Here are the probable results of all 186 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including November 26th, used to calculate the November 2023 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. Also the already played matches since October 23rd, (probably) counting for the November ranking, are presented.
In the first column is indicated if the match is included or not, according to my inclusion-method. You see after the match identification data, the I-factor, the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo and according to FIFA in %.
For the already played matches the match result and the exchanged points are given.
For the scheduled matches the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team are given. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) of loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.
Normally the home team's gained points will be the away-team's lost points. Still, both are given because there are in FIFA's calculation approach cases when they will not be the same: PSO-matches and knock-out matches in final competitions.
Before posting comments like: "Hey, my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)
|
Scheduled |
||||||||||||
|
incl. |
date |
match |
tournament |
I |
We (elo) |
pred elo |
We (FIFA) |
W |
D |
L |
PSO-W |
PSO-L |
|
Y |
2023-11-11 |
GUA - JAM |
Friendly 2023 |
5 |
34 |
2 |
29 |
3,5/-3,5 |
1,0/-1,0 |
-1,5/1,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-12 |
KOS - ISR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
45 |
X |
36 |
15,9/-15,9 |
3,4/-3,4 |
-9,1/9,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-15 |
ETH - SLE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
47 |
X |
43 |
14,2/-14,2 |
1,7/-1,7 |
-10,8/10,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-15 |
COD - MTN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
77 |
1 |
65 |
8,8/-8,8 |
-3,7/3,7 |
-16,2/16,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-15 |
RWA - ZIM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
56 |
X |
45 |
13,7/-13,7 |
1,2/-1,2 |
-11,3/11,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-15 |
EQG - NAM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
77 |
1 |
57 |
10,6/-10,6 |
-1,9/1,9 |
-14,4/14,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-15 |
BEL - SRB |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
82 |
1 |
74 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-15 |
ISR - SUI |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
22 |
2 |
23 |
19,2/-19,2 |
6,7/-6,7 |
-5,8/5,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
SKN - LCA |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
59 |
X |
57 |
6,5/-6,5 |
-1,0/1,0 |
-8,5/8,5 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-16 |
STA - GDL |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
7 |
2 |
||||||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
VIR - ARU |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
22 |
2 |
44 |
8,4/-8,4 |
0,9/-0,9 |
-6,6/6,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
VGB - DMA |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
23 |
2 |
41 |
8,9/-8,9 |
1,4/-1,4 |
-6,1/6,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
CRC - PAN |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
52 |
X |
49 |
12,7/-12,7 |
0,2/-0,2 |
-12,3/12,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
USA - TRI |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
95 |
1 |
85 |
3,7/-3,7 |
-8,8/8,8 |
-21,3/21,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
KUW - IND |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
80 |
1 |
40 |
14,9/-14,9 |
2,4/-2,4 |
-10,1/10,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
QAT - AFG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
95 |
1 |
80 |
5,0/-5,0 |
-7,5/7,5 |
-20,0/20,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
JPN - MYA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
100 |
1 |
91 |
2,3/-2,3 |
-10,2/10,2 |
-22,7/22,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
SYR - PRK |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
55 |
X |
57 |
10,8/-10,8 |
-1,7/1,7 |
-14,2/14,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
KOR - SIN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
88 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-9,4/9,4 |
-21,9/21,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
THA - CHN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
54 |
X |
39 |
15,3/-15,3 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-9,7/9,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
MAS - KGZ |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
69 |
1 |
38 |
15,5/-15,5 |
3,0/-3,0 |
-9,5/9,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
OMA - TPE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
76 |
6,1/-6,1 |
-6,4/6,4 |
-18,9/18,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
