Saturday, October 18, 2025

2026 World Cup Qualifying Asia Fifth Round - 10000 Simulations

In the AFC Fifth round the United Arab Emirates will face off against Iraq for a chance to qualify for the Intercontinental Playoffs. With there being just 10 places between the two in the latest FIFA Ranking, we expect a close-run affair. Below are the results of the 10000 simulation runs, with Iraq having a slightly better chance as we'd expect:

Iraq                  57.65%
United Arab Emirates  42.35%

1 comment:

  1. I know a few of the guys on the Iraq coaching staff.

    Hoping they get thru. Good bunch of guys and Arnold’s a fantastic person and coach. With enough time he could do well with this group of players at the World Cup.

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