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Friday, August 8, 2008

FIFA Ranking: September 2008 preview

A lot of friendlies will be played this month and a couple of World Cup and continental qualifiers.

Here's a preview of the September 2008 FIFA rankings (only the top 50). No matter what happens, Spain will remain on top, while Italy will return on the second step of the podium. Netherlands could go third with a win against Russia.

Looking at the rivalries, Mexico will overtake the USA with a home win against Honduras, while Scotland will overtake England for the second time in the history of the rankings if they get a better result against Northern Ireland than England against the Czech Republic. England will be safe with a win, no matter what Scotland does.

Argentina will overtake Brazil with a win against Belarus.

Spain, Cameroon and Japan are safe as top teams of their confederations.

New Caledonia will replace New Zealand at the top of the OFC.

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

"Current" = as of today (August 8th). I've included in the calculations matches played up to and including August 7th. Basically, these would be the point totals if no matches would be played until the rankings are published on September 3rd.

Current rank - Country - Current points - Minimum points - Maximum points

1 Spain 1603 1543 1572
2 Italy 1380 1332 1353
3 Germany 1341 1302 1329
4 Netherlands 1338 1293 1329
5 Croatia 1288 1242 1266
6 Argentina 1265 1217 1256
7 Brazil 1252 1252 1252
8 Czech Republic 1170 1120 1162
9 Portugal 1148 1109 1120
10 Russia 1042 1000 1039
11 Turkey 1039 1005 1033
12 Scotland 1027 956 1019
13 England 1016 973 1025
14 Romania 1012 976 1007
15 France 1006 985 1019
16 Cameroon 1001 1001 1001
17 Bulgaria 1000 928 976
18 Israel 944 877 936
19 Greece 925 891 920
20 Ghana 893 893 893
21 Egypt 866 841 852
22 Paraguay 824 792 821
23 Colombia 814 786 816
24 Côte d'Ivoire 813 792 813
25 Uruguay 808 776 817
26 Poland 799 779 811
27 Sweden 793 772 807
28 Nigeria 791 791 791
29 Northern Ireland 775 738 807
29 Ukraine 775 754 801
31 USA 758 735 788
32 Norway 757 715 768
33 Mexico 746 727 807
34 Serbia 743 743 743
35 Denmark 725 692 747
36 Japan 722 701 730
37 Chile 681 655 695
38 Australia 677 645 675
39 Guinea 675 650 682
39 Morocco 675 655 671
41 Republic of Ireland 674 643 700
42 Tunisia 655 636 659
43 Senegal 641 618 639
44 Mali 639 639 639
45 Switzerland 632 612 644
46 Moldova 629 575 622
47 Iran 627 603 633
48 Finland 626 601 650
49 Hungary 587 557 572
50 Wales 581 549 580

I'll try to post an update after August 20th.

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