If Spain win against both Chile and Liechtenstein they will return to the top.
If Netherlands win against both San Marino and Finland and Spain tie Chile and defeat Liechtenstein, both teams will be tied for 1st in the FIFA rankings.
Assuming Spain win against Liechtenstein and Netherlands against San Marino, then this is how the totals can change:
Netherlands (L: 1480, D: 1510, W: 1571)
Spain (L: 1554, D: 1571, W: 1605)
If Spain lose against Chile, Netherlands need to win against Finland to remain alone at the top.
I ran 10000 simulations for the matches taking place between now and October 12th.
September ranking
Netherlands alone at the top - 10.27%
Tied with Spain - 17.11%
In second place behind Spain - 72.62%
October ranking
Netherlands alone at the top - 17.98%
Tied with Spain in 0.07%
In second place behind Spain - 81.95%
Netherlands 1st (or tied for 1st) in both September and October - 8.1%
Friday, August 19, 2011
2014 World Cup seeding: AFC 4th round
AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings.
2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw
The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3.
Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :)
The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29, while the first match day of round 4 is scheduled for June 3.
I think the draw will take place in March, using the March FIFA ranking that will be released based on my calculations on March 15.
4 years ago, the 4 lowest seeded teams of the 10 qualified for the 4th round were placed in a single pot.
Here's the March 2012 FIFA ranking, counting scheduled games as defeats:
Pot 1: Australia, Japan
Pot 2: Korea Republic, Iran
Pot 3: China PR, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Bahrain, Uzbekistan, Jordan, Kuwait
It's Kuwait instead of Qatar because there must be two teams from each group. Iran (Pot 1) and Bahrain (Pot 4) are in Group E with Qatar and Indonesia.
2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw
The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3.
Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :)
The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29, while the first match day of round 4 is scheduled for June 3.
I think the draw will take place in March, using the March FIFA ranking that will be released based on my calculations on March 15.
4 years ago, the 4 lowest seeded teams of the 10 qualified for the 4th round were placed in a single pot.
Here's the March 2012 FIFA ranking, counting scheduled games as defeats:
| 1 | Australia | 773 |
| 2 | Japan | 761 |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 709 |
| 4 | Iran | 582 |
| 5 | China PR | 515 |
| 6 | Saudi Arabia | 471 |
| 7 | Bahrain | 455 |
| 8 | Qatar | 448 |
| 9 | Uzbekistan | 444 |
| 10 | Jordan | 416 |
| 11 | Syria | 412 |
| 12 | Kuwait | 402 |
| 13 | Iraq | 384 |
| 13 | United Arab Emirates | 384 |
| 15 | Oman | 382 |
| 16 | Indonesia | 354 |
| 17 | Thailand | 342 |
| 18 | Singapore | 315 |
| 19 | Korea DPR | 314 |
| 20 | Lebanon | 202 |
Pot 1: Australia, Japan
Pot 2: Korea Republic, Iran
Pot 3: China PR, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Bahrain, Uzbekistan, Jordan, Kuwait
It's Kuwait instead of Qatar because there must be two teams from each group. Iran (Pot 1) and Bahrain (Pot 4) are in Group E with Qatar and Indonesia.
FIFA visiting my blog
I noticed two weeks ago on StatCounter that I received a couple of visits from someone using Federation Internationale De Football Association as Internet provider.
See the screen shot from StatCounter.
Looking over Google Analytics it seems someone from FIFA made 5 visits in the last month: July 26, August 5, 12 (two visits) and 15.
See the screen shot from Google Analytics.
It might be the cook or the doorman, who knows? :)
Whoever you are, welcome!
Also, hello to the person from the Scottish FA that has visited my blog twice in the last month: July 22 and August 12.
See the screen shot from StatCounter.
Looking over Google Analytics it seems someone from FIFA made 5 visits in the last month: July 26, August 5, 12 (two visits) and 15.
See the screen shot from Google Analytics.
It might be the cook or the doorman, who knows? :)
Whoever you are, welcome!
Also, hello to the person from the Scottish FA that has visited my blog twice in the last month: July 22 and August 12.
Friday, August 12, 2011
FIFA Ranking: Netherlands dethrone Spain
With some help from Italy and the London riots, Netherlands finally claimed the top spot in the FIFA ranking (see the August FIFA ranking final preview).
