Following today's draw, here's the result of the simulation run.
NOTE: the "SimWin" represents the percentage of the 10000 simulation runs that the team won the match. The "win %" represents what percentage of the time the team won when it reached the final.
Pathway 1
Semi Final
SimWin
Jamaica 77.78%
New Caledonia 22.22%
Jamaica 77.78%
New Caledonia 22.22%
Final
SimWin Win %
Democratic Rep Congo 59.45%
Jamaica 36.00% 46.33%
New Caledonia 4.55% 20.41%
Democratic Rep Congo 59.45%
Jamaica 36.00% 46.33%
New Caledonia 4.55% 20.41%
Pathway 2
Semi Final
SimWin
Bolivia 67.90%
Surinam 32.10%
Bolivia 67.90%
Surinam 32.10%
Final
SimWin Win %
Iraq 63.26%
Bolivia 28.48% 41.94%
Surinam 8.26% 25.74%
Iraq 63.26%
Bolivia 28.48% 41.94%
Surinam 8.26% 25.74%
I think DR Congo will walk it in. They’d have to have a horror to lose to Jamaica.
ReplyDeleteAnd I hope Iraq get thru as I know the coaching staff but it’s the more even side of the draw.