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Wednesday, August 20, 2014

August 2014: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the August FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team and their recommended opponent

The most popular opponent for the month of July were again Sierra Leone - best opponent for 51 teams. However, Aruba (46) and Iceland (44) were not far behind.



Of the top 20 teams, only 3 would have gained points:Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and England, but none of them would have climbed in the rankings.

Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

19 - Haiti
16 - Guinea and Togo
14 - New Zealand

Sierra Leone were the recommended opponent for Haiti and Togo, while Iceland were the recommended opponent for Guinea and New Zealand.

Teams from the top 50 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

16 - Guinea
5 - Sierra Leone
4 - Slovenia, Montenegro, Peru

Iceland were the recommended opponent for all teams, except Sierra Leone - their opponent would have been Luxembourg.

August Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference


1 Germany Uruguay -28 0
2 Argentina Switzerland -27 0
3 Netherlands Switzerland -21 -1
4 Colombia Greece -20 0
5 Belgium Scotland -24 0
6 Uruguay Armenia -23 0
7 Brazil Scotland -12 -1
7 Spain Scotland -1 -1
9 Switzerland Armenia -19 -1
10 France Scotland -15 0
11 Portugal Scotland -6 0
12 Chile Scotland -10 -1
13 Greece Armenia -6 0
14 Italy Armenia 0 0
15 Costa Rica Armenia -16 0
16 Croatia Armenia 6 0
17 Mexico Armenia -3 0
18 USA Armenia -2 0
19 Bosnia-Herzegovina Armenia 5 0
20 England Armenia 4 0
21 Ecuador Armenia 5 1
22 Ukraine Armenia -6 -1
23 Russia Armenia 5 1
24 Algeria Iceland -8 0
25 Côte d'Ivoire Armenia 8 0
26 Denmark Iceland 6 0
27 Romania Iceland 8 0
28 Scotland Iceland 3 1
29 Sweden Armenia 10 0
29 Venezuela Iceland 13 0
31 Serbia Iceland 4 2
32 Turkey Armenia 4 0
33 Nigeria Iceland 4 0
34 Hungary Iceland 21 1
35 Czech Republic Armenia 23 2
36 Armenia Iceland 10 2
36 Ghana Iceland 9 2
38 Egypt Iceland 1 0
39 Slovenia Iceland 9 4
40 Austria Iceland 13 0
41 Wales Iceland 20 2
42 Tunisia Sierra Leone 4 0
43 Honduras Iceland 10 0
44 Japan Iceland 12 1
45 Slovakia Iceland 12 2
46 Iceland Sierra Leone 4 0
47 Paraguay Iceland 20 2
48 Iran Iceland 13 2
49 Montenegro Iceland 33 4
50 Sierra Leone Luxembourg 51 5
51 Uzbekistan Iceland 21 2
52 Peru Iceland 38 4
53 Norway Iceland 25 3
54 Cameroon Iceland 14 1
55 Finland Iceland 19 2
56 Jordan Iceland 10 2
57 Korea Republic Iceland 14 4
58 Burkina Faso Sierra Leone 11 3
59 Senegal Iceland 22 6
60 Mali Iceland 27 7
61 Poland Iceland 18 5
62 Libya Sierra Leone 11 1
63 Panama Iceland 39 10
64 Guinea Iceland 84 16
65 United Arab Emirates Iceland 16 3
66 Republic of Ireland Iceland 26 3
67 Oman Iceland 15 1
68 Israel Iceland 30 3
69 South Africa Iceland 17 3
70 Albania Sierra Leone 24 4
71 Bolivia Iceland 40 8
72 Bulgaria Iceland 40 7
73 Azerbaijan Sierra Leone 13 0
74 Cape Verde Islands Sierra Leone 69 12
75 Angola Sierra Leone 18 2
76 FYR Macedonia Sierra Leone 16 3
77 Benin Sierra Leone 12 4
78 Congo Sierra Leone 16 4
79 Australia Iceland 31 6
80 Trinidad and Tobago Sierra Leone 24 5
81 Morocco Sierra Leone 19 3
81 Uganda Sierra Leone 10 2
83 Saudi Arabia Sierra Leone 13 3
84 Zambia Sierra Leone 18 5
85 Jamaica Sierra Leone 17 5
86 Botswana Sierra Leone 14 6
87 Togo Sierra Leone 69 16
88 Belarus Iceland 30 9
88 Palestine Sierra Leone 11 3
90 Zimbabwe Sierra Leone 9 3
91 Iraq Iceland 28 11
92 Qatar Sierra Leone 12 2
93 Congo DR Azerbaijan 29 8
