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Wednesday, October 6, 2010

FIFA Ranking: October 2010 probable results (II)

Here are the probable results used for the October 2010 probable ranking (II). They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

I stopped at the official deadline (October 14th), but FIFA may include more matches - especially since they are continental qualifiers (Caribbean Championship matches). I've also included Guinea - Nigeria, although Nigeria are suspended by FIFA, because I think the Nigerian government will bow to FIFA's demands before the match.

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

06/Oct St. Vincent and the Grenadines - Montserrat 1 (Continental Qualifier)
06/Oct Barbados - St. Kitts and Nevis X (Continental Qualifier)
06/Oct Puerto Rico - Cayman Islands X (Continental Qualifier)
07/Oct Iran - Brazil 2 (Friendly)
07/Oct Bolivia - Venezuela X (Friendly)
08/Oct China PR - Syria 1 (Friendly)
08/Oct Ecuador - Colombia X (Friendly)
08/Oct Montserrat - Barbados 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct St. Vincent and the Grenadines - St. Kitts and Nevis 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct India - Vietnam X (Friendly)
08/Oct Oman - Gabon X (Friendly)
08/Oct Indonesia - Uruguay 2 (Friendly)
08/Oct Japan - Argentina X (Friendly)
08/Oct Kuwait - Bahrain X (Friendly)
08/Oct Chinese Taipei - Macau 1 (Friendly)
08/Oct Peru - Costa Rica X (Friendly)
08/Oct Andorra - FYR Macedonia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Hungary - San Marino 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Wales - Bulgaria X (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Northern Ireland - Italy 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Republic of Ireland - Russia X (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Armenia - Slovakia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Luxembourg - Belarus 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Czech Republic - Scotland 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Austria - Azerbaijan 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Serbia - Estonia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Albania - Bosnia-Herzegovina X (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Montenegro - Switzerland X (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Germany - Turkey 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Slovenia - Faroe Islands 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Portugal - Denmark 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Georgia - Malta 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Cyprus - Norway X (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Ukraine - Canada 1 (Friendly)
08/Oct Panama - El Salvador 1 (Friendly)
08/Oct Moldova - Netherlands 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Greece - Latvia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Kazakhstan - Belgium 2 (Continental Qualifier)
08/Oct Spain - Lithuania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Mali - Liberia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Senegal - Mauritius 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Comoros - Mozambique 2 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Tanzania - Morocco X (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Burkina Faso - Gambia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Burundi - Côte d'Ivoire 2 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Rwanda - Benin X (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Angola - Guinea-Bissau 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Kenya - Uganda 2 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Malawi - Chad 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct Australia - Paraguay X (Friendly)
09/Oct New Zealand - Honduras X (Friendly)
09/Oct United Arab Emirates - Chile 2 (Friendly)
09/Oct Guatemala - Belize 1 (Friendly)
09/Oct Saudi Arabia - Uzbekistan 1 (Friendly)
09/Oct Cameroon - Congo DR 1 (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct USA - Poland 1 (Friendly)
09/Oct Israel - Croatia X (Continental Qualifier)
09/Oct France - Romania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Zimbabwe - Cape Verde Islands X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Guinea - Nigeria X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Madagascar - Ethiopia X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Libya - Zambia X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Central African Republic - Algeria X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Sierra Leone - South Africa 2 (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Niger - Egypt 2 (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Ghana - Sudan 1 (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Congo - Swaziland 1 (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Togo - Tunisia X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Jamaica - Trinidad and Tobago 1 (Friendly)
10/Oct St. Vincent and the Grenadines - Barbados X (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct St. Kitts and Nevis - Montserrat 1 (Continental Qualifier)
10/Oct Chinese Taipei - Philippines 1 (Friendly)
11/Oct Brazil - Ukraine 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Oman - Chile 2 (Friendly)
12/Oct New Zealand - Paraguay X (Friendly)
12/Oct Korea Republic - Japan X (Friendly)
12/Oct USA - Colombia X (Friendly)
12/Oct Ecuador - Poland X (Friendly)
12/Oct Mexico - Venezuela 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct China PR - Uruguay 2 (Friendly)
12/Oct Panama - Peru X (Friendly)
12/Oct Croatia - Norway 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct United Arab Emirates - Angola X (Friendly)
12/Oct Philippines - Macau 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Honduras - Guatemala 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Bahrain - Uzbekistan 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Costa Rica - El Salvador 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Kuwait - Vietnam 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Botswana - Equatorial Guinea 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Indonesia - Maldives 1 (Friendly)
12/Oct Faroe Islands - Northern Ireland 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Finland - Hungary X (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Belarus - Albania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Qatar - Iraq X (Friendly)
12/Oct Iceland - Portugal 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Azerbaijan - Turkey 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Armenia - Andorra 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Latvia - Georgia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct England - Montenegro 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Scotland - Spain 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Liechtenstein - Czech Republic 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Denmark - Cyprus 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct FYR Macedonia - Russia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Slovakia - Republic of Ireland X (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Netherlands - Sweden 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct San Marino - Moldova 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Switzerland - Wales 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Belgium - Austria X (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Italy - Serbia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct France - Luxembourg 1 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Estonia - Slovenia 2 (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Greece - Israel X (Continental Qualifier)
12/Oct Kazakhstan - Germany 2 (Continental Qualifier)
13/Oct India - Yemen X (Friendly)
13/Oct Dominican Republic - British Virgin Islands 1 (Continental Qualifier)
13/Oct Guyana - St. Lucia 1 (Continental Qualifier)
13/Oct Suriname - Netherlands Antilles 1 (Continental Qualifier)

3 comments:

  1. 08/Oct Serbia - Estonia 1 (Continental Qualifier)

    This result is wrong: Estonia won this match 3:1!

    ReplyDelete
  2. @Estonia,

    This was a list of the probable future results that Edgar used to predict his "Probable Ranking" preview. In other words, these were the most likely results for these upcoming matches, as predicted by the Elo Ratings. (Note that this post was published on 6 October.)

    To see the values of the October ranking calculated using the actual final results of all the matches, please see Edgar's most recent post:
    FIFA Ranking: October 2010 final preview

    Hope this helps!

    ReplyDelete