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Monday, May 28, 2012

FIFA Women's Ranking: June 2012 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on June 1st.

I'm still waiting for an answer for FIFA regarding possible errors in the rankings, so bear this in mind while looking at the table below.

Only three matches left:

Slovakia - Korea DPR (Friendly)
Canada - China PR (Friendly)
Germany - Romania (Continental Qualifier)

This is how the points can change:

Order of fields: Team, Current points, followed by points lost/gained for 6 - 0, 1 - 0, 0 - 1 and 0 - 6 score lines.

Germany 2168 (0, -4, -25, -29)
Canada 1971 (3, 1,  -10, -12)
Korea DPR 1970 (2, 0, -10, -13)
China PR (12, 10, -1, -3)
Romania (29, 25, 4, 0)
Slovakia (13, 10, 0, -2)

Current ranking (as of 28 May 2012)


Friday, May 25, 2012

FIFA Women's ranking: Update postponed

I know I promised an update today, but since there are many matches that could affect the top 10 this week-end, I decided to postpone the update for Monday, 28 May 2012.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: June 2012 probable ranking (II)

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

The 2012 June ranking will be published on 6 June. The official deadline for matches is 31 May. However, in the article connected to the May FIFA Ranking it says:

The June edition will undoubtedly bring more movement with it, as friendlies are played in Europe to warm up for UEFA EURO 2012 and another batch of 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil™ qualifiers influence the calculations. 

The first qualifiers will take place on 1 June, after the official deadline, so for the June ranking I will use Sunday, 3 June 2012, as deadline for matches. Not sure if FIFA will do the same.


FIFA Ranking: June 2012 probable results (II)

Here are the probable results used for the June 2012 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

The OFC Nations Cup matches are considered World Cup qualifiers by FIFA (more info).


FIFA Ranking: June 2012 preview (II)

The 2012 June ranking will be published on 6 June. The official deadline for matches is 31 May. However, in the article connected to the May FIFA Ranking it says:

The June edition will undoubtedly bring more movement with it, as friendlies are played in Europe to warm up for UEFA EURO 2012 and another batch of 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil™ qualifiers influence the calculations. 

The first qualifiers will take place on 1 June, after the official deadline, so for the June ranking I will use Sunday, 3 June 2012, as deadline for matches. Not sure if FIFA will do the same.

Friday, May 18, 2012

EURO 2012 simulations

10000 simulations using the Elo Ratings.

Most likely final:

14.41% - Netherlands vs. Spain
12.73% - Germany vs. Netherlands
11.65% - Germany vs. Spain
4.38% - England vs. Spain
3.17% - Italy vs. Spain
3.05% - Croatia vs. Spain
2.61% - Spain vs. Sweden
2.49% - England vs. Netherlands
2.16% - England vs. Germany
2.09% - Netherlands vs. Portugal

By team

Columns: Team - 4th in group, 3rd in group, out in QF, out in SF, losing finalists, winners


Team G4 G3 LQF LSF LF W
Croatia 23.47% 34.32% 23.62% 11.70% 4.56% 2.33%
Czech Republic 28.51% 26.61% 34.36% 7.34% 2.23% 0.95%
Denmark 57.17% 27.72% 7.03% 5.53% 1.74% 0.81%
England 14.99% 21.70% 33.72% 16.57% 7.67% 5.35%
France 33.69% 27.41% 24.66% 9.34% 3.19% 1.71%
Germany 7.06% 18.45% 15.50% 22.59% 16.57% 19.83%
Greece 29.02% 25.76% 35.63% 6.88% 2.05% 0.66%
Italy 25.03% 31.44% 23.65% 12.49% 4.84% 2.55%
Netherlands 5.00% 13.49% 14.98% 24.39% 18.60% 23.54%
Poland 22.84% 23.71% 40.39% 9.51% 2.79% 0.76%
Portugal 30.77% 40.34% 10.87% 10.69% 4.47% 2.86%
Republic of Ireland 49.82% 28.67% 13.91% 5.35% 1.49% 0.76%
Russia 19.63% 23.92% 41.24% 10.04% 3.59% 1.58%
Spain 1.68% 5.57% 20.69% 22.49% 17.85% 31.72%
Sweden 24.34% 25.53% 30.29% 12.20% 4.99% 2.65%
Ukraine 26.98% 25.36% 29.46% 12.89% 3.37% 1.94%


