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Monday, July 17, 2023

FIFA ranking: July 2023 final preview

FIFA will publish the second official ranking of 2023 this Thursday July 20th. I consider the ranking published in June as an intermediate ranking as it contains flaws: at least the final of the Intercontinental Cup in India and the final and third place play-off of the Central Asian Nations Cup should have been included. The intermediate ranking was published solely for the draw of the African qualification groups for the WC 2026 last week.

Another thing that Andrea pointed out: Samoa, Tonga and American Samoa played their last official match 4 years ago, in July 2019. They should be excluded from the ranking from now on, until they have played again. That could be at the Pacific games in November.


This final preview contains 217 matches, out of 243 matches played since April 3rd. The adaptations needed because of the intermediate June ranking are also included in this final preview, except the three mentioned matches which I've included.


World champion Argentina remains on top but France closes in on only 0,19 points now.


One team dropped to a new low:

Liechtenstein (200 - 199 in April 2023)


Best movers:

13 - Panama

9 - Guatemala

8 - Kazakhstan


Worst movers:

-9 - Wales

-8 - Namibia

-7 - Costa Rica, Cote d'Ivoire, Cyprus, Cuba


Best movers in the top 50:

13 - Panama

6 - Ukraine, Scotland


Worst movers in the top 50:

-9 - Wales

-7 - Costa Rica

-3 - Morocco, Poland, Tunisia, Hungary


Stay safe and healthy everybody ! 


