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Monday, November 24, 2008

FIFA Ranking: Malaysia October and November 2008 detailed point totals

I don't get the same value as FIFA does, but that's because there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

The columns are as follows: Match date, Opponents' FIFA trigramme, FIFA match points for Malaysia.

October 2008

"0.2 time frame"

13-Oct-2004 HKG 0
17-Nov-2004 KUW 0
10-Dec-2004 PHI 127.5
12-Dec-2004 MYA 0
14-Dec-2004 THA 326.4
28-Dec-2004 IDN 277.95
3-Jan-2005 IDN 0
15-Jan-2005 MYA 142.8
4-Jun-2005 SIN 0
8-Jun-2005 SIN 0

"0.3 time frame"

19-Feb-2006 NZL 0
23-Feb-2006 NZL 0
31-May-2006 SIN 91.8
3-Jun-2006 SIN 91.8
23-Aug-2006 IDN 45.9
27-Aug-2006 MYA 0

"0.5 time frame"

12-Jan-2007 PHI 127.5
14-Jan-2007 MYA 42.5
16-Jan-2007 THA 0
23-Jan-2007 SIN 62.9
27-Jan-2007 SIN 62.9
24-Mar-2007 SRI 135.15
26-Mar-2007 SRI 0
18-Jun-2007 CAM 127.5
21-Jun-2007 UAE 0
28-Jun-2007 JAM 0
10-Jul-2007 CHN 0
14-Jul-2007 UZB 0
18-Jul-2007 IRN 0

"1.0 time frame"

21-Oct-2007 BHR 0
28-Oct-2007 BHR 221
6-Jun-2008 IDN 60.35
22-Jul-2008 IND 42.5

Adding it up:

Year - Points - Matches - Multiplier - Total

-4 874.65 10 0.2 17.493
-3 229.5 6 0.3 11.475
-2 558.45 13 0.5 21.47885
-1 323.85 5 1 64.77

For the last 12-month time frame, Malaysia only have 4 matches, but FIFA requires a minimum of 5, so the total is divided by 5 instead of 4.

My total: 115.2168462. FIFA has 109. However, my software makes adjustments based on previous month differences and Malaysia had 109 in my final October 2008 FIFA ranking preview.

November 2008

"0.2 time frame"

17-Nov-2004 KUW 0
10-Dec-2004 PHI 127.5
12-Dec-2004 MYA 0
14-Dec-2004 THA 326.4
28-Dec-2004 IDN 277.95
3-Jan-2005 IDN 0
15-Jan-2005 MYA 142.8
4-Jun-2005 SIN 0
8-Jun-2005 SIN 0

"0.3 time frame"

19-Feb-2006 NZL 0
23-Feb-2006 NZL 0
31-May-2006 SIN 91.8
3-Jun-2006 SIN 91.8
23-Aug-2006 IDN 45.9
27-Aug-2006 MYA 0

"0.5 time frame"

12-Jan-2007 PHI 127.5
14-Jan-2007 MYA 42.5
16-Jan-2007 THA 0
23-Jan-2007 SIN 62.9
27-Jan-2007 SIN 62.9
24-Mar-2007 SRI 135.15
26-Mar-2007 SRI 0
18-Jun-2007 CAM 127.5
21-Jun-2007 UAE 0
28-Jun-2007 JAM 0
10-Jul-2007 CHN 0
14-Jul-2007 UZB 0
18-Jul-2007 IRN 0
21-Oct-2007 BHR 0
28-Oct-2007 BHR 221

"1.0 time frame"

6-Jun-2008 IDN 60.35
22-Jul-2008 IND 42.5
10-Oct-2008 PAK 127.5
15-Oct-2008 NEP 127.5
20-Oct-2008 AFG 127.5
23-Oct-2008 MYA 127.5

Adding it up:

Year - Points - Matches - Multiplier - Total

-4 874.65 9 0.2 19.43667
-3 229.5 6 0.3 11.475
-2 779.45 15 0.5 25.98167
-1 612.85 6 1 102.1417

My total: 159.035. FIFA has 152. The adjusted value computed by my software was 153 as you can see in the November 2008 FIFA ranking preview.

Malaysia total rised because:

You dropped the defeat against Hong Kong (13 Oct 2004), so the average of the "0.2 time frame" increased.
Two matches against Bahrain (21 and 28 Oct 2007) dropped from 1.0 to 0.5 increasing the average of the 0.5 time frame.
You won 4 friendlies so the average of the last 12 months increased.

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