Champions:

31.72% - Spain
23.54% - Netherlands
19.83% - Germany
5.35% - England
2.86% - Portugal
2.65% - Sweden
2.55% - Italy
2.33% - Croatia
1.94% - Ukraine
1.71% - France
1.58% - Russia
0.95% - Czech Republic
0.81% - Denmark
0.76% - Republic of Ireland
0.76% - Poland
0.66% - Greece

Losing finalists:

18.60% - Netherlands
17.85% - Spain
16.57% - Germany
7.67% - England
4.99% - Sweden
4.84% - Italy
4.56% - Croatia
4.47% - Portugal
3.59% - Russia
3.37% - Ukraine
3.19% - France
2.79% - Poland
2.23% - Czech Republic
2.05% - Greece
1.74% - Denmark
1.49% - Republic of Ireland

Losing semifinalists:

24.39% - Netherlands
22.59% - Germany
22.49% - Spain
16.57% - England
12.89% - Ukraine
12.49% - Italy
12.20% - Sweden
11.70% - Croatia
10.69% - Portugal
10.04% - Russia
9.51% - Poland
9.34% - France
7.34% - Czech Republic
6.88% - Greece
5.53% - Denmark
5.35% - Republic of Ireland

Losing quarterfinalists:

41.24% - Russia
40.39% - Poland
35.63% - Greece
34.36% - Czech Republic
33.72% - England
30.29% - Sweden
29.46% - Ukraine
24.66% - France
23.65% - Italy
23.62% - Croatia
20.69% - Spain
15.50% - Germany
14.98% - Netherlands
13.91% - Republic of Ireland
10.87% - Portugal
7.03% - Denmark

Third in group:

40.34% - Portugal
34.32% - Croatia
31.44% - Italy
28.67% - Republic of Ireland
27.72% - Denmark
27.41% - France
26.61% - Czech Republic
25.76% - Greece
25.53% - Sweden
25.36% - Ukraine
23.92% - Russia
23.71% - Poland
21.70% - England
18.45% - Germany
13.49% - Netherlands
5.57% - Spain

Fourth in group:

57.17% - Denmark
49.82% - Republic of Ireland
33.69% - France
30.77% - Portugal
29.02% - Greece
28.51% - Czech Republic
26.98% - Ukraine
25.03% - Italy
24.34% - Sweden
23.47% - Croatia
22.84% - Poland
19.63% - Russia
14.99% - England
7.06% - Germany
5.00% - Netherlands
1.68% - Spain

Eliminated in the group stage:

84.89% - Denmark
78.49% - Republic of Ireland
71.11% - Portugal
61.10% - France
57.79% - Croatia
56.47% - Italy
55.12% - Czech Republic
54.78% - Greece
52.34% - Ukraine
49.87% - Sweden
46.55% - Poland
43.55% - Russia
36.69% - England
25.51% - Germany
18.49% - Netherlands
7.25% - Spain

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

May 2012: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Solomon Islands 183 120 63
Syria 126 64 62
New Zealand 130 68 62
Fiji 160 118 42
Vanuatu 172 130 42
Mauritania 201 159 42
Bulgaria 96 56 40
Cyprus 133 96 37
Moldova 142 106 36
New Caledonia 155 119 36

Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference


Sierra Leone 61 126 -65
São Tomé e Príncipe 116 170 -54
Algeria 38 87 -49
Luxembourg 119 163 -44
Libya 46 86 -40
St. Kitts and Nevis 111 150 -39
Samoa 156 192 -36
Vietnam 97 132 -35
Bermuda 107 142 -35
Antigua and Barbuda 100 134 -34

Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference


Egypt 57 30 27
Poland 65 38 27
Ukraine 50 27 23
Iran 52 32 20
Cameroon 64 44 20
Costa Rica 59 43 16
Nigeria 63 48 15
Ecuador 37 23 14
Korea Republic 31 21 10
Israel 58 48 10

Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference


Algeria 38 87 -49
Libya 46 86 -40
Armenia 47 80 -33
Slovakia 34 64 -30
Gabon 42 72 -30
Slovenia 28 53 -25
El Salvador 49 70 -21
Mali 39 58 -19
Ghana 22 37 -15
Bosnia-Herzegovina 27 41 -14

Matches I would have liked to see before the next ranking:

Egypt - Slovakia
Poland - Algeria
Ukraine - Slovenia
Iran - Armenia
Cameroon - Sierra Leone
Costa Rica - Estonia
Nigeria - Libya
Ecuador - Bosnia-Herzegovina
Korea Republic - Wales
Israel - Gabon

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

My first guest post on another blog

FilipinoFootball asked me to write something about Philippines' FIFA ranking.

Just to add something:

A list of ideal opponents for the month of May (based on Elo Ratings), that would bring the Philippines at least 200 points for a win:

Sao Tome e Principe
Luxembourg
St. Kitts and Nevis
Bermuda
Faroe Islands
Antigua and Barbuda
Vietnam
Liechtenstein
Liberia
Equatorial Guinea

Taking into account distance:

Vietnam
Luxembourg
Sao Tome e Principe
Faroe Islands
Liechtenstein
Chad
Bermuda
Equatorial Guinea
St. Kitts and Nevis
Liberia

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

AFC like 3D TVs

Two days ago I was surprised to see a tweet from the official Twitter account of the Asian Football Confederation. It's deleted now (too bad I didn't make a screen shot), but here it is:

"Why Do You Want to Excite Your Senses with LG Cinema 3D Smart TV?"

It also contained a link to an advertorial on galvintan.com.

Somebody at AFC must really like LG :)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

Friday, May 11, 2012

FIFA Ranking: June 2012 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

The 2012 June ranking will be published on 6 June. The official deadline for matches is 31 May. However, in the article connected to the May FIFA Ranking it says:

The June edition will undoubtedly bring more movement with it, as friendlies are played in Europe to warm up for UEFA EURO 2012 and another batch of 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil™ qualifiers influence the calculations. 

The first qualifiers will take place on 1 June, after the official deadline, so for the June ranking I will use Sunday, 3 June 2012, as deadline for matches. Not sure if FIFA will do the same.

Spain's top spot in danger. And the danger is coming from... Uruguay. La Celeste will certainly climb to 2nd with a win against Venezuela on home ground and at least a draw against Russia in Moscow, but in order to grab the top spot they need to defeat Russia and also Spain to lose their 3 friendlies (Serbia, Korea Republic and China).

Portugal will drop at least 1 spot, even if they win their friendlies against Macedonia and Turkey.


