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Friday, December 18, 2009

FIFA Ranking: January 2010 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the January 2010 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

19/Dec Mozambique - Malawi 1 (Friendly)
21/Dec Ecuador - Peru 1 (Friendly)
22/Dec Libya - FYR Macedonia X (Friendly)
27/Dec Thailand - Oman X (Friendly)
27/Dec Iran - Korea DPR 1 (Friendly)
27/Dec Qatar - Mali X (Friendly)
29/Dec Qatar - Korea DPR X (Friendly)
29/Dec Iran - Mali X (Friendly)
29/Dec Syria - Kenya 1 (Friendly)
29/Dec Egypt - Malawi 1 (Friendly)
30/Dec Angola - Estonia X (Friendly)
30/Dec China PR - Jordan 1 (Friendly)
31/Dec Singapore - Oman X (Friendly)
02/Jan Korea DPR - Mali X (Friendly)
02/Jan Malaysia - Syria 2 (Friendly)
02/Jan Qatar - Iran X (Friendly)
03/Jan Ghana - Malawi 1 (Friendly)
04/Jan Tanzania - Côte d'Ivoire 2 (Friendly)
06/Jan Lebanon - Vietnam X (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan Yemen - Japan 2 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan Kuwait - Australia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan Bahrain - Hong Kong 1 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan Thailand - Jordan 1 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan United Arab Emirates - Malaysia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan Singapore - Iran 2 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan China PR - Syria X (Continental Qualifier)
06/Jan Indonesia - Oman 2 (Continental Qualifier)
07/Jan Tanzania - Côte d'Ivoire 2 (Friendly)
09/Jan Tunisia - Gambia 1 (Friendly)
10/Jan Angola - Mali X (Continental Final)
11/Jan Malawi - Algeria 2 (Continental Final)
11/Jan Côte d'Ivoire - Burkina Faso 1 (Continental Final)
11/Jan Ghana - Togo 1 (Continental Final)
12/Jan Egypt - Nigeria X (Continental Final)
12/Jan Mozambique - Benin X (Continental Final)
13/Jan Cameroon - Gabon 1 (Continental Final)
13/Jan Zambia - Tunisia 2 (Continental Final)
14/Jan Mali - Algeria X (Continental Final)
14/Jan Angola - Malawi 1 (Continental Final)
15/Jan Burkina Faso - Togo X (Continental Final)
15/Jan Côte d'Ivoire - Ghana X (Continental Final)
16/Jan Chinese Taipei - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
16/Jan Nigeria - Benin 1 (Continental Final)
16/Jan Egypt - Mozambique 1 (Continental Final)
17/Jan Gabon - Tunisia 2 (Continental Final)
17/Jan Vietnam - China PR X (Continental Qualifier)
17/Jan Cameroon - Zambia 1 (Continental Final)
18/Jan Finland - Korea Republic X (Friendly)
18/Jan Mali - Malawi 1 (Continental Final)
18/Jan Angola - Algeria X (Continental Final)
19/Jan Côte d'Ivoire - Togo 1 (Continental Final)
19/Jan Burkina Faso - Ghana 2 (Continental Final)
20/Jan Oman - Sweden X (Friendly)
20/Jan Yemen - Bahrain 2 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jan Egypt - Benin 1 (Continental Final)
20/Jan Nigeria - Mozambique 1 (Continental Final)
21/Jan Cameroon - Tunisia 1 (Continental Final)
21/Jan Gabon - Zambia X (Continental Final)
23/Jan USA - Honduras 1 (Friendly)
24/Jan Angola - Ghana X (Ghana PSO) (Continental Final)
24/Jan Algeria - Côte d'Ivoire 2 (Continental Final)
25/Jan Nigeria - Tunisia X (Nigeria PSO) (Continental Final)
25/Jan Egypt - Cameroon X (Cameroon PSO) (Continental Final)
28/Jan Ghana - Cameroon X (Cameroon PSO) (Continental Final)
28/Jan Nigeria - Côte d'Ivoire X (Côte d'Ivoire PSO) (Continental Final)
30/Jan Ghana - Nigeria X (Nigeria PSO) (Continental Final)
31/Jan Cameroon - Côte d'Ivoire X (Cameroon PSO) (Continental Final)

FIFA Ranking: January 2010 probable ranking

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Next update: January 8th, 2010.

