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Thursday, January 29, 2009

2010 WC Seeding: Performance part

Team - 2002 WC - 2006 WC - Total

Angola 0 9 6.0
Argentina 9 27 21.0
Australia 0 17 11.3
Belgium 19 0 6.3
Brazil 32 28 29.3
Cameroon 9 0 3.0
China 8 0 2.7
Costa Rica 9 8 8.3
Côte d'Ivoire 0 9 6.0
Croatia 9 9 9.0
Czech Republic 0 9 6.0
Denmark 23 0 7.7
Ecuador 9 21 17.0
England 27 26 26.3
France 8 31 23.3
Germany 31 30 30.3
Ghana 0 20 13.3
Iran 0 8 5.3
Ireland 21 0 7.0
Italy 18 32 27.3
Japan 24 8 13.3
Korea Republic 29 9 15.7
Mexico 22 18 19.3
Netherlands 0 22 14.7
Nigeria 8 0 2.7
Paraguay 17 9 11.7
Poland 8 9 8.7
Portugal 9 29 22.3
Russia 9 0 3.0
Saudi Arabia 8 8 8.0
Senegal 26 0 8.7
Serbia 0 8 5.3
Slovenia 8 0 2.7
South Africa 9 0 3.0
Spain 28 24 25.3
Sweden 20 19 19.3
Switzerland 0 23 15.3
Togo 0 8 5.3
Trinidad and Tobago 0 8 5.3
Tunisia 8 9 8.7
Turkey 30 0 10.0
Ukraine 0 25 16.7
Uruguay 8 0 2.7
USA 25 8 13.7

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: February 2009 preview (II)

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

Included matches: up to and including January 28th, 2009. Matches left to play: 5 matches at the UNCAF Nations Cup and a couple of friendlies.

