1.998 0.500 2.498
47 46 Northern Ireland 1.832 0.500 2.332
48 48 Faroe Islands 1.832 0.500 2.332
49 49 Luxembourg 1.332 0.500 1.832
50 51 Andorra 0.500 0.500 1.000
51 52 Montenegro 0.500 0.500 1.000
52 50 Malta 0.499 0.500 0.999
53 53 San Marino 0.250 0.500 0.750

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Monday, September 17, 2007

Planul lui Platini pentru Liga Campionilor

Presedintele UEFA, Michel Platini, a propus un nou format pentru Cupele Europene -> Format proposals on agenda. Aceste schimbari ar urma sa fie aplicate incepand cu sezonul 2009/2010.

Pentru mai multe informatii, cititi si acest subiect de pe forumul lui Bert Kassies.

Pentru inceput, iata cum ar arata Liga Campionilor

Cititi si: Planul lui Platini pentru Cupa UEFA.

Calificari pentru echipele campioane

Primul tur preliminar

32 de campioane din tarile aflate pe locul 21 sau mai jos

Al doilea tur preliminar

16 echipe din primul tur + 8 campioane din tarile 13 - 20

Al treilea tur preliminar

12 echipe din al doilea tur -> 6 echipe in grupele Ligii Campionilor

Calificari pentru castigatoarele cupelor

Primul tur preliminar

16 castigatoare ale cupelor din tarile 1 - 16

Al doilea tur preliminar

8 echipe din primul tur -> 4 echipe in grupele Ligii Campionilor

Grupele

Detinatoarea trofeului
12 campioane din tarile 1 - 12
6 echipe plasate pe locul al doilea in tarile 1 - 6
3 echipe plasate pe locul al treilea in tarile 1 - 3

Cum ar fi aratat Liga Campionilor daca aceste schimbari ar fi fost implementate incepand cu acest sezon?

Calificari pentru echipele campioane

Primul tur preliminar

Urna 1 (capi de serie):

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Dinamo Zagreb

Croatia

17.533

DVSC Debrecen

Ungaria

11.675

APOEL Nicosia

Cipru

6.492

Zaglebie Lubin

Polonia

5.609

NK Domzale

Slovenia

5.272

IF Elfsborg

Suedia

4.478

FK Sarajevo

Bosnia-Hertegovina

4.190

FK Ventspils

Letonia

3.860

MSK Zilina

Slovacia

3.575

Derry City

Irlanda

3.145

FH Hafnarfjardar

Islanda

2.650

FBK Kaunas

Lituania

2.420

Tampere United

Finlanda

2.420

Sheriff Tiraspol

Moldova

2.365

Olimpi Rustavi

Georgia

2.035


Urna 2:


Echipa

Tara

Coef

Pobeda Prilep

Macedonia

1.925

BATE Borisov

Belarus

1.540

SK Tirana

Albania

1.265

Levadia Tallinn

Estonia

1.210

Pyunik Yerevan

Armenia

1.155

Khazar Lenkoran

Azerbaidjan

1.045

FK Astana

Kazahstan

0.770

Linfield Belfast

Irlanda de Nord

0.715

The New Saints

Tara Galilor

0.660

HB Torshavn

Insulele Feroe

0.550

F91 Dudelange

Luxemburg

0.550

Marsaxlokk

Malta

0.550

Ràngers FC

Andorra

0.000

Murata

San Marino

0.000

Zeta Golubovci

Muntenegru

0.000


Al doilea tur preliminar

Urna 1 (capi de serie):

