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Monday, January 31, 2011

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CONCACAF teams (31 January 2011)

Next update: 11 February 2011

As usual with CONCACAF things are constantly changing. The draw won't take place on May 31st as some some papers in Central America have reported, but on July 31st. Which ranking will be used to seed the teams? Well... I don't know.

Here's the intermediate July 2011 ranking - it means the 2007 Gold Cup results are dropped, while the 2009 Gold Cup loses value. Of course, teams involved in the 2011 Gold Cup can climb depending on their performance.

 1 Honduras                        546
2 USA 530
3 Jamaica 483
4 Mexico 448
5 Costa Rica 414
6 Cuba 402
7 Trinidad and Tobago 379
8 Panama 375
--------------------------------------
9 Antigua and Barbuda 324
10 Suriname 296
11 Guyana 282
12 Grenada 272
13 El Salvador 271
14 Haiti 256
15 St. Kitts and Nevis 217
16 Canada 207
--------------------------------------
17 Dominica 193
18 Barbados 191
19 Guatemala 176
20 Puerto Rico 167
21 Netherlands Antilles 128
22 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 115
23 Cayman Islands 90
24 Dominican Republic 66
--------------------------------------
24 Nicaragua 66
26 Belize 64
27 Bermuda 40
28 British Virgin Islands 38
29 St. Lucia 31
30 Turks and Caicos Islands 13
31 Bahamas 9
32 Aruba 7
--------------------------------------
33 US Virgin Islands 3
34 Anguilla 0
34 Montserrat 0


The May 2011 ranking. The pots remain unchanged.

 1  1 USA                            818
2 2 Mexico 731
3 5 Honduras 621
4 3 Jamaica 596
5 6 Costa Rica 525
6 4 Cuba 510
7 7 Panama 487
8 7 Canada 391
----------------------------------------
9 15 El Salvador 355
10 9 Grenada 354
11 10 Trinidad and Tobago 353
12 11 Haiti 348
13 12 Antigua and Barbuda 322
14 13 Guyana 284
15 14 Suriname 267
16 16 St. Kitts and Nevis 219
----------------------------------------
17 17 Guatemala 212
18 18 Dominica 193
19 19 Puerto Rico 180
19 19 Barbados 180
21 21 Netherlands Antilles 121
22 22 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 116
23 23 Cayman Islands 90
24 24 Bermuda 80
----------------------------------------
25 26 Nicaragua 75
26 27 Belize 66
26 25 Dominican Republic 66
28 28 British Virgin Islands 38
29 29 St. Lucia 31
30 30 Turks and Caicos Islands 13
31 31 Bahamas 8
32 32 Aruba 7
----------------------------------------
33 33 US Virgin Islands 3
34 34 Anguilla 0
34 34 Montserrat 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Friday, January 28, 2011

FIFA Ranking: February 2011 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on February 2nd.

Only two matches left - the final (Australia - Japan) and third place match (Uzbekistan - Korea Republic) of the 2011 AFC Asian Cup.

This is how the totals could change for these four teams.

Australia (Loss: 848, PSO loss: 871, PSO win: 894, Win: 917)
Japan (Loss: 824, PSO loss: 843, PSO win: 862, Win: 882)
Korea Republic (Loss: 703, PSO loss: 714, PSO win: 725, Win: 735)
Uzbekistan (Loss: 424, PSO loss: 453, PSO win: 482, Win: 512)

Australia could climb to 16th.
Japan could climb to 17th.
Korea Republic could climb to 32nd.
Uzbekistan could climb to 64th.

In the table below, the values displayed for these four teams are the lowest possible.

Australia will keep their status as AFC first team if they avoid a straight loss (in regular or extra time).

Egypt drop out of the top 10, replaced by Greece.

Best movers:

31 - Uzbekistan
23 - Jordan
21 - Iran and Costa Rica

Uzbekistan could climb higher if they avoid losing against Korea Republic.

Worst movers:

-22 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Zambia

Egypt could drop lower if Korea Republic don't lose against Uzbekistan.

Best climbers in the top 50:

21 - Iran and Costa Rica
17 - Honduras
6 - Australia and Korea Republic

Australia and Korea Republic could climb higher if they avoid losing their matches.

-22 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-19 - Algeria

Three teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Montenegro (24th - 25th in December 2010)
Belarus (36th - 37th in January 2011)
Hungary (37th - 41st in January 2011)

Montenegro will improve their ranking only if Japan lose against Australia.

Dominica will return to their best ever ranking - 128th - first achieved in November 2010.

