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Friday, February 26, 2010

FIFA Ranking: February 2010 final preview

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

FIFA will release the February ranking on March 3rd.

Included: matches up to and including February 25th, 2010 - the official deadline for matches. However, FIFA will include at least two more matches - the final (Korea DPR - Turkmenistan) and the third place match (Tajikistan - Myanmar) of the 2010 AFC Challenge Cup, since it's an official AFC competition. There's also a Malaysia - Yemen friendly - I'm not so sure about this one being included though.

Here's how the totals can change for these six teams:

Korea DPR (loss - 318, PSO loss - 321, PSO win - 324, win - 328)
Yemen (loss - 267, draw - 271, win - 281)
Turkmenistan (loss - 156, PSO loss - 167, PSO win - 177, win - 188)
Tajikistan (loss - 155, PSO loss - 161, PSO win - 168, win - 175)
Myanmar (loss - 147, PSO loss - 152, PSO win - 158, win - 163)
Malaysia (loss - 97, draw - 106, win - 124)

In the ranking table, the value displayed for these teams is the minimum possible value. This means that even if they lose, their total can't drop.

If the Malaysia - Yemen match won't be included, Malaysia will have 102 points and Yemen 290.

Montenegro will have their highest ever ranking - 71st, they were 72nd last month.

Two teams will return to their best ever ranking:

Serbia (13th - first achieved in September 2009)
Guam (182nd - first achieved in August 1996)

Morocco will have their worst ever ranking - 70th. They previous low was 67th in November 2009.

Best movers:

12 - Tajikistan
7 - Estonia
6 - Serbia, Slovenia, Peru, Guyana and Swaziland

Tajikistan can still improve.

Worst movers:

-19 - Korea DPR
-13 - Barbados
-12 - Turks and Caicos Islands

Korea DPR's total plunges because they have played 4 friendly matches (final included) against teams ranked below 100.

Best movers in the top 50:

6 - Serbia and Slovenia
5 - Slovakia
4 - Hungary

A good day for Central and Eastern Europe.

Worst movers in the top 50:

-7 - Denmark and Egypt
-6 - Japan and Nigeria
-4 - USA and Korea Republic

Devaluation of points (Egypt and Nigeria), defeats (Japan and Korea Republic) and friendly against a team with a low ranking (USA).

Cameroon overtake Nigeria for Africa's 2nd place.

Mexico are now ranked 1st in CONCACAF, USA drop to 2nd.

Germany up to 4th in Europe, at the expense of Portugal.