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Olympiakos Piraeus

Grecia

42.415

Levski Sofia

Bulgaria

38.112

Fenerbahçe

Turcia

36.791

Rosenborg BK

Norvegia

31.509

Red Star Belgrade

Serbia

19.256

FC København

Danemarca

19.129

Dinamo Zagreb

Croatia

17.533

DVSC Debrecen

Ungaria

11.675

FC Zürich

Elvetia

9.869

FC Salzburg

Austria

9.104

APOEL Nicosia

Cipru

6.492

Beitar Jerusalem

Israel

6.338


Urna 2:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Zaglebie Lubin

Polonia

5.609

NK Domzale

Slovenia

5.272

IF Elfsborg

Suedia

4.478

FK Sarajevo

Bosnia-Hertegovina

4.190

FK Ventspils

Letonia

3.860

MSK Zilina

Slovacia

3.575

Derry City

Irlanda

3.145

FH Hafnarfjardar

Islanda

2.650

FBK Kaunas

Lituania

2.420

Tampere United

Finlanda

2.420

Sheriff Tiraspol

Moldova

2.365

Olimpi Rustavi

Georgia

2.035


Al treilea tur preliminar

Urna 1 (capi de serie):

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Olympiakos Piraeus

Grecia

42.415

Levski Sofia

Bulgaria

38.112

Fenerbahçe

Turcia

36.791

Rosenborg BK

Norvegia

31.509

Red Star Belgrade

Serbia

19.256

FC København

Danemarca

19.129


Urna 2:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Dinamo Zagreb

Croatia

17.533

DVSC Debrecen

Ungaria

11.675

FC Zürich

Elvetia

9.869

FC Salzburg

Austria

9.104

APOEL Nicosia

Cipru

6.492

Beitar Jerusalem

Israel

6.338


Calificari pentru castigatoarele cupei

Primul tur preliminar

Urna 1 (capi de serie):

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Arsenal

Anglia

104.618

Valencia

Spania

99.374

Benfica

Portugalia

67.107

Ajax

Olanda

65.995

Lazio Roma

Italia

51.808

Glasgow Rangers

Scotia

47.064

Club Brugge

Belgia

45.594

Shakhtar Donetsk

Ucraina

44.726


Urna 2:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Besiktas

Turcia

43.791

Rapid Bucuresti

Romania

40.255

Lokomotiv Moscow

Rusia

38.920

FC Sochaux-Montbéliard

Franta

36.706

Slavia Praha

Cehia

32.851

CSKA Sofia

Bulgaria

20.112

1.FC Nürnberg

Germania

14.640

AE Larissa

Grecia

8.415


Al doilea tur preliminar

Urna 1 (capi de serie):

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Arsenal

Anglia

104.618

Valencia

Spania

99.374

Benfica

Portugalia

67.107

Ajax

Olanda

65.995


Urna 2:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Lazio Roma

Italia

51.808

Glasgow Rangers

Scotia

47.064

Club Brugge

Belgia

45.594

Shakhtar Donetsk

Ucraina

44.726


Grupele Ligii Campionilor

Urna 1:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

AC Milan

Italia

133.808

FC Barcelona

Spania

119.374

Liverpool

Anglia

112.618

Internazionale

Italia

107.808

Arsenal

Anglia

104.618

Real Madrid

Spania

104.374

Manchester United

Anglia

99.618

Chelsea

Anglia

99.618


Urna 2:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Valencia

Spania

99.374

Olympique Lyon

Franta

95.706

FC Porto

Portugalia

89.107

Sevilla

Spania

87.374

PSV Eindhoven

Olanda

81.995

AS Roma

Italia

78.808

Benfica

Portugalia

67.107

Ajax

Olanda

65.995


Urna 3:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Celtic

Scotia

62.064

Schalke 04

Germania

60.640

VfB Stuttgart

Germania

58.640

CSKA Moscow

Rusia

53.920

Sporting CP Lisbon

Portugalia

52.107

Olympique Marseille

Franta

51.706

Olympiakos Piraeus

Grecia

42.415

Anderlecht

Belgia

41.594


Urna 4:

Echipa

Tara

Coef

Dinamo Kiev

Ucraina

38.726

Levski Sofia

Bulgaria

38.112

Sparta Praha

Cehia

37.851

Fenerbahçe

Turcia

36.791

Dinamo Bucuresti

Romania

34.255

Rosenborg BK

Norvegia

31.509

Red Star Belgrade

Serbia

19.256

FC København

Danemarca

19.129


About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.