Probable January 2010 rank - Team - Probable January 2010 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1627 0 0
2 Brazil 1568 0 0
3 Netherlands 1288 0 0
4 Italy 1209 0 0
5 Portugal 1176 0 0
6 Germany 1173 0 0
7 Cameroon 1172 4 137
8 France 1117 -1 0
9 Argentina 1085 -1 0
10 England 1076 -1 0
11 Croatia 1053 -1 11
12 Greece 1030 1 14
13 Russia 1026 -1 0
14 Nigeria 996 8 148
15 Côte d'Ivoire 989 1 55
16 USA 980 -2 0
17 Chile 973 -2 37
18 Mexico 947 -1 16
19 Switzerland 924 -1 0
20 Egypt 922 4 90
21 Serbia 916 -2 0
22 Uruguay 909 -2 0
23 Australia 891 -2 28
24 Ghana 850 10 103
25 Ukraine 848 -3 0
26 Czech Republic 828 -1 0
27 Denmark 827 1 7
28 Israel 823 -2 0
29 Paraguay 806 0 0
30 Bulgaria 801 0 0
31 Norway 772 1 12
32 Slovenia 767 -1 0
33 Algeria 757 -7 -66
34 Slovakia 752 -1 0
35 Ecuador 749 2 11
36 Republic of Ireland 746 -1 0
37 Romania 745 -1 0
38 Colombia 736 1 0
39 Honduras 734 -2 -4
40 Japan 729 3 20
40 Northern Ireland 729 0 0
40 Sweden 729 2 8
43 Turkey 728 -2 0
44 Costa Rica 721 0 20
45 Latvia 677 0 0
46 Scotland 665 0 0
47 Tunisia 654 6 40
48 Venezuela 646 2 0
49 Bosnia-Herzegovina 645 2 3
50 Mali 638 -3 -24
51 Korea Republic 629 1 4
52 Hungary 616 2 3
53 Finland 587 2 -5
54 Bolivia 573 2 0
55 Burkina Faso 569 -6 -81
56 Canada 567 0 -6
56 Gabon 567 -8 -93
58 Poland 557 0 1
59 Bahrain 553 1 29
60 Saudi Arabia 538 3 28
61 Austria 523 0 0
62 Lithuania 522 0 0
63 Iran 510 1 2
64 Belgium 491 2 0
64 Morocco 491 3 14
66 Benin 489 -7 -43
67 FYR Macedonia 482 -2 -13
68 Cyprus 471 0 0
69 El Salvador 464 9 51
70 Montenegro 456 4 0
71 Peru 450 -3 -21
72 Uganda 447 3 -8
73 Togo 431 -2 -36
73 Uzbekistan 431 3 -9
75 Mozambique 429 -3 -33
76 Wales 420 1 0
77 Panama 419 -7 -50
78 Angola 406 17 69
79 Jamaica 403 2 0
80 New Zealand 400 2 0
81 Belarus 397 -1 -9
82 South Africa 385 3 8
82 Thailand 385 23 89
84 Trinidad and Tobago 382 -2 -18
85 Iraq 375 3 11
86 Qatar 361 0 -15
87 China PR 360 6 20
87 Guinea 360 -14 -98
89 Senegal 359 0 -2
89 Zambia 359 -5 -21
91 Iceland 349 1 3
92 Haiti 347 -2 -1
93 Oman 346 -14 -64
94 Korea DPR 342 -8 -34
95 Moldova 338 -1 0
96 Albania 336 0 0
97 Syria 332 -6 -15
98 Cape Verde Islands 331 -1 0
99 Kuwait 328 5 27
100 Armenia 321 0 0
101 Congo 320 0 0
102 Estonia 300 0 -8
103 Rwanda 282 -1 -26
104 Malawi 270 -5 -56
105 Vietnam 264 18 61
