Latest updates

Check the Important info page for latest updates! (18 July 2024)

Monday, May 31, 2010

Swiss mathematician using FIFA ranking to predict the World Cup

That seems as an unhappy choice - the FIFA ranking has many flaws... But that's my opinion and I don't have a PhD in mathematics as Mr. Roger Kaufmann has.

More info on his website: RogerKaufmann.ch

He will update the probabilities after each match.

Chances of winning the World Cup (as of May 26):

1 Brazil 15.4
2 Spain 15.2
3 Portugal 6.1
4 Netherlands 5.7
5 Italy 5.2
6 Nigeria 4
7 Cameroon 3.9
8 Germany 3.8
9 Argentina 3.4
10 France 3.3
11 Algeria 3.2
12 England 3.1
13 Cote d'Ivoire 2.7
14 Ghana 2.5
15 Greece 2.2
16 Serbia 2.1
17 USA 2
18 Mexico 1.8
19 Uruguay 1.8
20 Australia 1.6
21 Paraguay 1.5
22 Chile 1.5
23 Slovenia 1.3
24 Slovakia 1.2
25 South Africa 1.1
26 Switzerland 1.1
27 Denmark 1
28 Honduras 0.7
29 Japan 0.7
30 Korea Republic 0.5
31 New Zealand 0.2
32 Korea DPR 0.1

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

No comments:

Post a Comment