February 2009 current rank - Team - February 2009 current points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1693 0 30
2 Germany 1403 0 14
3 Netherlands 1357 0 19
4 Italy 1318 0 -8
5 Brazil 1248 0 2
6 Argentina 1181 0 1
7 Croatia 1175 0 33
8 England 1136 0 21
9 Russia 1119 0 16
10 Turkey 1040 0 24
11 France 1026 0 19
12 Czech Republic 1020 -1 13
12 Portugal 1020 -1 13
14 Ukraine 936 2 27
15 Paraguay 922 3 33
16 Cameroon 900 -2 -89
17 Romania 880 4 22
18 Israel 878 1 1
19 Greece 864 1 -8
20 USA 858 2 5
21 Switzerland 856 3 32
22 Uruguay 849 1 21
23 Nigeria 827 -6 -64
24 Mexico 791 2 -20
25 Sweden 780 6 32
26 Bulgaria 773 2 -9
27 Australia 760 2 -17
28 Poland 754 3 6
29 Republic of Ireland 747 8 36
30 Chile 743 0 -14
31 Egypt 742 -16 -232
32 Scotland 739 1 0
33 Serbia 737 2 6
34 Denmark 725 2 9
35 Côte d'Ivoire 713 -8 -72
35 Ghana 713 -10 -100
37 Costa Rica 705 10 99
37 Honduras 705 3 16
39 Japan 694 -5 -40
40 Ecuador 692 -1 -5
41 Morocco 654 0 14
42 Slovakia 636 2 15
43 Korea Republic 633 -1 5
44 Hungary 630 3 24
45 Iran 623 1 10
46 Guinea 608 -8 -102
47 Mali 603 -4 -23
48 Lithuania 595 2 12
49 Northern Ireland 593 3 13
50 Colombia 584 -1 -13
51 Slovenia 570 6 38
52 Tunisia 568 -7 -47
53 Belgium 567 1 19
54 Senegal 565 -4 -18
55 Saudi Arabia 556 -2 -3
56 Norway 550 3 24
57 Finland 545 -2 10
58 Bolivia 537 0 9
59 Bosnia-Herzegovina 535 2 18
59 FYR Macedonia 535 -3 2
61 Burkina Faso 520 1 8
62 Gabon 515 0 3
63 Jamaica 508 3 14
64 Wales 501 -4 -21
65 Algeria 497 -1 -4
66 Latvia 493 4 9
67 Uzbekistan 491 2 6
68 Venezuela 490 -3 -6
69 Congo 486 1 2
69 South Africa 486 5 28
71 Peru 478 1 16
72 Uganda 477 -4 -12
73 Gambia 465 2 19
74 Bahrain 461 15 54
75 Panama 459 8 42
76 Angola 455 -9 -37
77 Iceland 444 3 23
78 Trinidad and Tobago 440 -5 -21
79 Albania 435 -1 11
80 Libya 432 -2 8
81 Benin 422 18 60
82 New Zealand 419 0 0
83 Austria 414 9 26
84 Sudan 412 9 29
85 Rwanda 407 6 16
86 Iraq 406 -1 -6
87 Canada 398 -1 -12
87 Togo 398 3 -7
89 Belarus 394 -8 -26
89 Oman 394 5 18
91 Qatar 385 -5 -25
92 Zambia 381 -16 -49
93 Cuba 380 -16 -45
94 Congo DR 374 -8 -36
95 Mozambique 372 3 0
95 Syria 372 10 36
97 Cyprus 368 -3 -8
98 Kenya 367 -14 -46
99 Moldova 364 -2 -9
100 Zimbabwe 350 -4 -24
101 Ethiopia 348 1 0
102 El Salvador 343 8 28
103 Malawi 342 0 0
104 Tanzania 341 -3 -11
105 China PR 339 -1 -1
106 Fiji 333 0 0
107 Cape Verde Islands 332 0 0
108 Georgia 328 0 0
109 Guatemala 324 0 -1
110 Sierra Leone 315 0 0
111 Montenegro 310 2 0
112 Haiti 302 -12 -55
113 Grenada 298 10 45
114 Namibia 297 1 1
115 Bermuda 291 16 62
115 Thailand 291 9 39
117 United Arab Emirates 288 -3 -16
118 Botswana 283 -1 0
119 Korea DPR 280 -3 -7
120 Luxembourg 279 1 20
121 Armenia 278 -9 -35
122 Antigua and Barbuda 265 5 23
122 Estonia 265 -4 5
124 Equatorial Guinea 255 -2 -2
125 Chad 249 -7 -11
126 Jordan 246 0 2
126 Kuwait 246 -8 -14
128 Barbados 243 -3 -5
129 Suriname 231 0 0
130 New Caledonia 229 1 0
131 Singapore 225 4 18
132 Guyana 218 -3 -13
133 Burundi 217 -5 -19
134 Vietnam 216 4 34
135 Azerbaijan 210 -1 1
135 Indonesia 210 9 43
137 Swaziland 209 0 19
138 Kazakhstan 207 -5 -3
138 Madagascar 207 -3 0
140 Liberia 179 -1 0
141 Vanuatu 176 -1 0
142 Hong Kong 174 10 35
143 Puerto Rico 170 -2 -3
144 Niger 168 -2 0
145 Tajikistan 162 1 0
146 India 161 -4 -7
147 Yemen 155 6 24
148 Lebanon 150 -3 -13
149 Mauritania 149 0 0
150 Liechtenstein 147 1 0
151 Netherlands Antilles 142 3 14
152 St. Kitts and Nevis 139 2 11
153 Malta 134 -5 -17
154 Turkmenistan 131 -5 -18
155 Maldives 126 2 0
156 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 123 -9 -30
157 Myanmar 121 -1 -6
158 Kyrgyzstan 112 1 0
159 Eritrea 108 1 0
160 Nicaragua 105 22 60
161 Lesotho 103 0 -3
161 Malaysia 103 -3 -11
163 Solomon Islands 100 0 0
164 Philippines 98 -2 -4
164 Sri Lanka 98 0 0
166 Pakistan 89 -1 0
167 Chinese Taipei 85 -1 0
168 Cayman Islands 76 3 3
169 Bahamas 74 0 0
169 Mauritius 74 0 0
171 Laos 73 -3 -7
172 Seychelles 72 0 0
173 Nepal 70 1 0
174 Bangladesh 68 1 0
175 Samoa 64 1 0
175 St. Lucia 64 1 0
177 Belize 62 -4 -9
178 Somalia 57 0 0
179 Cambodia 56 0 0
179 Palestine 56 1 4
181 Turks and Caicos Islands 51 -14 -32
182 British Virgin Islands 50 -1 0
183 Brunei Darussalam 45 -1 0
184 Afghanistan 44 0 0
185 Faroe Islands 42 0 0
186 Djibouti 41 0 0
187 Dominican Republic 40 0 0
188 Guinea-Bissau 38 0 0
189 Bhutan 33 0 0
190 Tahiti 32 0 0
190 Tonga 32 0 0
192 Mongolia 24 1 0
193 Aruba 22 1 0
194 US Virgin Islands 17 2 0
195 Andorra 14 0 -6
196 Dominica 12 -4 -13
197 Macau 10 0 0
198 Timor-Leste 9 0 0
199 Comoros 8 0 0
200 Central African Republic 6 0 0
201 American Samoa 0 0 0
201 Anguilla 0 0 0
201 Cook Islands 0 0 0
201 Guam 0 0 0
201 Montserrat 0 0 0
201 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
201 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

