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Friday, November 11, 2011

FIFA Ranking: November 2011 probable results (II)

Here are the probable results used for the November 2011 probable ranking (II) . They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Only matches displayed on FIFA.com this morning around 8:00 CET.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

11/Nov Ukraine - Germany 2 (Friendly)
11/Nov Poland - Italy X (Friendly)
11/Nov Panama - Costa Rica 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Denmark - Sweden X (Friendly)
11/Nov Georgia - Moldova 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Greece - Russia 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Hungary - Liechtenstein 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Burkina Faso - Mali X (Friendly)
11/Nov Tajikistan - Japan 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Dominican Republic - Cayman Islands 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Bermuda - Barbados 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Sao Tome e Principe - Congo 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Djibouti - Namibia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Comoros - Mozambique 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Belize - St. Vincent and the Grenadines X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Eritrea - Rwanda X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov US Virgin Islands - Curacao 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Chad - Tanzania X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Equatorial Guinea - Madagascar 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Guinea-Bissau - Togo X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov United Arab Emirates - Korea Republic 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Argentina - Bolivia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Seychelles - Kenya 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Guinea - Senegal X (Friendly)
11/Nov Iraq - China PR X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Kuwait - Lebanon 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Cameroon - Sudan 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Suriname - El Salvador 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Jordan - Singapore 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Uzbekistan - Korea DPR 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Oman - Australia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Albania - Azerbaijan 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Bahrain - Iran 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Colombia - Venezuela 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Nicaragua - Dominica 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Antigua and Barbuda - Haiti X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Qatar - Indonesia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Swaziland - Congo DR 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Belarus - Niger 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Saudi Arabia - Thailand 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Uruguay - Chile 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Guyana - Trinidad and Tobago X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov St. Lucia - Puerto Rico 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov St. Kitts and Nevis - Canada 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Guatemala - Grenada 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Lesotho - Burundi X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov Bosnia-Herzegovina - Portugal 2 (Continental Qualifier)
11/Nov Cyprus - Scotland 2 (Friendly)
11/Nov Mexico - Serbia 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Czech Republic - Montenegro 1 (Continental Qualifier)
11/Nov Netherlands - Switzerland 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Morocco - Uganda 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Belgium - Romania X (Friendly)
11/Nov Paraguay - Ecuador 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
11/Nov France - USA 1 (Friendly)
11/Nov Turkey - Croatia X (Continental Qualifier)
11/Nov Estonia - Republic of Ireland 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Nov Algeria - Tunisia X (Friendly)
12/Nov South Africa - Côte d'Ivoire 2 (Friendly)
12/Nov Nigeria - Botswana 1 (Friendly)
12/Nov Wales - Norway X (Friendly)
12/Nov Somalia - Ethiopia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
12/Nov England - Spain 2 (Friendly)
13/Nov India - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
13/Nov Morocco - Cameroon X (Friendly)
13/Nov Sudan - Uganda 2 (Friendly)
14/Nov Brazil - Egypt 1 (Friendly)
14/Nov Honduras - Serbia X (Friendly)
14/Nov Cayman Islands - Dominican Republic 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
14/Nov Barbados - Bermuda 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
14/Nov Puerto Rico - St. Lucia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Germany - Netherlands 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Ukraine - Austria 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Italy - Uruguay X (Friendly)
15/Nov Algeria - Cameroon X (Friendly)
15/Nov Costa Rica - Spain 2 (Friendly)
15/Nov FYR Macedonia - Albania 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Croatia - Turkey 1 (Continental Qualifier)
15/Nov France - Belgium 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Poland - Hungary 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Slovenia - USA X (Friendly)
15/Nov Denmark - Finland 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Nigeria - Zambia 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Zimbabwe - South Africa 2 (Friendly)
15/Nov Senegal - Côte d'Ivoire 2 (Friendly)
15/Nov Ghana - Gabon 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Niger - Botswana X (Friendly)
15/Nov Lebanon - Korea Republic 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Madagascar - Equatorial Guinea X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov St. Vincent and the Grenadines - Belize 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Haiti - Antigua and Barbuda 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Grenada - Guatemala 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Congo - Sao Tome e Principe 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Burundi - Lesotho 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Rwanda - Eritrea 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Togo - Guinea-Bissau 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Congo DR - Swaziland 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Ecuador - Peru X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Colombia - Argentina X (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Korea DPR - Japan 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Tanzania - Chad 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Kenya - Seychelles 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Trinidad and Tobago - Guyana 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Kuwait - United Arab Emirates 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Jordan - Iraq 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Uzbekistan - Tajikistan 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Thailand - Australia 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Guinea - Burkina Faso X (Friendly)
15/Nov Canada - St. Kitts and Nevis 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Indonesia - Iran 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Qatar - Bahrain 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Mozambique - Comoros 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Belarus - Libya X (Friendly)
15/Nov El Salvador - Suriname 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Singapore - China PR 2 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Saudi Arabia - Oman 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Republic of Ireland - Estonia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
15/Nov Panama - Dominica 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Curacao - US Virgin Islands 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Namibia - Djibouti 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov England - Sweden 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Montenegro - Czech Republic X (Continental Qualifier)
15/Nov Luxembourg - Switzerland 2 (Friendly)
15/Nov Venezuela - Bolivia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Chile - Paraguay 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)
15/Nov Greece - Romania 1 (Friendly)
15/Nov Portugal - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Continental Qualifier)
16/Nov India - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
16/Nov Ethiopia - Somalia 1 (FIFA World Cup Qualifier)