Why did the London riots help the Netherlands? For top teams, friendlies will bring their average points down. Before the cancelation, I wrote:
"If Spain lose against Italy and Netherlands defeat England, Netherlands will overtake Spain. If Spain manage a draw and Netherlands get the 3 points, they will be tied for 1st place with 1581 points."
However, with the England friendly canceled, Netherlands' total rose to 1596 points - and they only needed Italy to hold Spain to a draw.
These are Netherlands' top 10 matches (point-wise):
126 - 12/Oct/2010 Netherlands - Sweden 4 - 1 (2012 ECQ)
123 - 25/Mar/2011 Hungary - Netherlands 0 - 4 (2012 ECQ)
123 - 29/Mar/2011 Netherlands - Hungary 5 - 3 (2012 ECQ)
111.75 - 07/Sep/2010 Netherlands - Finland 2 - 1 (2012 ECQ)
90 - 08/Oct/2010 Moldova - Netherlands 0 - 1 (2012 ECQ)
69.88 - 02/Jul/2010 Netherlands - Brazil 2 - 1 (2010 WC)
64.29 - 06/Jul/2010 Uruguay - Netherlands 2 - 3 (2010 WC)
59.09 - 24/Jun/2010 Cameroon - Netherlands 1 - 2 (2010 WC)
58.59 - 28/Jun/2010 Netherlands - Slovakia 2 - 1 (2010 WC)
57.88 - 14/Jun/2010 Netherlands - Denmark 2 - 0 (2010 WC)
These 10 matches are worth 883.49 points - more than 55% of Netherlands' 1596 points.
P.S. I do know I'm not the only one computing the ranking - but if you're a journalist and use info from my blog, please mention the source.
Why did the London riots help the Netherlands? For top teams, friendlies will bring their average points down. Before the cancelation, I wrote:
"If Spain lose against Italy and Netherlands defeat England, Netherlands will overtake Spain. If Spain manage a draw and Netherlands get the 3 points, they will be tied for 1st place with 1581 points."
However, with the England friendly canceled, Netherlands' total rose to 1596 points - and they only needed Italy to hold Spain to a draw.
These are Netherlands' top 10 matches (point-wise):
126 - 12/Oct/2010 Netherlands - Sweden 4 - 1 (2012 ECQ)
123 - 25/Mar/2011 Hungary - Netherlands 0 - 4 (2012 ECQ)
123 - 29/Mar/2011 Netherlands - Hungary 5 - 3 (2012 ECQ)
111.75 - 07/Sep/2010 Netherlands - Finland 2 - 1 (2012 ECQ)
90 - 08/Oct/2010 Moldova - Netherlands 0 - 1 (2012 ECQ)
69.88 - 02/Jul/2010 Netherlands - Brazil 2 - 1 (2010 WC)
64.29 - 06/Jul/2010 Uruguay - Netherlands 2 - 3 (2010 WC)
59.09 - 24/Jun/2010 Cameroon - Netherlands 1 - 2 (2010 WC)
58.59 - 28/Jun/2010 Netherlands - Slovakia 2 - 1 (2010 WC)
57.88 - 14/Jun/2010 Netherlands - Denmark 2 - 0 (2010 WC)
These 10 matches are worth 883.49 points - more than 55% of Netherlands' 1596 points.
P.S. I do know I'm not the only one computing the ranking - but if you're a journalist and use info from my blog, please mention the source.
FIFA Ranking: August 2011 final preview
FIFA will publish the ranking on August 24.
Only 5 matches left before the deadline for matches - all friendlies.
14/Aug Liberia - Sierra Leone
16/Aug Fiji - Samoa
17/Aug Oman - Kuwait
17/Aug Barbados - India
18/Aug Fiji - Samoa
This is how the totals can change for these 8 teams.
Kuwait (L: 333, D: 336, W: 341)
Oman (L: 303, D: 307, W: 317)
Sierra Leone (L: 302, D: 313, W: 334)
Liberia (L: 226, D: 239, W: 265)
Barbados (L: 148, D: 152, W: 161)
Fiji (LL: 129, LD: 137, DD: 146, LW: 154, DW: 163, WW: 180
India (L: 109, D: 111, W: 116)
Samoa (LL: 26, LD: 34, DD: 43, LW: 51, DW: 60, WW: 77)
The values displayed in the table below are the lowest possible.
Biggest change is at the top - we have a new leader - the Netherlands replace Spain.