South Africa - Zambia to lose international match status?

According to KickOff.com (thanks jonny for the tip), Zambia have used 7 substitutes in their friendly against South Africa, thus breaking FIFA regulations regarding the number of substitutes allowed in an international friendly (only six are allowed according to FIFA statutes).

FIFA will not take action as long as there is no official protest from one of the teams involved, similar to the Trinidad & Tobago - England match last year. Again, thanks jonny for the info!

Should South Africa protest?

How was their FIFA ranking affected by this match?

The average of the last 12 months rose from 264.9 to 268.56, gaining 4 points. So at first glance, the South Africans shouldn't be interested in dropping this match from the FIFA ranking calculations. However, they also need to look at the big picture. If they put on a decent performance at the Confederations Cup, this match against Zambia will make it a bit harder to improve their average.

Should Zambia protest?

Their average for the last 12 months went down from 151.49 to 140.675, losing 11 points after this loss. Of course, they would be interested to protest.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Thursday, January 22, 2009

FIFA Ranking: February 2009 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the February 2009 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

22/Jan El Salvador - Nicaragua 1 (Continental Qualifier)
22/Jan Honduras - Belize 1 (Continental Qualifier)
23/Jan Korea DPR - Lebanon 1 (Friendly)
23/Jan Egypt - Kenya 1 (Friendly)
23/Jan Kuwait - Syria X (Friendly)
23/Jan Costa Rica - Panama X (Continental Qualifier)
24/Jan Belize - El Salvador 2 (Continental Qualifier)
24/Jan USA - Sweden X (Friendly)
24/Jan Honduras - Nicaragua 1 (Continental Qualifier)
25/Jan Guatemala - Costa Rica 2 (Continental Qualifier)
26/Jan Nicaragua - Belize X (Continental Qualifier)
26/Jan Honduras - El Salvador 1 (Continental Qualifier)
27/Jan Guatemala - Panama X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Yemen - Hong Kong X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Lebanon - Syria 2 (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Kuwait - Oman X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Bahrain - Japan X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Thailand - Iran 2 (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan United Arab Emirates - Uzbekistan X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Indonesia - Australia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Singapore - Jordan X (Continental Qualifier)
28/Jan Mexico - Sweden X (Friendly)
29/Jan Guatemala - Belize 1 (Continental Qualifier)
30/Jan Honduras - Panama 1 (Continental Qualifier)
30/Jan Costa Rica - El Salvador 1 (Continental Qualifier)
01/Feb Honduras - Costa Rica X Honduras PSO (Continental Qualifier)
01/Feb Panama - El Salvador X Panama PSO (Continental Qualifier)
01/Feb Syria - Korea Republic X (Friendly)
01/Feb Uzbekistan - Azerbaijan 1 (Friendly)
04/Feb Japan - Finland 1 (Friendly)
04/Feb Bahrain - Korea Republic 2 (Friendly)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: February 2009 probable ranking (I)

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

African nations (especially Egypt) will receive a major blow as the 2008 and 2006 editions of the African Nations Cup lose value.

