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Friday, November 25, 2011

FIFA Ranking: December 2011 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 21 December.

American Samoa and Samoa will no longer be at the bottom of the ranking.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Samoa expected to clim 54 places, Vietnam 35 and American Samoa 20.

Grenada expected to drop 29 places, Cuba 25 and Bangladesh 12.

Probable December 2011 rank - Team - Probable December 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1564 0 0
2 Netherlands 1365 0 0
3 Germany 1345 0 0
4 Uruguay 1309 0 0
5 England 1173 0 0
6 Brazil 1143 0 0
7 Portugal 1100 0 0
8 Croatia 1091 0 0
9 Italy 1082 0 0
10 Argentina 1067 0 0
11 Denmark 1035 0 0
12 Russia 971 0 0
13 Chile 970 0 0
14 Greece 964 0 0
15 France 915 0 0
16 Côte d'Ivoire 912 0 0
17 Switzerland 898 0 0
18 Sweden 891 0 0
19 Japan 884 0 0
20 Bosnia-Herzegovina 869 3 31
21 Mexico 866 -1 0
22 Republic of Ireland 864 -1 0
23 Australia 851 -1 0
24 Paraguay 795 0 0
25 Norway 788 0 0
26 Slovenia 780 0 0
27 Serbia 775 0 0
28 Turkey 769 0 0
29 Ghana 761 0 0
30 Algeria 758 0 0
31 Egypt 755 0 -2
32 Korea Republic 752 0 0
33 Czech Republic 749 0 0
34 USA 721 0 0
35 Peru 712 0 0
36 Colombia 709 0 0
37 Hungary 665 0 0
37 Israel 665 0 0
39 Venezuela 661 0 0
40 Slovakia 648 0 0
41 Belgium 647 0 0
42 Ecuador 634 0 4
43 Nigeria 627 0 0
44 Senegal 625 0 0
45 Iran 616 0 0
46 Armenia 612 0 0
47 Cameroon 602 1 0
48 Scotland 599 1 0
49 Wales 591 1 0
50 Panama 589 1 4
51 Montenegro 585 0 0
52 South Africa 577 1 0
53 Honduras 574 1 4
54 Jamaica 573 -7 -36
55 Ukraine 568 0 0
56 Romania 562 0 0
57 Estonia 555 1 12
58 Cape Verde Islands 549 -1 5
59 Tunisia 537 0 0
60 Sierra Leone 526 1 5
61 Morocco 524 -1 0
62 Burkina Faso 518 0 0
63 Costa Rica 504 1 1
64 Belarus 501 1 0
65 Poland 492 1 5
66 Libya 485 -3 -29
67 Mali 472 0 0
68 Latvia 466 0 0
69 Zambia 464 10 28
70 El Salvador 463 -1 0
70 Iraq 463 11 34
72 Zimbabwe 462 -2 0
73 Austria 459 -2 0
74 China PR 457 -2 2
75 Canada 455 -3 0
76 Georgia 451 -2 0
77 Albania 450 -2 0
78 Uzbekistan 449 -2 0
79 Trinidad and Tobago 448 7 39
80 Gabon 445 -3 0
81 Guinea 436 -2 0
82 Haiti 429 -4 -9
83 Bulgaria 410 2 0
83 Jordan 410 -1 -9
85 Angola 409 -1 -3
85 Uganda 409 6 15
87 Finland 405 1 0
88 Antigua and Barbuda 404 -5 -14
89 Northern Ireland 403 0 0
90 Guatemala 397 0 0
91 Qatar 393 4 18
92 Oman 389 1 2
93 Guyana 387 4 17
94 Lithuania 382 0 0
94 Malawi 382 -7 -25
96 Botswana 371 0 0
97 Niger 361 1 0
98 Saudi Arabia 358 0 -3
99 Vietnam 351 35 117
100 Togo 350 1 0
101 Kuwait 345 -1 -6
102 Bahrain 337 0 -3
103 FYR Macedonia 333 0 0
104 Iceland 325 0 0
