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Sunday, March 10, 2019

FIFA ranking: April 2019 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches until April 4th, used to calculate the April 2019 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. 
The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my described inclusion-method. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.


Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)


0 2019-03-10 Mozambique - Swatini; Friendly; We (elo): 63; 1
0 2019-03-16 Bahamas - Turks and Caicos Islands; Friendly; We (elo): 73; 1
0 2019-03-16 Suriname - Guyana; Friendly; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2019-03-17 Solomon Islands - Vanuatu; Friendly; We (elo): 64; 1
0 2019-03-17 St. Barthelemy - St. Martin; Friendly; We (elo): 47; X
1 2019-03-18 Fiji - New Caledonia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 62; X
1 2019-03-19 Myanmar - Chinese Taipei; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-03-20 Malaysia - Singapore; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
1 2019-03-20 Oman - Afghanistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-03-20 Germany - Serbia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 79; 1
1 2019-03-20 Wales - Trinidad and Tobago; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-03-21 British Virgin Islands - Turks and Caicos Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 32; 2
0 2019-03-21 St. Vincent and the Grenadines - Bonaire; Nations League group; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2019-03-21 China PR - Thailand; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 64; 1
1 2019-03-21 New Caledonia - Mauritius; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1
1 2019-03-21 Kosovo - Denmark; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 15; 2
0 2019-03-21 Kuwait - Nepal; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-03-21 USA - Ecuador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 62; X
1 2019-03-21 Netherlands - Belarus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-03-21 Northern Ireland - Estonia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2019-03-21 Croatia - Azerbaijan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-03-21 Slovakia - Hungary; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2019-03-21 Austria - Poland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2019-03-21 FYR Macedonia - Latvia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2019-03-21 Israel - Slovenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2019-03-21 Belgium - Russia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2019-03-21 Cyprus - San Marino; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-03-21 Kazakhstan - Scotland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2019-03-22 Sudan - Equatorial Guinea; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2019-03-22 Malawi - Morocco; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2019-03-22 Algeria - Gambia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-03-22 Nigeria - Seychelles; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-03-22 Botswana - Angola; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2019-03-22 Burkina Faso - Mauritania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-03-22 Tunisia - Swatini; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-03-22 Anguilla - US Virgin Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 46; X
1 2019-03-22 Cayman Islands - Montserrat; Nations League group; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2019-03-22 Uruguay - Uzbekistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2019-03-22 Iraq - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1
1 2019-03-22 Argentina - Venezuela; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1
1 2019-03-22 Chile - Mexico; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 59; X
1 2019-03-22 Guatemala - Costa Rica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 31; 2
1 2019-03-22 Japan - Colombia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 37; 2
1 2019-03-22 Korea Republic - Bolivia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 78; 1
1 2019-03-22 Peru - Paraguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-03-22 Bulgaria - Montenegro; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2019-03-22 England - Czech Republic; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-03-22 Luxembourg - Lithuania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-03-22 Portugal - Ukraine; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2019-03-22 Albania - Turkey; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 39; X
1 2019-03-22 Andorra - Iceland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 6; 2
1 2019-03-22 Moldova - France; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2019-03-23 Senegal - Madagascar; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-03-23 Cameroon - Comoros; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-03-23 Burundi - Gabon; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-03-23 Mali - South Sudan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-03-23 Ghana - Kenya; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-03-23 Cote d'Ivoire - Rwanda; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-03-23 Niger - Egypt; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 23; 2
1 2019-03-23 Guinea-Bissau - Mozambique; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-03-23 Zambia - Namibia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2019-03-23 Antigua and Barbuda - Curacao; Nations League group; We (elo): 41; X
1 2019-03-23 Dominica - Bahamas; Nations League group; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-03-23 El Salvador - Jamaica; Nations League group; We (elo): 50; X
0 2019-03-23 Guadeloupe - Martinique; Nations League group; We (elo): 29; 2
1 2019-03-23 Guyana - Belize; Nations League group; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-03-23 St. Lucia - Aruba; Nations League group; We (elo): 71; 1
0 2019-03-23 St. Maarten - St. Martin; Nations League group; We (elo): 47; X
1 2019-03-23 Suriname - St. Kitts and Nevis; Nations League group; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2019-03-23 Malaysia - Oman; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 17; 2
