Friday, March 7, 2014

AFC announce major competition changes

A bit of old news.

AFC announced on 24 January 2013 they will be making major changes to the AFC Asian Cup and FIFA World Cup qualification.

Here's the most important part.

FIFA Ranking: March 2014 final preview

Three matches left - all friendlies.

07/Mar Sudan - Chad
07/Mar Lesotho - Swaziland
09/Mar Lesotho - Swaziland

This is how the points and ranking could change for these 4 teams:

Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Minimum rank - Maximum rank

Sudan 229 238 123 121
Lesotho 161 183 143 137
Chad 81 121 170 157
Swaziland 37 76 187 171

In the table below, I've used the minimum points for these 4 teams.

Friday, February 21, 2014

FIFA Ranking: March 2014 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Yemen, Vietnam and Uzbekistan expected to climb 10 or more places.

Myanmar, Palestine, Laos, Guam, Turkmenistan, Armenia, Tajikistan and United Arab Emirates expected to drop 10 or more.

FIFA Ranking: March 2014 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the March 2014 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

FIFA Ranking: March 2014 preview

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

28 - Cuba
22 - Benin
19 - Congo DR
17 - Bolivia
13 - Afghanistan
6 - Japan
4 - Canada
4 - Malawi
4 - Nepal
3 - Nigeria
3 - Cambodia

Friday, February 14, 2014

Best teams to play against on 5 March

This is based on (FIFA points for a win) / (actual effort from Elo rating).

I took into account only teams that would bring at least 200 points for an OFC opponent.

The top 20 best teams to play against have already scheduled friendlies.

February 2014: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference


Korea DPR 136 61 75
Fiji 181 122 59
South Sudan 202 148 54
Syria 133 94 39
Kuwait 109 73 36
Guinea-Bissau 183 147 36
Vanuatu 179 144 35
Iraq 114 81 33
Guatemala 126 93 33
Papua New Guinea 194 161 33