Brazil drop to 6th and are replaced by 5th placed Uruguay as the top team in CONMEBOL.
Best movers:
18 - Seychelles
15 - Vietnam
12 - Zimbabwe
Worst movers:
-14 - Central African Republic and Sierra Leone
-10 - Tajikistan
-9 - Curacao
Sierra Leone can avoid this by not losing against Liberia.
Best movers in the top 50:
6 - Algeria
5 - Russia and Nigeria
3 - Slovakia
Worst movers in the top 50:
-5 - Korea Republic
-4 - Czech Republic and Venezuela
-3 - Ukraine, Senegal and Bulgaria
Nigeria overtake Burkina Faso for 4th in Africa.
Uruguay replace Brazil at the top of CONMEBOL. Paraguay replace Peru in the top 5.
Vanuatu replace New Caledonia as 3rd in Oceania.
Netherlands replace Spain as UEFA 1st. Italy replace Portugal as 5th.
Four teams will improve their best ever ranking:
Netherlands (1st - 2nd in November 1993)
Belize (147th - 148th in July 2011)
US Virgin Islands (148th - 149th in July 2011)
Mongolia (161st - 163rd in July 2011)
England will return to their best ever ranking - 4th - first achieved in December 1997.
Three teams will return to their worst ever ranking:
Eritrea (189th - first happened in October 1998)
Samoa (191st - first happened in May 2007)
Brunei Darussalam (199th - first happened in December 2004)
Seven teams will drop to their worst ever ranking:
Wales (117th - 116th in February 2011)
Iceland (123rd - 122nd in June 2011)
Myanmar (168th - 167th in May 2011)
Lesotho (185th - 184th in July 2011)
Bermuda (186th - 185th in December 1998)
Mauritania (190th - 187th in July 2011)
Tonga (194th - 193rd in September 2009)
August 2011 rank - Team - August 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
Only 5 matches left before the deadline for matches - all friendlies.
14/Aug Liberia - Sierra Leone
16/Aug Fiji - Samoa
17/Aug Oman - Kuwait
17/Aug Barbados - India
18/Aug Fiji - Samoa
This is how the totals can change for these 8 teams.
Kuwait (L: 333, D: 336, W: 341)
Oman (L: 303, D: 307, W: 317)
Sierra Leone (L: 302, D: 313, W: 334)
Liberia (L: 226, D: 239, W: 265)
Barbados (L: 148, D: 152, W: 161)
Fiji (LL: 129, LD: 137, DD: 146, LW: 154, DW: 163, WW: 180
India (L: 109, D: 111, W: 116)
Samoa (LL: 26, LD: 34, DD: 43, LW: 51, DW: 60, WW: 77)
The values displayed in the table below are the lowest possible.
Biggest change is at the top - we have a new leader - the Netherlands replace Spain.
Brazil drop to 6th and are replaced by 5th placed Uruguay as the top team in CONMEBOL.
Best movers:
18 - Seychelles
15 - Vietnam
12 - Zimbabwe
Worst movers:
-14 - Central African Republic and Sierra Leone
-10 - Tajikistan
-9 - Curacao
Sierra Leone can avoid this by not losing against Liberia.
Best movers in the top 50:
6 - Algeria
5 - Russia and Nigeria
3 - Slovakia
Worst movers in the top 50:
-5 - Korea Republic
-4 - Czech Republic and Venezuela
-3 - Ukraine, Senegal and Bulgaria
Nigeria overtake Burkina Faso for 4th in Africa.
Uruguay replace Brazil at the top of CONMEBOL. Paraguay replace Peru in the top 5.
Vanuatu replace New Caledonia as 3rd in Oceania.
Netherlands replace Spain as UEFA 1st. Italy replace Portugal as 5th.
Four teams will improve their best ever ranking:
Netherlands (1st - 2nd in November 1993)
Belize (147th - 148th in July 2011)
US Virgin Islands (148th - 149th in July 2011)
Mongolia (161st - 163rd in July 2011)
England will return to their best ever ranking - 4th - first achieved in December 1997.
