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Friday, December 24, 2010

Confederation weightings: An in-depth look (II)

As promised in the first part (well, a week later than promised actually, sorry about that), here's how the post-July 2010 rankings would be have been affected if the correct confederation weightings had been used.

UEFA and CONCACAF teams would be ranked lower, while AFC teams would be ranked higher.

August 2010

No changes.

September 2010

Togo would be 4 places higher - 83rd instead of 87th.

Within the top 50: Turkey (22nd), Cameroon (38th) and Montenegro (41st) would all be one place lower. No teams would be ranked higher, since these teams dropped from being tied with Switzerland, Czech Republic and Colombia.

October 2010

Within the top 50: Australia (20th), Japan (29th) and Algeria (32nd) would all be one place higher, with the Republic of Ireland (33rd) being one place lower. Australia would be tied with Slovakia, Japan with Turkey.

November 2010

Within the top 50: Russia (12th) and Colombia (46th) would both be one place higher, with France (22nd), Lithuania (47th) and Guinea (48th) one place lower. Russia moved level with Norway, while Colombia moved up from the tie with Lithuania. France dropped from the tie with Switzerland.

December 2010

Qatar (111th) would be ranked 3 places higher. Cuba (66th) and Grenada (98th) would be ranked 4 places lower. Jamaica (61st) would be 3 places lower.
Within the top 50: Korea Republic (39th) would be one place higher, with France (19th) - one place lower. Korea Republic move level with Gabon, while France drop from a tie with USA.

In January 2011, we'll see how the post-July 2006 rankings would have looked like without the weightings.

This is my last post for 2010. Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Friday, December 17, 2010

FIFA Ranking: January 2011 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Top 25 will remain unchanged and Egypt will climb to 8th, improving their best ever ranking, 9th, first achieved in July 2010.