IRN - HKG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
88 |
3,0/-3,0 |
-9,5/9,5 |
-22,0/22,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
TKM - UZB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
16 |
2 |
28 |
18,0/-18,0 |
5,5/-5,5 |
-7,0/7,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
IRQ - IDN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
91 |
1 |
75 |
6,4/-6,4 |
-6,1/6,1 |
-18,6/18,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
PHI - VIE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
20 |
2 |
37 |
15,8/-15,8 |
3,3/-3,3 |
-9,2/9,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
KSA - PAK |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
89 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-9,7/9,7 |
-22,2/22,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
TJK - JOR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
37 |
2 |
41 |
14,8/-14,8 |
2,3/-2,3 |
-10,2/10,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
UAE - NEP |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
81 |
4,6/-4,6 |
-7,9/7,9 |
-20,4/20,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
YEM - BHR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
9 |
2 |
27 |
18,2/-18,2 |
5,7/-5,7 |
-6,8/6,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
AUS - BAN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
100 |
1 |
91 |
2,1/-2,1 |
-10,4/10,4 |
-22,9/22,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
LIB - PLE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
35 |
2 |
48 |
13,1/-13,1 |
0,6/-0,6 |
-11,9/11,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
EGY - DJI |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
92 |
2,1/-2,1 |
-10,4/10,4 |
-22,9/22,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
SDN - TOG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
36 |
2 |
45 |
13,7/-13,7 |
1,2/-1,2 |
-11,3/11,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
NGA - LES |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
95 |
1 |
85 |
3,7/-3,7 |
-8,8/8,8 |
-21,3/21,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
CPV - ANG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
74 |
1 |
65 |
8,8/-8,8 |
-3,7/3,7 |
-16,2/16,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
BDI - GAM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
28 |
2 |
42 |
14,4/-14,4 |
1,9/-1,9 |
-10,6/10,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
GAB - KEN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
72 |
1 |
58 |
10,5/-10,5 |
-2,0/2,0 |
-14,5/14,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
ALG - SOM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
93 |
1,8/-1,8 |
-10,7/10,7 |
-23,2/23,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
BOT - MOZ |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
65 |
1 |
39 |
15,3/-15,3 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-9,7/9,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
ARG - URU |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
86 |
1 |
70 |
7,6/-7,6 |
-4,9/4,9 |
-17,4/17,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
BOL - PER |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
35 |
2 |
27 |
18,3/-18,3 |
5,8/-5,8 |
-6,7/6,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
CHI - PAR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
64 |
1 |
56 |
10,9/-10,9 |
-1,6/1,6 |
-14,1/14,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
COL - BRA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
48 |
X |
33 |
16,8/-16,8 |
4,3/-4,3 |
-8,2/8,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
VEN - ECU |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
47 |
X |
44 |
14,0/-14,0 |
1,5/-1,5 |
-11,0/11,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
NOR - FRO |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
97 |
1 |
81 |
1,9/-1,9 |
-3,1/3,1 |
-8,1/8,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
CYP - ESP |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
3 |
2 |
10 |
22,6/-22,6 |
10,1/-10,1 |
-2,4/2,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
GEO - SCO |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
39 |
X |
32 |
17,1/-17,1 |
4,6/-4,6 |
-7,9/7,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
AZE - SWE |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
25 |
2 |
18 |
20,4/-20,4 |
7,9/-7,9 |
-4,6/4,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
EST - AUT |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
13 |
2 |
19 |
20,2/-20,2 |
7,7/-7,7 |
-4,8/4,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
BUL - HUN |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
14 |
2 |
28 |
17,9/-17,9 |
5,4/-5,4 |
-7,1/7,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
MNE - LTU |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
86 |
1 |
72 |
7,0/-7,0 |
-5,5/5,5 |
