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Sunday, January 12, 2020

FIFA ranking: February 2020 probable ranking

These are quiet times in international football. Only the final matchday of the East Asian Championship 2019 and a few friendlies are played since the December 2019 ranking. The Bangabandhu Cup in Bangladesh (counting as friendlies) and some more friendlies are scheduled.

But there's something to spice it up: the fight for the final place in the CONCACAF Hexagonal this autumn between El Salvador and Canada is already casting it's shadow ahead. At the moment there's only a 15 points gap between them in favor of El Salvador, but both have only friendlies to play between now and the July 2020 ranking to improve or maintain position. The July ranking will probably be used to seed the draw for the CONCACAF qualifying groups for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar as there is no June 2020 ranking foreseen by FIFA.


We see that Canada has scheduled no less than three friendlies already in this January period. El Salvador couldn't stay behind to protect their position and arranged also a  friendly against a strong opponent (which may or may not count for the ranking, that's uncertain). Exciting strategic stuff so early in the year.

Here is the probable February 2020 ranking, to be published on February 20th.

This preview is calculated with elo-predicted results for all 13 currently scheduled and according to my method included matches, out of a total of 15 currently scheduled matches. See the probable results for a list of which scheduled matches are included.


Probable February 2020 rank - Team - Probable February 2020 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Belgium 1765 0 0,0
2 France 1733 0 0,0
3 Brazil 1712 0 0,0
4 England 1661 0 0,0
5 Uruguay 1645 0 0,0
6 Croatia 1642 0 0,0
7 Portugal 1639 0 0,0
8 Spain 1636 0 0,0
9 Argentina 1623 0 0,0
10 Colombia 1622 0 0,0
11 Mexico 1621 0 0,0
12 Switzerland 1608 0 0,0
13 Italy 1607 0 0,0
14 Netherlands 1604 0 0,0
15 Germany 1602 0 0,0
16 Denmark 1598 0 0,0
17 Sweden 1580 0 1,0
18 Chile 1579 -1 0,0
19 Poland 1559 0 0,0
20 Senegal 1555 0 0,0
21 Peru 1544 0 0,0
22 USA 1542 0 2,0
23 Wales 1540 -1 0,0
24 Ukraine 1537 0 0,0
25 Venezuela 1517 0 0,0
26 Austria 1507 0 0,0
27 Tunisia 1506 0 0,0
28 Japan 1503 0 0,0
29 Turkey 1494 0 0,0
29 Serbia 1494 0 0,0
31 Nigeria 1493 0 0,0
32 Slovakia 1490 0 0,0
33 Iran 1489 0 0,0
34 Republic of Ireland 1486 0 0,0
35 Algeria 1482 0 0,0
36 Northern Ireland 1476 0 0,0
37 Romania 1475 0 0,0
38 Russia 1470 0 0,0
39 Iceland 1465 0 1,0
40 Korea Republic 1461 0 0,0
40 Paraguay 1461 0 0,0
42 Australia 1457 0 0,0
43 Morocco 1456 0 0,0
44 Norway 1451 0 0,0
45 Czech Republic 1446 0 0,0
46 Costa Rica 1439 0 -3,0
46 Ghana 1439 1 0,0
48 Jamaica 1437 0 0,0
49 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1430 0 0,0
50 Scotland 1422 0 0,0
51 Egypt 1420 0 0,0
52 Hungary 1416 0 0,0
53 Cameroon 1413 0 0,0
54 Greece 1409 0 0,0
55 Qatar 1396 0 0,0
56 Mali 1389 0 0,0
56 Congo DR 1389 0 0,0
58 Finland 1386 0 0,0
59 Bulgaria 1381 0 0,0
59 Burkina Faso 1381 0 0,0
61 Cote d'Ivoire 1380 0 0,0
62 Honduras 1377 0 0,0
63 Ecuador 1368 0 0,0
64 Montenegro 1365 0 0,0
64 Slovenia 1365 0 0,0
66 Albania 1356 0 0,0
67 Saudi Arabia 1351 0 0,0
68 North Macedonia 1347 0 0,0
69 Iraq 1344 1 0,0
69 El Salvador 1344 0 -2,0
71 United Arab Emirates 1334 0 0,0
71 South Africa 1334 0 0,0
71 Canada 1334 2 3,0
74 Guinea 1328 0 0,0
75 Bolivia 1324 0 0,0