Republic of Ireland will be the big climbers in the top 50, while Romania and Switzerland will return to the top 20.

Australia will improve their best ever ranking, climbing to 26th.

Next update around February 5th.

Probable
February 2009 rank - Team - Probable February 2009 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1693 0 30
2 Germany 1403 0 14
3 Netherlands 1357 0 19
4 Italy 1318 0 -8
5 Brazil 1248 0 2
6 Argentina 1181 0 1
7 Croatia 1175 0 33
8 England 1136 0 21
9 Russia 1119 0 16
10 Turkey 1040 0 24
11 France 1026 0 19
12 Czech Republic 1020 -1 13
12 Portugal 1020 -1 13
14 Ukraine 936 2 27
15 Paraguay 922 3 33
16 Cameroon 900 -2 -89
17 Romania 880 4 22
18 Israel 878 1 1
19 Greece 864 1 -8
20 Switzerland 856 4 32
21 USA 854 1 1
22 Uruguay 849 1 21
23 Nigeria 827 -6 -64
24 Mexico 814 2 3
25 Sweden 798 6 50
26 Australia 786 3 9
27 Bulgaria 773 1 -9
28 Poland 754 3 6
29 Republic of Ireland 747 8 36
30 Egypt 746 -15 -228
31 Chile 743 -1 -14
32 Scotland 739 1 0
33 Serbia 737 2 6
34 Japan 730 0 -4
35 Denmark 725 1 9
36 Côte d'Ivoire 713 -9 -72
36 Ghana 713 -11 -100
38 Honduras 702 2 13
39 Ecuador 692 0 -5
40 Costa Rica 666 7 60
41 Morocco 654 0 14
42 Slovakia 636 2 15
43 Korea Republic 633 -1 5
44 Hungary 630 3 24
44 Iran 630 2 17
46 Guinea 608 -8 -102
47 Mali 603 -4 -23
48 Colombia 597 1 0
49 Lithuania 595 1 12
50 Northern Ireland 593 2 13
51 Slovenia 570 6 38
52 Tunisia 568 -7 -47
53 Belgium 567 1 19
54 Senegal 565 -4 -18
55 Saudi Arabia 556 -2 -3
56 Norway 550 3 24
57 Finland 545 -2 10
58 Bolivia 537 0 9
59 Bosnia-Herzegovina 535 2 18
59 FYR Macedonia 535 -3 2
61 Burkina Faso 520 1 8
62 Gabon 515 0 3
63 Jamaica 508 3 14
64 Wales 501 -4 -21
65 Algeria 497 -1 -4
66 Latvia 493 4 9
67 Venezuela 490 -2 -6
68 Congo 486 2 2
69 South Africa 482 5 24
70 Peru 478 2 16
71 Uganda 477 -3 -12
72 Uzbekistan 468 -3 -17
73 Gambia 465 2 19
74 Angola 455 -7 -37
75 Iceland 444 5 23
76 Trinidad and Tobago 440 -3 -21
77 Albania 435 1 11
78 Libya 432 0 8
79 Panama 430 4 13
80 Bahrain 424 9 17
81 Benin 422 18 60
82 New Zealand 419 0 0
83 Austria 414 9 26
84 Sudan 412 9 29
85 Rwanda 407 6 16
86 Iraq 406 -1 -6
87 Canada 398 -1 -12
87 Togo 398 3 -7
89 Belarus 394 -8 -26
90 Zambia 392 -14 -38
91 Kenya 388 -7 -25
92 Qatar 385 -6 -25
93 Oman 382 1 6
94 Cuba 380 -17 -45
95 Congo DR 374 -9 -36
96 Mozambique 372 2 0
97 Cyprus 368 -3 -8
98 Moldova 364 -1 -9
98 Syria 364 7 28
100 El Salvador 357 10 42
101 Zimbabwe 350 -5 -24
102 Ethiopia 348 0 0
103 Guatemala 346 6 21