Six teams will have their worst ever ranking:

Romania (57th - 56th in December 2010)
Saudi Arabia (82nd - 81st in July 2006)
Zambia (101st - 96th in October 2009)
Wales (116th - 113th in September 2000)
Singapore (142nd - 140th in October 2007)
Lebanon (172nd - 168th in January 2011)

Saudi Arabia drop out of the AFC top 5 (they are now 7th), replaced by China PR.

Egypt replaced by Ghana as top African team. Côte d'Ivoire up to 2nd. Algeria drop out of the top 5 (they are now 10th), replaced by Burkina Faso.

Costa Rica return to the CONCACAF top 5, with Cuba dropping out. Jamaica fall from 4th to 5th.

February 2011 rank - Team - February 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1887 0 0
2 Netherlands 1723 0 0
3 Germany 1485 0 0
4 Brazil 1446 0 0
5 Argentina 1367 0 29
6 England 1195 0 0
7 Uruguay 1152 0 0
8 Portugal 1090 0 0
9 Croatia 1075 0 0
10 Greece 1016 1 0
11 Norway 995 1 0
12 Russia 982 1 0
13 Italy 965 1 0
14 Chile 947 1 -3
15 Ghana 940 1 16
16 Slovenia 897 1 0
17 USA 869 1 2
18 France 867 0 0
19 Slovakia 854 1 0
20 Australia 848 6 52
21 Switzerland 841 1 0
22 Serbia 837 1 0
23 Paraguay 832 1 0
24 Japan 824 5 48
24 Montenegro 824 1 0
26 Côte d'Ivoire 813 -5 -32
27 Mexico 803 0 8
28 Denmark 802 0 12
29 Sweden 759 4 47
30 Czech Republic 751 0 0
31 Turkey 741 0 0
32 Egypt 712 -22 -324
33 Korea Republic 703 6 54
34 Ukraine 702 0 0
35 Republic of Ireland 681 0 0
36 Belarus 655 1 -5
37 Hungary 632 4 0
38 Northern Ireland 615 5 0
39 Honduras 613 17 82
40 Nigeria 604 -8 -126
41 Burkina Faso 598 1 -21
42 Bosnia-Herzegovina 583 3 1
43 Cameroon 582 -5 -68
44 Iran 570 21 79
45 Austria 569 1 0
46 Guinea 564 0 -5
47 South Africa 562 4 12
48 Costa Rica 560 21 93
48 Tunisia 560 -4 -32
50 Colombia 558 -2 0
51 Bulgaria 555 -2 0
52 Israel 551 -2 0
53 Scotland 542 -1 0
54 Ecuador 537 -2 -5
55 Algeria 532 -19 -146
55 Lithuania 532 0 0
57 Romania 531 -1 0
58 Belgium 526 0 0
59 Jamaica 525 0 3
60 Panama 518 7 43
61 Gabon 516 -21 -124
62 Armenia 514 -2 -1
63 Venezuela 513 -3 -2
64 New Zealand 506 -1 0
65 Cuba 498 -3 -14
66 Albania 497 -2 0
67 Botswana 496 -13 -39
68 Peru 486 -2 0
69 Senegal 459 1 -6
70 Libya 451 1 0
71 Georgia 449 1 0
71 Poland 449 1 0
73 Cape Verde Islands 444 2 0
74 Morocco 443 3 6
75 China PR 431 4 12
76 Latvia 429 0 -11
77 Uzbekistan 424 31 139
78 Finland 422 1 3
79 FYR Macedonia 418 2 0
80 Canada 414 4 3
81 Moldova 411 3 0
82 Saudi Arabia 410 -4 -13
83 Benin 403 -11 -46
84 Jordan 399 23 113
84 Mali 399 -16 -75
86 Uganda 394 -3 -22
87 Estonia 386 -1 0
88 Iraq 381 10 47
89 Malawi 371 2 16
90 Qatar 368 15 78
91 Cyprus 367 -2 0
92 Grenada 358 2 9
93 Bahrain 355 0 4