Probable June 2012 rank - Team - Probable June 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1456 0 14
2 Uruguay 1341 1 32
3 Germany 1338 -1 -7
4 Netherlands 1262 0 55
5 Brazil 1184 1 19
6 Argentina 1147 3 71
7 England 1101 0 -31
8 Portugal 1074 -3 -116
9 Croatia 1053 -1 -61
10 Chile 995 3 27
11 Greece 984 3 23
12 Denmark 982 -2 -87
13 Italy 976 -1 -65
14 Russia 961 -3 -88
15 Côte d'Ivoire 948 0 -3
16 France 934 0 -4
17 Sweden 910 0 -21
18 Republic of Ireland 907 0 16
19 Mexico 858 1 -9
20 Switzerland 853 -2 -38
21 Australia 837 0 -25
22 Paraguay 831 3 30
23 Japan 822 7 69
24 Ghana 818 -2 2
25 Czech Republic 816 1 18
26 Norway 806 -2 1
27 Colombia 802 -4 -10
28 USA 767 1 -12
29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 756 -2 -36
30 Algeria 734 8 67
31 Korea Republic 719 0 -27
32 Slovenia 716 -4 -65
33 Turkey 713 0 -7
34 Serbia 703 -2 -22
35 Ecuador 699 2 20
36 Peru 688 0 -3
37 Mali 682 2 26
38 Hungary 677 -3 -15
39 Zambia 662 1 22
40 Wales 658 1 23
41 Slovakia 649 -7 -67
42 Gabon 612 0 -9
43 Scotland 611 5 15
43 Ukraine 611 7 22
45 Belgium 593 -1 -11
46 Tunisia 591 10 28
47 Venezuela 586 -4 -27
48 Armenia 579 -1 -19
49 Libya 578 -3 -24
50 Iran 576 2 1
51 Egypt 571 6 12
52 Jamaica 568 -1 -8
53 Montenegro 562 2 -7
54 El Salvador 561 -5 -30
55 Morocco 551 5 3
55 Sierra Leone 551 6 9
57 South Africa 550 10 50
58 Panama 547 -6 -28
59 Estonia 534 -5 -40
60 Uzbekistan 530 10 37
61 Romania 526 -16 -77
62 Honduras 525 0 -15
63 Cameroon 518 1 -8
63 Poland 518 2 4
65 Cape Verde Islands 517 11 68
66 Costa Rica 505 -7 -44
67 Haiti 499 4 13
68 Belarus 497 1 3
68 Nigeria 497 -5 -40
70 Guinea 487 -2 -12
71 China PR 486 -5 -22
72 Senegal 484 5 36
73 Austria 474 0 -1
74 Iraq 473 -2 -3
75 Canada 457 0 7
76 Burkina Faso 450 4 24
77 Angola 447 1 7
78 Latvia 436 -4 -29
79 Israel 427 -21 -131
79 Trinidad and Tobago 427 3 8
81 Jordan 422 0 2
82 Finland 403 -3 -27
83 Albania 398 1 14
84 Lithuania 385 5 12
85 Qatar 384 -1 0
86 Kuwait 383 0 7
87 Congo 379 4 13
88 Korea DPR 374 -2 -2
89 Guatemala 372 -6 -24
90 Saudi Arabia 369 -1 -4
91 Bahrain 359 3 -2
91 Georgia 359 4 -1
93 Oman 358 -1 -5
94 New Zealand 357 36 101
95 Zimbabwe 355 9 27
96 Togo 343 -8 -31
96 Vietnam 343 1 -4
98 Uganda 341 -5 -21
99 Northern Ireland 336 1 -2
100 Chad 332 15 43
100 Guyana 332 -1 -9
102 Antigua and Barbuda 330 -2 -8
103 Malawi 328 -1 -4
104 Bermuda 318 3 0
105 FYR Macedonia 317 -7 -25
106 Bolivia 312 2 4
107 Azerbaijan 309 2 4
108 Kenya 303 9 18
109 Botswana 300 -3 -21