-18,0/18,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
LIE - POR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
24,2/-24,2 |
11,7/-11,7 |
-0,8/0,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
LUX - BIH |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
58 |
X |
40 |
14,9/-14,9 |
2,4/-2,4 |
-10,1/10,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-16 |
SVK - ISL |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
80 |
1 |
59 |
10,3/-10,3 |
-2,2/2,2 |
-14,7/14,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
BRB - NCA |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
18 |
2 |
37 |
9,5/-9,5 |
2,0/-2,0 |
-5,5/5,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
MSR - DOM |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
30 |
2 |
39 |
9,2/-9,2 |
1,7/-1,7 |
-5,8/5,8 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-17 |
BLZ - FGU |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
32 |
2 |
||||||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
BER - VIN |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
76 |
1 |
51 |
7,3/-7,3 |
-0,2/0,2 |
-7,7/7,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
HON - MEX |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
19 |
2 |
20 |
20,0/-20,0 |
7,5/-7,5 |
-5,0/5,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
JAM - CAN |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
49 |
X |
47 |
13,3/-13,3 |
0,8/-0,8 |
-11,7/11,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
BFA - GNB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
70 |
1 |
70 |
7,4/-7,4 |
-5,1/5,1 |
-17,6/17,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
CMR - MRI |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
88 |
2,9/-2,9 |
-9,6/9,6 |
-22,1/22,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
SWZ - LBY |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
45 |
X |
43 |
14,3/-14,3 |
1,8/-1,8 |
-10,7/10,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
ZAM - CGO |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
88 |
1 |
60 |
10,1/-10,1 |
-2,4/2,4 |
-14,9/14,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
CIV - SEY |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
90 |
2,4/-2,4 |
-10,1/10,1 |
-22,6/22,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
GUI - UGA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
57 |
X |
54 |
11,4/-11,4 |
-1,1/1,1 |
-13,6/13,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
LBR - MWI |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
57 |
X |
40 |
14,9/-14,9 |
2,4/-2,4 |
-10,1/10,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
TUN - STP |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
91 |
2,1/-2,1 |
-10,4/10,4 |
-22,9/22,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
COM - CTA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
47 |
X |
50 |
12,5/-12,5 |
0,0/0,0 |
-12,5/12,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
GHA - MAD |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
90 |
1 |
69 |
7,8/-7,8 |
-4,7/4,7 |
-17,2/17,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
MLI - CHA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
96 |
1 |
88 |
3,0/-3,0 |
-9,5/9,5 |
-22,0/22,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
GRE - NZL |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
83 |
1 |
72 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-2,2/2,2 |
-7,2/7,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
NCL - COK |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
95 |
1 |
59 |
4,1/-4,1 |
-0,9/0,9 |
-5,9/5,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
SOL - SAM |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
98 |
1 |
69 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-1,9/1,9 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
ENG - MLT |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
96 |
1,0/-1,0 |
-11,5/11,5 |
-24,0/24,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
ITA - MKD |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
94 |
1 |
80 |
5,0/-5,0 |
-7,5/7,5 |
-20,0/20,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
MDA - ALB |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
21 |
2 |
19 |
20,3/-20,3 |
7,8/-7,8 |
-4,7/4,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
POL - CZE |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
58 |
X |
53 |
11,8/-11,8 |
-0,7/0,7 |
-13,2/13,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
DEN - SVN |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
82 |
1 |
67 |
8,3/-8,3 |
-4,2/4,2 |
-16,7/16,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
FIN - NIR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
83 |
1 |
56 |
11,0/-11,0 |
-1,5/1,5 |
-14,0/14,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-17 |
KAZ - SMR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
99 |
1 |
86 |
3,5/-3,5 |
-9,0/9,0 |
