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Friday, October 24, 2014

October 2014: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the September 2014 FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team and their recommended opponent.


After Sierra Leone's drop of 25 places, the most popular opponent for the month of September were Wales (50), closely followed by Congo (47) and Antigua and Barbuda (37).


Of the top 20 teams, 6 would have gained points: Spain, Italy, Switzerland, Greece, Ukraine, England, with Switzerland and England even climbing in the rankings.

Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

19 - Haiti
18 - Venezuela
16 - Bolivia

Congo would have been the recommended opponent for Haiti and Bolivia, while Venezuela would have benefited from a friendly against Wales.

Teams from the top 50 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

11 - Togo
9 - Bulgaria
7 - Serbia

Congo were the choice for Togo, while Wales were the recommended opponent for the two Slavic countries. Remarkably, Togo would have climbed a total of 84 spots in total.

Looking to improve your FIFA ranking? Use the e-mail address from my profile to contact me.

October Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference


1 Germany Switzerland -26 0
2 Argentina Switzerland -24 0
3 Colombia Wales -20 0
4 Belgium Iceland -20 -1
5 Netherlands Switzerland -17 0
6 Brazil Wales -17 0
7 France Wales -15 -1
8 Uruguay Wales -8 0
9 Portugal Wales -12 0
10 Spain Wales 9 0
11 Italy Wales 2 0
12 Switzerland Wales 2 1
13 Chile Wales -2 0
14 Croatia Wales -3 0
15 Algeria Wales -10 0
16 Costa Rica Wales -7 0
17 Mexico Wales -2 0
18 Greece Wales 3 0
19 Ukraine Wales 2 0
20 England Wales 9 1
21 Romania Wales 3 0
22 Czech Republic Wales 4 0
23 USA Wales 8 1
24 Slovakia Wales -13 0
25 Côte d'Ivoire Wales 8 0
26 Bosnia-Herzegovina Iceland 12 1
27 Ecuador Wales 11 1
28 Iceland Congo -7 -1
29 Austria Wales -2 0
30 Russia Wales 11 0
31 Tunisia Congo -8 0
32 Denmark Wales 19 1
33 Cape Verde Islands Congo 1 0
34 Wales Congo 7 1
35 Ghana Wales 10 1
36 Slovenia Congo 10 1
37 Scotland Wales 25 3
38 Egypt Wales 9 1
39 Sweden Wales 25 2
40 Cameroon Wales 8 0
41 Senegal Wales 11 2
42 Nigeria Wales 8 2
43 Northern Ireland Congo -2 0
44 Poland Wales 15 3
45 Israel Congo 13 2
46 Serbia Wales 34 7
46 Turkey Wales 20 4
48 Albania Congo 11 3
49 Trinidad and Tobago Congo 4 0
50 Hungary Wales 35 0
51 Iran Wales 19 1
52 Japan Wales 17 2
52 Togo Congo 77 11
54 Peru Wales 38 4
55 Guinea Congo 11 5
56 Panama Wales 31 6
57 South Africa Wales 15 2
58 Mali Congo 16 2
59 Bulgaria Wales 38 9
60 Congo DR Congo 9 0
61 Republic of Ireland Wales 25 4
62 Congo Antigua and Barbuda 0 0
63 Finland Wales 28 5
64 Montenegro Congo 23 4
65 Uzbekistan Wales 23 5
66 Korea Republic Wales 17 4
67 Gabon Congo 9 2
68 Norway Congo 17 4
69 Honduras Congo 18 5
70 Antigua and Barbuda St. Vincent and the Grenadines -11 -1
71 Burkina Faso Congo 18 4
72 Guatemala Congo 10 1
73 Libya Congo 20 0
74 Jordan Congo 12 1
75 Armenia Congo 35 3
76 Paraguay Wales 55 6
77 Sierra Leone Antigua and Barbuda 19 5
78 Zambia Congo 16 4
79 United Arab Emirates Wales 25 5
80 Dominican Republic St. Vincent and the Grenadines 11 1
81 Iraq Congo 23 2
82 El Salvador Congo 22 3
83 Oman Congo 18 3
84 Uganda Congo 10 3
85 Venezuela Wales 102 18
86 Benin Antigua and Barbuda 16 3
87 Angola Antigua and Barbuda 16 3
88 China PR Congo 18 2
88 Estonia Congo 20 4
88 Morocco Congo 22 5
88 Qatar Congo 12 2
92 Lithuania Congo 20 6
93 Haiti Congo 78 19
94 Australia Wales 32 11
95 Rwanda Antigua and Barbuda 7 2
96 Cyprus Antigua and Barbuda 13 3
97 Mozambique Antigua and Barbuda 7 1
97 Saudi Arabia Congo 23 5
99 FYR Macedonia Congo 37 13
99 Latvia Congo 25 7
101 Zimbabwe Antigua and Barbuda 10 2