110 Bulgaria 299 -14 -55
111 St. Kitts and Nevis 298 0 0
112 Equatorial Guinea 297 -9 -33
113 Sudan 291 0 -1
114 Rwanda 288 -9 -39
114 Sao Tome e Principe 288 2 0
116 Central African Republic 285 7 14
117 United Arab Emirates 284 3 3
118 Mozambique 283 -8 -17
119 Liberia 280 -7 -16
120 Faroe Islands 279 -2 -5
121 Gambia 277 -8 -15
122 Luxembourg 270 -3 -13
123 Cyprus 266 10 14
124 Syria 263 2 -5
125 Benin 261 -1 -8
126 Suriname 255 7 3
127 Tajikistan 254 4 -1
128 Niger 250 -6 -24
129 Burundi 248 -2 -19
130 Dominican Republic 247 5 0
131 Congo DR 243 -7 -26
132 Namibia 239 -12 -42
133 Belize 236 7 1
134 Thailand 234 7 2
135 Iceland 231 -4 -24
136 Ethiopia 220 2 -16
137 Tanzania 217 8 0
137 Turkmenistan 217 7 -3
139 Nicaragua 216 7 5
140 Puerto Rico 214 -2 -22
141 Moldova 212 1 -10
142 Grenada 210 1 -11
143 Kazakhstan 209 -6 -34
144 Cuba 197 -8 -47
145 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 196 2 5
146 Lebanon 195 -17 -65
147 Liechtenstein 177 -19 -84
148 New Caledonia 176 7 26
149 Malta 172 1 11
150 Malaysia 164 3 11
150 Nepal 164 -1 0
152 Bangladesh 159 0 3
153 Indonesia 158 -2 -1
154 Philippines 152 -6 -20
155 Palestine 148 -1 -3
156 Singapore 146 2 1
157 Yemen 141 0 -7
158 Curacao 137 1 -1
159 Bahamas 132 2 0
160 Hong Kong 129 1 -3
161 Madagascar 128 5 7
162 Vanuatu 126 10 23
163 Fiji 125 -3 -8
164 India 121 0 -1
165 Aruba 120 2 0
166 Lesotho 116 -3 -15
167 Chinese Taipei 115 1 -2
168 Tahiti 113 11 27
169 Maldives 112 -5 -10
170 Afghanistan 111 0 -4
170 Guinea-Bissau 111 -1 -5
172 Samoa 106 -16 -43
173 Solomon Islands 97 10 22
174 Laos 96 -1 0
175 Dominica 95 -1 0
176 Tonga 88 1 0
177 Barbados 87 -6 -19
177 Myanmar 87 -2 -7
179 Cambodia 86 -4 -8
179 Mongolia 86 -2 -2
179 Swaziland 86 0 0
182 Pakistan 82 -1 2
183 US Virgin Islands 78 -1 0
184 Cayman Islands 72 1 0
185 American Samoa 61 1 0
185 Sri Lanka 61 -1 -13
187 Comoros 54 0 -6
188 St. Lucia 52 0 0
189 Seychelles 48 0 1
190 Eritrea 45 0 0
191 Somalia 43 0 0
192 Mauritius 37 0 0
193 Papua New Guinea 34 0 0
194 Guam 32 0 0
195 Cook Islands 28 1 0
196 Kyrgyzstan 24 -1 -5
197 Djibouti 23 0 0
198 Macau 14 0 -2
199 British Virgin Islands 13 0 0
200 Anguilla 9 0 0
201 Brunei Darussalam 5 0 1
202 Mauritania 4 -1 0
203 Bhutan 2 -2 -2
203 Timor-Leste 2 1 0
205 Andorra 0 0 0
205 Montserrat 0 0 0
205 San Marino 0 0 0
205 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: June 2012 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the June 2012 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