-21,5/21,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
ATG - PUR |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
54 |
X |
59 |
6,1/-6,1 |
-1,4/1,4 |
-8,9/8,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
BAH - GUY |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
8 |
2 |
34 |
9,8/-9,8 |
2,3/-2,3 |
-5,2/5,2 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-18 |
AIA - BON |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
23 |
2 |
||||||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
SEN - SSD |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
91 |
2,2/-2,2 |
-10,3/10,3 |
-22,8/22,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
RSA - BEN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
82 |
1 |
62 |
9,5/-9,5 |
-3,0/3,0 |
-15,5/15,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
NIG - TAN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
33 |
2 |
48 |
13,1/-13,1 |
0,6/-0,6 |
-11,9/11,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
GER - TUR |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
83 |
1 |
64 |
3,6/-3,6 |
-1,4/1,4 |
-6,4/6,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
PNG - VAN |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
54 |
X |
51 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-0,1/0,1 |
-5,1/5,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
FIJ - TAH |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
57 |
X |
49 |
5,1/-5,1 |
0,1/-0,1 |
-4,9/4,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
FRA - GIB |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
100 |
1 |
98 |
0,5/-0,5 |
-12,0/12,0 |
-24,5/24,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
NED - IRL |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
93 |
1 |
78 |
5,5/-5,5 |
-7,0/7,0 |
-19,5/19,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
ARM - WAL |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
31 |
2 |
24 |
18,9/-18,9 |
6,4/-6,4 |
-6,1/6,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
LVA - CRO |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
5 |
2 |
9 |
22,8/-22,8 |
10,3/-10,3 |
-2,2/2,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
BLR - AND |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
86 |
1 |
68 |
7,9/-7,9 |
-4,6/4,6 |
-17,1/17,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
ISR - ROU |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
48 |
X |
39 |
15,3/-15,3 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-9,7/9,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-18 |
SUI - KOS |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
93 |
1 |
85 |
3,7/-3,7 |
-8,8/8,8 |
-21,3/21,3 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-19 |
GDL - SKN |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
86 |
1 |
||||||
|
N |
2023-11-19 |
LCA - STA |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
89 |
1 |
||||||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
SLE - EGY |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
12 |
2 |
19 |
20,1/-20,1 |
7,6/-7,6 |
-4,9/4,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
SDN - COD |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
18 |
2 |
26 |
18,6/-18,6 |
6,1/-6,1 |
-6,4/6,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
ZIM - NGA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
15 |
2 |
20 |
19,9/-19,9 |
7,4/-7,4 |
-5,1/5,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
BDI - GAB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
28 |
2 |
31 |
17,3/-17,3 |
4,8/-4,8 |
-7,7/7,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
MOZ - ALG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
16 |
2 |
20 |
19,9/-19,9 |
7,4/-7,4 |
-5,1/5,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
CYP - LTU |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
62 |
X |
55 |
4,5/-4,5 |
-0,5/0,5 |
-5,5/5,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
SCO - NOR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
72 |
1 |
53 |
11,6/-11,6 |
-0,9/0,9 |
-13,4/13,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
ESP - GEO |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
94 |
1 |
83 |
4,3/-4,3 |
-8,2/8,2 |
-20,7/20,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
BEL - AZE |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
92 |
1,9/-1,9 |
-10,6/10,6 |
-23,1/23,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
SWE - EST |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
94 |
1 |
82 |
4,5/-4,5 |
-8,0/8,0 |
-20,5/20,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
HUN - MNE |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
91 |
1 |
66 |
8,4/-8,4 |
-4,1/4,1 |
-16,6/16,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
SRB - BUL |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
95 |
1 |
72 |
6,9/-6,9 |
-5,6/5,6 |
-18,1/18,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
