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Friday, November 28, 2014

FIFA Ranking: December 2014 preview and probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 December.

A quiet interval in terms of matches. The AFF Championship trudges along. This tournament will have matches included in three editions of the FIFA ranking, as the final matches will be included in the January 2015 ranking. There's also an odd South Africa - Côte d'Ivoire friendly, plus some friendlies in Asia as teams begin final preparations for the AFC Asian (thanks thebear!) Cup.

Only the aforementioned African friendly will affect the top 50, with China's and Uzbekistan matches affecting the top 100.


This is how the points and rankings could change:

Team - Minimum Points - Maximum Points - Worst Rank - Best Rank

Côte d'Ivoire 833 860 28 24
South Africa 544 579 58 52
Uzbekistan 419 457 79 74
China PR 323 334 101 97
Palestine 271 296 113 109
Kuwait 241 259 124 118
Philippines 218 241 134 124
Myanmar 197 222 142 129
Vietnam 180 229 144 129
Thailand 154 206 152 138
Kyrgyzstan 137 169 155 146
Singapore 131 159 159 149
Malaysia 125 154 159 150
Laos 121 132 160 156
Indonesia 112 137 164 153

Here's the list of probable results. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

28/Nov Indonesia - Laos 1 (Friendly)
28/Nov Vietnam - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
29/Nov Singapore - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
29/Nov Thailand - Myanmar 1 (Friendly)
30/Nov South Africa - Côte d'Ivoire X (Friendly)
06/Dec Singapore - Vietnam X (Friendly)
07/Dec Philippines - Thailand X (Friendly)
10/Dec Uzbekistan - Kuwait 1 (Friendly)
10/Dec Vietnam - Singapore 1 (Friendly)
11/Dec Thailand - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
13/Dec China PR - Kyrgyzstan 1 (Friendly)
13/Dec Uzbekistan - Palestine 1 (Friendly)

Best movers:

22 - Rwanda
17 - Zambia
9 - Maldives

Worst movers:

-34 - Cuba
-15 - Dominican Republic
-14 - Antigua and Barbuda

Best movers in the top 50:

Only Zambia are on the move - jumping 17 spots.

Worst movers:

-3 - Albania
-1 - Slovenia, Serbia, Northern Ireland, Turkey, Mali

One team will improve its best ever ranking:

Rwanda (68 - 78 in December 2008)

One team will return to its best ever ranking:

Faroe Islands (104 - 104 in July 1999)

Three teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

Serbia (47 - 47 in December 2005)
Gambia (168 - 168 in October 2014)
Vanuatu (191 - 191 in June 2013)

Three teams will drop to new lows:

India (171 - 170 in November 2014)
Cayman Islands (205 - 204 in November 2014)
Djibouti (206 - 205 in July 2014)