The OFC Nations Cup matches are considered World Cup qualifiers by FIFA (more info).

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

11/May Lebanon - Egypt 2 (Friendly)
15/May Angola - Nigeria X (Friendly)
18/May Jamaica - Guyana 1 (Friendly)
18/May Lebanon - Jordan 2 (Friendly)
18/May Egypt - Cameroon X (Friendly)
18/May Palestine - Sri Lanka 1 (Friendly)
22/May Poland - Latvia 1 (Friendly)
22/May Albania - Qatar X (Friendly)
22/May Egypt - Togo 1 (Friendly)
23/May Peru - Nigeria 1 (Friendly)
23/May El Salvador - New Zealand X (Friendly)
23/May Venezuela - Moldova 1 (Friendly)
23/May Japan - Azerbaijan 1 (Friendly)
23/May Libya - Rwanda X (Friendly)
24/May Georgia - Turkey 2 (Friendly)
24/May Egypt - Senegal 1 (Friendly)
25/May Russia - Uruguay X (Friendly)
25/May Costa Rica - Guatemala 1 (Friendly)
25/May Belgium - Montenegro 1 (Friendly)
25/May Croatia - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
26/May Poland - Slovakia 1 (Friendly)
26/May Switzerland - Germany 2 (Friendly)
26/May Norway - England X (Friendly)
26/May Denmark - Brazil 2 (Friendly)
26/May Republic of Ireland - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Friendly)
26/May USA - Scotland 1 (Friendly)
26/May Czech Republic - Israel 1 (Friendly)
26/May Greece - Slovenia 1 (Friendly)
26/May Portugal - FYR Macedonia 1 (Friendly)
26/May Spain - Serbia 1 (Friendly)
26/May Honduras - New Zealand X (Friendly)
26/May Finland - Turkey 2 (Friendly)
26/May Algeria - Niger 1 (Friendly)
26/May El Salvador - Moldova 1 (Friendly)
26/May Angola - Cape Verde Islands 1 (Friendly)
26/May Mozambique - Namibia 1 (Friendly)
26/May Netherlands - Bulgaria 1 (Friendly)
27/May France - Iceland 1 (Friendly)
27/May Jamaica - Panama 1 (Friendly)
27/May Tunisia - Rwanda 1 (Friendly)
27/May Albania - Iran 2 (Friendly)
27/May Oman - Lebanon 1 (Friendly)
27/May Wales - Mexico 2 (Friendly)
28/May Ukraine - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
28/May Qatar - Palestine 1 (Friendly)
29/May Lithuania - Russia 2 (Friendly)
29/May Bulgaria - Turkey 2 (Friendly)
29/May Angola - FYR Macedonia X (Friendly)
29/May Italy - Luxembourg 1 (Friendly)
30/May Netherlands - Slovakia 1 (Friendly)
30/May Switzerland - Romania 1 (Friendly)
30/May USA - Brazil 2 (Friendly)
30/May Sweden - Iceland 1 (Friendly)
30/May Spain - Korea Republic 1 (Friendly)
30/May Azerbaijan - Andorra 1 (Friendly)
31/May Mexico - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Friendly)
31/May France - Serbia 1 (Friendly)
31/May Armenia - Greece 2 (Friendly)
31/May Germany - Israel 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Austria - Ukraine 2 (Friendly)
01/Jun Czech Republic - Hungary 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Guatemala - Costa Rica X (Friendly)
01/Jun Latvia - Lithuania X (Friendly)
01/Jun Estonia - Finland X (Friendly)
01/Jun Italy - Russia X (Friendly)
01/Jun Hong Kong - Singapore X (Friendly)
01/Jun Panama - Jamaica X (Friendly)
01/Jun Malaysia - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Kazakhstan - Kyrgyzstan 1 (Friendly)
01/Jun Puerto Rico - Nicaragua X (Friendly)
01/Jun Samoa - Tahiti 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
01/Jun Vanuatu - New Caledonia X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
01/Jun Ghana - Lesotho 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
01/Jun Egypt - Mozambique 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Bolivia - Chile 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Argentina - Ecuador 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Uruguay - Venezuela 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Netherlands - Northern Ireland 1 (Friendly)
02/Jun Denmark - Australia X (Friendly)
02/Jun England - Belgium 1 (Friendly)
02/Jun Poland - Andorra 1 (Friendly)
02/Jun Norway - Croatia X (Friendly)
02/Jun Portugal - Turkey 1 (Friendly)
02/Jun El Salvador - Honduras X (Friendly)
02/Jun Luxembourg - Malta X (Friendly)
02/Jun Fiji - New Zealand 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Central African Republic - Botswana X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Solomon Islands - Papua New Guinea 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Cameroon - Congo DR 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Kenya - Malawi X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Gambia - Morocco 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Sierra Leone - Cape Verde Islands X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Côte d'Ivoire - Tanzania 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Tunisia - Equatorial Guinea 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Burkina Faso - Congo 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Senegal - Liberia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Sudan - Zambia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
02/Jun Algeria - Rwanda 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Peru - Colombia X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Zimbabwe - Guinea X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Brazil - Mexico 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Canada - USA X (Friendly)
03/Jun Spain - China PR 1 (Friendly)
03/Jun Puerto Rico - Nicaragua X (Friendly)
03/Jun Vanuatu - Samoa 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun South Africa - Ethiopia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Tahiti - New Caledonia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Togo - Libya X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Niger - Gabon 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Benin - Mali 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Angola - Uganda 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Nigeria - Namibia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Uzbekistan - Iran X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Jordan - Iraq X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Japan - Oman 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
03/Jun Lebanon - Qatar 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

FIFA Ranking: June 2012 preview

The 2012 June ranking will be published on 6 June. The official deadline for matches is 31 May. However, in the article connected to the May FIFA Ranking it says:

The June edition will undoubtedly bring more movement with it, as friendlies are played in Europe to warm up for UEFA EURO 2012 and another batch of 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil™ qualifiers influence the calculations. 

The first qualifiers will take place on 1 June, after the official deadline, so for the June ranking I will use Sunday, 3 June 2012, as deadline for matches. Not sure if FIFA will do the same.

