2017 Confederation Cup simulations

By request.

The usual 10000 simulations.

First the average points in the group stage.

2013 FIFA Confederations Cup simulations (14 June 2013)

The simulation algorithm is explained in the first Road to Brazil post.

Fourth in group:

Tahiti - 88.46%
Japan - 44.86%
Mexico - 29.32%
Italy - 22.11%
Nigeria - 8.3%
Brazil - 3.71%
Uruguay - 3.12%
Spain - 0.12%

2013 FIFA Confederations Cup simulations (12 April 2013)

Fourth in group:

Tahiti - 87.71%
Japan - 43.49%
Mexico - 30.11%
Italy - 22.57%
Nigeria - 8.02%
Uruguay - 4.08%
Brazil - 3.83%
Spain - 0.19%