February 2010 rank - Team - January 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1642 0 15
2 Brazil 1594 0 26
3 Netherlands 1324 0 36
4 Italy 1226 0 17
5 Germany 1208 1 35
6 Portugal 1201 -1 25
7 France 1171 0 54
8 England 1109 1 33
9 Argentina 1087 -1 5
10 Greece 1074 2 44
11 Croatia 1050 0 -3
12 Russia 1042 1 16
13 Serbia 980 6 64
14 Chile 971 2 16
15 Mexico 968 2 21
15 Switzerland 968 3 44
17 Egypt 967 -7 -102
18 USA 954 -4 -9
19 Uruguay 936 2 27
20 Cameroon 888 0 -26
21 Nigeria 879 -6 -77
22 Côte d'Ivoire 874 0 9
23 Australia 867 0 10
24 Ukraine 851 0 3
25 Czech Republic 843 0 15
26 Israel 821 1 -2
27 Slovenia 819 6 52
28 Ghana 818 -1 -5
29 Paraguay 815 0 9
30 Bulgaria 813 0 12
31 Slovakia 811 5 59
32 Algeria 804 -1 20
33 Denmark 799 -7 -28
34 Norway 798 -2 26
35 Honduras 776 -1 17
36 Romania 774 2 29
37 Ecuador 761 -2 8
38 Colombia 757 1 21
39 Republic of Ireland 748 -2 2
40 Northern Ireland 747 0 18
41 Turkey 739 1 11
42 Sweden 737 1 10
43 Gabon 706 1 0
44 Costa Rica 701 1 2
45 Scotland 681 1 16
46 Japan 672 -6 -57
47 Latvia 662 2 28
48 Hungary 645 4 30
49 Bosnia-Herzegovina 644 -1 -1
49 Venezuela 644 -2 -2
51 Burkina Faso 638 0 22
52 Finland 635 2 59
53 Korea Republic 616 -4 -18
54 Mali 595 -1 -3
55 Tunisia 587 0 14
56 Austria 567 5 44
57 Saudi Arabia 555 2 17
58 Bolivia 546 -3 -27
59 Poland 540 -2 -27
60 Lithuania 530 2 8
61 Canada 512 -4 -55
62 Peru 510 6 39
63 Bahrain 507 -3 -23
64 FYR Macedonia 506 0 11
65 Benin 503 2 20
66 Cyprus 495 2 24
67 Iran 493 -4 -6
68 Belgium 490 -2 -1
69 Togo 483 1 15
70 Morocco 482 -5 -10
71 Montenegro 456 1 0
72 El Salvador 452 -1 -11
73 Zambia 449 0 0
74 Uganda 447 0 0
75 Uzbekistan 442 0 11
76 Wales 421 0 1
77 Jamaica 407 1 4
78 Panama 402 -1 -4
79 Belarus 400 1 3
80 New Zealand 398 -1 -2
81 South Africa 391 0 0
82 Malawi 388 0 4
83 China PR 385 4 12
84 Mozambique 382 -2 -2
85 Trinidad and Tobago 380 -1 -2
86 Angola 379 2 8
87 Iraq 373 -1 -2
88 Kuwait 368 4 10
89 Guinea 367 1 6
90 Haiti 363 5 16
91 Iceland 355 3 6
92 Qatar 354 -3 -16
93 Oman 351 0 -1
94 Senegal 347 -3 -12
95 Gambia 344 3 11
96 Albania 335 1 -1
97 Estonia 332 7 17
98 Cape Verde Islands 331 2 0
99 Moldova 330 -3 -8
100 Thailand 329 -2 -4
101 Syria 325 -1 -6
102 Armenia 320 0 -1
102 Congo 320 1 0
104 Korea DPR 318 -19 -60
105 Rwanda 282 2 7
106 Jordan 270 0 -6
107 Yemen 267 -2 -27
108 Tanzania 264 0 -2
109 Azerbaijan 252 5 16
110 Sudan 251 -1 0
111 Namibia 249 -2 -2
112 Congo DR 248 -1 0
113 Kenya 244 -1 0
114 Vietnam 231 2 0
115 United Arab Emirates 230 -2 -11
116 Libya 227 -1 -6
117 Zimbabwe 224 0 -5
118 Faroe Islands 223 0 1
119 Botswana 218 0 -1
120 Guyana 205 6 19
120 Singapore 205 0 -12
122 Ethiopia 204 -1 0
123 Antigua and Barbuda 203 4 19
124 Cuba 200 1 9
124 Georgia 200 -2 -2
126 Luxembourg 196 -2 1
127 Kazakhstan 191 -4 -10
128 Guatemala 174 3 10
129 Fiji 167 0 0
130 India 164 0 -2
131 Grenada 163 2 5
132 Swaziland 161 6 9
133 Sierra Leone 159 -1 0
134 Bermuda 156 1 0
134 Turkmenistan 156 0 -1
136 Indonesia 155 0 0
136 Tajikistan 155 12 32
138 Equatorial Guinea 151 0 -1
139 Myanmar 147 2 3
140 Maldives 146 0 0
141 Barbados 136 -13 -35
142 Hong Kong 134 -5 -19
143 Suriname 133 -1 0
144 Chad 132 -1 2
145 New Caledonia 126 1 0
146 Burundi 123 1 -1
147 Lesotho 120 2 0
148 Lebanon 116 -3 -11
148 Malta 116 -4 -13
150 Liechtenstein 112 3 2
150 Nepal 112 2 0
152 Sri Lanka 111 -1 -4
152 St. Kitts and Nevis 111 3 5
154 Vanuatu 108 0 0
155 Pakistan 107 1 2
156 Madagascar 105 0 0
157 Bangladesh 102 -7 -15
158 Nicaragua 101 4 9
159 Liberia 98 1 0
160 Malaysia 97 -1 -3
161 Kyrgyzstan 95 -3 -8
162 Chinese Taipei 93 0 1
162 Mauritania 93 -1 0
164 Eritrea 92 -2 0
164 Niger 92 -2 0
166 Netherlands Antilles 90 3 10
167 Puerto Rico 89 -1 0
168 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 86 0 4
169 Philippines 85 -2 0
170 Mongolia 61 0 0
171 Solomon Islands 60 0 0
172 Cambodia 56 1 0
173 Palestine 48 -1 -9
174 Bahamas 44 2 1
174 Seychelles 44 1 0
176 Comoros 43 0 0
177 Mauritius 40 1 0
178 Cayman Islands 39 1 0
178 Laos 39 1 0
178 Somalia 39 1 0
181 Samoa 38 1 0
182 Belize 34 4 1
182 Cook Islands 34 2 0
182 Guam 34 2 0
185 Dominica 33 -3 -5
186 St. Lucia 32 1 0
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 32 -12 -13
188 Macau 31 0 0
189 Tonga 28 0 0
190 Dominican Republic 26 0 0
191 British Virgin Islands 25 0 0
191 Brunei Darussalam 25 0 0
193 Djibouti 23 0 0
194 Afghanistan 20 0 0
195 Guinea-Bissau 19 0 0
195 Tahiti 19 0 0
197 Bhutan 17 0 0
198 Aruba 11 0 0
199 US Virgin Islands 9 0 1
200 Central African Republic 4 0 0
200 Timor-Leste 4 0 0
202 Andorra 3 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Wednesday, February 24, 2010

