Friday, February 4, 2011

FIFA Ranking: March 2011 probable ranking (I)

Next update: February 11th, 2011.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Potential good news for American Samoa, Anguilla, Montserrat, Papua New Guinea and San Marino. Should Andorra lose their match against Moldova, these 5 teams will all climb to join Andorra in the 202nd spot.

Probable March 2011 rank - Team - Probable March 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1880 0 -7
2 Netherlands 1730 0 7
3 Germany 1508 0 23
4 Brazil 1457 0 11
5 Argentina 1380 0 13
6 England 1183 0 -12
7 Uruguay 1172 0 20
8 Portugal 1075 0 -15
9 Croatia 1071 0 -4
10 Greece 1038 0 22
11 Norway 1000 0 5
12 Russia 977 0 -5
13 Chile 954 1 7
14 Italy 940 -1 -25
15 Japan 938 2 56
16 Ghana 931 -1 -9
17 USA 894 1 25
18 Slovenia 891 -2 -6
19 Slovakia 877 1 23
20 Australia 870 1 23
21 France 867 -2 0
22 Serbia 851 1 14
23 Switzerland 848 -1 7
24 Paraguay 835 0 3
25 Côte d'Ivoire 824 1 11
25 Montenegro 824 0 0
27 Mexico 811 0 8
28 Denmark 804 0 2
29 Sweden 754 0 -5
30 Korea Republic 749 2 14
31 Czech Republic 739 -1 -12
32 Turkey 728 -1 -13
33 Republic of Ireland 699 2 18
34 Ukraine 692 0 -10
35 Egypt 685 -2 -24
36 Hungary 654 1 22
37 Belarus 647 -1 -8
38 Burkina Faso 626 3 28
39 Northern Ireland 623 -1 8
40 Honduras 620 -1 7
41 Nigeria 609 -1 5
42 South Africa 578 5 16
43 Bulgaria 577 8 22
44 Guinea 570 2 6
45 Tunisia 568 3 8
46 Cameroon 559 -3 -23
47 Israel 555 5 4
47 Jamaica 555 12 30
49 Colombia 551 1 -7
49 Iran 551 -5 -20
51 Romania 549 6 18
52 Belgium 542 6 16
53 Lithuania 541 2 9
54 Algeria 539 1 7
55 Bosnia-Herzegovina 534 -13 -49
55 Ecuador 534 -1 -3
55 New Zealand 534 9 28
58 Costa Rica 533 -10 -27
59 Venezuela 531 4 18
60 Peru 530 8 44
61 Austria 524 -16 -45
62 Armenia 520 0 6
63 Gabon 506 -2 -10
64 Scotland 505 -11 -37
65 Cuba 503 0 5
66 Morocco 493 8 50
67 Botswana 487 0 -9
68 Albania 484 -2 -13
69 Panama 482 -9 -36
70 Senegal 477 -1 18
71 Libya 472 -1 21
72 Latvia 448 4 19
73 China PR 439 2 8
74 Georgia 435 -3 -14
75 Poland 427 -4 -22
75 Uzbekistan 427 2 3
77 Cape Verde Islands 419 -4 -25
78 Saudi Arabia 416 4 6
79 FYR Macedonia 415 0 -3
80 Benin 413 3 10
81 Finland 410 -3 -12
81 Jordan 410 3 11
83 Canada 390 -3 -24
84 Mali 389 0 -10
85 Estonia 388 2 2
86 Uganda 385 0 -9
87 Moldova 383 -6 -28
88 Iraq 379 0 -2
89 Qatar 377 1 9
90 El Salvador 373 8 26
91 Malawi 370 -2 -1
92 Mozambique 368 2 17
93 Bolivia 356 6 12
94 Cyprus 355 -3 -12
95 Grenada 354 -3 -3
96 Trinidad and Tobago 352 -2 1
97 Bahrain 344 -4 -10
98 Zambia 337 3 7
99 Gambia 325 9 35
99 Haiti 325 -3 -24
101 Azerbaijan 321 -2 -23