Three teams will return to their worst ever ranking:
Eritrea (189th - first happened in October 1998)
Samoa (191st - first happened in May 2007)
Brunei Darussalam (199th - first happened in December 2004)
Seven teams will drop to their worst ever ranking:
Wales (117th - 116th in February 2011)
Iceland (123rd - 122nd in June 2011)
Myanmar (168th - 167th in May 2011)
Lesotho (185th - 184th in July 2011)
Bermuda (186th - 185th in December 1998)
Mauritania (190th - 187th in July 2011)
Tonga (194th - 193rd in September 2009)
August 2011 rank - Team - August 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
| 1 | Netherlands | 1596 | 1 | 54 |
| 2 | Spain | 1563 | -1 | -25 |
| 3 | Germany | 1330 | 0 | 25 |
| 4 | England | 1177 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Uruguay | 1174 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Brazil | 1156 | -2 | -46 |
| 7 | Italy | 1110 | 1 | 51 |
| 8 | Portugal | 1060 | -1 | -16 |
| 9 | Argentina | 1017 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Croatia | 1009 | -1 | -24 |
| 11 | Chile | 959 | 0 | -14 |
| 12 | Norway | 943 | 0 | -29 |
| 13 | Russia | 940 | 5 | 26 |
| 14 | Greece | 937 | -1 | -22 |
| 15 | Côte d'Ivoire | 919 | -1 | -3 |
| 16 | France | 918 | -1 | -2 |
| 17 | Japan | 913 | -1 | -5 |
| 18 | Sweden | 889 | 1 | 5 |
| 19 | Montenegro | 874 | -2 | -41 |
| 20 | Mexico | 864 | 0 | -5 |
| 21 | Denmark | 841 | 0 | -16 |
| 22 | Australia | 834 | 1 | 3 |
| 23 | Slovenia | 816 | -1 | -17 |
| 24 | Turkey | 811 | 0 | -9 |
| 25 | Paraguay | 807 | 1 | 3 |
| 26 | Peru | 806 | -1 | 1 |
| 26 | Slovakia | 806 | 3 | 27 |
| 28 | USA | 792 | 2 | 14 |
| 29 | Serbia | 784 | -2 | -13 |
| 30 | Switzerland | 758 | 0 | -20 |
| 31 | Republic of Ireland | 754 | 2 | 2 |
| 32 | Israel | 747 | 0 | -24 |
| 33 | Korea Republic | 741 | -5 | -40 |
| 34 | Egypt | 738 | 0 | 3 |
| 35 | Colombia | 730 | 0 | 23 |
| 36 | Ghana | 726 | 0 | 30 |
| 37 | Belgium | 675 | 0 | -16 |
| 38 | Nigeria | 659 | 5 | 24 |
| 39 | Bosnia-Herzegovina | 656 | 2 | 14 |
| 40 | Burkina Faso | 646 | -1 | -15 |
| 41 | Belarus | 645 | 1 | 9 |
| 42 | Czech Republic | 635 | -4 | -35 |
| 43 | Jamaica | 623 | 1 | -9 |
| 44 | Venezuela | 615 | -4 | -33 |
| 45 | Hungary | 613 | 2 | 10 |
| 46 | Algeria | 612 | 6 | 37 |
| 47 | South Africa | 602 | 2 | 5 |
| 48 | Ukraine | 598 | -3 | -22 |
| 49 | Senegal | 591 | -3 | -28 |
| 50 | Honduras | 589 | 1 | -3 |
| 51 | Bulgaria | 586 | -3 | -13 |
| 52 | Cameroon | 582 | -2 | -13 |
| 53 | Romania | 558 | 0 | -13 |
| 54 | Iran | 556 | 0 | -5 |
| 55 | Scotland | 554 | 6 | 41 |
| 56 | Lithuania | 552 | 2 | 26 |
| 57 | Albania | 546 | 2 | 22 |
| 58 | Northern Ireland | 545 | 4 | 47 |
| 59 | Tunisia | 543 | -4 | -10 |
| 60 | Costa Rica | 531 | -4 | -1 |
| 61 | Morocco | 529 | 2 | 35 |
| 62 | Panama | 525 | 3 | 38 |
| 63 | Georgia | 522 | -6 | -8 |
| 64 | Libya | 504 | -1 | 10 |
| 65 | Poland | 498 | 4 | 24 |