94 Mozambique 351 -2 -2
94 Trinidad and Tobago 351 -7 -22
96 Haiti 349 -6 -9
96 Niger 349 -2 0
98 El Salvador 347 18 96
99 Azerbaijan 344 -2 1
99 Bolivia 344 -3 0
101 Kuwait 330 -2 2
101 Zambia 330 -20 -88
103 Togo 313 -2 0
104 Antigua and Barbuda 303 -1 4
105 Syria 302 5 25
106 Sudan 301 -6 -13
107 Angola 297 -19 -71
108 Gambia 290 -3 0
109 Korea DPR 288 0 5
110 Oman 281 -6 -16
111 United Arab Emirates 278 -9 -26
112 Guyana 273 -1 -2
113 Zimbabwe 264 5 18
114 Central African Republic 263 -2 0
114 Iceland 263 -1 2
116 Wales 261 -3 0
117 Suriname 257 -2 0
118 St. Kitts and Nevis 242 3 0
119 Congo 239 3 0
120 Thailand 237 -1 -7
121 Congo DR 234 7 23
122 Sierra Leone 233 1 0
123 Tanzania 232 -3 -11
124 Ethiopia 231 0 0
125 Yemen 230 2 8
126 Guatemala 220 -9 -27
127 Kenya 208 -2 -17
128 Dominica 196 1 0
129 Indonesia 192 -3 -32
130 Puerto Rico 187 1 3
131 Luxembourg 185 1 5
132 Barbados 183 -2 -4
133 Turkmenistan 182 0 9
134 Vietnam 172 2 5
135 Faroe Islands 171 -1 0
135 Rwanda 171 -1 0
137 Kazakhstan 161 0 0
138 Namibia 157 0 1
139 Chad 147 1 0
140 Malaysia 145 2 0
141 Tajikistan 141 2 0
142 Singapore 139 -3 -12
143 Hong Kong 138 3 10
144 Burundi 134 -4 -13
145 India 126 -1 -6
146 Guinea-Bissau 121 1 0
147 Liechtenstein 116 1 0
148 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 110 -4 -22
149 Myanmar 108 0 -1
150 Netherlands Antilles 107 0 0
151 Fiji 103 0 0
152 Philippines 101 1 4
153 New Caledonia 97 2 8
154 Chinese Taipei 93 -2 -9
155 Madagascar 91 -1 0
156 Cayman Islands 88 0 0
157 Bangladesh 84 1 0
158 Liberia 82 1 0
158 Swaziland 82 1 0
160 Maldives 81 1 0
161 Nicaragua 79 -4 -7
161 Sri Lanka 79 1 0
163 Malta 76 0 0
163 Vanuatu 76 3 9
165 Equatorial Guinea 72 -1 0
166 Cambodia 68 -1 0
167 Bermuda 67 5 12
168 Dominican Republic 66 -1 0
169 Belize 64 4 10
169 Laos 64 -1 0
171 Lesotho 62 -1 0
172 Lebanon 61 -4 -3
173 Pakistan 56 -2 0
174 Nepal 54 -1 0
175 Kyrgyzstan 50 0 0
176 Mauritania 49 0 0
177 British Virgin Islands 41 0 0
178 Eritrea 40 0 0
178 Palestine 40 0 0
178 Solomon Islands 40 0 0
181 St. Lucia 37 0 0
182 Mongolia 32 0 0
183 Tahiti 31 0 0
184 Samoa 26 0 0
185 Somalia 23 0 0
186 Comoros 19 0 0
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 0 0
188 Cook Islands 17 0 0
188 Guam 17 0 0
188 Tonga 17 0 0
191 Mauritius 16 0 0
192 Djibouti 15 0 0
193 Macau 14 0 0
194 Bahamas 13 0 0
195 Afghanistan 10 0 0
195 Seychelles 10 0 0
197 Bhutan 9 0 0
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 0 0
199 Aruba 7 0 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
201 Timor-Leste 3 0 0
202 Andorra 2 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