76 China PR 1322 0 0,0
77 Uganda 1321 0 0,0
78 Cape Verde Islands 1318 0 0,0
79 Syria 1314 0 0,0
80 Curacao 1313 0 0,0
81 Panama 1304 0 0,0
82 Oman 1303 0 0,0
83 Gabon 1297 0 0,0
84 Benin 1295 0 0,0
85 Uzbekistan 1289 0 0,0
86 Haiti 1285 0 0,0
87 Belarus 1280 0 0,0
88 Zambia 1277 0 0,0
89 Congo 1269 0 0,0
89 Lebanon 1269 0 0,0
91 Madagascar 1267 0 0,0
91 Georgia 1267 0 0,0
93 Israel 1260 0 0,0
94 Vietnam 1258 0 0,0
95 Cyprus 1251 0 0,0
96 Kyrgyzstan 1240 0 0,0
97 Jordan 1238 0 0,0
98 Luxembourg 1236 0 0,0
99 Bahrain 1225 0 0,0
100 Mauritania 1223 0 0,0
101 Libya 1215 0 0,0
102 Armenia 1213 0 0,0
103 Palestine 1204 3 5,0
104 Estonia 1202 -1 0,0
105 Trinidad and Tobago 1201 -1 0,0
106 Mozambique 1200 -1 0,0
107 Kenya 1199 -1 0,0
108 India 1187 0 0,0
109 Central African Republic 1184 0 0,0
110 Faroe Islands 1181 0 0,0
111 Zimbabwe 1180 0 0,0
112 Niger 1179 0 0,0
113 Thailand 1178 0 0,0
114 Azerbaijan 1177 0 0,0
115 Kosovo 1174 0 0,0
116 Korea DPR 1170 0 0,0
117 Namibia 1160 0 0,0
118 Kazakhstan 1155 0 0,0
118 Sierra Leone 1155 0 0,0
118 Guinea-Bissau 1155 0 0,0
121 Tajikistan 1152 0 0,0
122 New Zealand 1149 0 0,0
123 Malawi 1141 0 0,0
124 Philippines 1136 0 0,0
124 Angola 1136 0 0,0
126 Antigua and Barbuda 1127 0 0,0
126 Togo 1127 0 0,0
128 Sudan 1112 0 0,0
129 Turkmenistan 1107 0 0,0
130 Guatemala 1106 0 0,0
131 Rwanda 1089 0 0,0
131 Lithuania 1089 0 0,0
133 Comoros 1088 0 0,0
134 Tanzania 1086 0 0,0
135 Andorra 1082 0 0,0
136 Myanmar 1081 0 0,0
137 Latvia 1079 0 0,0
138 Chinese Taipei 1078 0 0,0
139 Lesotho 1074 0 0,0
139 St. Kitts and Nevis 1074 0 0,0
141 Hong Kong 1073 0 0,0
141 Suriname 1073 0 0,0
141 Solomon Islands 1073 0 0,0
144 Yemen 1071 0 0,0
145 Equatorial Guinea 1066 0 0,0
146 Ethiopia 1061 0 0,0
147 Kuwait 1060 0 0,0
148 Botswana 1055 0 0,0
149 Burundi 1052 2 3,0
149 Afghanistan 1052 0 0,0
151 Nicaragua 1050 -1 0,0
152 Liberia 1047 0 0,0
153 Eswatini 1042 0 0,0
154 Malaysia 1040 0 0,0
155 Maldives 1038 0 0,0
156 New Caledonia 1035 0 0,0
157 Singapore 1020 0 0,0
158 Dominican Republic 1019 0 0,0
159 Gambia 1015 0 0,0
159 Grenada 1015 0 0,0
161 Tahiti 1014 0 0,0
162 Barbados 1009 0 -2,0
163 Fiji 996 0 0,0
163 Vanuatu 996 0 0,0
165 Papua New Guinea 991 0 0,0
166 Guyana 988 0 0,0
167 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 986 0 0,0
168 Bermuda 984 0 0,0
169 South Sudan 983 0 0,0
170 Nepal 974 0 0,0
170 Belize 974 0 0,0
172 Mauritius 966 0 -2,0
173 Indonesia 964 0 0,0
173 Cambodia 964 0 0,0
175 Moldova 958 0 -1,0
176 St. Lucia 953 0 0,0
177 Chad 943 0 0,0
178 Puerto Rico 941 0 0,0
179 Cuba 936 0 0,0
180 Liechtenstein 926 0 0,0
181 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 923 0 0,0
182 Macau 922 0 0,0
183 Montserrat 921 0 0,0
184 Malta 919 0 0,0
184 Djibouti 919 0 0,0
184 Dominica 919 0 0,0
187 Bangladesh 914 0 -1,0
188 Laos 912 0 0,0
189 Bhutan 911 0 0,0
190 Mongolia 906 0 0,0
191 Brunei Darussalam 904 0 0,0
192 American Samoa 900 0 0,0
193 Cayman Islands 897 0 0,0
194 Samoa 894 0 0,0
195 Bahamas 880 0 0,0
196 Timor-Leste 879 0 0,0
196 Gibraltar 879 0 0,0
196 Somalia 879 0 0,0
199 Guam 873 0 0,0
200 Aruba 867 1 0,0
200 Pakistan 867 1 0,0
202 Seychelles 864 -2 -4,0
203 Tonga 862 0 0,0
203 Turks and Caicos Islands 862 0 0,0
205 Eritrea 856 0 0,0
206 Sri Lanka 853 -1 -3,0
207 US Virgin Islands 844 0 0,0
208 British Virgin Islands 842 0 0,0
209 San Marino 824 0 0,0
210 Anguilla 821 0 0,0

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

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