Probable January 2011 rank - Team - Probable January 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1887 0 0
2 Netherlands 1723 0 0
3 Germany 1485 0 0
4 Brazil 1446 0 0
5 Argentina 1338 0 0
6 England 1195 0 0
7 Uruguay 1152 0 0
8 Egypt 1097 1 19
9 Portugal 1090 -1 0
10 Croatia 1075 0 0
11 Greece 1016 0 0
12 Norway 995 0 0
13 Russia 982 0 0
14 Italy 965 0 0
15 Chile 950 0 0
16 Ghana 924 0 16
17 Slovenia 897 0 0
18 France 867 0 0
18 USA 867 0 0
20 Slovakia 854 0 0
21 Côte d'Ivoire 846 0 0
22 Switzerland 841 0 0
23 Serbia 837 0 0
24 Paraguay 832 0 0
25 Montenegro 824 0 0
26 Australia 808 0 -7
27 Mexico 795 0 0
28 Denmark 790 0 0
29 Japan 776 0 0
30 Czech Republic 751 0 0
31 Turkey 741 0 0
32 Nigeria 730 0 5
33 Sweden 712 0 0
34 Ukraine 702 0 0
35 Republic of Ireland 681 1 0
36 Algeria 678 -1 -9
37 Belarus 660 1 0
38 Cameroon 650 -1 -20
39 Korea Republic 649 1 2
40 Gabon 640 -1 -8
41 Hungary 632 1 0
42 Burkina Faso 619 -1 -25
43 Northern Ireland 615 0 0
44 Tunisia 592 1 16
45 Bosnia-Herzegovina 582 -1 0
46 Austria 569 0 0
47 Guinea 568 -1 -1
48 Colombia 558 0 0
49 Bulgaria 555 0 0
50 Israel 551 0 0
51 South Africa 550 0 0
52 Ecuador 542 1 7
52 Scotland 542 0 0
54 Botswana 535 -1 0
55 Lithuania 532 0 0
56 Honduras 531 3 15
56 Romania 531 0 0
58 Belgium 526 -1 0
59 Jamaica 522 -1 0
60 Armenia 515 0 0
60 Venezuela 515 0 0
62 Cuba 512 0 0
63 New Zealand 506 0 0
64 Albania 497 1 0
65 Peru 486 3 0
66 Panama 475 -2 -26
67 Mali 474 0 -14
68 Iran 472 -2 -23
69 Costa Rica 467 0 0
70 Senegal 465 0 1
71 Libya 451 1 0
72 Benin 449 -1 -13
72 Georgia 449 1 0
72 Poland 449 1 0
75 Cape Verde Islands 444 0 0
76 Latvia 440 2 0
77 Morocco 437 2 0
78 Saudi Arabia 431 3 4
79 Uganda 430 1 1
80 Zambia 425 -4 -16
81 Finland 419 2 0
82 FYR Macedonia 418 -6 -23
83 Canada 411 1 0
83 Moldova 411 1 0
85 China PR 409 2 20
86 Angola 405 2 27
87 Estonia 393 -5 -33
88 Trinidad and Tobago 373 1 0
89 Cyprus 367 1 0
90 Haiti 357 0 -10
91 Malawi 355 -5 -41
92 Mozambique 353 4 7
93 Bahrain 352 0 1
94 Sudan 351 -2 -15
95 Grenada 349 -1 0
95 Niger 349 -1 0
97 Bolivia 344 0 0
98 Azerbaijan 343 0 0
99 Iraq 317 2 -6
100 Togo 313 3 0
101 Kuwait 311 1 -6
102 Antigua and Barbuda 299 4 0
103 Jordan 297 1 -8
103 Oman 297 -4 -32
105 Gambia 290 -5 -35
106 Qatar 284 8 24
107 Uzbekistan 282 2 7
108 United Arab Emirates 281 -3 -20
109 Guyana 275 0 0
110 Syria 274 -3 -22
111 Korea DPR 271 -3 -21
112 Central African Republic 263 -1 0
113 Iceland 261 -1 0
113 Wales 261 -1 0
115 Suriname 257 0 0
116 Tanzania 256 0 0
117 El Salvador 251 0 0
118 Guatemala 247 0 0
119 Zimbabwe 246 0 0
120 Thailand 244 1 5
121 St. Kitts and Nevis 242 0 3
122 Congo 239 -1 0
123 Sierra Leone 233 2 9
124 Ethiopia 231 0 0
125 Indonesia 229 2 18
126 Yemen 222 0 10
127 Kenya 210 -7 -30
128 Dominica 196 1 0
129 Congo DR 190 1 0
130 Barbados 187 1 0
131 Puerto Rico 184 2 0
132 Luxembourg 180 2 0
133 Vietnam 175 4 8
134 Turkmenistan 173 1 0
135 Rwanda 172 -3 -13
136 Faroe Islands 171 0 0
137 Burundi 168 -9 -34
138 Kazakhstan 161 0 7
139 Namibia 156 -1 2
140 Singapore 151 0 3
141 Chad 147 0 0
142 Tajikistan 141 3 15
143 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 132 -1 0
144 Hong Kong 128 2 4
145 Malaysia 125 -1 -3
146 India 124 -4 -8
147 Guinea-Bissau 121 0 0
148 Liechtenstein 116 0 0
149 Myanmar 109 0 0
150 Netherlands Antilles 107 1 0
151 Fiji 103 1 0
152 Chinese Taipei 102 1 0
153 Philippines 97 -3 -11
154 Madagascar 91 1 0
155 New Caledonia 89 1 0
156 Cayman Islands 88 1 0
157 Nicaragua 86 1 0
158 Bangladesh 84 1 0
159 Liberia 82 1 0
159 Swaziland 82 1 0
161 Maldives 81 1 0
162 Sri Lanka 79 1 0
163 Malta 76 1 0
164 Equatorial Guinea 72 1 0
165 Cambodia 68 1 0
166 Vanuatu 67 1 0
167 Dominican Republic 66 1 0
168 Laos 64 1 0
168 Lebanon 64 -14 -28
170 Lesotho 62 0 0
171 Pakistan 56 0 0
172 Bermuda 55 3 6
173 Belize 54 -1 0
173 Nepal 54 -1 0
175 Kyrgyzstan 50 -1 0
176 Mauritania 49 4 11
177 British Virgin Islands 41 -1 0
178 Eritrea 40 -1 0
178 Palestine 40 -1 0
178 Solomon Islands 40 -1 0
181 St. Lucia 37 0 0
182 Mongolia 32 0 0
183 Tahiti 31 1 0
184 Samoa 26 1 0
185 Somalia 23 -3 -9
186 Comoros 19 0 -5
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 1 0
188 Cook Islands 17 0 0
188 Guam 17 0 0
188 Tonga 17 0 0
191 Mauritius 16 0 0
192 Djibouti 15 -1 -1
193 Macau 14 0 0
194 Bahamas 13 0 0
195 Afghanistan 10 0 0
195 Seychelles 10 0 0
197 Bhutan 9 0 0
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 0 0
199 Aruba 7 0 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
201 Timor-Leste 3 0 0
202 Andorra 2 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: January 2011 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the January 2011 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