105 Mozambique 322 0 -2
106 Bermuda 310 3 3
107 Bolivia 309 -1 0
107 Puerto Rico 309 -1 0
109 Korea DPR 306 1 0
110 Lebanon 305 1 0
111 Azerbaijan 300 2 0
112 Sudan 295 0 -9
113 Syria 290 2 -3
114 Faroe Islands 285 2 0
114 Gambia 285 4 5
114 St. Kitts and Nevis 285 3 1
117 Cuba 275 -25 -115
118 New Zealand 271 1 0
118 Rwanda 271 -4 -26
120 Namibia 264 1 0
121 Suriname 263 1 2
122 Thailand 262 10 19
123 Liberia 258 0 0
124 Benin 257 0 0
125 Kenya 256 8 16
126 Cyprus 253 0 0
127 Luxembourg 252 0 0
128 Central African Republic 251 0 0
129 United Arab Emirates 250 -9 -15
130 Dominican Republic 247 -1 0
131 Liechtenstein 246 -1 0
132 Congo 245 -1 0
133 Congo DR 242 -8 -12
133 Tanzania 242 3 14
135 Grenada 241 -29 -68
136 Moldova 229 -1 0
137 Ethiopia 220 0 -5
137 Kazakhstan 220 1 1
139 Tajikistan 208 0 1
140 Belize 194 0 0
141 Indonesia 189 3 13
142 Chad 188 -1 0
143 Burundi 180 2 6
144 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 170 2 0
145 Singapore 165 7 19
146 Turkmenistan 164 1 0
147 Lesotho 160 1 0
148 Curacao 154 1 0
148 Malaysia 154 7 14
150 Samoa 149 54 149
151 Equatorial Guinea 148 0 0
151 Nepal 148 -8 -29
153 Yemen 146 -3 -7
154 Bahamas 141 -1 0
154 Bangladesh 141 -12 -40
154 Nicaragua 141 -1 0
157 Malta 140 -2 0
158 India 137 4 18
159 Philippines 136 0 6
160 Madagascar 135 -3 0
161 Fiji 133 -3 0
162 Guinea-Bissau 121 -2 -8
163 Barbados 119 -2 -6
164 New Caledonia 116 -1 0
165 Chinese Taipei 114 0 5
166 Maldives 113 0 7
167 Mongolia 106 -1 0
168 Hong Kong 105 0 0
169 Cambodia 101 0 -2
170 Dominica 100 3 10
171 Myanmar 99 -2 -4
172 Palestine 97 -8 -16
173 Laos 96 2 10
173 Vanuatu 96 -2 0
175 Aruba 92 -3 0
176 US Virgin Islands 82 1 0
177 Sri Lanka 76 -1 -9
178 Solomon Islands 75 1 0
178 Swaziland 75 1 0
180 Cayman Islands 74 1 0
181 Afghanistan 73 -3 -4
181 Tahiti 73 1 0
183 St. Lucia 65 1 0
184 American Samoa 61 20 61
185 Pakistan 58 -11 -29
186 Comoros 55 0 0
187 Seychelles 53 -4 -16
188 Cook Islands 46 8 36
189 Eritrea 45 -5 -20
189 Tonga 45 13 42
191 Kyrgyzstan 42 -3 0
191 Somalia 42 -4 -9
193 Guam 36 -4 0
194 Papua New Guinea 34 -4 0
195 Mauritius 32 -4 0
196 Sao Tome e Principe 27 -4 0
197 Macau 26 -4 0
198 British Virgin Islands 23 -4 0
199 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 -4 0
200 Anguilla 9 -3 0
201 Bhutan 6 -3 0
201 Brunei Darussalam 6 -3 0
203 Mauritania 4 -2 0
204 Djibouti 3 -4 -2
205 Timor-Leste 2 -2 0
206 Andorra 0 -2 0
206 Montserrat 0 -2 0
206 San Marino 0 -2 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: December 2011 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the December 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