93 Estonia Sierra Leone 21 6
95 Georgia Sierra Leone 30 9
95 Northern Ireland Sierra Leone 18 5
97 China PR Sierra Leone 20 5
98 New Zealand Iceland 45 14
99 Moldova Sierra Leone 14 2
100 Latvia Sierra Leone 19 5
101 Rwanda Sierra Leone 11 2
102 Gabon Sierra Leone 25 5
103 Lithuania Sierra Leone 19 4
104 Kenya Sierra Leone 15 3
105 Lesotho Luxembourg 2 0
106 Malawi Sierra Leone 21 4
107 Bahrain Sierra Leone 18 4
107 Mozambique Sierra Leone 15 2
109 Luxembourg Aruba 5 2
110 Tanzania Sierra Leone 14 4
111 Kuwait Sierra Leone 14 4
112 Ethiopia Sierra Leone 23 6
113 Equatorial Guinea Luxembourg 51 12
114 Namibia Luxembourg 17 5
115 Lebanon Sierra Leone 20 4
115 Sudan Sierra Leone 27 8
117 Haiti Sierra Leone 70 19
118 Niger Luxembourg 51 16
119 Liberia Luxembourg 51 17
120 Central African Republic Luxembourg 51 15
120 Tajikistan Luxembourg 51 15
122 Canada Sierra Leone 39 15
123 Guinea-Bissau Aruba 39 12
124 Aruba American Samoa -7 -2
124 Cuba Sierra Leone 69 19
126 Dominican Republic Luxembourg 50 16
127 El Salvador Sierra Leone 70 20
128 Philippines Aruba 6 2
129 Afghanistan Aruba 6 3
129 Burundi Luxembourg 15 3
131 Kazakhstan Sierra Leone 31 8
131 Suriname Aruba 39 11
133 Mauritania Aruba 5 1
134 Guatemala Sierra Leone 70 21
134 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Aruba 39 11
136 New Caledonia Sierra Leone 70 22
137 Turkmenistan Luxembourg 51 14
138 St. Lucia Aruba 18 8
139 Vietnam Aruba 11 5
140 Chad Luxembourg 51 16
140 Cyprus Sierra Leone 42 13
142 Grenada Aruba 39 15
143 Madagascar Aruba 39 15
144 Kyrgyzstan Aruba 13 4
145 Maldives Aruba 8 3
146 Korea DPR Iceland 85 26
147 Syria Sierra Leone 33 8
148 Gambia Sierra Leone 69 21
149 Antigua and Barbuda Luxembourg 51 16
150 India Aruba 14 2
150 Malta Aruba 24 4
152 Singapore Aruba 13 2
153 Guyana Luxembourg 51 13
153 Indonesia Aruba 11 3
155 Malaysia Aruba 13 5
155 Puerto Rico Aruba 40 10
157 Thailand Luxembourg 40 10
158 Swaziland Aruba 16 6
159 St. Kitts and Nevis American Samoa 25 9
160 Myanmar Aruba 39 12
161 Hong Kong Aruba 28 11
162 Belize Aruba 39 13
163 Guam American Samoa 9 0
164 Pakistan Aruba 19 3
165 Montserrat American Samoa 26 7
166 Nepal Aruba 19 3
167 Liechtenstein Aruba 24 6
168 Dominica Aruba 22 5
169 Barbados Aruba 40 12
170 Bangladesh Aruba 39 13
171 Tahiti Luxembourg 51 18
172 Laos American Samoa 15 7
173 Bermuda Aruba 39 13
173 Solomon Islands Aruba 40 13
175 Comoros Aruba 40 14
175 Nicaragua Aruba 40 14
177 Sao Tome e Principe Aruba 39 14
178 Sri Lanka American Samoa 26 12
179 Chinese Taipei American Samoa 25 13
180 Seychelles Aruba 39 17
181 Turks and Caicos Islands American Samoa 26 12
182 Curacao Aruba 39 19
183 Faroe Islands Aruba 27 13
184 Yemen Aruba 24 11
185 South Sudan Aruba 26 5
186 Macau American Samoa 26 5
186 Vanuatu Aruba 39 11
188 Mauritius Aruba 39 11
189 Fiji Sierra Leone 69 25
190 Mongolia American Samoa 25 5
191 Samoa American Samoa 25 6
191 US Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 6
193 Bahamas Aruba 40 12
193 Brunei Darussalam American Samoa 25 8
193 Timor-Leste American Samoa 25 8
193 Tonga American Samoa 25 8
197 Cayman Islands Aruba 39 13
198 American Samoa Bhutan 26 13
199 Andorra Aruba 25 13
200 Papua New Guinea Aruba 39 15
201 British Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 13
201 Cambodia American Samoa 26 13
203 Eritrea Aruba 40 18
204 Somalia American Samoa 26 15
205 Djibouti American Samoa 26 16
206 Cook Islands American Samoa 26 17
207 Anguilla American Samoa 26 14
208 Bhutan American Samoa 26 15
208 San Marino American Samoa 23 11

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