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Friday, November 1, 2013

2018 FIFA World Cup qualifying draw seeding for CAF (1 November 2013)

Assumptions:

- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2015 ranking for seeding


The July 2015 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2011 and July 2015. This means we're currently in the 0.5 time frame and things will start to get interesting.

This the July 2015 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including October 31st, 2013 and matches scheduled up to July 2014 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Changes since the last update:

Egypt and Libya replace Cape Verde Islands and Zambia in pot 1 of the second round.
Senegal and Angola replace Congo DR and Uganda in pot 2 of the second round.
Niger and Zimbabwe replace Equatorial Guinea and Central African Republic in pot 3 of the second round.
Mauritania and Lesotho replace Sudan and Sao Tome e Principe in pot 1 of the first round.

First round

Pot 1: Botswana, Kenya, Benin, Mozambique, Equatorial Guinea, Central African Republic, Namibia, Rwanda, Liberia, Mauritania, Burundi, Lesotho, Malawi, Tanzania
Pot 2: Gambia, Sudan, Sao Tome e Principe, Chad, Mauritius, Swaziland, Madagascar, Seychelles, Guinea-Bissau, Eritrea, Somalia, Comoros, Djibouti, South Sudan

Second round (group stage)

Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Tunisia, Algeria, Nigeria, Cameroon, Burkina Faso, Egypt, Mali, Libya
Pot 2: Togo, Cape Verde Islands, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Senegal, Zambia, South Africa, Angola, Morocco, Gabon
Pot 3: Congo DR, Congo, Uganda, Ethiopia, Niger, Zimbabwe

Pot 3 and Pot 4 will be completed with the 14 winners of the first round.

Rank - Team - Points

 1 Côte d'Ivoire             400
 2 Ghana                     327
 3 Tunisia                   320
 4 Algeria                   316
 5 Nigeria                   269
 6 Cameroon                  265
 7 Burkina Faso              237
 8 Egypt                     235
 9 Mali                      226
10 Libya                     205
--------------------------------
11 Togo                      202
12 Cape Verde Islands        201
13 Guinea                    193
14 Sierra Leone              191
15 Senegal                   188
16 Zambia                    183
17 South Africa              177
18 Angola                    174
19 Morocco                   163
20 Gabon                     161
--------------------------------
20 Congo DR                  161
22 Congo                     159
23 Uganda                    149
24 Ethiopia                  147
25 Niger                     137
26 Zimbabwe                  135
--------------------------------
27 Botswana                  125
28 Kenya                     117
29 Benin                     116
30 Mozambique                112
31 Equatorial Guinea         110
32 Central African Republic  100
33 Namibia                    99
34 Rwanda                     93
35 Liberia                    88
36 Burundi                    86
36 Mauritania                 86
38 Lesotho                    84
39 Malawi                     75
40 Tanzania                   70
--------------------------------
41 Gambia                     67
42 Sudan                      61
43 Sao Tome e Principe        48
44 Chad                       46
45 Mauritius                  33
46 Swaziland                  13
47 Madagascar                 11
48 Seychelles                  8
48 Guinea-Bissau               8
48 Eritrea                     8
51 Somalia                     6
52 Comoros                     5
53 Djibouti                    4
53 South Sudan                 4

Looking to improve your FIFA ranking before the draw? Use the e-mail address from my profile to contact me.

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