25/Nov Burundi - Somalia 1 (Friendly)
26/Nov Samoa - American Samoa 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
26/Nov Tanzania - Rwanda 1 (Friendly)
26/Nov Tonga - Cook Islands X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
28/Nov Sudan - Ethiopia 1 (Friendly)
28/Nov Kenya - Malawi 2 (Friendly)
28/Nov Somalia - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
29/Nov India - Zambia 2 (Friendly)
29/Nov Tanzania - Djibouti 1 (Friendly)
30/Nov Ethiopia - Kenya X (Friendly)
30/Nov Malawi - Sudan X (Friendly)
01/Dec Burundi - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
02/Dec Bangladesh - Pakistan 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Maldives - Nepal 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Suriname - Aruba 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Rwanda - Djibouti 1 (Friendly)
02/Dec Ethiopia - Malawi 2 (Friendly)
02/Dec Suriname - Aruba 1 (Friendly)
03/Dec Sri Lanka - Bhutan 1 (Friendly)
03/Dec India - Afghanistan 1 (Friendly)
03/Dec Kenya - Sudan 2 (Friendly)
04/Dec Maldives - Pakistan 1 (Friendly)
04/Dec Bangladesh - Nepal X (Friendly)
05/Dec India - Bhutan 1 (Friendly)
05/Dec Sri Lanka - Afghanistan X (Friendly)
05/Dec Tanzania - Burundi 1 (Friendly)
06/Dec Maldives - Bangladesh 1 (Friendly)
06/Dec Pakistan - Nepal 2 (Friendly)
06/Dec Malawi - Kenya 1 (Friendly)
06/Dec Uganda - Rwanda 1 (Friendly)
07/Dec India - Sri Lanka 1 (Friendly)
07/Dec Bhutan - Afghanistan 2 (Friendly)
08/Dec Sudan - Tanzania X Tanzania PSO (Friendly)
08/Dec Malawi - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
09/Dec India - Bangladesh 1 (Friendly)
09/Dec Maldives - Sri Lanka 1 (Friendly)
10/Dec Malawi - Sudan X Malawi PSO (Friendly)
10/Dec Tanzania - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
10/Dec Qatar - Bahrain 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec India - Maldives 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Cuba - Costa Rica 2 (Friendly)
11/Dec Saudi Arabia - Oman X (Friendly)
11/Dec Libya - Sudan 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Kuwait - Somalia 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Jordan - Palestine 1 (Friendly)
13/Dec Bahrain - Iraq 2 (Friendly)
14/Dec Angola - Congo DR 1 (Friendly)
14/Dec Oman - Kuwait X (Friendly)
14/Dec Sudan - Jordan 2 (Friendly)
14/Dec Palestine - Libya 2 (Friendly)
14/Dec Somalia - Saudi Arabia 2 (Friendly)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: December 2011 preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 21 December.

Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-70 - Cuba
-68 - Grenada
-36 - Jamaica
-29 - Libya
-20 - Eritrea
-16 - Seychelles
-15 - United Arab Emirates
-14 - Antigua and Barbuda
-10 - Nepal
-9 - Haiti and Jordan

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

117 - Vietnam
85 - Samoa
61 - American Samoa
38 - Trinidad and Tobago
31 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
22 - Iraq
21 - Tonga
19 - Thailand, Singapore and Kenya

November 2011 rank - Country - November 2011 points - Minimum points - Maximum points


1 Spain 1564 1564 1564
2 Netherlands 1365 1365 1365
3 Germany 1345 1345 1345
4 Uruguay 1309 1309 1309
5 England 1173 1173 1173
6 Brazil 1143 1143 1143
7 Portugal 1100 1100 1100
8 Croatia 1091 1091 1091
9 Italy 1082 1082 1082
10 Argentina 1067 1067 1067
11 Denmark 1035 1035 1035
12 Russia 971 971 971
13 Chile 970 970 970
14 Greece 964 964 964
15 France 915 915 915
16 Côte d'Ivoire 912 912 912
17 Switzerland 898 898 898
18 Sweden 891 891 891
19 Japan 884 884 884
20 Mexico 866 866 866
21 Republic of Ireland 864 864 864
22 Australia 851 851 851
23 Bosnia-Herzegovina 838 869 869
24 Paraguay 795 795 795
25 Norway 788 788 788
26 Slovenia 780 780 780
27 Serbia 775 775 775
28 Turkey 769 769 769
29 Ghana 761 761 761
30 Algeria 758 758 758
31 Egypt 757 755 755
32 Korea Republic 752 752 752
33 Czech Republic 749 749 749
34 USA 721 721 721
35 Peru 712 712 712
36 Colombia 709 709 709
37 Hungary 665 665 665
37 Israel 665 665 665
39 Venezuela 661 661 661
40 Slovakia 648 648 648
41 Belgium 647 647 647
42 Ecuador 630 634 634
43 Nigeria 627 627 627
44 Senegal 625 625 625
45 Iran 616 616 616
46 Armenia 612 612 612
47 Jamaica 609 573 573
48 Cameroon 602 602 602
49 Scotland 599 599 599
50 Wales 591 591 591
51 Montenegro 585 585 585
51 Panama 585 589 589
53 South Africa 577 577 577
54 Honduras 570 574 574
55 Ukraine 568 568 568
56 Romania 562 562 562
57 Cape Verde Islands 544 549 549
58 Estonia 543 555 555
59 Tunisia 537 537 537
60 Morocco 524 524 524
61 Sierra Leone 521 526 526
62 Burkina Faso 518 518 518
63 Libya 514 441 485
64 Costa Rica 503 491 504
65 Belarus 501 501 501
66 Poland 487 492 492
67 Mali 472 472 472
68 Latvia 466 466 466
69 El Salvador 463 463 463
70 Zimbabwe 462 462 462
71 Austria 459 459 459
72 Canada 455 455 455
72 China PR 455 457 457
74 Georgia 451 451 451
75 Albania 450 450 450
76 Uzbekistan 449 449 449
77 Gabon 445 445 445
78 Haiti 438 429 429
79 Guinea 436 436 436
79 Zambia 436 450 464
81 Iraq 429 451 463
82 Jordan 419 395 410
83 Antigua and Barbuda 418 404 404
84 Angola 412 387 409
85 Bulgaria 410 410 410
86 Trinidad and Tobago 409 447 448
87 Malawi 407 361 422
88 Finland 405 405 405
89 Northern Ireland 403 403 403
90 Guatemala 397 397 397
91 Uganda 394 377 412
92 Cuba 390 275 320
93 Oman 387 378 410
94 Lithuania 382 382 382
95 Qatar 375 380 393
96 Botswana 371 371 371
97 Guyana 370 387 387
98 Niger 361 361 361
98 Saudi Arabia 361 346 369
100 Kuwait 351 336 353
101 Togo 350 350 350
102 Bahrain 340 337 369
103 FYR Macedonia 333 333 333
104 Iceland 325 325 325
105 Mozambique 324 322 322
106 Bolivia 309 309 309
106 Grenada 309 241 241
106 Puerto Rico 309 309 309
109 Bermuda 307 310 310
110 Korea DPR 306 306 306
111 Lebanon 305 305 305
112 Sudan 304 276 360
113 Azerbaijan 300 300 300
114 Rwanda 297 277 326
115 Syria 293 290 290
116 Faroe Islands 285 285 285
117 St. Kitts and Nevis 284 285 285
118 Gambia 280 285 285
119 New Zealand 271 271 271
120 United Arab Emirates 265 250 250
121 Namibia 264 264 264
122 Suriname 261 236 263
123 Liberia 258 258 258
124 Benin 257 257 257
125 Congo DR 254 242 262
126 Cyprus 253 253 253
127 Luxembourg 252 252 252
128 Central African Republic 251 251 251
129 Dominican Republic 247 247 247
130 Liechtenstein 246 246 246
131 Congo 245 245 245
132 Thailand 243 262 262
133 Kenya 240 259 315
134 Vietnam 234 351 351
135 Moldova 229 229 229
136 Tanzania 228 223 270
137 Ethiopia 225 215 298
138 Kazakhstan 219 220 220
139 Tajikistan 207 208 208
140 Belize 194 194 194
141 Chad 188 188 188
142 Bangladesh 181 133 175
143 Nepal 177 134 167
144 Indonesia 176 189 189
145 Burundi 174 176 244
146 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 170 170 170
147 Turkmenistan 164 164 164
148 Lesotho 160 160 160
149 Curacao 154 154 154
150 Yemen 153 146 146
151 Equatorial Guinea 148 148 148
152 Singapore 146 165 165
153 Bahamas 141 141 141
153 Nicaragua 141 141 141
155 Malaysia 140 154 154
155 Malta 140 140 140
157 Madagascar 135 135 135
158 Fiji 133 133 133
159 Philippines 130 136 136
160 Guinea-Bissau 129 121 121
161 Barbados 125 119 119
162 India 119 106 154
163 New Caledonia 116 116 116
164 Palestine 113 97 152
165 Chinese Taipei 109 114 114
166 Maldives 106 86 123
166 Mongolia 106 106 106
168 Hong Kong 105 105 105
169 Cambodia 103 101 101
169 Myanmar 103 99 99
171 Vanuatu 96 96 96
172 Aruba 92 92 175
173 Dominica 90 100 100
174 Pakistan 87 58 124
175 Laos 86 96 96
176 Sri Lanka 85 63 116
177 US Virgin Islands 82 82 82
178 Afghanistan 77 56 105
179 Solomon Islands 75 75 75
179 Swaziland 75 75 75
181 Cayman Islands 74 74 74
182 Tahiti 73 73 73
183 Seychelles 69 53 53
184 Eritrea 65 45 45
184 St. Lucia 65 65 65
186 Comoros 55 55 55
187 Somalia 51 42 228
188 Kyrgyzstan 42 42 42
189 Guam 36 36 36
190 Papua New Guinea 34 34 34
191 Mauritius 32 32 32
192 Sao Tome e Principe 27 27 27
193 Macau 26 26 26
194 British Virgin Islands 23 23 23
195 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 13 13
196 Cook Islands 10 28 81
197 Anguilla 9 9 9
198 Bhutan 6 6 82
198 Brunei Darussalam 6 6 6
200 Djibouti 5 3 173
201 Mauritania 4 4 4
202 Tonga 3 24 88
203 Timor-Leste 2 2 2
204 American Samoa 0 61 106
204 Andorra 0 0 0
204 Montserrat 0 0 0
204 Samoa 0 85 149
204 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.