FIFA Ranking: Spain set to lose top spot

As I already explained last November, Spain will lose their place at the top of the ranking. It will happen either on March 31st or on April 28th, but we'll know exactly on March 3rd.

Brazil need to better against the Republic of Ireland than Spain do against France.

Here are the possible outcomes for Spain and Brazil, depending on their results on March 3rd (and 2nd):

Spain (L - 1563, D - 1576, W - 1602)
Brazil (L - 1559, D - 1569, W - 1589)

If Spain lose against France, Brazil need to get at least a draw against the Republic of Ireland.
If Spain get a point against France, Brazil need three in their match.
If Spain defeat France, they will keep their spot at the top of the rankings.

Since Brazil and Spain don't have other matches before March 31st, we'll know the outcome on March 3rd.

Even if Spain keep their top spot, Brazil will surely overtake them on April 28th.

Spain's total in April with a win against France: 1565 points.
Brazil's total in April with a loss against the Republic of Ireland: 1579 points.

Will that make Brazil a World Cup favorite for Iker Casillas?

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Monday, February 22, 2010

African Cup of Nations 2012: Seeding and draw

CAF changed the seeding criteria and it did an actual draw, so all my work was basically in vain :)

Full details on the draw on CAFOnline.com.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Friday, February 19, 2010

Is it too much to ask?

As you can see in the header section of this site, there a line of text - 18 words.

You are free to use data from this website as long as you include a link to Football-Rankings.info.

Pretty easy to understand. Probably not for Bonnie Mugabe of Rwanda's New Times. Mr. Mugabe copied data from this website and completely forgot to mention the source.

This is the New Times article:

2012 CAN seedings out

and this is my post:

African Cup of Nations: Seeding for Gabon/Equatorial Guinea 2012 qualifiers

Not only did he copy info from my website, but he chose the wrong post. The updated info can be found here:

African Cup of Nations: Seeding for Gabon/Equatorial Guinea 2012 qualifiers (1 February 2010)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Monday, February 15, 2010

FIFA Ranking: February 2010 preview (II)

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

Included: matches up to and including February 14th, 2010.

The February ranking will actually be published on March 3rd, but since it's the second ranking of the year...

Next update: February 26th, 2010.

Five friendlies and the 2010 AFC Challenge Cup still to be played. All matches will be considered friendlies for FIFA ranking purposes.

India will send their U-23 team to the AFC Challenge Cup. Thus, their matches won't count for the FIFA ranking.