106 Tanzania 261 0 -29
107 Libya 258 8 26
108 Singapore 256 2 -4
109 Zimbabwe 254 0 -11
110 Namibia 251 3 5
110 Sudan 251 -2 -17
112 Kenya 249 -14 -78
113 Congo DR 248 -6 -23
113 Jordan 248 -2 -7
115 United Arab Emirates 241 -3 -7
116 Gambia 240 0 17
117 Azerbaijan 235 -3 -1
118 Faroe Islands 222 -1 0
119 Botswana 220 -1 1
120 Ethiopia 204 2 0
121 Georgia 202 3 0
122 Kazakhstan 201 3 1
123 Luxembourg 195 5 10
124 Cuba 191 -5 -27
125 Guyana 186 2 -5
126 Antigua and Barbuda 184 4 8
127 Barbados 171 2 -10
128 Fiji 167 4 0
129 India 166 5 8
130 Guatemala 164 -9 -41
131 Yemen 160 -1 -16
132 Sierra Leone 159 6 14
133 Grenada 158 5 13
133 Turkmenistan 158 8 19
135 Bermuda 157 7 19
136 Indonesia 154 -16 -52
137 Hong Kong 153 6 16
138 Equatorial Guinea 152 -3 0
138 Swaziland 152 -3 0
140 Maldives 146 -3 0
141 Myanmar 144 -1 2
142 Suriname 133 2 0
143 Chad 130 2 0
144 Malta 129 2 1
145 Lebanon 127 3 2
146 New Caledonia 126 1 0
147 Burundi 124 -21 -71
148 Lesotho 120 2 0
149 Bangladesh 117 0 -5
150 Sri Lanka 115 1 0
151 Nepal 112 1 0
152 Liechtenstein 110 2 0
153 Vanuatu 108 2 0
154 St. Kitts and Nevis 106 2 0
155 Madagascar 105 3 0
155 Pakistan 105 1 -1
157 Chinese Taipei 104 5 11
158 Kyrgyzstan 103 1 0
159 Liberia 98 2 0
160 Malaysia 95 0 -7
161 Mauritania 93 8 23
162 Eritrea 92 1 0
162 Nicaragua 92 -29 -73
162 Niger 92 1 0
165 Puerto Rico 89 0 2
166 Tajikistan 87 -1 0
167 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 82 -15 -30
168 Netherlands Antilles 80 0 0
169 Philippines 77 -2 -6
170 Mongolia 61 1 0
171 Solomon Islands 60 1 0
172 Palestine 57 1 0
173 Cambodia 56 2 0
174 Turks and Caicos Islands 45 3 0
175 Bahamas 44 5 1
175 Seychelles 44 3 0
177 Comoros 43 -1 -3
178 Mauritius 40 3 0
179 Cayman Islands 39 4 3
179 Laos 39 -1 -5
179 Somalia 39 -9 -25
182 Dominica 38 15 26
182 Samoa 38 0 0
184 Cook Islands 34 0 0
184 Guam 34 0 0
186 Belize 33 -13 -24
187 St. Lucia 32 -1 0
188 Macau 31 -1 0
189 Tonga 28 -1 0
190 Dominican Republic 26 0 0
191 British Virgin Islands 25 0 0
191 Brunei Darussalam 25 0 0
193 Djibouti 23 -4 -4
194 Afghanistan 20 -1 0
195 Guinea-Bissau 19 -1 0
195 Tahiti 19 -1 0
197 Bhutan 17 -1 0
198 Aruba 11 0 0
199 US Virgin Islands 9 0 1
200 Central African Republic 4 0 0
200 Timor-Leste 4 0 0
202 Andorra 3 0 0
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