18/Dec Honduras - Panama 1 (Friendly)
18/Dec Iraq - Syria 1 (Friendly)
18/Dec Vietnam - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
18/Dec China PR - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
19/Dec Qatar - India 1 (Friendly)
19/Dec Indonesia - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
22/Dec Qatar - Estonia X (Friendly)
22/Dec Syria - Iraq X (Friendly)
22/Dec China PR - FYR Macedonia 1 (Friendly)
24/Dec Kuwait - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
26/Dec Syria - India 1 (Friendly)
26/Dec Malaysia - Indonesia X (Friendly)
27/Dec Kuwait - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
28/Dec Qatar - Iran X (Friendly)
28/Dec Saudi Arabia - Iraq 1 (Friendly)
28/Dec Jordan - Bahrain X (Friendly)
29/Dec Indonesia - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
29/Dec Qatar - Iran X (Friendly)
30/Dec Syria - Korea Republic 2 (Friendly)
31/Dec Kuwait - Zambia X (Friendly)
01/Jan Bahrain - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
02/Jan Jordan - Uzbekistan X (Friendly)
02/Jan Iraq - China PR X (Friendly)
02/Jan United Arab Emirates - Syria X (Friendly)
04/Jan Bahrain - Saudi Arabia X (Friendly)
05/Jan United Arab Emirates - Australia 2 (Friendly)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: January 2011 preview (I)

Next update: January 7th, 2011.

December 2010 rank - Country - December 2010 points - Minimum points - Maximum points

