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Friday, January 14, 2011

FIFA Ranking: February 2011 probable ranking (I)

Next update: January 21st, 2011.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Based on these probable results...

Greece replace Egypt in the top 10.

Best movers:

26 - Uzbekistan
25 - Iran
24 - Costa Rica

Worst movers:

-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria and Zambia

Best movers in the top 50:

25 - Iran
24 - Costa Rica
17 - Panama

Worst movers in the top 50:

-23 - Egypt
-21 - Gabon
-20 - Algeria

Belarus and Hungary will improve their best ever ranking.
Panama and Dominica will return to their best ever ranking.
Saudi Arabia will return to their worst ever ranking.
Romania, Zambia, Wales, Singapore and Lebanon will have their worst ever ranking.

Saudi Arabia replaced by China PR as Asia's 5th team.
Egypt go from first in Africa to third, dropping below Ghana and Côte d'Ivoire. Burkina Faso, now 5th, replace Algeria in the top 5.
Costa Rica and Panama replace Jamaica and Cuba in CONCACAF's top 5.

Probable February 2011 rank - Team - Probable February 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1887 0 0
2 Netherlands 1723 0 0
3 Germany 1485 0 0
4 Brazil 1446 0 0
5 Argentina 1367 0 29
6 England 1195 0 0
7 Uruguay 1152 0 0
8 Portugal 1090 0 0
9 Croatia 1075 0 0
10 Greece 1016 1 0
11 Norway 995 1 0
12 Russia 982 1 0
13 Italy 965 1 0
14 Chile 947 1 -3
15 Ghana 940 1 16
16 Slovenia 897 1 0
17 USA 869 1 2
18 France 867 0 0
19 Australia 866 7 70
20 Japan 862 9 86
21 Slovakia 854 -1 0
22 Switzerland 841 0 0
23 Serbia 837 0 0
24 Paraguay 832 0 0
25 Montenegro 824 0 0
26 Côte d'Ivoire 813 -5 -32
27 Mexico 803 0 8
28 Denmark 802 0 12
29 Sweden 759 4 47
30 Czech Republic 751 0 0
31 Turkey 741 0 0
32 Korea Republic 724 7 75
33 Egypt 712 -23 -324
34 Ukraine 702 0 0
35 Republic of Ireland 681 0 0
36 Belarus 655 1 -5
37 Hungary 632 4 0
38 Northern Ireland 615 5 0
39 Nigeria 604 -7 -126
40 Iran 599 25 108
41 Burkina Faso 598 1 -21
42 Bosnia-Herzegovina 583 3 1
43 Cameroon 582 -5 -68
43 Honduras 582 13 51
45 Costa Rica 580 24 113
46 Austria 569 0 0
47 Guinea 564 -1 -5
48 South Africa 562 3 12
49 Tunisia 560 -5 -32
50 Colombia 558 -2 0
50 Panama 558 17 83
52 Bulgaria 555 -3 0
53 Israel 551 -3 0
54 Scotland 542 -2 0
55 Ecuador 537 -3 -5
56 Algeria 532 -20 -146
56 Lithuania 532 -1 0
58 Romania 531 -2 0
59 Belgium 526 -1 0
60 Jamaica 525 -1 3
61 Gabon 516 -21 -124
62 Armenia 514 -2 -1
63 Venezuela 513 -3 -2
64 New Zealand 506 -1 0
65 Cuba 498 -3 -14
66 Albania 497 -2 0
67 Botswana 496 -13 -39
68 Peru 486 -2 0
69 Senegal 459 1 -6
70 Libya 451 1 0
71 Georgia 449 1 0
71 Poland 449 1 0
73 Cape Verde Islands 444 2 0
74 Morocco 443 3 6
75 China PR 431 4 12
76 Latvia 429 0 -11
77 Finland 422 2 3
78 FYR Macedonia 418 3 0
79 Canada 414 5 3
80 Moldova 411 4 0
81 Saudi Arabia 410 -3 -13
82 Uzbekistan 407 26 122
83 Benin 403 -11 -46
84 Mali 399 -16 -75
85 Uganda 394 -2 -22
86 Estonia 386 0 0
87 Jordan 382 20 96
88 Malawi 371 3 16
89 Cyprus 367 0 0
90 Grenada 358 4 9
91 Bahrain 355 2 4
92 Mozambique 351 0 -2