| 66 | Ecuador | 491 | 1 | 13 |
| 67 | Gabon | 482 | -7 | -35 |
| 68 | Austria | 472 | -2 | -7 |
| 69 | Guinea | 465 | -1 | -10 |
| 70 | China PR | 461 | 3 | 25 |
| 71 | Armenia | 456 | -1 | -6 |
| 72 | Cape Verde Islands | 444 | 10 | 47 |
| 73 | Malawi | 436 | -1 | -3 |
| 74 | Zimbabwe | 434 | 12 | 54 |
| 75 | El Salvador | 431 | 3 | 30 |
| 76 | Cyprus | 427 | 4 | 29 |
| 77 | Zambia | 426 | -3 | -9 |
| 78 | Botswana | 424 | -7 | -16 |
| 79 | Finland | 416 | -4 | -3 |
| 80 | Uganda | 411 | -4 | -6 |
| 81 | Mali | 408 | -4 | -8 |
| 82 | Uzbekistan | 399 | 1 | 11 |
| 83 | Benin | 394 | 3 | 14 |
| 84 | Latvia | 388 | -1 | 0 |
| 85 | Bolivia | 380 | -5 | -18 |
| 86 | Estonia | 374 | -7 | -25 |
| 87 | Saudi Arabia | 370 | 5 | 17 |
| 88 | Moldova | 364 | -3 | -19 |
| 89 | Qatar | 362 | 1 | -7 |
| 90 | FYR Macedonia | 358 | 6 | 20 |
| 91 | Trinidad and Tobago | 355 | -3 | -24 |
| 92 | Jordan | 346 | -1 | -15 |
| 93 | New Zealand | 345 | 1 | 0 |
| 94 | Angola | 338 | 6 | 9 |
| 95 | Niger | 336 | 3 | 5 |
| 95 | Syria | 336 | 9 | 12 |
| 97 | Kuwait | 333 | -2 | -6 |
| 98 | Sudan | 329 | -1 | -4 |
| 99 | Cuba | 327 | 0 | -3 |
| 99 | Mozambique | 327 | 4 | 0 |
| 101 | Bahrain | 324 | -1 | -5 |
| 102 | Canada | 319 | 3 | 5 |
| 103 | Central African Republic | 309 | -14 | -61 |
| 104 | Antigua and Barbuda | 308 | 2 | 0 |
| 105 | Gambia | 306 | -5 | -23 |
| 106 | Oman | 303 | 1 | -3 |
| 107 | Sierra Leone | 302 | -14 | -46 |
| 108 | United Arab Emirates | 297 | 1 | -3 |
| 109 | Iraq | 291 | -1 | -12 |
| 110 | Suriname | 285 | 0 | -11 |
| 111 | Faroe Islands | 273 | 1 | 0 |
| 112 | Azerbaijan | 272 | -1 | -10 |
| 113 | Guatemala | 261 | 2 | 1 |
| 114 | Guyana | 260 | 0 | -9 |
| 115 | Haiti | 259 | 2 | 3 |
| 115 | Korea DPR | 259 | 0 | -1 |
| 117 | Wales | 251 | -5 | -22 |
| 118 | Grenada | 250 | 2 | 3 |
| 119 | Liechtenstein | 248 | -1 | -5 |
| 120 | Thailand | 244 | -1 | -7 |
| 121 | Togo | 242 | 2 | 4 |
| 122 | St. Kitts and Nevis | 239 | 0 | -4 |
| 123 | Iceland | 232 | -2 | -12 |
| 124 | Tanzania | 228 | 3 | -2 |
| 125 | Kazakhstan | 227 | 1 | -4 |
| 126 | Liberia | 226 | -1 | -6 |
| 127 | Congo DR | 222 | -4 | -16 |
| 128 | Luxembourg | 211 | 0 | -2 |
| 129 | Singapore | 207 | 2 | 8 |
| 129 | Vietnam | 207 | 15 | 44 |
| 131 | Indonesia | 205 | 6 | 22 |
| 132 | Congo | 201 | -3 | -5 |
| 133 | Dominican Republic | 198 | -1 | 0 |
| 133 | Kenya | 198 | -3 | -6 |
| 133 | Yemen | 198 | 2 | 10 |
| 136 | Dominica | 193 | -3 | 0 |
| 137 | Rwanda | 192 | -3 | 2 |
| 138 | Nepal | 191 | -2 | 7 |
| 139 | Ethiopia | 182 | 0 | 12 |
| 140 | Bangladesh | 181 | 7 | 33 |
| 141 | Turkmenistan | 179 | -3 | 3 |
| 142 | Namibia | 169 | -2 | 1 |
| 143 | Puerto Rico | 167 | -2 | 0 |
| 144 | Burundi | 164 | -1 | 0 |
| 145 | Malaysia | 157 | 1 | 2 |
| 146 | Barbados | 148 | -1 | -8 |
| 147 | Belize | 146 | 1 | 0 |
| 148 | US Virgin Islands | 144 | 1 | 0 |
| 149 | Guinea-Bissau | 142 | 2 | 0 |