pos Jul

team

pts Jul

+/- pos

+/- pts

1

Argentina

1843,73

0

2,80

2

France

1843,54

0

5,09

3

Brazil

1828,27

0

-5,94

4

England

1797,39

1

4,96

5

Belgium

1788,55

-1

-3,98

6

Croatia

1742,55

1

12,53

7

Netherlands

1731,23

-1

0

8

Italy

1726,58

0

12,92

9

Portugal

1718,25

0

11,03

10

Spain

1703,45

0

20,60

11

USA

1674,48

2

20,71

12

Mexico

1665,59

3

33,72

13

Switzerland

1661,12

-1

-3,12

14

Morocco

1655,50

-3

-22,29

15

Germany

1636,32

-1

-11,10

16

Uruguay

1633,14

0

1,85

17

Colombia

1624,91

0

7,83

18

Senegal

1612,61

0

-0,60

19

Denmark

1597,37

0

2,84

20

Japan

1595,96

0

7,37

21

Peru

1561,20

0

0

22

Iran

1559,53

2

6,30

23

Sweden

1547,11

-1

-11,59

24

Ukraine

1541,25

6

11,21

25

Serbia

1539,03

0

-2,49

26

Poland

1536,99

-3

-16,77

27

Australia

1530,45

2

-2,34

28

Korea Republic

1529,30

-1

-6,71

29

Austria

1528,06

3

19,82

30

Scotland

1520,24

6

19,72

31

Tunisia

1516,67

-3

-19,09

32

Chile

1511,31

-1

-0,01

33

Algeria

1511,23

1

7,04

34

Egypt

1509,89

1

9,22

35

Wales

1506,04

-9

-32,91

36

Hungary

1504,57

-3

0,33

37

Czech Republic

1503,69

1

8,65

38

Russia

1495,53

-1

0

39

Nigeria

1486,48

1

5,68

40

Ecuador

1486,47

1

8,34

41

Turkey

1484,47

2

18,77

42

Cameroon

1470,97

0

0,76

43

Canada

1458,58

4

15,92

44

Norway

1458,47

0

-5,30

45

Panama

1453,94

13

54,71

46

Costa Rica

1453,56

-7

-37,56

47

Slovakia

1447,05

4

13,28

48

Romania

1443,98

-2

-0,60

49

Paraguay

1442,64

-1

1,99

50

Greece

1441,06

2

8,05

51

Mali

1438,01

2

7,26

52

Cote d'Ivoire

1433,38

-7

-16,57

53

Republic of Ireland

1426,26

-4

-10,05

54

Saudi Arabia

1421,46

0

0

55

Finland

1419,47

1

14,16

56

Burkina Faso

1419,18

-6

-14,73

57

Venezuela

1417,23

-2

6,76

58

Jamaica

1409,73

5

27,86

59

Qatar

1395,57

2

6,96

60

Ghana

1391,13

0

-4,88

61

Slovenia

1391,04

-2

-7,43

62

Bosnia-Herzegovina

1381,10

-5

-21,94

63

South Africa

1368,25

3

18,17

64

Northern Ireland

1361,17

-2

-24,76

65

Albania

1357,39

3

12,44

66

Cape Verde Islands

1354,65

5

17,60

67

Iceland

1352,98

-3

-16,05

68

North Macedonia

1350,53

-3

-12,54

69

Congo DR

1350,11

1

11,50

70

Iraq

1345,21

-3

-2,63

71

Montenegro

1343,45

-2

0,17

72

Oman

1336,43

1

2,89

73

United Arab Emirates

1336,28

-1

0

74

El Salvador

1325,47

1

7,17

75

Uzbekistan

1324,64

-1

6,28

76

Israel

1323,81

2

16,40

77

Bulgaria

1315,48

-1

-0,26

78

Georgia

1312,80

-1

1,29

79

Honduras

1309,23

1

8,85

80

China PR

1304,78

1

6,80

81

Guinea

1296,75

-2

-9,17

82

Jordan

1296,26

2

3,00

83

Bolivia

1295,09

0

-1,33

84

Zambia

1293,78

2

13,26

85

Gabon

1285,25

-3

-11,49

86

Bahrain

1282,05

-1

0

87

Haiti

1272,64

0

-3,32

88

Curacao

1267,87

0

-4,39

89

Luxembourg

1262,72

2

16,94

90

Armenia

1252,60

7

28,52

91

Equatorial Guinea

1251,83

3

19,05

92

Uganda

1250,32

-3

-6,98

93

Benin

1248,13

-1

7,68

94

Syria

1241,62

-4

-5,13

95

Vietnam

1238,23

0

8,54

96

Palestine

1233,02

-3

-6,17

97

Kyrgyzstan

1220,82

-1

-4,62

98

India

1213,53

3

12,87

99

Belarus

1212,28

-1

2,11

100

Mauritania

1205,18

5

10,90

101

Lebanon

1200,91

-2

-1,83

102

Trinidad and Tobago

1199,74

2

2,13

103

New Zealand

1199,04

-3

-2,02

104

Kazakhstan

1198,24

8

21,19

105

Kenya

1191,07

-3

-9,11

106

Congo

1190,63

-3

-7,26

107

Guatemala

1186,71

9

22,07

108

Madagascar

1186,09

2

4,88

109

Kosovo

1179,69

-2

-6,57

110

Tajikistan

1179,54

-1

-2,70

111

Estonia

1179,30

-3

-3,20

112

Guinea-Bissau

1178,93

1

6,63

113

Thailand

1174,37

1

2,49

114

Namibia

1172,41

-8

-18,08

115

Korea DPR

1169,96

0

0

116

Angola

1169,07

2

10,50

117

Mozambique

1164,25

2

9,61

118

Cyprus

1163,73

-7

-15,72

119

Gambia

1159,82

1

8,83

120

Sierra Leone

1156,11

-3

-5,68

121

Azerbaijan

1143,22

3

0,97

122

Togo

1140,88

7

11,07

123

Malawi

1140,65

4

6,01

124

Tanzania

1138,79

6

12,90

125

Zimbabwe

1138,56

1

0

126

Central African Republic

1133,50

-4

-12,19

127

Libya

1130,75

-6

-15,07

128

Niger

1129,67

-5

-12,90

129

Faroe Islands

1126,30

-4

-12,68

130

Comoros

1119,99

1

8,10

131

Sudan

1116,21

-3

-16,41

132

Antigua and Barbuda

1107,51

1

0

133

Solomon Islands

1097,61

1

-6,00

134

Latvia

1096,19

-2

-14,36

135

Philippines

1095,66

1

-2,01

136

Malaysia

1091,57

2

9,44

137

Kuwait

1090,47

6

18,55

138

Turkmenistan

1089,77

-1

-5,43

139

Rwanda

1089,46

-4

-11,21

140

Burundi

1085,06

5

15,35

141

Nicaragua

1076,11

-1

-3,06

142

Ethiopia

1074,46

0

1,47

143

Suriname

1073,57

-2

-2,15

144

Lithuania

1069,97

2

1,44

145

St. Kitts and Nevis

1066,81

-6

-14,59

146

Eswatini

1058,19

-2

-11,70

147

Botswana

1054,31

5

17,00

148

Liberia

1049,94

0

0

149

Hong Kong

1049,74

-2

-7,29

150

Indonesia

1047,46

-1

1,32

151

Lesotho

1038,68

-1

-7,34

152

Dominican Republic

1036,74

-1

-1,39

153