102 Botswana Antigua and Barbuda 12 1
103 Bolivia Congo 64 16
104 Bahrain Congo 20 2
105 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Aruba 0 0
106 Belarus Congo 32 5
107 Sudan Antigua and Barbuda 10 3
108 Palestine Antigua and Barbuda 9 3
109 Malawi Antigua and Barbuda 13 4
110 Tanzania Antigua and Barbuda 9 3
111 Ethiopia Antigua and Barbuda 16 6
112 Cuba Antigua and Barbuda 61 15
113 Jamaica Congo 31 10
113 Namibia Antigua and Barbuda 23 8
115 St. Kitts and Nevis Aruba -1 0
116 Kenya Antigua and Barbuda 14 4
117 Georgia Congo 53 15
118 Lesotho Antigua and Barbuda 11 2
119 Moldova Antigua and Barbuda 19 4
120 Kuwait Congo 17 4
121 Niger Antigua and Barbuda 21 6
122 Canada Congo 43 13
123 Liberia Antigua and Barbuda 61 20
124 Lebanon Congo 29 8
125 Equatorial Guinea Antigua and Barbuda 61 18
126 Azerbaijan Antigua and Barbuda 29 7
126 Luxembourg St. Vincent and the Grenadines 22 4
128 Burundi Antigua and Barbuda 16 4
129 Philippines St. Vincent and the Grenadines 8 3
130 Guinea-Bissau St. Vincent and the Grenadines 48 14
131 New Zealand Congo 61 19
132 Aruba American Samoa -7 -3
132 Kazakhstan Antigua and Barbuda 28 8
134 Afghanistan Aruba 9 2
134 Tajikistan Antigua and Barbuda 40 12
136 Vietnam Antigua and Barbuda 30 11
137 Myanmar Aruba 6 2
138 St. Lucia Aruba 6 1
138 Turkmenistan Antigua and Barbuda 61 17
140 Mauritania St. Vincent and the Grenadines 11 2
141 Chad Antigua and Barbuda 61 19
142 Maldives Aruba 9 1
143 Madagascar Aruba 36 10
144 Central African Republic Antigua and Barbuda 61 19
145 Grenada Aruba 21 8
146 Barbados Aruba 36 11
147 Curaçao Aruba -5 -2
148 Korea DPR Congo 78 24
149 Suriname St. Vincent and the Grenadines 48 15
150 Kyrgyzstan Aruba 12 2
151 Syria Congo 77 22
152 Guyana St. Vincent and the Grenadines 47 12
153 New Caledonia Antigua and Barbuda 61 15
154 Laos American Samoa 6 1
155 Liechtenstein Aruba 17 3
156 Malaysia Aruba 11 3
157 Indonesia Antigua and Barbuda 21 5
157 Malta St. Vincent and the Grenadines 33 7
159 India Aruba 36 8
159 Puerto Rico Aruba 37 8
161 Singapore Antigua and Barbuda 30 8
162 Guam American Samoa 9 3
163 Hong Kong Aruba 19 4
164 Swaziland Aruba 13 3
165 Thailand Antigua and Barbuda 48 13
166 Tahiti Antigua and Barbuda 61 16
167 Belize Aruba 36 11
168 Gambia Antigua and Barbuda 62 16
168 Nicaragua Aruba 36 9
170 Montserrat American Samoa 25 8
171 Seychelles Aruba 16 3
172 Bermuda St. Vincent and the Grenadines 48 13
172 Comoros American Samoa 25 8
174 Sri Lanka American Samoa 26 9
175 Sao Tome e Principe Aruba 36 11
176 Bangladesh Aruba 37 12
177 Turks and Caicos Islands American Samoa 26 9
178 Yemen Aruba 21 7
179 Nepal American Samoa 26 9
180 Dominica Aruba 14 3
180 Solomon Islands St. Vincent and the Grenadines 48 14
182 Pakistan Aruba 37 12
182 Timor-Leste American Samoa 25 8
184 Macau American Samoa 25 9
185 Cambodia American Samoa 10 5
186 South Sudan St. Vincent and the Grenadines 34 12
187 Faroe Islands Aruba 39 16
188 Chinese Taipei American Samoa 25 10
189 Samoa American Samoa 26 11
190 Vanuatu St. Vincent and the Grenadines 48 19
191 Mauritius Aruba 36 15
192 Fiji Antigua and Barbuda 61 24
193 Mongolia American Samoa 25 13
194 American Samoa Bhutan 25 12
194 Bahamas American Samoa 26 12
194 Tonga American Samoa 25 12
197 US Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 12
198 Brunei Darussalam American Samoa 26 10
199 Papua New Guinea Aruba 36 15
200 Eritrea Aruba 37 15
201 Cayman Islands American Samoa 25 11
202 Andorra Aruba 32 14
203 British Virgin Islands American Samoa 25 13
203 Somalia American Samoa 26 13
205 Cook Islands American Samoa 26 14
205 Djibouti American Samoa 26 14
207 Anguilla American Samoa 25 13
208 Bhutan American Samoa 26 14
208 San Marino American Samoa 28 14
 

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