92 Trinidad and Tobago 351 -5 -22
94 Haiti 349 -4 -9
94 Niger 349 0 0
96 Azerbaijan 344 1 1
96 Bolivia 344 0 0
98 Kuwait 339 1 11
99 Qatar 338 6 48
100 Iraq 331 -2 -3
101 Zambia 330 -20 -88
102 El Salvador 318 14 67
103 Syria 317 7 40
104 Togo 313 -3 0
105 Antigua and Barbuda 303 -2 4
106 Korea DPR 299 3 16
107 Angola 297 -19 -71
108 United Arab Emirates 294 -6 -10
109 Gambia 290 -4 0
110 Sudan 283 -10 -31
111 Oman 281 -7 -16
112 Guyana 273 -1 -2
113 Zimbabwe 264 5 18
114 Central African Republic 263 -2 0
114 Iceland 263 -1 2
116 Wales 261 -3 0
117 Suriname 257 -2 0
118 Tanzania 243 2 0
119 St. Kitts and Nevis 242 2 0
120 Congo 239 2 0
121 Thailand 237 -2 -7
122 Congo DR 234 6 23
123 Sierra Leone 233 0 0
124 Ethiopia 231 0 0
125 Yemen 230 2 8
126 Guatemala 220 -9 -27
127 Kenya 208 -2 -17
128 Dominica 196 1 0
129 Indonesia 192 -3 -32
130 Puerto Rico 187 1 3
131 Luxembourg 185 1 5
132 Barbados 183 -2 -4
133 Turkmenistan 182 0 9
134 Vietnam 172 2 5
135 Faroe Islands 171 -1 0
135 Rwanda 171 -1 0
137 Kazakhstan 161 0 0
138 Namibia 157 0 1
139 Chad 147 1 0
140 Malaysia 145 2 0
141 Tajikistan 141 2 0
142 Singapore 139 -3 -12
143 Hong Kong 138 3 10
144 Burundi 134 -4 -13
145 India 126 -1 -6
146 Guinea-Bissau 121 1 0
147 Liechtenstein 116 1 0
148 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 110 -4 -22
149 Myanmar 108 0 -1
150 Netherlands Antilles 107 0 0
151 Fiji 103 0 0
152 Philippines 101 1 4
153 Chinese Taipei 93 -1 -9
154 Madagascar 91 0 0
155 New Caledonia 89 0 0
156 Cayman Islands 88 0 0
157 Bangladesh 84 1 0
158 Liberia 82 1 0
158 Swaziland 82 1 0
160 Maldives 81 1 0
161 Nicaragua 79 -4 -7
161 Sri Lanka 79 1 0
163 Malta 76 0 0
164 Equatorial Guinea 72 0 0
165 Cambodia 68 0 0
166 Bermuda 67 6 12
166 Vanuatu 67 0 0
168 Dominican Republic 66 -1 0
169 Belize 64 4 10
169 Laos 64 -1 0
171 Lesotho 62 -1 0
172 Lebanon 61 -4 -3
173 Pakistan 56 -2 0
174 Nepal 54 -1 0
175 Kyrgyzstan 50 0 0
176 Mauritania 49 0 0
177 British Virgin Islands 41 0 0
178 Eritrea 40 0 0
178 Palestine 40 0 0
178 Solomon Islands 40 0 0
181 St. Lucia 37 0 0
182 Mongolia 32 0 0
183 Tahiti 31 0 0
184 Samoa 26 0 0
185 Somalia 23 0 0
186 Comoros 19 0 0
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 0 0
188 Cook Islands 17 0 0
188 Guam 17 0 0
188 Tonga 17 0 0
191 Mauritius 16 0 0
192 Djibouti 15 0 0
193 Macau 14 0 0
194 Bahamas 13 0 0
195 Afghanistan 10 0 0
195 Seychelles 10 0 0
197 Bhutan 9 0 0
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 0 0
199 Aruba 7 0 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
201 Timor-Leste 3 0 0
202 Andorra 2 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

2 comments:

  1. Well, again there are considerable differences between your ranking, Edgar, and my own ranking.

    For instance, in my ranking Egypt has 684 points, where as in your ranking they have 712 points. A difference of 28 points.

    I followed all the lead conciously, taking into account the drop dates, and the games that are not included by FIFA.

    So maybe I will email you Edgar to find out what causes those differences.

    ReplyDelete