Chinese Taipei

1028,18

3

7,16

154

Andorra

1022,30

-1

-8,22

155

Maldives

1021,82

-1

-2,90

156

Yemen

1020,37

1

0

157

Afghanistan

1020,32

-2

-2,72

158

Singapore

1014,78

0

0,74

159

Papua New Guinea

1003,28

0

-4,18

160

Myanmar

1000,26

0

1,85

161

New Caledonia

995,58

0

0

162

Tahiti

995,11

0

0

163

Puerto Rico

993,80

3

8,39

164

Moldova

990,73

7

17,82

165

Vanuatu

986,44

-1

-0,21

166

Barbados

984,05

1

0

167

South Sudan

983,35

-4

-10,01

168

Guyana

981,69

2

5,88

169

Fiji

980,48

-1

0

170

St. Lucia

978,91

-1

0

171

Malta

972,86

1

0,07

172

Cuba

968,29

-7

-17,91

173

Bermuda

966,27

0

0

174

Grenada

960,77

1

0,37

175

Nepal

958,07

-1

-5,03

176

Cambodia

942,97

0

-5,62

177

Belize

939,96

0

0

178

St. Vincent and the Grenadines

938,28

0

0

179

Montserrat

938,02

0

0

180

Mauritius

936,09

0

4,07

181

Chad

930,22

0

0

182

Macau

913,68

0

-4,25

183

Mongolia

908,71

0

-3,03

184

Dominica

904,88

2

0

185

Bhutan

900,64

0

-5,72

186

Sao Tomé e Príncipe

900,07

-2

-6,63

187

Laos

899,58

1

0

188

Cook Islands

899,33

1

0

189

Bangladesh

892,42

3

8,54

190

Brunei Darussalam

891,12

1

0

191

Djibouti

889,20

2

14,15

192

Timor-Leste

860,45

4

0

193

Cayman Islands

859,83

5

0

194

Seychelles

856,71

3

-3,42

195

Eritrea

855,56

5

0

196

Somalia

854,72

5

0

197

Bahamas

852,87

6

0

198

Gibraltar

851,64

3

-3,08

199

Aruba

850,88

5

0

200

Liechtenstein

848,82

-1

-6,95

201

Pakistan

847,68

-6

-13,50

202

Turks and Caicos Islands

839,39

3

0

203

Guam

838,33

3

0

204

Sri Lanka

825,25

3

0

205

US Virgin Islands

816,59

3

0

206

British Virgin Islands

804,11

3

0

207

Anguilla

785,69

3

0

208

San Marino

753,11

3

-6,01


About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

10 comments:

  1. UEFA Nations League Promotion/relegation play-offs ,the coefficient is 15 or 25 ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The play-outs in March 2022 to determine the two teams to relegate from league C in the UNL 2021/22 were calculated with I=15, so that's probably the value to use calculating these new UNL promotion/relegation play-offs.

      Delete
  2. I believe the biggest impact of the July rankings will be their use in the AFC World Cup Qualifying Draw... which was sort of a battle for 27th... it's tough to parse your rankings from this format, was there a change in Asian Rankings around the 27th spot?

    ReplyDelete
  3. https://digitalhub.fifa.com/m/2d77ae35fed0339a/original/e56gyrdutgeyyxmf8t3o-pdf.pdf Matches: national teams may only play a maximum of two international matches in any one
    international match period . so excluded iran-Uzbekistan , Kyrgyzstan - Oman (Kyrgyzstan's second match, but Oman's third match) ?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hello. Can you calculate Asian national association points for 2022-23 season? I tried by myself and my results didn't match.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The question is removed, I found it here
      https://footyrankings.com/cpts2022/

      Delete
  5. FIFA still hasn't included the 3 matches they left out in the intermediate June ranking: the final of the Intercontinental Cup India-Lebanon on June 18th and the final and third place play-off of the Central Asian Nations Cup on June 20th (resp. Uzbekistan-Iran and Oman-Kyrgyzstan).

    The link that Anon provided above to prove that only two international matches per match window are allowed, was valid for the period 2013-2018: so when the old '4-year timeframe' calculation method was still applied.
    I haven't heard or read anything about such a rule for the more recent period since in June 2018 the new elo-based calculation is applied. On the contrary: I found with a not very thorough search in my database already some examples where a team could play 3 (Sri Lanka and Bangladesh in the November 2021 window) or even 4 (Japan in the June 2022 window) friendlies (with I = 10) and all were included in the ranking calculation.

    So there must be another reason why these matches are not included.

    Btw, sorry I didn't reply earlier. I was offline (holiday).

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. the number of match dates in the June 2022 window is four, so japan could play 4 matchs. but November 2021 window is two, I don't know why Sri Lanka and Bangladesh could play 3 matchs.

      https://digitalhub.fifa.com/m/3123d37097318f7f/original/Men-s-International-Match-Calendar-2023-2030_EN.pdf
      (men) the Max. number of matches is 2 or 4

      https://digitalhub.fifa.com/m/2a11c4cc29021dd/original/Women-s-International-Match-Calendar-2023-2025_EN.pdf
      (women) the Max. number of matches is 2、3 or 4

      Delete
    2. Indeed, June 2022 had 4 MD's. So the Japan example is not the correct example.

      Delete
  6. https://digitalhub.fifa.com/m/183a59f8cb9970f6/original/vypxfhb9frfxwu25v23z-pdf.pdf
    2022 30 May – 14 June Number of match dates 4

    2021 8-16 November Number of match dates 2

    ReplyDelete