More details in the preview.
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
277 - Netherlands
252 - Colombia
231 - Belgium
225 - France
201 - Argentina
183 - Uruguay
126 - Costa Rica
110 - Ecuador
67 - Switzerland
66 - Turks and Caicos Islands
Friday, June 27, 2014
2014 FIFA World Cup simulations (27 June 2014)
10000 simulations using Elo ratings to generate score lines (more about this on clubelo.com).
See the simulations from one week ago.
Top 10 most likely finals:
11.46% - Brazil vs. Netherlands
8.55% - Argentina vs. Brazil
7.45% - Germany vs. Netherlands
5.68% - Argentina vs. Germany
3.85% - Brazil vs. Mexico
3.75% - Belgium vs. Brazil
3.59% - Colombia vs. Netherlands
3.2% - France vs. Netherlands
3.02% - Brazil vs. USA
2.85% - Brazil vs. Costa Rica
See the simulations from one week ago.
Top 10 most likely finals:
11.46% - Brazil vs. Netherlands
8.55% - Argentina vs. Brazil
7.45% - Germany vs. Netherlands
5.68% - Argentina vs. Germany
3.85% - Brazil vs. Mexico
3.75% - Belgium vs. Brazil
3.59% - Colombia vs. Netherlands
3.2% - France vs. Netherlands
3.02% - Brazil vs. USA
2.85% - Brazil vs. Costa Rica
FIFA Ranking: July 2014 preview and probable ranking (27 June 2014)
Yes, two in one :)
22 matches left involving 25 teams. 6 friendlies and 16 World Cup matches.
Here's how the points and ranking could change for these 25 teams:
22 matches left involving 25 teams. 6 friendlies and 16 World Cup matches.
Here's how the points and ranking could change for these 25 teams:
Elo Ratings update (27 June 2014)
Kirill is most likely on vacation. Since I use the Elo ratings for probable results and simulations, here's an update.
Results taken from Roonba.
Results taken from Roonba.
Confederation weightings update (27 June 2014)
At the end of the group stage.
CONMEBOL still on top, while UEFA have done some damage limitation with their latest wins. CONCACAF drop due to their recent defeats.
CONMEBOL still on top, while UEFA have done some damage limitation with their latest wins. CONCACAF drop due to their recent defeats.
Friday, June 20, 2014
2014 FIFA World Cup simulations (20 June 2014)
10000 simulations using Elo ratings to generate score lines (more about this on clubelo.com).
See the simulations from 3 weeks ago (here and here).
Top 10 most likely finals:
13.95% - Brazil vs. Netherlands
12.47% - Argentina vs. Brazil
8.23% - Argentina vs. Germany
8.04% - Germany vs. Netherlands
4.93% - Brazil vs. Chile
4.90% - Chile vs. Netherlands
4.89% - Brazil vs. Italy
4.41% - Brazil vs. Germany
4.14% - Argentina vs. Colombia
4.10% - Colombia vs. Netherlands
See the simulations from 3 weeks ago (here and here).
Top 10 most likely finals:
13.95% - Brazil vs. Netherlands
12.47% - Argentina vs. Brazil
8.23% - Argentina vs. Germany
8.04% - Germany vs. Netherlands
4.93% - Brazil vs. Chile
4.90% - Chile vs. Netherlands
4.89% - Brazil vs. Italy
4.41% - Brazil vs. Germany
4.14% - Argentina vs. Colombia
4.10% - Colombia vs. Netherlands
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