102 Antigua and Barbuda 313 2 10
103 Togo 311 0 -2
104 Kuwait 308 -3 -22
105 Angola 299 2 2
105 Niger 299 -9 -50
107 Sudan 298 -1 -3
108 Syria 295 -3 -7
109 Guyana 284 3 10
110 Oman 275 0 -6
111 United Arab Emirates 264 0 -14
112 Central African Republic 263 2 0
113 Korea DPR 259 -4 -30
114 Suriname 257 3 0
115 Iceland 256 -1 -7
116 Wales 251 0 -10
117 Thailand 247 3 10
118 Congo DR 244 4 12
119 Congo 240 0 1
120 Tanzania 235 3 4
121 Sierra Leone 233 0 0
122 Ethiopia 231 1 0
123 Guatemala 220 3 0
124 Yemen 219 1 -11
125 St. Kitts and Nevis 218 -7 -24
126 Zimbabwe 213 -13 -51
127 Kenya 202 0 -6
128 Indonesia 201 1 9
129 Dominica 193 -1 -3
130 Puerto Rico 187 0 0
131 Luxembourg 181 0 -4
132 Rwanda 175 3 4
133 Vietnam 172 1 0
134 Faroe Islands 171 1 0
135 Barbados 167 -3 -16
136 Namibia 158 2 1
137 Kazakhstan 151 0 -10
138 Malaysia 145 2 0
139 Singapore 142 3 3
140 Chad 140 -1 -7
141 Hong Kong 138 2 0
142 Liechtenstein 134 5 18
143 Burundi 133 1 -1
144 India 126 1 0
145 Guinea-Bissau 121 1 0
146 Netherlands Antilles 115 4 8
147 Chinese Taipei 114 7 21
148 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 113 0 3
148 Tajikistan 113 -7 -28
150 Philippines 106 2 5
151 Fiji 103 0 0
152 Cambodia 102 14 34
153 New Caledonia 97 0 0
154 Turkmenistan 94 -21 -88
155 Equatorial Guinea 92 10 20
156 Madagascar 91 -1 0
157 Cayman Islands 90 -1 2
158 Swaziland 86 0 4
159 Liberia 82 -1 0
160 Maldives 81 0 0
160 Myanmar 81 -11 -27
162 Vanuatu 76 1 0
163 Nicaragua 75 -2 -4
164 Bermuda 74 3 7
165 Belize 66 4 2
165 Dominican Republic 66 3 0
167 Malta 65 -4 -11
168 Lesotho 63 3 1
169 Afghanistan 61 26 51
170 Lebanon 58 2 -3
171 Laos 57 -2 -7
171 Palestine 57 7 17
173 Pakistan 56 0 0
174 Nepal 54 0 0
175 Sri Lanka 51 -14 -28
176 Bangladesh 49 -19 -35
176 Kyrgyzstan 49 -1 -1
176 Mauritania 49 0 0
179 British Virgin Islands 41 -2 0
180 Eritrea 40 -2 0
180 Solomon Islands 40 -2 0
182 St. Lucia 37 -1 0
183 Mongolia 32 -1 0
184 Tahiti 31 -1 0
185 Samoa 26 -1 0
186 Somalia 23 -1 0
187 Macau 22 6 8
188 Comoros 19 -2 0
189 Cook Islands 17 -1 0
189 Guam 17 -1 0
189 Tonga 17 -1 0
192 Mauritius 16 -1 0
193 Djibouti 15 -1 0
194 Bahamas 13 0 0
194 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 -8 -6
196 Seychelles 10 -1 0
197 Bhutan 9 0 0
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 0 0
199 Aruba 7 0 0
200 US Virgin Islands 5 0 0
201 Timor-Leste 3 0 0
202 American Samoa 0 1 0
202 Andorra 0 0 -2
202 Anguilla 0 1 0
202 Montserrat 0 1 0
202 Papua New Guinea 0 1 0
202 San Marino 0 1 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: March 2011 probable results (I)