| 150 | Bahamas | 141 | 2 | 0 |
| 151 | Madagascar | 140 | -2 | -4 |
| 152 | Chad | 131 | 6 | 4 |
| 152 | Equatorial Guinea | 131 | 3 | 0 |
| 152 | Tajikistan | 131 | -10 | -35 |
| 155 | Hong Kong | 130 | -1 | -3 |
| 156 | Fiji | 129 | 0 | 0 |
| 157 | Lebanon | 116 | 2 | -3 |
| 158 | Palestine | 115 | 8 | 19 |
| 159 | St. Vincent and the Grenadines | 112 | 2 | 0 |
| 160 | India | 109 | -7 | -26 |
| 161 | Maldives | 105 | -1 | -10 |
| 161 | Mongolia | 105 | 2 | 0 |
| 161 | Philippines | 105 | 1 | -3 |
| 161 | Vanuatu | 105 | 8 | 12 |
| 165 | New Caledonia | 104 | -1 | 0 |
| 166 | Curacao | 103 | -9 | -25 |
| 166 | Malta | 103 | 7 | 20 |
| 168 | Myanmar | 99 | -3 | 0 |
| 169 | Chinese Taipei | 96 | -3 | 0 |
| 170 | Aruba | 92 | -2 | -3 |
| 171 | Pakistan | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 172 | Cayman Islands | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 172 | Swaziland | 90 | -3 | -3 |
| 174 | Sri Lanka | 85 | 2 | 6 |
| 175 | Cambodia | 82 | -1 | 1 |
| 176 | Kyrgyzstan | 79 | 3 | 7 |
| 176 | Solomon Islands | 79 | 5 | 9 |
| 178 | Nicaragua | 75 | -1 | 0 |
| 179 | Afghanistan | 70 | 0 | -2 |
| 179 | Laos | 70 | -2 | -5 |
| 181 | Comoros | 68 | -6 | -12 |
| 181 | Seychelles | 68 | 18 | 61 |
| 183 | Tahiti | 57 | -1 | 0 |
| 184 | St. Lucia | 54 | -1 | 0 |
| 185 | Lesotho | 41 | -1 | -3 |
| 186 | Bermuda | 40 | -1 | 0 |
| 187 | British Virgin Islands | 38 | -1 | 0 |
| 188 | Mauritius | 33 | 7 | 23 |
| 189 | Eritrea | 29 | -1 | 0 |
| 190 | Mauritania | 27 | -3 | -5 |
| 191 | Samoa | 26 | -2 | 0 |
| 192 | Macau | 25 | -2 | 0 |
| 193 | Somalia | 23 | -2 | 0 |
| 194 | Tonga | 15 | -2 | 0 |
| 195 | Turks and Caicos Islands | 13 | -2 | 0 |
| 196 | Djibouti | 12 | -2 | 0 |
| 197 | Cook Islands | 10 | -2 | 0 |
| 197 | Guam | 10 | -2 | 0 |
| 199 | Brunei Darussalam | 9 | -1 | 0 |
| 200 | Anguilla | 7 | -1 | 0 |
| 201 | Bhutan | 6 | 0 | 0 |
| 202 | Timor-Leste | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | American Samoa | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 203 | San Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 |
EURO 2012: Final draw coefficients (12 August 2011)
Next update: 9 September 2011
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 final draw will take into account results from:
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
Hosts Poland (23806) and Ukraine (28029) will be seeded for the final draw, along with 2008 winners, Spain, if they qualify.
Only one match since the last update: Northern Ireland - Faroe Islands 4 - 0.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
If the teams with the best coefficient qualify the final draw pot would look like this:
Pot 1: Poland, Ukraine, Spain, Netherlands
Pot 2: Germany, Italy, England, Russia
Pot 3: Croatia, Greece, Portugal, Sweden
Pot 4: France, Denmark, Slovakia, Czech Republic
No changes from last update.