1 2019-03-23 Singapore - Afghanistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 39; X
1 2019-03-23 Brazil - Panama; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-03-23 Georgia - Switzerland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2019-03-23 Gibraltar - Republic of Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 5; 2
1 2019-03-23 Malta - Faroe Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 53; X
1 2019-03-23 Spain - Norway; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-03-23 Sweden - Romania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-03-23 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Armenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-03-23 Italy - Finland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-03-23 Liechtenstein - Greece; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2019-03-24 Benin - Togo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-03-24 Libya - South Africa; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 40; X
1 2019-03-24 Congo DR - Liberia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2019-03-24 Zimbabwe - Congo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-03-24 Central African Republic - Guinea; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 45; X
1 2019-03-24 Cape Verde Islands - Lesotho; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-03-24 Tanzania - Uganda; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 43; X
0 2019-03-24 British Virgin Islands - Bonaire; Nations League group; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2019-03-24 Barbados - Nicaragua; Nations League group; We (elo): 48; X
0 2019-03-24 Canada - French Guyana; Nations League group; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-03-24 Dominican Republic - Bermuda; Nations League group; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2019-03-24 Haiti - Cuba; Nations League group; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-03-24 Puerto Rico - Grenada; Nations League group; We (elo): 57; X
1 2019-03-24 Jordan - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 50; X
1 2019-03-24 Fiji - Mauritius; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 80; 1
1 2019-03-24 Chinese Taipei - Solomon Islands; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 30; 2
1 2019-03-24 Netherlands - Germany; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2019-03-24 Northern Ireland - Belarus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2019-03-24 Hungary - Croatia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 22; 2
1 2019-03-24 Wales - Slovakia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-03-24 Israel - Austria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2019-03-24 Poland - Latvia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-03-24 Slovenia - FYR Macedonia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-03-24 Cyprus - Belgium; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 5; 2
1 2019-03-24 Kazakhstan - Russia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2019-03-24 San Marino - Scotland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 1; 2
1 2019-03-25 China PR - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 6; 2
1 2019-03-25 Uzbekistan - Thailand; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-03-25 Azerbaijan - Lithuania; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-03-25 Myanmar - Indonesia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 45; X
1 2019-03-25 Kosovo - Bulgaria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 43; X
1 2019-03-25 Montenegro - England; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2019-03-25 Luxembourg - Ukraine; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2019-03-25 Portugal - Serbia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-03-25 Andorra - Albania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2019-03-25 France - Iceland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-03-25 Turkey - Moldova; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-03-26 Iraq - Jordan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-03-26 Algeria - Tunisia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 50; X
1 2019-03-26 Costa Rica - Jamaica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 81; 1
0 2019-03-26 Cote d'Ivoire - Liberia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-03-26 Czech Republic - Brazil; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 14; 2
1 2019-03-26 Ecuador - Honduras; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-03-26 Gibraltar - Estonia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 17; 2
1 2019-03-26 Japan - Bolivia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 78; 1
1 2019-03-26 Korea Republic - Colombia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 36; 2
0 2019-03-26 Malaysia - Nepal; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-03-26 Mexico - Paraguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 60; X
1 2019-03-26 Morocco - Argentina; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 38; X
1 2019-03-26 Nigeria - Egypt; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-03-26 Peru - El Salvador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 90; 1
1 2019-03-26 Senegal - Mali; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1
0 2019-03-26 United Arab Emirates - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 59; X
1 2019-03-26 USA - Chile; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 51; X
1 2019-03-26 Republic of Ireland - Georgia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-03-26 Switzerland - Denmark; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-03-26 Malta - Spain; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 1; 2
1 2019-03-26 Norway - Sweden; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 41; X
1 2019-03-26 Romania - Faroe Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-03-26 Armenia - Finland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 40; X
1 2019-03-26 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Greece; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-03-26 Italy - Liechtenstein; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1


About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

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