14 comments:

  1. I will be very interested tosee how many points England (defeated Spain and Sweden) and Uruguay (defeated Chile and Italy) have in the next ranking. With Netherlands tying Switzerland and losing to Germany could Uruguay pass them? Even Germany drew with Ukraine, though they beat the 2nd ranked Netherlands, so I'd be surprised if Uruguay could pass Germany too, but I just wonder....

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  2. I think Uruguay will move to 3rd place

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  3. If Germany had won also against Ukraine, they would've passed Netherlands, but due to the draw, they have 20 points too few...:(
    Country Points
    ESP 1564
    NED 1365
    GER 1345
    URU 1309
    ENG 1173

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  4. What?! We actually lose a point for defeating the 14th ranked team?! (FIFA site says 1174 for beating Spain but doesn't have Sweden) :(

    Add Spain to the list please if you can. They almost followed up losing to England by losing to Costa Rica. Way to take the gloss off our win, Spain. They rescued a tie in injury time. How much of a dent will that put into their ranking?

    Uruguay also lose 10pts for their win over Italy I see.

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  5. @ Anonymous

    And thanks.

    Note: Spain had to come from 2-0 down in Costa Rica. Costa Rica are one of those teams that are powerful at home, but still...

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  6. Neither England nor Uruguay lose any points; they actually gain points since last ranking. Uruguay's win over Italy give them however points below their most recent time frame average.

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  7. Lorric: In Edgar's post it says minimum and maximum points per nation.

    Also, FIFA Ranking 101: As the maximum you can get for a friendly is 600 (2 x 3 x 1 x 100) any team with a ranking above 600 loses points by playing friendlies.

    Further down:
    6 BRA 1143
    7 POR 1100
    8 CRO 1091
    9 ITA 1082
    10 ARG 1067

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  8. @ Haakon

    I should have remembered this stuff...

    *facepalm*

    It would be the ranking for that first year though, not the total of course. I wonder what England's is. England went undefeated this year with 6 wins 3 draws, so...

    *Check's FIFA site*

    491

    And the friendly loss to France last November will drop out of the 1 year average, which must help, shedding the only defeat. I wonder what that does to the average, as I presume 491 is before we drop the France defeat. Maybe the France defeat being removed raises it above 600 already, with the Spain win preventing it from dropping below 600 (or a bit less), so the Sweden match knocks one point off the average?

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  9. And Uruguay is 643.76, which will rise with the Chile win, so of course they suffer from their friendly win more than England. I'm really writing this more for me than anyone else, but maybe someone will find it useful...

    As for Uruguay, I'm really starting to believe that the smallest country in South America is truly the strongest in South America...

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  10. FIFA could eliminate this problem by having two seperate averages, one for competitives, and one for friendlies. Thus 8 totals to add together. I wish they would, I'm sure it would make the ranking so much more effective. And so much more user friendly. Friendlies would be a positive part of a team's ranking, but would still be dwarfed by the points total for competitive games.

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  11. Actually, forget my idea now I think about it. Sometimes teams don't play many friendlies in a year. What if a team only played one friendly and won, that might give them an artificially high score.

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  12. @ Lorric:

    I am starting to believe you are correct about Uruguay. A team without Forlan and Suarez defeats a powerful Italian team at home. The top four seem to be getting closer to each other with each passing month.

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  13. @ Anonymous

    Yes, my England and Costa Rica have pulled Spain down, Uruguay push up, while Switzerland and Germany drag Netherlands down while Germany's growth is curtailed by Ukraine.

    England at number 5 now is pushing up, but still far away from the top 4, over 100pts out.

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