104 Malawi 342 -1 0
105 Tanzania 341 -4 -11
106 China PR 339 -2 -1
107 Fiji 333 -1 0
108 Cape Verde Islands 332 -1 0
109 Georgia 328 -1 0
110 Sierra Leone 315 0 0
111 Montenegro 310 2 0
112 Haiti 302 -12 -55
113 Grenada 298 10 45
114 Namibia 297 1 1
115 United Arab Emirates 295 -1 -9
116 Bermuda 291 15 62
117 Korea DPR 289 -1 2
118 Botswana 283 -1 0
119 Thailand 280 5 28
120 Luxembourg 279 1 20
121 Armenia 278 -9 -35
122 Antigua and Barbuda 265 5 23
122 Estonia 265 -4 5
124 Kuwait 263 -6 3
125 Equatorial Guinea 255 -3 -2
126 Jordan 253 0 9
127 Chad 249 -9 -11
128 Barbados 243 -3 -5
129 Suriname 231 0 0
130 New Caledonia 229 1 0
131 Guyana 218 -2 -13
132 Burundi 217 -4 -19
133 Vietnam 216 5 34
134 Azerbaijan 210 0 1
135 Swaziland 209 2 19
136 Kazakhstan 207 -3 -3
136 Madagascar 207 -1 0
138 Singapore 202 -3 -5
139 Indonesia 192 5 25
140 Liberia 179 -1 0
141 Vanuatu 176 -1 0
142 Hong Kong 174 10 35
143 Puerto Rico 170 -2 -3
144 Niger 168 -2 0
145 Tajikistan 162 1 0
146 India 161 -4 -7
147 Mauritania 149 2 0
148 Liechtenstein 147 3 0
149 Lebanon 143 -4 -20
150 Netherlands Antilles 142 4 14
151 St. Kitts and Nevis 139 3 11
152 Malta 134 -4 -17
153 Turkmenistan 131 -4 -18
154 Yemen 128 -1 -3
155 Maldives 126 2 0
156 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 123 -9 -30
157 Myanmar 121 -1 -6
158 Kyrgyzstan 112 1 0
159 Eritrea 108 1 0
160 Lesotho 103 1 -3
160 Malaysia 103 -2 -11
162 Solomon Islands 100 1 0
163 Philippines 98 -1 -4
163 Sri Lanka 98 1 0
165 Pakistan 89 0 0
166 Chinese Taipei 85 0 0
167 Cayman Islands 76 4 3
168 Bahamas 74 1 0
168 Mauritius 74 1 0
170 Laos 73 -2 -7
171 Seychelles 72 1 0
172 Nepal 70 2 0
173 Bangladesh 68 2 0
174 Samoa 64 2 0
174 St. Lucia 64 2 0
176 Somalia 57 2 0
177 Cambodia 56 2 0
177 Palestine 56 3 4
179 Belize 53 -6 -18
180 Turks and Caicos Islands 51 -13 -32
181 British Virgin Islands 50 0 0
182 Brunei Darussalam 45 0 0
182 Nicaragua 45 0 0
184 Afghanistan 44 0 0
185 Faroe Islands 42 0 0
186 Djibouti 41 0 0
187 Dominican Republic 40 0 0
188 Guinea-Bissau 38 0 0
189 Bhutan 33 0 0
190 Tahiti 32 0 0
190 Tonga 32 0 0
192 Mongolia 24 1 0
193 Aruba 22 1 0
194 US Virgin Islands 17 2 0
195 Andorra 14 0 -6
196 Dominica 12 -4 -13
197 Macau 10 0 0
198 Timor-Leste 9 0 0
199 Comoros 8 0 0
200 Central African Republic 6 0 0
201 American Samoa 0 0 0
201 Anguilla 0 0 0
201 Cook Islands 0 0 0
201 Guam 0 0 0
201 Montserrat 0 0 0
201 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
201 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.