FIFA ranking: October 2019 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking next Thursday October 24th.

This coming weekend the final 15 qualifiers for the African Nations Championship 2020 will be played. These matches will count for the October ranking.

I've assumed that of all NT-matches with two FIFA-members in it and played between September 16th and today the following friendlies will be excluded:
2019-09-18 Congo DR - Rwanda 2:3 (in Congo DR)
2019-09-29 Bangladesh - Bhutan 4:1 (in Bangladesh)
2019-10-02 Dominican Republic - Cuba 0:0 (in the Dominican Republic)
2019-10-10 Niger - Zambia 1:1 (in Niger)
2019-10-13 Niger - Central African Republic 0:2 (in Niger)

In total 191 matches will count for this ranking.

FIFA ranking: October 2019 preview results

Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA October 2019 ranking with FIFA's Expected Home Win Probability (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) or loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method.

FIFA ranking: October 2019 preview

Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the October 2019 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on October 24th.

Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a small piece of software which calculates per match the minimum and maximum possible points for each participating team, given the minimum and maximum starting values of both teams before the match.

FIFA ranking: October 2019 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including October 20th, used to calculate the October 2019 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. 
Also the already played matches since September 16th, (probably) counting for the October ranking, are presented.

FIFA ranking: October 2019 probable ranking

Autumn, NT-football at it's best with each month a FIFA international match window and lots of important, possibly decisive qualifiers. Besides the (preparatory) friendlies and the final qualifier legs in the African Nations Championship 2020 mostly World Cup qualifiers in Asia (MD 3 and 4), preliminary qualifiers for AFCON 2021 in Africa, MD 3 and 4 in the CONCACAF Nations League 2020 and MD 7 and 8 of the EURO 2020 qualifiers.

Here is the probable October 2019 ranking, to be published on October 24th.

CONCACAF Nations League 2020 simulations (September 2019)

The first two matchdays for the CONCACAF Nations League 2020 were played last week. 

The day before the first matches would be played CONCACAF announced that this tournament will also serve as qualification for the Gold Cup 2021. But hey, you don't hear me complaining, at least they announced it :)

AFC qualification World Cup 2022 simulations (September 2019)

The first two match days of the second round in Asian qualification for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar were played last week. 
See here for more information about the format of the Asian qualifiers, which is somewhat complicated as it partly doubles as qualification for the Asian Cup 2023, and simulation results before this round started.