Spain's top spot in danger. And the danger is coming from... Uruguay. La Celeste will certainly climb to 2nd with a win against Venezuela on home ground and at least a draw against Russia in Moscow, but in order to grab the top spot they need to defeat Russia and also Spain to lose their 3 friendlies (Serbia, Korea Republic and China).

Portugal will drop at least 1 spot, even if they win their friendlies against Macedonia and Turkey.

Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-116 - Portugal
-84 - Liechtenstein
-47 - Cuba
-34 - Kazakhstan
-33 - Costa Rica
-31 - Italy and Romania
-26 - Croatia
-21 - Sweden
-19 - Burundi and Barbados


Most points gained (worst case scenario):

43 - Chad
30 - Paraguay
23 - Wales
20 - Ecuador
15 - Scotland
14 - Cyprus
13 - Haiti and Congo
10 - Uzbekistan
8 - Cape Verde Islands and Trinidad and Tobago

May 2012 rank - Country - May 2012 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
 
1 Spain 1442 1344 1456
2 Germany 1345 1250 1338
3 Uruguay 1309 1256 1365
4 Netherlands 1207 1162 1262
5 Portugal 1190 984 1074
6 Brazil 1165 1093 1184
7 England 1132 1020 1145
8 Croatia 1114 991 1088
9 Argentina 1076 1066 1147
10 Denmark 1069 964 1084
11 Russia 1049 896 1031
12 Italy 1041 937 1010
13 Chile 968 959 995
14 Greece 961 895 984
15 Côte d'Ivoire 951 922 948
16 France 938 870 934
17 Sweden 931 891 910
18 Republic of Ireland 891 856 907
18 Switzerland 891 802 919
20 Mexico 867 806 888
21 Australia 862 820 873
22 Ghana 816 795 818
23 Colombia 812 765 877
24 Norway 805 768 883
25 Paraguay 801 831 831
26 Czech Republic 798 732 816
27 Bosnia-Herzegovina 792 756 844
28 Slovenia 781 716 795
29 USA 779 737 810
30 Japan 753 743 822
31 Korea Republic 746 719 775
32 Serbia 725 703 799
33 Turkey 720 631 762
34 Slovakia 716 649 773
35 Hungary 692 677 735
36 Peru 691 636 743
37 Ecuador 679 699 809
38 Algeria 667 598 734
39 Mali 656 637 682
40 Zambia 640 621 662
41 Wales 635 658 722
42 Gabon 621 573 612
43 Venezuela 613 578 656
44 Belgium 604 549 651
45 Romania 603 526 572
46 Libya 602 543 650
47 Armenia 598 579 649
48 Scotland 596 611 672
49 El Salvador 591 536 587
50 Ukraine 589 529 611
51 Jamaica 576 512 586
52 Iran 575 533 616
52 Panama 575 539 591
54 Estonia 574 526 625
55 Montenegro 569 562 620
56 Tunisia 563 529 591
57 Egypt 559 478 585
58 Israel 558 427 586
59 Costa Rica 549 483 516
60 Morocco 548 495 551
61 Sierra Leone 542 498 658
62 Honduras 540 511 553
63 Nigeria 537 449 548
64 Cameroon 526 457 543
65 Poland 514 433 518
66 China PR 508 486 532
67 South Africa 500 500 550
68 Guinea 499 468 525
69 Belarus 494 497 497
70 Uzbekistan 493 503 583
71 Haiti 486 499 499
72 Iraq 476 457 505
73 Austria 475 474 524
74 Latvia 465 423 505
75 Canada 450 442 488
76 Cape Verde Islands 449 457 699
77 Senegal 448 433 518
78 Angola 440 371 474
79 Finland 430 390 476
80 Burkina Faso 426 386 450
81 Jordan 420 397 453
82 Trinidad and Tobago 419 427 427
83 Guatemala 396 363 416
84 Albania 384 389 451
84 Qatar 384 340 397
86 Korea DPR 376 374 374
86 Kuwait 376 383 383
88 Togo 374 302 472
89 Lithuania 373 367 502