BIH - SVK |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
49 |
X |
41 |
14,6/-14,6 |
2,1/-2,1 |
-10,4/10,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
LIE - LUX |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
8 |
2 |
16 |
21,0/-21,0 |
8,5/-8,5 |
-4,0/4,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-19 |
POR - ISL |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
98 |
1 |
82 |
4,5/-4,5 |
-8,0/8,0 |
-20,5/20,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
MSR - BRB |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
64 |
1 |
47 |
7,9/-7,9 |
0,4/-0,4 |
-7,1/7,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
ARU - CAY |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
81 |
1 |
51 |
7,3/-7,3 |
-0,2/0,2 |
-7,7/7,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
DMA - TCA |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
82 |
1 |
59 |
6,2/-6,2 |
-1,3/1,3 |
-8,8/8,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
PAN - CRC |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
75 |
1 |
51 |
12,3/-12,3 |
-0,2/0,2 |
-12,7/12,7 |
6,0/0,2 |
-0,2/6,5 |
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
TRI - USA |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
14 |
2 |
14 |
21,4/-21,4 |
8,9/-8,9 |
-3,6/3,6 |
15,2/-8,9 |
8,9/-2,7 |
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
DJI - GNB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
6 |
2 |
25 |
18,9/-18,9 |
6,4/-6,4 |
-6,1/6,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
MRI - ANG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
21 |
2 |
30 |
17,5/-17,5 |
5,0/-5,0 |
-7,5/7,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
GAM - CIV |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
27 |
2 |
26 |
18,5/-18,5 |
6,0/-6,0 |
-6,5/6,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
SEY - KEN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
6 |
2 |
22 |
19,4/-19,4 |
6,9/-6,9 |
-5,6/5,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
LBR - EQG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
33 |
2 |
30 |
17,4/-17,4 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-7,6/7,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
CHA - MAD |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
34 |
2 |
27 |
18,1/-18,1 |
5,6/-5,6 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
MLI - CTA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
92 |
1 |
78 |
5,6/-5,6 |
-6,9/6,9 |
-19,4/19,4 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-20 |
RUS - CUB |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
96 |
1 |
88 |
1,2/-1,2 |
-3,8/3,8 |
-8,8/8,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
NCL - TGA |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
98 |
1 |
63 |
3,7/-3,7 |
-1,3/1,3 |
-6,3/6,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
SAM - ASA |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
77 |
1 |
49 |
5,1/-5,1 |
0,1/-0,1 |
-4,9/4,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
MKD - ENG |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
10 |
2 |
15 |
21,3/-21,3 |
8,8/-8,8 |
-3,7/3,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
UKR - ITA |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
36 |
2 |
34 |
16,5/-16,5 |
4,0/-4,0 |
-8,5/8,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
ALB - FRO |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
95 |
1 |
76 |
5,9/-5,9 |
-6,6/6,6 |
-19,1/19,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
CZE - MDA |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
96 |
1 |
86 |
3,5/-3,5 |
-9,0/9,0 |
-21,5/21,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
NIR - DEN |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
13 |
2 |
24 |
19,1/-19,1 |
6,6/-6,6 |
-5,9/5,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
SMR - FIN |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
23,1/-23,1 |
10,6/-10,6 |
-1,9/1,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-20 |
SVN - KAZ |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
86 |
1 |
68 |
8,0/-8,0 |
-4,5/4,5 |
-17,0/17,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
NCA - DOM |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
76 |
1 |
55 |
6,8/-6,8 |
-0,7/0,7 |
-8,2/8,2 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-21 |
FGU - BER |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
70 |
1 |
||||||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
VIN - BLZ |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
47 |
X |
52 |
7,2/-7,2 |
-0,3/0,3 |
-7,8/7,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
GUY - ATG |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
77 |
1 |
43 |
8,6/-8,6 |
1,1/-1,1 |
-6,4/6,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
PUR - BAH |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
91 |
1 |
65 |
5,3/-5,3 |
-2,2/2,2 |
-9,7/9,7 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-21 |
