Latest updates

Check the Important info page for latest updates! (28 August 2015)

Friday, August 28, 2015

FIFA Ranking: September 2015 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 3 September.

Top 69 already set.

8 matches left, all friendlies (deadline for matches being Sunday).

Friday, August 7, 2015

FIFA Ranking: September 2015 preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 3 September.

God willing, I will post the final preview on 28 August.

12 matches left. All friendlies. Of course, that's based on FIFA's World Match Center - and it has a couple of bugs. For instance, the Libya - Morocco August CHAN qualifier is missing.

Friday, July 31, 2015

FIFA Ranking: August 2015 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 6 August.

5 matches left - all friendlies.

This is how the points and ranks could change for these 9 teams:

2018 FWCQ draw: Europe's winners and losers

I was curious to see the impact of the draw on teams' qualification chances.

As usual with competition/pot sims, I used ClubElo's expected goals formula.

So I ran 10000 simulations doing first the draw, then adding the fixtures and another 10000 simulations with the actual groups and fixtures.

Friday, July 24, 2015

EURO 2016 qualifying simulations (24 July 2015)

Finally found the time to for this.

As usual with competition/pot sims, I used ClubElo's expected goals formula. Games up to and including 23 July 2015.


Best 3rd most like to come out of group:

AFC member association ranking update (24 July 2015)

After the Round of 16 in the AFC Champions League and AFC Cup.

No association has dropped out of the top 24 - those are the associations eligible to receive direct slots in the AFC Champions League.

More info about the AFC MA ranking.

Friday, July 17, 2015

FIFA Ranking: August 2015 preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 6 August.

I will most likely post the final preview on 31 July, if I'm not on vacation. That's a big if.

13 matches left: the 8 final matches of the 2015 CONCACAF Gold Cup and a couple of friendlies (actually Indian Ocean Islands Games and East Asian Cup matches).