In January, Denmark won the 2010 King's Cup using a Denmark League XI team. Those matches were obviously not included in the last release of the FIFA ranking. However, all three matches (3 - 1 vs. Poland, 5 - 1 vs. Singapore and 3 - 0 vs. Thailand) will be included in this release. Bad news for all four teams involved, as Denmark will lose 47 points, Poland 13, Thailand 22 and Singapore 10.

Since India will use their U-23 team, I can't use the Elo Ratings to compute probable results, so the table you'll see below lists the minimum possible value for all teams that still have to play games. A short reminder of those games:

19/Feb Kuwait - Syria
24/Feb Kuwait - Bahrain
24/Feb Mexico - Bolivia
24/Feb USA - El Salvador
25/Feb Jordan - Azerbaijan

Korea DPR, Turkmenistan, Myanmar, Tajikistan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and Kyrgyzstan are involved in the AFC Challenge Cup.

These 16 teams can still improve their totals. The values listed for the other 191 teams are final.

February 2010 rank - Team - February 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1642 0 15
2 Brazil 1594 0 26
3 Netherlands 1324 0 36
4 Italy 1226 0 17
5 Germany 1208 1 35
6 Portugal 1201 -1 25
7 France 1171 0 54
8 England 1109 1 33
9 Argentina 1087 -1 5
10 Greece 1074 2 44
11 Croatia 1050 0 -3
12 Russia 1042 1 16
13 Serbia 980 6 64
14 Chile 971 2 16
15 Switzerland 968 3 44
16 Egypt 967 -6 -102
17 Mexico 947 0 0
18 USA 940 -4 -23
19 Uruguay 936 2 27
20 Cameroon 888 0 -26
21 Nigeria 879 -6 -77
22 Côte d'Ivoire 874 0 9
23 Australia 867 0 10
24 Ukraine 851 0 3
25 Czech Republic 843 0 15
26 Israel 821 1 -2
27 Slovenia 819 6 52
28 Ghana 818 -1 -5
29 Paraguay 815 0 9
30 Bulgaria 813 0 12
31 Slovakia 811 5 59
32 Algeria 804 -1 20
33 Denmark 799 -7 -28
34 Norway 798 -2 26
35 Honduras 776 -1 17
36 Romania 774 2 29
37 Ecuador 761 -2 8
38 Colombia 757 1 21
39 Republic of Ireland 748 -2 2
40 Northern Ireland 747 0 18
41 Turkey 739 1 11
42 Sweden 737 1 10
43 Gabon 706 1 0
44 Costa Rica 701 1 2
45 Scotland 681 1 16
46 Japan 672 -6 -57
47 Latvia 662 2 28
48 Hungary 645 4 30
49 Bosnia-Herzegovina 644 -1 -1
49 Venezuela 644 -2 -2
51 Burkina Faso 638 0 22
52 Finland 635 2 59
53 Korea Republic 616 -4 -18
54 Mali 595 -1 -3
55 Tunisia 587 0 14
56 Austria 567 5 44
57 Saudi Arabia 555 2 17
58 Bolivia 546 -3 -27
59 Poland 540 -2 -27
60 Lithuania 530 2 8
61 Canada 512 -4 -55
62 Peru 510 6 39
63 Bahrain 507 -3 -23
64 FYR Macedonia 506 0 11
65 Benin 503 2 20
66 Cyprus 495 2 24
67 Iran 493 -4 -6
68 Belgium 490 -2 -1
69 Togo 483 1 15
70 Morocco 482 -5 -10
71 Montenegro 456 1 0
72 El Salvador 452 -1 -11
73 Zambia 449 0 0
74 Uganda 447 0 0
75 Uzbekistan 442 0 11
76 Wales 421 0 1
77 Jamaica 407 1 4
78 Panama 402 -1 -4
79 Belarus 400 1 3
80 New Zealand 398 -1 -2
81 South Africa 391 0 0
82 Malawi 388 0 4