BON - STM |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
15 |
62 |
1 |
||||||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
CAN - JAM |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
76 |
1 |
53 |
11,8/-11,8 |
-0,7/0,7 |
-13,2/13,2 |
5,5/0,7 |
-0,7/7,0 |
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
MEX - HON |
CONCACAF Nations League 2024 |
25 |
94 |
1 |
80 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-7,6/7,6 |
-20,1/20,1 |
-1,4/7,6 |
-7,6/13,9 |
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
AFG - KUW |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
14 |
2 |
42 |
14,5/-14,5 |
2,0/-2,0 |
-10,5/10,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
IND - QAT |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
29 |
2 |
30 |
17,4/-17,4 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-7,6/7,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
MYA - PRK |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
11 |
2 |
35 |
16,3/-16,3 |
3,8/-3,8 |
-8,7/8,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
SYR - JPN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
6 |
2 |
19 |
20,2/-20,2 |
7,7/-7,7 |
-4,8/4,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
CHN - KOR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
22 |
2 |
28 |
18,1/-18,1 |
5,6/-5,6 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
SIN - THA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
30 |
2 |
36 |
16,0/-16,0 |
3,5/-3,5 |
-9,0/9,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
TPE - MAS |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
18 |
2 |
43 |
14,3/-14,3 |
1,8/-1,8 |
-10,7/10,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
KGZ - OMA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
19 |
2 |
38 |
15,6/-15,6 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-9,4/9,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
HKG - TKM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
41 |
X |
46 |
13,4/-13,4 |
0,9/-0,9 |
-11,6/11,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
UZB - IRN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
36 |
2 |
29 |
17,7/-17,7 |
5,2/-5,2 |
-7,3/7,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
PHI - IDN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
30 |
2 |
52 |
11,9/-11,9 |
-0,6/0,6 |
-13,1/13,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
VIE - IRQ |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
36 |
2 |
40 |
15,1/-15,1 |
2,6/-2,6 |
-9,9/9,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
JOR - KSA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
67 |
1 |
39 |
15,3/-15,3 |
2,8/-2,8 |
-9,7/9,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
PAK - TJK |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
8 |
2 |
23 |
19,3/-19,3 |
6,8/-6,8 |
-5,7/5,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
BHR - UAE |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
63 |
1 |
44 |
14,1/-14,1 |
1,6/-1,6 |
-10,9/10,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
NEP - YEM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
42 |
X |
44 |
13,9/-13,9 |
1,4/-1,4 |
-11,1/11,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
BAN - LIB |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
17 |
2 |
26 |
18,6/-18,6 |
6,1/-6,1 |
-6,4/6,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
PLE - AUS |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
12 |
2 |
24 |
18,9/-18,9 |
6,4/-6,4 |
-6,1/6,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
ETH - BFA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
19 |
2 |
21 |
19,7/-19,7 |
7,2/-7,2 |
-5,3/5,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
SSD - MTN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
18 |
2 |
30 |
17,4/-17,4 |
4,9/-4,9 |
-7,6/7,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
TOG - SEN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
20 |
2 |
16 |
21,0/-21,0 |
8,5/-8,5 |
-4,0/4,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
LES - BEN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
31 |
2 |
32 |
17,1/-17,1 |
4,6/-4,6 |
-7,9/7,9 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
RWA - RSA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
28 |
2 |
25 |
18,8/-18,8 |
6,3/-6,3 |
-6,2/6,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
SWZ - CPV |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
25 |
2 |
26 |
18,5/-18,5 |
6,0/-6,0 |
-6,5/6,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
LBY - CMR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
24 |
2 |
22 |
19,6/-19,6 |
7,1/-7,1 |
-5,4/5,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
NIG - ZAM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
14 |
2 |
32 |
16,9/-16,9 |
4,4/-4,4 |
-8,1/8,1 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
TAN - MAR |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