The coefficients for the EURO 2012 final draw will take into account results from:
EURO 2008 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
Hosts Poland (23806) and Ukraine (28029) will be seeded for the final draw, along with 2008 winners, Spain, if they qualify.
Only one match since the last update: Northern Ireland - Faroe Islands 4 - 0.
Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
1 1 Spain 38366 2 2 Netherlands 36999 3 3 Germany 36686 4 4 Italy 30257 5 5 England 29963 6 6 Russia 29051 7 7 Croatia 29043 8 8 Greece 28375 9 9 Portugal 28077 10 10 Sweden 27955 11 11 France 27228 12 12 Denmark 26554 13 13 Slovakia 26334 14 14 Czech Republic 25956 15 15 Israel 25762 16 16 Serbia 25135 17 17 Ireland 24943 18 18 Turkey 24801 19 19 Switzerland 24695 20 20 Slovenia 24463 21 21 Norway 24068 22 22 Hungary 23250 23 28 Northern Ireland 23119 24 23 Finland 23073 25 24 Bosnia-Herzegovina 23038 26 25 Romania 22528 27 26 Bulgaria 22339 28 27 Belarus 22298 29 29 Montenegro 21344 30 30 Austria 21266 31 31 Scotland 20926 32 32 Belgium 20918 33 33 Latvia 20365 34 34 Lithuania 19306 35 35 Albania 17604 36 36 Macedonia 17224 37 37 Wales 17057 38 38 Cyprus 16761 39 39 Estonia 16654 40 40 Georgia 16202 41 41 Armenia 15966 42 42 Moldova 15262 43 43 Kazakhstan 14338 44 44 Iceland 13892 45 45 Azerbaijan 13390 46 46 Liechtenstein 12680 47 47 Faroe Islands 12235 48 48 Luxembourg 12065 49 49 Malta 10319 50 50 Andorra 8707 51 51 San Marino 7962
If the teams with the best coefficient qualify the final draw pot would look like this:
Pot 1: Poland, Ukraine, Spain, Netherlands
Pot 2: Germany, Italy, England, Russia
Pot 3: Croatia, Greece, Portugal, Sweden
Pot 4: France, Denmark, Slovakia, Czech Republic
No changes from last update.
EURO 2016 qualifying draw seeding (12 August 2011)
Next update: 9 September 2011
The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known: 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Only one match since the last update: Northern Ireland - Faroe Islands 4 - 0.
Liechtenstein replace Faroe Islands in the fifth pot.
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known: 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Only one match since the last update: Northern Ireland - Faroe Islands 4 - 0.
Liechtenstein replace Faroe Islands in the fifth pot.
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 1 Netherlands 25755 2 2 Spain 25525 3 3 Germany 24627 4 4 Italy 21455 5 5 England 20264 6 6 Sweden 20148 7 7 Greece 19554 8 8 Russia 19309 9 9 Croatia 18961 ------------------------------ 10 10 Slovakia 18906 11 11 Portugal 18524 12 12 Ireland 18226 13 13 Denmark 18152 14 14 Ukraine 17951 15 15 Israel 16815 16 16 Montenegro 16671 17 17 Czech Republic 16631 18 18 Norway 16606 ------------------------------ 19 19 Slovenia 16523 20 20 Hungary 16221 21 21 Bosnia-Herzegovina 16151 22 22 Turkey 15764 23 23 Belarus 15622 24 24 Serbia 15524 25 27 Northern Ireland 15174 26 25 Belgium 14360 27 26 Switzerland 14201 ------------------------------ 28 28 Romania 13741 29 29 Finland 13601 30 30 Austria 13458 31 31 Poland 12751 32 32 Bulgaria 12681 33 33 Albania 12597 34 34 Scotland 12388 35 35 Armenia 12074 36 36 Latvia 11964 ------------------------------ 37 37 Georgia 11623 38 38 Lithuania 11390 39 39 Estonia 11336 40 40 Moldova 10414 41 41 Macedonia 10242 42 42 Cyprus 9631 43 43 Kazakhstan 8587 44 45 Azerbaijan 8467 45 46 Liechtenstein 8310 ------------------------------ 46 44 Faroe Islands 8225 47 47 Wales 8020 48 48 Iceland 7735 49 49 Luxembourg 7019 50 50 Malta 5573 51 51 Andorra 5240 52 52 San Marino 4597
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