2014 FIFA World Cup performance based seeding for AFC

I forgot about the AFC performance based seeding - well, not a big issue, since only the first four teams change order. Thanks Mani for pointing this out!

The format of the qualifiers remains the same like 2010 FIFA World Cup Asian qualifiers. More info in this AFC press release (August 13th, 2010).

The first two rounds will be using a home and away KO format. Round 1 will be played on June 29th and July 3rd, while Round 2 will be played on July 23rd and 28th. Thus, there must a draw in June.

Bassil at Football Palestine mentions Palestine being 36th in the seeding list. He has one mistake in his seeding list - Thailand (1 point, -9 GD) should be above Turkmenistan (1 point, -11 GD). If that's the only mistake, then only 43 teams will participate in the qualifiers and one of Kyrgyzstan, Maldives, India, Malaysia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Cambodia, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Vietnam and Mongolia won't be in the draw, since I have Palestine 37th.

There could actually be a group with Japan, Australia, Saudi Arabia, Iran and Uzbekistan, while the other group would feature the two Koreas, Bahrain, Qatar and United Arab Emirates.

 1 Japan
2 Korea Republic
3 Australia
4 Korea DPR
5 Bahrain
6 Saudi Arabia
7 Iran
8 Qatar
9 Uzbekistan
10 United Arab Emirates
11 Syria
12 Oman
13 Jordan
14 Iraq
15 China PR
16 Singapore
17 Kuwait
18 Thailand
19 Turkmenistan
20 Lebanon
21 Yemen
22 Tajikistan
23 Hong Kong
24 Indonesia
25 Kyrgyzstan
26 Maldives
27 India
28 Malaysia
29 Bangladesh
30 Pakistan
31 Afghanistan
31 Cambodia
33 Nepal
34 Sri Lanka
34 Vietnam
36 Mongolia
37 Palestine
38 Timor-Leste
39 Macau
40 Chinese Taipei
40 Myanmar
42 Bhutan
42 Brunei Darussalam
42 Guam
42 Laos
42 Philippines

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Friday, January 21, 2011

Problems with Football-Rankings.info access from Turkey

Football-Rankings.info is can't be accessed from Turkey. Thanks erdinc for the info. This is apparently because of an IP ban of specific Google custom domain hosting servers - a ban mandated by the Turkish government. More info here and on Google Support.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: February 2011 probable ranking (II)

Next update: January 28st, 2011.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Top 13 is already set. Greece replace Egypt in the top 10.

Based on these probable results...

Best movers:

28 - Jordan
25 - Uzbekistan
24 - Iran and Costa Rica

Worst movers:

-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria

Best movers in the top 50:

24 - Iran and Costa Rica
17 - Panama
13 - Honduras

Worst movers in the top 50:

-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria

Belarus and Hungary will improve their best ever ranking.
Panama and Dominica will return to their best ever ranking.
Romania, Saudi Arabia, Zambia, Wales, Singapore and Lebanon will have their worst ever ranking.