89 Saudi Arabia 373 369 369
91 Congo 366 379 508
92 Oman 363 348 415
93 Uganda 362 341 406
94 Bahrain 361 359 359
95 Georgia 360 359 430
96 Bulgaria 354 299 435
97 Vietnam 347 343 343
98 FYR Macedonia 342 304 407
99 Guyana 341 332 368
100 Antigua and Barbuda 338 330 330
100 Northern Ireland 338 336 420
102 Malawi 332 310 364
103 Equatorial Guinea 330 297 375
104 Zimbabwe 328 329 407
105 Rwanda 327 278 418
106 Botswana 321 286 328
107 Bermuda 318 318 318
108 Bolivia 308 312 420
109 Azerbaijan 305 296 353
110 Mozambique 300 260 386
111 St. Kitts and Nevis 298 298 298
112 Liberia 296 280 379
113 Gambia 292 277 406
113 Sudan 292 291 338
115 Chad 289 332 332
116 Sao Tome e Principe 288 288 288
117 Kenya 285 286 338
118 Faroe Islands 284 279 279
119 Luxembourg 283 264 343
120 Namibia 281 239 340
120 United Arab Emirates 281 284 284
122 Niger 274 250 370
123 Central African Republic 271 245 366
124 Benin 269 261 469
124 Congo DR 269 243 316
126 Syria 268 263 263
127 Burundi 267 248 248
128 Liechtenstein 261 177 177
129 Lebanon 260 195 302
130 New Zealand 256 243 457
131 Iceland 255 231 369
131 Tajikistan 255 254 254
133 Cyprus 252 266 266
133 Suriname 252 255 255
135 Dominican Republic 247 247 247
136 Cuba 244 197 197
137 Kazakhstan 243 189 209
138 Ethiopia 236 220 306
138 Puerto Rico 236 205 233
140 Belize 235 236 236
141 Thailand 232 234 234
142 Moldova 222 212 311
143 Grenada 221 210 210
144 Turkmenistan 220 217 217
145 Tanzania 217 217 309
146 Nicaragua 211 202 243
147 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 191 196 196
148 Philippines 172 152 160
149 Nepal 164 164 164
150 Malta 161 161 195
151 Indonesia 159 158 158
152 Bangladesh 156 159 159
153 Malaysia 153 152 164
154 Palestine 151 141 165
155 New Caledonia 150 123 203
156 Samoa 149 106 197
157 Yemen 148 141 141
158 Singapore 145 143 152
159 Curacao 138 137 137
160 Fiji 133 125 170
161 Bahamas 132 132 132
161 Hong Kong 132 123 142
163 Lesotho 131 116 221
164 India 122 121 121
164 Maldives 122 112 112
166 Madagascar 121 128 128
167 Aruba 120 120 120
168 Chinese Taipei 117 115 115
169 Guinea-Bissau 116 111 111
170 Afghanistan 115 111 111
171 Barbados 106 87 87
172 Vanuatu 103 91 144
173 Laos 96 96 96
174 Dominica 95 95 95
175 Cambodia 94 86 86
175 Myanmar 94 87 87
177 Mongolia 88 86 86
177 Tonga 88 88 88
179 Swaziland 86 86 86
179 Tahiti 86 68 159
181 Pakistan 80 82 82
182 US Virgin Islands 78 78 78
183 Solomon Islands 75 68 97
184 Sri Lanka 74 61 79
185 Cayman Islands 72 72 72
186 American Samoa 61 61 61
187 Comoros 60 54 54
188 St. Lucia 52 52 52
189 Seychelles 47 48 48
190 Eritrea 45 45 45
191 Somalia 43 43 43
192 Mauritius 37 37 37
193 Papua New Guinea 34 34 98
194 Guam 32 32 32
195 Kyrgyzstan 29 24 59
196 Cook Islands 28 28 28
197 Djibouti 23 23 23
198 Macau 16 14 14
199 British Virgin Islands 13 13 13
200 Anguilla 9 9 9
201 Bhutan 4 2 2
201 Brunei Darussalam 4 5 5
201 Mauritania 4 4 4
204 Timor-Leste 2 2 2
205 Andorra 0 0 113
205 Montserrat 0 0 0
205 San Marino 0 0 0
205 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0
 

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.