10000 simulations using Elo ratings to generate score lines (more about this on clubelo.com).
Top 10 most likely finals:
6.69% - Brazil vs. Spain
5.17% - Argentina vs. Brazil
2.69% - Brazil vs. Germany
2.57% - Germany vs. Spain
2.14% - Brazil vs. Netherlands
2.14% - Brazil vs. Portugal
2.04% - Brazil vs. Uruguay
2.01% - Argentina vs. Germany
1.99% - Brazil vs. England
1.62% - Brazil vs. Italy
Friday, May 30, 2014
Friday, May 23, 2014
2014 World Cup provisional squads statistics
You might remember the 2010 edition. This year I wasn't so sure about doing this, but I've been asked by a secondary school math teacher to provide a helping hand for the statistics module about to start. How could I refuse? :)
Caps, goals, ages are as of 16 May 2014. Same goes for players' clubs - based on FIFA's official list.
346 clubs have in the provisional list ( thank you PDFSplit! and Online OCR).
England are again the most represented league base, with 130 players plying their trade in one of the English leagues. Next are Germany and Italy (both 102), Spain (80) and France (63).
Caps, goals, ages are as of 16 May 2014. Same goes for players' clubs - based on FIFA's official list.
346 clubs have in the provisional list ( thank you PDFSplit! and Online OCR).
England are again the most represented league base, with 130 players plying their trade in one of the English leagues. Next are Germany and Italy (both 102), Spain (80) and France (63).
Friday, May 16, 2014
FIFA Ranking: June 2014 probable ranking
Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.
According to these results, Turkmenistan are expected to defeat Palestine the AFC Challenge Cup and rise 83 spots in the rankings, while Palestine will raise 64 places.
According to these results, Turkmenistan are expected to defeat Palestine the AFC Challenge Cup and rise 83 spots in the rankings, while Palestine will raise 64 places.
FIFA Ranking: June 2014 probable results
Here are the probable results used for the June 2014 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.
Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)
1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins
Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)
1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins
FIFA Ranking: June 2014 preview
FIFA will publish the ranking on 6 June.
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
59 - New Zealand
52 - Ukraine
32 - Brazil
31 - Wales
22 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
21 - New Caledonia
19 - Burkina Faso
18 - Costa Rica
15 - Congo DR
15 - Central African Republic
Most points gained (worst case scenario):
59 - New Zealand
52 - Ukraine
32 - Brazil
31 - Wales
22 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
21 - New Caledonia
19 - Burkina Faso
18 - Costa Rica
15 - Congo DR
15 - Central African Republic
Friday, April 18, 2014
A look the UEFA Nations League
A long overdue post about the new UEFA competition for national teams. There's an in depth article on UEFA's official website.
Please keep in mind the proposed Nations League format is provisional and subject to change.
In the UEFA Nations League, the 54 member associations will be divided into four groups based on coefficient rankings. These groups will then be further divided into playing pools of either three or four teams. The teams in each pool play each other home and away between September and December of the season in question, with the group winners either qualifying for the final four competitions or gaining promotion. The bottom sides face relegation from their division.
In addition, the UEFA Nations League will provide teams with another chance to qualify for the UEFA EURO final tournament.
Please keep in mind the proposed Nations League format is provisional and subject to change.
In the UEFA Nations League, the 54 member associations will be divided into four groups based on coefficient rankings. These groups will then be further divided into playing pools of either three or four teams. The teams in each pool play each other home and away between September and December of the season in question, with the group winners either qualifying for the final four competitions or gaining promotion. The bottom sides face relegation from their division.
In addition, the UEFA Nations League will provide teams with another chance to qualify for the UEFA EURO final tournament.
Friday, April 11, 2014
FIFA Ranking: May 2014 preview
FIFA will release the ranking on 8 May.
8 matches remaining - 6 friendlies and 2 continental qualifiers.
Here's how the points and rankings could change:
Team - Min points - Max points - Min rank - Max rank
8 matches remaining - 6 friendlies and 2 continental qualifiers.
Here's how the points and rankings could change:
Team - Min points - Max points - Min rank - Max rank
| Tanzania | 222 | 235 | 126 | 118 |
| Burundi | 209 | 227 | 127 | 121 |
| Afghanistan | 198 | 237 | 129 | 118 |
| Tajikistan | 188 | 229 | 133 | 121 |
| Malaysia | 143 | 161 | 148 | 137 |
| Philippines | 143 | 171 | 148 | 136 |
| Kyrgyzstan | 136 | 170 | 151 | 136 |
| Mauritania | 115 | 165 | 159 | 136 |
| Nepal | 102 | 123 | 162 | 154 |
| Chad | 80 | 105 | 170 | 159 |
| Yemen | 57 | 76 | 180 | 172 |
| Mauritius | 55 | 148 | 180 | 142 |
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