1 Spain 1887 1887 1887
2 Netherlands 1723 1723 1723
3 Germany 1485 1485 1485
4 Brazil 1446 1446 1446
5 Argentina 1338 1338 1338
6 England 1195 1195 1195
7 Uruguay 1152 1152 1152
8 Portugal 1090 1090 1090
9 Egypt 1078 1097 1097
10 Croatia 1075 1075 1075
11 Greece 1016 1016 1016
12 Norway 995 995 995
13 Russia 982 982 982
14 Italy 965 965 965
15 Chile 950 950 950
16 Ghana 908 924 924
17 Slovenia 897 897 897
18 France 867 867 867
18 USA 867 867 867
20 Slovakia 854 854 854
21 Côte d'Ivoire 846 846 846
22 Switzerland 841 841 841
23 Serbia 837 837 837
24 Paraguay 832 832 832
25 Montenegro 824 824 824
26 Australia 815 790 808
27 Mexico 795 795 795
28 Denmark 790 790 790
29 Japan 776 776 776
30 Czech Republic 751 751 751
31 Turkey 741 741 741
32 Nigeria 725 730 730
33 Sweden 712 712 712
34 Ukraine 702 702 702
35 Algeria 687 678 678
36 Republic of Ireland 681 681 681
37 Cameroon 670 650 650
38 Belarus 660 660 660
39 Gabon 648 640 640
40 Korea Republic 647 636 649
41 Burkina Faso 644 619 619
42 Hungary 632 632 632
43 Northern Ireland 615 615 615
44 Bosnia-Herzegovina 582 582 582
45 Tunisia 576 592 592
46 Austria 569 569 569
46 Guinea 569 568 568
48 Colombia 558 558 558
49 Bulgaria 555 555 555
50 Israel 551 551 551
51 South Africa 550 550 550
52 Scotland 542 542 542
53 Botswana 535 535 535
53 Ecuador 535 542 542
55 Lithuania 532 532 532
56 Romania 531 531 531
57 Belgium 526 526 526
58 Jamaica 522 522 522
59 Honduras 516 507 531
60 Armenia 515 515 515
60 Venezuela 515 515 515
62 Cuba 512 512 512
63 New Zealand 506 506 506
64 Panama 501 475 513
65 Albania 497 497 497
66 Iran 495 458 498
67 Mali 488 474 474
68 Peru 486 486 486
69 Costa Rica 467 467 467
70 Senegal 464 465 465
71 Benin 462 449 449
72 Libya 451 451 451
73 Georgia 449 449 449
73 Poland 449 449 449
75 Cape Verde Islands 444 444 444
76 FYR Macedonia 441 418 453
76 Zambia 441 419 437
78 Latvia 440 440 440
79 Morocco 437 437 437
80 Uganda 429 430 430
81 Saudi Arabia 427 410 442
82 Estonia 426 386 429
83 Finland 419 419 419
84 Canada 411 411 411
84 Moldova 411 411 411
86 Malawi 396 355 355
87 China PR 389 359 420
88 Angola 378 405 405
89 Trinidad and Tobago 373 373 373
90 Cyprus 367 367 367
90 Haiti 367 357 357
92 Sudan 366 351 351
93 Bahrain 351 337 381
94 Grenada 349 349 349
94 Niger 349 349 349
96 Mozambique 346 353 353
97 Bolivia 344 344 344
98 Azerbaijan 343 343 343
99 Oman 329 297 297
100 Gambia 325 290 290
101 Iraq 323 291 357
102 Kuwait 317 299 335
103 Togo 313 313 313
104 Jordan 305 278 334
105 United Arab Emirates 301 275 327
106 Antigua and Barbuda 299 299 299
107 Syria 296 252 345
108 Korea DPR 292 258 297
109 Guyana 275 275 275
109 Uzbekistan 275 271 306
111 Central African Republic 263 263 263
112 Iceland 261 261 261
112 Wales 261 261 261
114 Qatar 260 249 332
115 Suriname 257 257 257
116 Tanzania 256 256 256
117 El Salvador 251 251 251
118 Guatemala 247 247 247
119 Zimbabwe 246 246 246
120 Kenya 240 210 210
121 Congo 239 239 239
121 St. Kitts and Nevis 239 242 242
121 Thailand 239 244 244
124 Ethiopia 231 231 231
125 Sierra Leone 224 233 233
126 Yemen 212 222 222
127 Indonesia 211 206 240
128 Burundi 202 168 168
129 Dominica 196 196 196
130 Congo DR 190 190 190
131 Barbados 187 187 187
132 Rwanda 185 172 172
133 Puerto Rico 184 184 184
134 Luxembourg 180 180 180
135 Turkmenistan 173 173 173
136 Faroe Islands 171 171 171
137 Vietnam 167 162 196
138 Kazakhstan 154 161 161
138 Namibia 154 156 156
140 Singapore 148 151 151
141 Chad 147 147 147
142 India 132 124 165
142 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 132 132 132
144 Malaysia 128 118 178
145 Tajikistan 126 141 141
146 Hong Kong 124 128 128
147 Guinea-Bissau 121 121 121
148 Liechtenstein 116 116 116
149 Myanmar 109 109 109
150 Philippines 108 97 125
151 Netherlands Antilles 107 107 107
152 Fiji 103 103 103
153 Chinese Taipei 102 102 102
154 Lebanon 92 64 64
155 Madagascar 91 91 91
156 New Caledonia 89 89 89
157 Cayman Islands 88 88 88
158 Nicaragua 86 86 86
159 Bangladesh 84 84 84
160 Liberia 82 82 82
160 Swaziland 82 82 82
162 Maldives 81 81 81
163 Sri Lanka 79 79 79
164 Malta 76 76 76
165 Equatorial Guinea 72 72 72
166 Cambodia 68 68 68
167 Vanuatu 67 67 67
168 Dominican Republic 66 66 66
169 Laos 64 64 64
170 Lesotho 62 62 62
171 Pakistan 56 56 56
172 Belize 54 54 54
172 Nepal 54 54 54
174 Kyrgyzstan 50 50 50
175 Bermuda 49 55 55
176 British Virgin Islands 41 41 41
177 Eritrea 40 40 40
177 Palestine 40 40 40
177 Solomon Islands 40 40 40
180 Mauritania 38 49 49
181 St. Lucia 37 37 37
182 Mongolia 32 32 32
182 Somalia 32 23 23
184 Tahiti 31 31 31
185 Samoa 26 26 26
186 Comoros 24 19 19
187 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 19 19
188 Cook Islands 17 17 17
188 Guam 17 17 17
188 Tonga 17 17 17
191 Djibouti 16 15 15
191 Mauritius 16 16 16
193 Macau 14 14 14
194 Bahamas 13 13 13
195 Afghanistan 10 10 10
195 Seychelles 10 10 10
197 Bhutan 9 9 9
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 9 9
199 Aruba 7 7 7
200 US Virgin Islands 5 5 5
201 Timor-Leste 3 3 3
202 Andorra 2 2 2
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0




About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.