83 China PR 385 4 12
84 Mozambique 382 -2 -2
85 Trinidad and Tobago 380 -1 -2
86 Angola 379 2 8
87 Iraq 373 -1 -2
88 Guinea 367 2 6
89 Haiti 363 6 16
90 Iceland 355 4 6
91 Qatar 354 -2 -16
92 Oman 351 1 -1
93 Senegal 347 -2 -12
94 Gambia 344 4 11
95 Kuwait 336 -3 -22
96 Albania 335 1 -1
97 Estonia 332 7 17
98 Cape Verde Islands 331 2 0
99 Moldova 330 -3 -8
100 Thailand 329 -2 -4
101 Armenia 320 1 -1
101 Congo 320 2 0
103 Syria 319 -3 -12
104 Korea DPR 317 -19 -61
105 Yemen 290 0 -4
106 Rwanda 282 1 7
107 Jordan 270 -1 -6
108 Tanzania 264 0 -2
109 Sudan 251 0 0
110 Namibia 249 -1 -2
111 Congo DR 248 0 0
112 Kenya 244 0 0
113 Vietnam 231 3 0
114 Azerbaijan 230 0 -6
114 United Arab Emirates 230 -1 -11
116 Libya 227 -1 -6
117 Zimbabwe 224 0 -5
118 Faroe Islands 222 0 0
119 Botswana 218 0 -1
120 Guyana 205 6 19
120 Singapore 205 0 -12
122 Ethiopia 204 -1 0
123 Antigua and Barbuda 203 4 19
124 Cuba 200 1 9
124 Georgia 200 -2 -2
126 Luxembourg 196 -2 1
127 Kazakhstan 191 -4 -10
128 Guatemala 174 3 10
129 Fiji 167 0 0
130 India 164 0 -2
131 Grenada 163 2 5
132 Swaziland 161 6 9
133 Sierra Leone 159 -1 0
134 Bermuda 156 1 0
135 Indonesia 155 1 0
136 Equatorial Guinea 151 2 -1
137 Maldives 146 3 0
138 Barbados 136 -10 -35
139 Hong Kong 134 -2 -19
140 Suriname 133 2 0
141 Chad 132 2 2
142 Myanmar 131 -1 -13
143 Turkmenistan 128 -9 -29
144 New Caledonia 126 2 0
145 Tajikistan 125 3 2
146 Burundi 123 1 -1
147 Lesotho 120 2 0
148 Lebanon 116 -3 -11
148 Malta 116 -4 -13
150 Liechtenstein 112 3 2
150 Nepal 112 2 0
152 St. Kitts and Nevis 111 3 5
153 Vanuatu 108 1 0
154 Pakistan 107 2 2
155 Madagascar 105 1 0
156 Sri Lanka 103 -5 -12
157 Malaysia 102 2 2
158 Nicaragua 101 4 9
159 Liberia 98 1 0
160 Kyrgyzstan 95 -2 -8
161 Chinese Taipei 93 1 1
161 Mauritania 93 0 0
163 Eritrea 92 -1 0
163 Niger 92 -1 0
165 Netherlands Antilles 90 4 10
166 Puerto Rico 89 0 0
167 Bangladesh 88 -17 -29
168 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 86 0 4
169 Philippines 85 -2 0
170 Mongolia 61 0 0
171 Solomon Islands 60 0 0
172 Cambodia 56 1 0
173 Palestine 48 -1 -9
174 Seychelles 44 1 0
175 Bahamas 43 1 0
175 Comoros 43 1 0
177 Mauritius 40 1 0
178 Cayman Islands 39 1 0
178 Laos 39 1 0
178 Somalia 39 1 0
181 Samoa 38 1 0
182 Belize 34 4 1
182 Cook Islands 34 2 0
182 Guam 34 2 0
185 Dominica 33 -3 -5
186 St. Lucia 32 1 0
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 32 -12 -13
188 Macau 31 0 0
189 Tonga 28 0 0
190 Dominican Republic 26 0 0
191 British Virgin Islands 25 0 0
191 Brunei Darussalam 25 0 0
193 Djibouti 23 0 0
194 Afghanistan 20 0 0
195 Guinea-Bissau 19 0 0
195 Tahiti 19 0 0
197 Bhutan 17 0 0
198 Aruba 11 0 0
199 US Virgin Islands 8 0 0
200 Central African Republic 4 0 0
200 Timor-Leste 4 0 0
202 Andorra 3 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.