FIFA Ranking: January 2010 preview

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

Included: matches up to and including December 16th, 2009.

Next update: January 8th, 2010.

December 2009 rank - Country - December 2009 points - Minimum points - Maximum points

1 Spain 1627 1627 1627
2 Brazil 1568 1568 1568
3 Netherlands 1288 1288 1288
4 Italy 1209 1209 1209
5 Portugal 1176 1176 1176
6 Germany 1173 1173 1173
7 France 1117 1117 1117
8 Argentina 1085 1085 1085
9 England 1076 1076 1076
10 Croatia 1042 1053 1053
11 Cameroon 1035 864 1267
12 Russia 1026 1026 1026
13 Greece 1016 1030 1030
14 USA 980 963 980
15 Chile 936 973 973
16 Côte d'Ivoire 934 712 1122
17 Mexico 931 947 947
18 Switzerland 924 924 924
19 Serbia 916 916 916
20 Uruguay 909 909 909
21 Australia 863 840 891
22 Nigeria 848 752 1198
22 Ukraine 848 848 848
24 Egypt 832 775 1092
25 Czech Republic 828 828 828
26 Algeria 823 680 1058
26 Israel 823 823 823
28 Denmark 820 827 827
29 Paraguay 806 806 806
30 Bulgaria 801 801 801
31 Slovenia 767 767 767
32 Norway 760 772 772
33 Slovakia 752 752 752
34 Ghana 747 663 1042
35 Republic of Ireland 746 746 746
36 Romania 745 745 745
37 Ecuador 738 714 749
37 Honduras 738 734 759
39 Colombia 736 736 736
40 Northern Ireland 729 729 729
41 Turkey 728 728 728
42 Sweden 721 719 747
43 Japan 709 701 729
44 Costa Rica 701 721 721
45 Latvia 677 677 677
46 Scotland 665 665 665
47 Mali 662 518 931
48 Gabon 660 537 1061
49 Burkina Faso 650 539 1037
50 Venezuela 646 646 646
51 Bosnia-Herzegovina 642 645 645
52 Korea Republic 625 618 649
53 Tunisia 614 489 913
54 Hungary 613 616 616
55 Finland 592 576 610
56 Bolivia 573 573 573
56 Canada 573 567 567
58 Poland 556 557 557
59 Benin 532 459 969
60 Bahrain 524 510 553
61 Austria 523 523 523
62 Lithuania 522 522 522
63 Saudi Arabia 510 538 538
64 Iran 508 456 533
65 FYR Macedonia 495 475 497
66 Belgium 491 491 491
67 Morocco 477 491 491
68 Cyprus 471 471 471
68 Peru 471 450 490
70 Panama 469 419 419
71 Togo 467 401 861
72 Mozambique 462 385 838
73 Guinea 458 360 360
74 Montenegro 456 456 456
75 Uganda 455 447 447
76 Uzbekistan 440 431 431
77 Wales 420 420 420
78 El Salvador 413 464 464
79 Oman 410 279 397
80 Belarus 406 397 397
81 Jamaica 403 403 403
82 New Zealand 400 400 400
82 Trinidad and Tobago 400 382 382
84 Zambia 380 337 711
85 South Africa 377 385 385
86 Korea DPR 376 324 403
86 Qatar 376 340 404
88 Iraq 364 375 375
89 Senegal 361 359 359
90 Haiti 348 347 347
91 Syria 347 288 364
92 Iceland 346 349 349
93 China PR 340 316 417
94 Moldova 338 338 338
95 Angola 337 286 683
96 Albania 336 336 336
97 Cape Verde Islands 331 331 331
98 Kenya 327 249 267
99 Malawi 326 270 690
100 Armenia 321 321 321
101 Congo 320 320 320
102 Estonia 308 293 315
102 Rwanda 308 282 282
104 Kuwait 301 328 416
105 Thailand 296 289 414
106 Tanzania 290 261 333
107 Congo DR 271 248 248
108 Sudan 268 251 251
109 Zimbabwe 265 254 254
110 Singapore 260 243 390
111 Jordan 255 248 328
112 United Arab Emirates 248 212 241
113 Namibia 246 251 251
114 Azerbaijan 236 235 235
115 Libya 232 233 308
116 Gambia 223 240 315
117 Faroe Islands 222 222 222
118 Botswana 219 220 220
119 Cuba 218 191 191
120 Indonesia 206 154 308
121 Guatemala 205 164 164
122 Ethiopia 204 204 204
123 Vietnam 203 215 360
124 Georgia 202 202 202
125 Kazakhstan 200 201 201
126 Burundi 195 124 124
127 Guyana 191 186 186
128 Luxembourg 185 195 195
129 Barbados 181 171 171
130 Antigua and Barbuda 176 184 184
130 Yemen 176 160 539
132 Fiji 167 167 167
133 Nicaragua 165 92 92
134 India 158 166 166
135 Equatorial Guinea 152 152 152
135 Swaziland 152 152 152
137 Maldives 146 146 146
138 Grenada 145 158 158
138 Sierra Leone 145 159 159
140 Myanmar 142 144 144
141 Turkmenistan 139 158 158
142 Bermuda 138 157 157
143 Hong Kong 137 153 302
144 Suriname 133 133 133
145 Chad 130 130 130
146 Malta 128 129 129
147 New Caledonia 126 126 126
148 Lebanon 125 106 168
149 Bangladesh 122 117 117
150 Lesotho 120 120 120
151 Sri Lanka 115 115 115
152 Nepal 112 112 112
152 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 112 82 82
154 Liechtenstein 110 110 110
155 Vanuatu 108 108 108
156 Pakistan 106 105 105
156 St. Kitts and Nevis 106 106 106
158 Madagascar 105 105 105
159 Kyrgyzstan 103 103 103
160 Malaysia 102 95 188
161 Liberia 98 98 98
162 Chinese Taipei 93 86 104
163 Eritrea 92 92 92
163 Niger 92 92 92
165 Puerto Rico 87 89 89
165 Tajikistan 87 87 87
167 Philippines 83 76 102
168 Netherlands Antilles 80 80 80
169 Mauritania 70 93 93
170 Somalia 64 39 39
171 Mongolia 61 61 61
172 Solomon Islands 60 60 60
173 Belize 57 33 33
173 Palestine 57 57 57
175 Cambodia 56 56 56
176 Comoros 46 43 43
177 Turks and Caicos Islands 45 45 45
178 Laos 44 39 39
178 Seychelles 44 44 44
180 Bahamas 43 43 43
181 Mauritius 40 40 40
182 Samoa 38 38 38
183 Cayman Islands 36 39 39
184 Cook Islands 34 34 34
184 Guam 34 34 34
186 St. Lucia 32 32 32
187 Macau 31 31 31
188 Tonga 28 28 28
189 Djibouti 27 23 23
190 Dominican Republic 26 26 26
191 British Virgin Islands 25 25 25
191 Brunei Darussalam 25 25 25
193 Afghanistan 20 20 20
194 Guinea-Bissau 19 19 19
194 Tahiti 19 19 19
196 Bhutan 17 17 17
197 Dominica 12 38 38
198 Aruba 11 11 11
199 US Virgin Islands 8 8 8
200 Central African Republic 4 4 4
200 Timor-Leste 4 4 4
202 Andorra 3 3 3
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0