10 |
2 |
13 |
21,8/-21,8 |
9,3/-9,3 |
-3,2/3,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
BOT - GUI |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
55 |
X |
30 |
17,6/-17,6 |
5,1/-5,1 |
-7,4/7,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
SOM - UGA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
6 |
2 |
18 |
20,6/-20,6 |
8,1/-8,1 |
-4,4/4,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
MWI - TUN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
15 |
2 |
19 |
20,2/-20,2 |
7,7/-7,7 |
-4,8/4,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
STP - NAM |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
15 |
2 |
26 |
18,4/-18,4 |
5,9/-5,9 |
-6,6/6,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
COM - GHA |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
16 |
2 |
26 |
18,6/-18,6 |
6,1/-6,1 |
-6,4/6,4 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
BRA - ARG |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
48 |
X |
44 |
14,0/-14,0 |
1,5/-1,5 |
-11,0/11,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
ECU - CHI |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
81 |
1 |
49 |
12,7/-12,7 |
0,2/-0,2 |
-12,3/12,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
PAR - COL |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
31 |
2 |
31 |
17,2/-17,2 |
4,7/-4,7 |
-7,8/7,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
PER - VEN |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
70 |
1 |
59 |
10,3/-10,3 |
-2,2/2,2 |
-14,7/14,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
URU - BOL |
FIFA World Cup 2026 Q |
25 |
94 |
1 |
81 |
4,8/-4,8 |
-7,7/7,7 |
-20,2/20,2 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
AUT - GER |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
50 |
X |
40 |
6,0/-6,0 |
1,0/-1,0 |
-4,0/4,0 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
POL - LVA |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
93 |
1 |
83 |
1,7/-1,7 |
-3,3/3,3 |
-8,3/8,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
IRL - NZL |
Friendly 2023 |
10 |
74 |
1 |
69 |
3,1/-3,1 |
-1,9/1,9 |
-6,9/6,9 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-21 |
PNG - TUV |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
91 |
1 |
||||||
|
N |
2023-11-21 |
FIJ - NMA |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
10 |
99 |
1 |
||||||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
GIB - NED |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
24,2/-24,2 |
11,7/-11,7 |
-0,8/0,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
GRE - FRA |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
14 |
2 |
17 |
20,7/-20,7 |
8,2/-8,2 |
-4,3/4,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
CRO - ARM |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
97 |
1 |
87 |
3,4/-3,4 |
-9,1/9,1 |
-21,6/21,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
WAL - TUR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
60 |
X |
54 |
11,5/-11,5 |
-1,0/1,0 |
-13,5/13,5 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
AND - ISR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
9 |
2 |
22 |
19,4/-19,4 |
6,9/-6,9 |
-5,6/5,6 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
KOS - BLR |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
70 |
1 |
47 |
13,2/-13,2 |
0,7/-0,7 |
-11,8/11,8 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-21 |
ROU - SUI |
UEFA EURO 2024 Q |
25 |
33 |
2 |
31 |
17,3/-17,3 |
4,8/-4,8 |
-7,7/7,7 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-23 |
TGA - COK |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
5 |
30 |
2 |
46 |
2,7/-2,7 |
0,2/-0,2 |
-2,3/2,3 |
||
|
Y |
2023-11-23 |
SOL - ASA |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
5 |
100 |
1 |
70 |
1,5/-1,5 |
-1,0/1,0 |
-3,5/3,5 |
||
|
N |
2023-11-24 |
VAN - TUV |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
5 |
90 |
1 |
||||||
|
N |
2023-11-24 |
TAH - NMA |
South Pacific Games 2023 |
5 |
99 |
1 |
About me:
Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.
Hi Ed !
ReplyDeleteThanks for all your work.
Do you check the accuracy rate of your predictions ?
I think that would be a nice addition to your posts.
You're welcome.
DeleteYes, I calculate the prediction success rate of all elo predicted match results. And also for all FIFA predicted match results. I could post these rates, looking back over the matches played in the most recent completed NT-window, when I give the probable results for the upcoming window.
For all matches played so far this year, the prediction success rate -in terms of predicting correctly that the match ends in a win, draw or loss for the home team- is 57,9%. For FIFA it's exactly 50%. This is with all friendlies and all competitive matches included.
If you separate the two match types: elo comp. 60,7%; elo fr. 55,0%, FIFA comp. 54,5%; FIFA fr. 45,2%.
Thanks for the feedback.
Great ! Thx !
ReplyDelete