Here are the probable results used for the March 2011 probable ranking (I). They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

06/Feb Grenada - St. Kitts and Nevis 1 (Friendly)
06/Feb Poland - Moldova 1 (Friendly)
08/Feb Peru - Panama 1 (Friendly)
08/Feb Romania - Ukraine X Ukraine PSO (Friendly)
08/Feb Cyprus - Sweden 2 (Friendly)
08/Feb Ghana - Togo 1 (Friendly)
08/Feb Mozambique - Botswana X (Friendly)
08/Feb Côte dIvoire - Mali 1 (Friendly)
08/Feb Republic of Ireland - Wales 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Cyprus - Romania X Romania PSO (Friendly)
09/Feb Ukraine - Sweden X Sweden PSO (Friendly)
09/Feb Turkey - Korea Republic X (Friendly)
09/Feb Morocco - Niger 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Croatia - Czech Republic 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Belgium - Finland 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Germany - Italy 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Netherlands - Austria 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Armenia - Georgia X (Friendly)
09/Feb Israel - Serbia X (Friendly)
09/Feb Philippines - Mongolia 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Senegal - Guinea 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Mexico - Bosnia-Herzegovina 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Honduras - Ecuador X (Friendly)
09/Feb Andorra - Moldova 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Cambodia - Macau 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Belarus - Kazakhstan 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Chinese Taipei - Laos 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Greece - Canada 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Libya - Benin 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Equatorial Guinea - Chad X (Friendly)
09/Feb Kenya - Zambia 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Bhutan - Afghanistan 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Tanzania - Palestine 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Albania - Slovenia X (Friendly)
09/Feb Congo DR - Gabon X (Friendly)
09/Feb Guinea-Bissau - Gambia 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Malaysia - Hong Kong 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Cape Verde Islands - Burkina Faso X (Friendly)
09/Feb Venezuela - Costa Rica 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb San Marino - Liechtenstein 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Kuwait - Uzbekistan X (Friendly)
09/Feb FYR Macedonia - Cameroon X (Friendly)
09/Feb Latvia - Bolivia X (Friendly)
09/Feb Nigeria - Sierra Leone 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Northern Ireland - Scotland X (Friendly)
09/Feb Iran - Russia X (Friendly)
09/Feb Namibia - Malawi X (Friendly)
09/Feb El Salvador - Haiti 1 (Friendly)
09/Feb Luxembourg - Slovakia 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Denmark - England X (Friendly)
09/Feb Poland - Norway 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Malta - Switzerland 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb France - Brazil 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Argentina - Portugal X (Friendly)
09/Feb Estonia - Bulgaria 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Azerbaijan - Hungary 2 (Friendly)
09/Feb Spain - Colombia 1 (Friendly)
16/Feb Bhutan - Afghanistan 2 (Friendly)
16/Feb Macau - Cambodia X (Friendly)
16/Feb Laos - Chinese Taipei X (Friendly)
01/Mar Pakistan - Palestine 2 (Friendly)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

FIFA Ranking: March 2011 preview (I)

Next update: February 11th, 2011.

Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-88 - Turkmenistan
-51 - Zimbabwe
-35 - Bangladesh
-30 - Korea DPR
-28 - Tajikistan
-28 - Sri Lanka
-27 - Myanmar
-24 - Egypt
-16 - Barbados
-14 - United Arab Emirates

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

56 - Japan
30 - Jamaica
28 - New Zealand
25 - USA
23 - Australia
20 - Uruguay
16 - South Africa
11 - Jordan
10 - Benin, Antigua and Barbuda, Guyana and Thailand

February 2011 rank - Country - February 2011 points - Minimum points - Maximum points

