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Saturday, February 5, 2022

World Cup qualification simulations (5 February 2022)

The January window and all but the final weekend in the AFCON 2022 has been played. Compared to the last simulations made in November last year the following changes in the simulated match schedule are made:

  • for UEFA all currently scheduled friendlies in the March window are included;
  • for CAF the pairing of the final round of 5 home-and-away play-offs in March was drawn, using the November 2021 ranking as seeding ranking;
  • for OFC the complete qualification match schedule is known now. All qualifiers will be played in Doha in March to decide the OFC-representative in the IPO's in June. Unfortunately Tonga had to withdraw for their preliminary play-off against the Cook Islands, due to the aftermath of the recent volcanic eruption in their territory. Cook Islands is therefore placed in group A and they will hopefully play their first competitive matches since September 2015;
  • AFC, CONCACAF and CONMEBOL played two or three match days of qualifiers. In Asia Iran and South Korea qualified for Qatar while in the other group Japan, Saudi Arabia and Australia battle it out. In CONCACAF Canada was on a roll and won their 3 matches. They are all but qualified. In South America Ecuador and Uruguay made good progress towards direct qualification. Colombia sort of ruined their chances. Even for the IPO-berth Peru seems the first candidate.

Friday, February 4, 2022

FIFA ranking: February 2022 final preview

FIFA will publish the February ranking next Thursday February 10th. This final preview contains 123 matches, out of 127 matches played since December 20th. 


Only the third place match tomorrow between tournament host Cameroon and Burkina Faso and the final on Sunday of the African Cup of Nations 2022 between Senegal and Egypt are to be played:


CMR

BFA

pts

pos

pts

pos

Cameroon win

1490,93

36

1418,01

56

Cameroon PSO win

1480,93

38

1420,11

56

Burkina Faso PSO win

1473,03

38

1430,11

54

Burkina Faso win

1473,03

38

1440,11

51

SEN

EGY

pts

pos

pts

pos

Senegal win

1597,87

17

1493,67

34

Senegal PSO win

1587,87

18

1497,00

34

Egypt PSO win

1581,20

19

1507,00

33

Egypt win

1581,20

19

1517,00

30


Elo predicts a straight Cameroon win for third place and a Senegal PSO win in the final.