Probable December 2014 rank - Team - Probable December 2014 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Germany 1725 0 0
2 Argentina 1538 0 0
3 Colombia 1450 0 0
4 Belgium 1417 0 0
5 Netherlands 1374 0 0
6 Brazil 1316 0 0
7 France 1160 0 0
7 Portugal 1160 0 0
9 Spain 1142 0 0
10 Uruguay 1135 0 0
11 Italy 1103 0 0
12 Switzerland 1091 0 0
13 England 1032 0 0
14 Chile 1022 0 0
15 Romania 1014 0 0
16 Costa Rica 997 0 2
17 Czech Republic 987 0 0
18 Algeria 948 0 0
19 Croatia 946 0 0
20 Mexico 913 0 0
21 Slovakia 891 0 0
22 Tunisia 867 0 0
23 Austria 863 0 0
24 Greece 856 1 0
25 Ukraine 854 1 0
26 Ecuador 852 1 0
27 Côte d'Ivoire 842 -3 -19
28 USA 836 0 0
29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 817 0 9
30 Denmark 804 0 0
31 Russia 789 0 0
32 Israel 788 0 0
33 Iceland 761 0 0
34 Wales 748 0 0
35 Senegal 734 0 0
36 Scotland 729 0 0
37 Ghana 714 0 0
38 Guinea 706 0 8
39 Cape Verde Islands 693 0 0
40 Poland 680 0 -4
41 Cameroon 665 0 1
42 Nigeria 656 0 0
43 Sweden 646 0 0
44 Hungary 632 0 0
45 Zambia 625 17 109
46 Slovenia 622 -1 0
47 Serbia 617 -1 0
48 Northern Ireland 615 -1 0
49 Turkey 604 -1 0
50 Mali 603 -1 0
51 Iran 580 5 33
52 Albania 577 -2 0
53 Peru 565 -1 0
54 Japan 563 -1 0
55 South Africa 556 -4 -12
56 Trinidad and Tobago 551 -2 -2
57 Congo DR 548 -2 0
58 Panama 547 -2 0
59 Montenegro 537 -1 0
60 Egypt 531 0 4
61 Congo 529 -2 0
62 Togo 524 0 8
63 Burkina Faso 523 2 13
64 Republic of Ireland 519 -3 0
65 Gabon 511 -1 0
66 Bulgaria 506 0 0
67 Norway 500 0 0
68 Rwanda 494 22 127
69 Korea Republic 481 0 0
70 Finland 468 0 0
71 Honduras 461 1 0
72 Guatemala 458 1 0
72 Haiti 458 -4 -26
74 Uzbekistan 457 0 9
75 Jamaica 449 -4 -18
76 Paraguay 438 -1 0
76 Uganda 438 2 13
78 Libya 437 -2 0
79 Armenia 436 -2 0
80 Angola 395 1 1
81 Jordan 393 5 11
81 Morocco 393 1 0
81 United Arab Emirates 393 4 8
84 Estonia 390 -1 0
85 Bolivia 375 2 0
86 Sierra Leone 374 -2 -13
87 Cyprus 372 1 0
88 Venezuela 369 1 0
89 Benin 361 2 0
90 El Salvador 358 3 0
90 Malawi 358 4 1
92 Lithuania 355 3 0
93 Oman 347 3 -4
94 Antigua and Barbuda 344 -14 -69
95 Qatar 342 3 4
96 Latvia 339 1 0
97 China PR 334 2 -2
98 Mozambique 332 2 -2
99 Belarus 331 2 0
100 Australia 324 2 -3
100 FYR Macedonia 324 3 0
102 Saudi Arabia 323 4 9
103 Iraq 320 1 -1
104 Faroe Islands 317 1 0
105 Tanzania 314 7 29
106 Dominican Republic 310 -15 -51
107 Botswana 309 1 0
108 Zimbabwe 308 -2 -6
109 Namibia 295 0 0
110 Sudan 294 5 29
111 Ethiopia 290 -1 3
112 Canada 287 -2 0
113 Cuba 271 -34 -152
113 Palestine 271 0 -5
115 Liberia 268 6 19
116 Kenya 261 -2 -10
116 Niger 261 0 0
118 St. Kitts and Nevis 258 -1 0
119 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 256 -1 0
120 Equatorial Guinea 251 -1 0
121 Moldova 250 -1 0
122 Bahrain 249 3 6
123 Lesotho 247 -1 0
124 Kuwait 241 -1 -5
125 Georgia 239 1 0
126 Lebanon 238 1 0
127 Burundi 232 -3 -13
128 Luxembourg 230 1 0
129 Aruba 221 2 3
130 Maldives 220 12 36
130 Philippines 220 -2 -11
132 Liechtenstein 219 -2 0
133 Guinea-Bissau 218 -2 0
134 New Zealand 216 -1 0
135 Azerbaijan 215 0 0
135 Tajikistan 215 0 0
135 Vietnam 215 3 9
138 Mauritania 211 3 16
139 Kazakhstan 205 0 0
140 St. Lucia 202 5 23
141 Myanmar 200 -1 -2
142 Thailand 194 2 12
143 Afghanistan 190 -10 -26
144 Barbados 183 -1 0
145 Central African Republic 178 1 0
146 Chad 172 1 0
147 Madagascar 166 1 0
147 Malta 166 1 0
147 Turkmenistan 166 1 0
150 Korea DPR 156 -13 -55
151 Syria 154 0 6
152 New Caledonia 142 2 0
153 Grenada 137 -1 -10
153 Kyrgyzstan 137 0 -9
153 Singapore 137 5 14
156 Hong Kong 134 3 14
157 Curaçao 125 -1 -2
157 Malaysia 125 -2 -12
159 Indonesia 123 -2 -3
160 Laos 121 -1 1
161 Guam 119 4 14
161 Puerto Rico 119 0 0
163 Suriname 115 1 6
164 Swaziland 113 -2 0
165 Bangladesh 103 -2 -8
166 Tahiti 100 0 0
167 Guyana 92 3 8
168 Gambia 90 -1 0
169 Montserrat 86 -1 0
170 Sao Tome e Principe 84 0 0
171 India 79 -1 -5
172 Sri Lanka 78 -3 -7
173 Comoros 75 0 -2
173 Nicaragua 75 1 0
175 Belize 74 2 0
176 Yemen 69 -2 -6
177 Turks and Caicos Islands 66 1 0
178 Seychelles 61 -4 -14
179 Bermuda 55 1 0
179 Cambodia 55 1 0
179 San Marino 55 1 0
182 Chinese Taipei 54 6 7
183 Solomon Islands 53 1 0
184 Dominica 52 3 4
185 Timor-Leste 51 0 0
186 Macau 49 0 0
186 Nepal 49 -7 -9
188 Pakistan 45 -5 -9
189 South Sudan 43 0 0
190 Mauritius 36 1 4
191 Vanuatu 33 -1 0
192 Fiji 30 0 0
192 Samoa 30 0 0
194 Mongolia 29 0 0
195 Bahamas 26 0 0
196 Tonga 17 0 0
197 US Virgin Islands 16 0 0
198 Brunei Darussalam 15 0 0
199 Papua New Guinea 13 0 0
200 American Samoa 12 0 0
201 Andorra 9 0 0
202 British Virgin Islands 8 0 0
202 Eritrea 8 0 0
204 Somalia 6 2 2
205 Cayman Islands 5 -1 0
206 Cook Islands 4 0 0
206 Djibouti 4 -2 -1
208 Anguilla 2 0 0
209 Bhutan 0 0 0

2 comments:

  1. A bit of correction here. Is the AFC Asian Cup, not AFC Cup, that is a 2nd tier club competition. Amend it ya, thanks.

    ReplyDelete