1 Spain 1887 1853 1880
2 Netherlands 1723 1702 1730
3 Germany 1485 1475 1508
4 Brazil 1446 1411 1457
5 Argentina 1367 1364 1412
6 England 1195 1169 1212
7 Uruguay 1152 1172 1172
8 Portugal 1090 1060 1105
9 Croatia 1075 1020 1071
10 Greece 1016 1010 1038
11 Norway 995 957 1000
12 Russia 982 956 1018
13 Italy 965 940 990
14 Chile 947 954 954
15 Ghana 940 910 931
16 Slovenia 897 879 916
17 Japan 882 938 938
18 USA 869 894 894
19 France 867 867 913
20 Slovakia 854 861 877
21 Australia 847 870 870
22 Switzerland 841 835 848
23 Serbia 837 840 872
24 Paraguay 832 835 835
25 Montenegro 824 824 824
26 Côte d'Ivoire 813 794 824
27 Mexico 803 787 811
28 Denmark 802 788 837
29 Sweden 759 689 771
30 Czech Republic 751 739 811
31 Turkey 741 713 759
32 Korea Republic 735 741 766
33 Egypt 709 685 685
34 Ukraine 702 650 736
35 Republic of Ireland 681 671 699
36 Belarus 655 628 647
37 Hungary 632 620 654
38 Northern Ireland 615 605 660
39 Honduras 613 613 635
40 Nigeria 604 589 609
41 Burkina Faso 598 605 670
42 Bosnia-Herzegovina 583 534 588
43 Cameroon 582 549 580
44 Iran 571 539 574
45 Austria 569 524 609
46 Guinea 564 570 637
47 South Africa 562 578 578
48 Costa Rica 560 533 560
48 Tunisia 560 568 568
50 Colombia 558 551 618
51 Bulgaria 555 539 577
52 Israel 551 532 599
53 Scotland 542 482 551
54 Ecuador 537 515 572
55 Algeria 532 539 539
55 Lithuania 532 541 541
57 Romania 531 511 612
58 Belgium 526 496 542
59 Jamaica 525 555 555
60 Panama 518 482 509
61 Gabon 516 497 526
62 Armenia 514 501 556
63 Venezuela 513 492 531
64 New Zealand 506 534 534
65 Cuba 498 503 503
66 Albania 497 464 525
67 Botswana 496 479 504
68 Peru 486 464 530
69 Senegal 459 420 477
70 Libya 451 411 472
71 Georgia 449 417 469
71 Poland 449 397 474
73 Cape Verde Islands 444 396 464
74 Morocco 443 440 493
75 China PR 431 439 439
76 Latvia 429 438 468
77 Uzbekistan 424 421 439
78 Finland 422 410 463
79 FYR Macedonia 418 400 444
80 Canada 414 390 480
81 Moldova 411 366 426
82 Saudi Arabia 410 416 416
83 Benin 403 413 480
84 Jordan 399 410 410
84 Mali 399 389 479
86 Uganda 394 385 385
87 Estonia 386 388 422
88 Iraq 381 379 379
89 Malawi 371 365 381
90 Qatar 368 377 377
91 Cyprus 367 334 479
92 Grenada 357 330 354
93 Bahrain 354 344 344
94 Mozambique 351 345 414
94 Trinidad and Tobago 351 352 352
96 Haiti 349 325 370
96 Niger 349 299 354
98 El Salvador 347 343 373
99 Azerbaijan 344 321 375
99 Bolivia 344 332 406
101 Kuwait 330 304 318
101 Zambia 330 320 337
103 Togo 313 311 370
104 Antigua and Barbuda 303 313 313
105 Syria 302 295 295
106 Sudan 301 298 298
107 Angola 297 299 299
108 Gambia 290 297 325
109 Korea DPR 289 259 259
110 Oman 281 275 275
111 United Arab Emirates 278 264 264
112 Guyana 274 284 284
113 Zimbabwe 264 213 213
114 Central African Republic 263 263 263
114 Iceland 263 256 256
116 Wales 261 251 334
117 Suriname 257 257 257
118 St. Kitts and Nevis 242 218 259
119 Congo 239 240 240
120 Thailand 237 247 247
121 Sierra Leone 233 233 315
122 Congo DR 232 232 268
123 Ethiopia 231 231 231
123 Tanzania 231 226 235
125 Yemen 230 219 219
126 Guatemala 220 220 220
127 Kenya 208 202 222
128 Dominica 196 193 193
129 Indonesia 192 201 201
130 Puerto Rico 187 187 187
131 Luxembourg 185 181 248
132 Barbados 183 167 167
133 Turkmenistan 182 94 94
134 Vietnam 172 172 172
135 Faroe Islands 171 171 171
135 Rwanda 171 175 175
137 Kazakhstan 161 151 233
138 Namibia 157 139 197
139 Chad 147 135 151
140 Malaysia 145 129 145
141 Tajikistan 141 113 113
142 Singapore 139 142 142
143 Hong Kong 138 138 163
144 Burundi 134 133 133
145 India 126 126 126
146 Guinea-Bissau 121 121 168
147 Liechtenstein 116 109 134
148 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 110 113 113
149 Myanmar 108 81 81
150 Netherlands Antilles 107 115 115
151 Fiji 103 103 103
152 Philippines 101 96 106
153 New Caledonia 97 97 97
154 Chinese Taipei 93 85 128
155 Madagascar 91 91 91
156 Cayman Islands 88 90 90
157 Bangladesh 84 49 49
158 Liberia 82 82 82
158 Swaziland 82 86 86
160 Maldives 81 81 81
161 Nicaragua 79 75 75
161 Sri Lanka 79 51 51
163 Malta 76 65 142
163 Vanuatu 76 76 76
165 Equatorial Guinea 72 81 113
166 Cambodia 68 68 119
167 Bermuda 67 74 74
168 Dominican Republic 66 66 66
169 Belize 64 66 66
169 Laos 64 52 84
171 Lesotho 62 63 63
172 Lebanon 61 58 58
173 Pakistan 56 56 81
174 Nepal 54 54 54
175 Kyrgyzstan 50 49 49
176 Mauritania 49 49 49
177 British Virgin Islands 41 41 41
178 Eritrea 40 40 40
178 Palestine 40 36 90
178 Solomon Islands 40 40 40
181 St. Lucia 37 37 37
182 Mongolia 32 32 58
183 Tahiti 31 31 31
184 Samoa 26 26 26
185 Somalia 23 23 23
186 Comoros 19 19 19
186 Turks and Caicos Islands 19 13 13
188 Cook Islands 17 17 17
188 Guam 17 17 17
188 Tonga 17 17 17
191 Mauritius 16 16 16
192 Djibouti 15 15 15
193 Macau 14 14 65
194 Bahamas 13 13 13
195 Afghanistan 10 10 61
195 Seychelles 10 10 10
197 Bhutan 9 9 60
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 9 9
199 Aruba 7 7 7
200 US Virgin Islands 5 5 5
201 Timor-Leste 3 3 3
202 Andorra 2 0 45
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 26

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.