Probable February 2011 rank - Team - Probable February 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1887 0 0
2 Netherlands 1723 0 0
3 Germany 1485 0 0
4 Brazil 1446 0 0
5 Argentina 1367 0 29
6 England 1195 0 0
7 Uruguay 1152 0 0
8 Portugal 1090 0 0
9 Croatia 1075 0 0
10 Greece 1016 1 0
11 Norway 995 1 0
12 Russia 982 1 0
13 Italy 965 1 0
14 Chile 947 1 -3
15 Ghana 940 1 16
16 Slovenia 897 1 0
17 Australia 871 9 75
18 USA 869 0 2
19 France 867 -1 0
20 Japan 862 9 86
21 Slovakia 854 -1 0
22 Switzerland 841 0 0
23 Serbia 837 0 0
24 Paraguay 832 0 0
25 Montenegro 824 0 0
26 Côte d'Ivoire 813 -5 -32
27 Mexico 803 0 8
28 Denmark 802 0 12
29 Sweden 759 4 47
30 Czech Republic 751 0 0
31 Turkey 741 0 0
32 Korea Republic 720 7 71
33 Egypt 712 -23 -324
34 Ukraine 702 0 0
35 Republic of Ireland 681 0 0
36 Belarus 655 1 -5
37 Hungary 632 4 0
38 Northern Ireland 615 5 0
39 Nigeria 604 -7 -126
40 Burkina Faso 598 2 -21
41 Iran 597 24 106
42 Bosnia-Herzegovina 583 3 1
43 Cameroon 582 -5 -68
43 Honduras 582 13 51
45 Costa Rica 580 24 113
46 Austria 569 0 0
47 Guinea 564 -1 -5
48 South Africa 562 3 12
49 Tunisia 560 -5 -32
50 Colombia 558 -2 0
50 Panama 558 17 83
52 Bulgaria 555 -3 0
53 Israel 551 -3 0
54 Scotland 542 -2 0
55 Ecuador 537 -3 -5
56 Algeria 532 -20 -146
56 Lithuania 532 -1 0
58 Romania 531 -2 0
59 Belgium 526 -1 0
60 Jamaica 525 -1 3
61 Gabon 516 -21 -124
62 Armenia 514 -2 -1
63 Venezuela 513 -3 -2
64 New Zealand 506 -1 0
65 Cuba 498 -3 -14
66 Albania 497 -2 0
67 Botswana 496 -13 -39
68 Peru 486 -2 0
69 Senegal 459 1 -6
70 Libya 451 1 0
71 Georgia 449 1 0
71 Poland 449 1 0
73 Cape Verde Islands 444 2 0
74 Morocco 443 3 6
75 China PR 431 4 12
76 Latvia 429 0 -11
77 Finland 422 2 3
78 FYR Macedonia 418 3 0
79 Jordan 417 28 131
80 Canada 414 4 3
81 Moldova 411 3 0
82 Saudi Arabia 410 -4 -13
83 Uzbekistan 407 25 122
84 Benin 403 -12 -46
85 Mali 399 -17 -75
86 Uganda 394 -3 -22
87 Estonia 386 -1 0
88 Iraq 381 10 47
89 Malawi 371 2 16
90 Qatar 368 15 78
91 Cyprus 367 -2 0
92 Grenada 358 2 9
93 Bahrain 355 0 4
94 Mozambique 351 -2 -2
94 Trinidad and Tobago 351 -7 -22
96 Haiti 349 -6 -9
96 Niger 349 -2 0
98 Azerbaijan 344 -1 1
98 Bolivia 344 -2 0
100 Kuwait 330 -1 2
100 Zambia 330 -19 -88
102 El Salvador 318 14 67
103 Togo 313 -2 0
104 Antigua and Barbuda 303 -1 4
105 Syria 302 5 25
106 Sudan 301 -6 -13
107 Angola 297 -19 -71
108 Gambia 290 -3 0
109 Korea DPR 288 0 5
110 Oman 281 -6 -16
111 United Arab Emirates 278 -9 -26
112 Guyana 273 -1 -2
113 Zimbabwe 264 5 18
114 Central African Republic 263 -2 0
114 Iceland 263 -1 2
116 Wales 261 -3 0
117 Suriname 257 -2 0
118 St. Kitts and Nevis 242 3 0
119 Congo 239 3 0
120 Thailand 237 -1 -7
121 Congo DR 234 7 23
122 Sierra Leone 233 1 0
123 Tanzania 232 -3 -11
124 Ethiopia 231 0 0
125 Yemen 230 2 8
126 Guatemala 220 -9 -27
127 Kenya 208 -2 -17
128 Dominica 196 1 0
129 Indonesia 192 -3 -32
130 Puerto Rico 187 1 3
131 Luxembourg 185 1 5
132 Barbados 183 -2 -4
133 Turkmenistan 182 0 9
134 Vietnam 172 2 5
135 Faroe Islands 171 -1 0
135 Rwanda 171 -1 0
137 Kazakhstan 161 0 0
138 Namibia 157 0 1
139 Chad 147 1 0
140 Malaysia 145 2 0
141 Tajikistan 141 2 0
142 Singapore 139 -3 -12
143 Hong Kong 138 3 10
144 Burundi 134 -4 -13
145 India 126 -1 -6
146 Guinea-Bissau 121 1 0
147 Liechtenstein 116 1 0
148 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 110 -4 -22
149 Myanmar 108 0 -1
150 Netherlands Antilles 107 0 0
151 Fiji 103 0 0
152 Philippines 101 1 4
153 Chinese Taipei 93 -1 -9
154 Madagascar 91 0 0
155 New Caledonia 89 0 0
156 Cayman Islands 88 0 0
157 Bangladesh 84 1 0
158 Liberia 82 1 0
158 Swaziland 82 1 0
160 Maldives 81 1 0
161 Nicaragua 79 -4 -7
161 Sri Lanka 79 1 0
163 Malta 76 0 0
164 Equatorial Guinea 72 0 0
165 Cambodia 68 0 0
166 Bermuda 67 6 12
166 Vanuatu 67 0 0
168 Dominican Republic 66 -1 0
169 Belize 64 4 10
169 Laos 64 -1 0
171 Lesotho 62 -1 0
172 Lebanon 61 -4 -3
173 Pakistan 56 -2 0
174 Nepal 54 -1 0
175 Kyrgyzstan 50 0 0
176 Mauritania 49 0 0
177 British Virgin Islands 41 0 0
178 Eritrea 40 0 0
178 Palestine 40 0 0
178 Solomon Islands 40 0 0
181 St. Lucia 37 0 0
182 Mongolia 32 0 0
183 Tahiti 31 0 0
184 Samoa 26 0 0
185 Somalia 23 0 0
186 Comoros 19 0 0
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 0 0
188 Cook Islands 17 0 0
188 Guam 17 0 0
188 Tonga 17 0 0
191 Mauritius 16 0 0
192 Djibouti 15 0 0
193 Macau 14 0 0
194 Bahamas 13 0 0
195 Afghanistan 10 0 0
195 Seychelles 10 0 0
197 Bhutan 9 0 0
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 0 0
199 Aruba 7 0 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
201 Timor-Leste 3 0 0
202 Andorra 2 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.