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Friday, September 11, 2015

FIFA Ranking: October 2015 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 1 October.

Top 40 already set.

Only two matches left - both friendlies.



This is how the points and ranks could change for these 16 teams:

Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Worst rank - Best rank


Senegal 684 700 42 41
Gabon 507 529 68 65
Rwanda 364 414 93 78
Mauritania 340 399 100 84

In the table below I've used the minimum points for these teams.

Best movers:

65 - Liberia
54 - South Sudan
44 - Nicaragua

Worst movers:

-28 - Cyprus, FYR Macedonia
-20 - Afghanistan
-19 - Venezuela, Niger

Best movers in the top 50:

35 - Norway
16 - Cape Verde Islands
9 - Turkey

Worst movers in the top 50:

-19 - Venezuela
-9 - Sweden, Poland
-8 - Scotland

7 teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Wales (8 - 9 in September 2015)
Austria (11 - 13 in September 2015)
Nicaragua (at least 95 - 132 in February 2009)
Aruba (115 - 120 in June 2014)
South Sudan (144 - 185 in September 2014)
American Samoa (164 - 173 in September 2012)
Cook Islands (166 - 169 in August 2000)

1 will return to its best ever ranking:

Belize (118 - 118 in July 2015)

3 will return to their worst ever ranking:

Italy (17 - 17 in July 2015)
Sweden (45 - 45 in March 2015)
Kuwait (128 - 128 in February 2015)

7 will drop to new lows:

Malaysia (171 - 170 in April 2008)
Indonesia (171 - 170 in September 2013)
Suriname (181 - 169 in April 2015)
Nepal (190 - 188 in March 2008)
Solomon Islands (197 - 192 in May 2015)
Vanuatu (201 - 200 in June 2015)
Papua New Guinea (206 - 203 in June 2011)

Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:

Mauritania (at least 100 - 100 in August 1996) - 19 years and 2 months
Liberia (at least 95 - 94 in April 2003) - 12 years and 6 months
Mauritius (168 - 163 in July 2008) - 7 years and 3 months
Sudan (at least 85 - 85 in May 2009) - 6 years and 5 months
Czech Republic (15 - 15 in October 2009) - 6 years
Northern Ireland (35 - 30 in October 2009) - 6 years

Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:

FYR Macedonia (132 - 147 in May 1994) - 21 years and 5 months
Honduras (at most 89 - 91 in December 1998) - 16 years and 10 months
Chad (175 - 175 in February 2003) - 12 years and 8 months
New Zealand (148 - 156 in September 2007) - 8 years and 1 month
Bangladesh (182 - 182 in July 2008) - 7 years and 3 months
Tajikistan (160 - 165 in December 2009) - 5 years and 10 months
Uruguay (20 - 21 in February 2010) - 5 years and 8 months

Austria will be ranked above Netherlands for the first time ever.
Antigua and Barbuda will be ranked above Honduras for the first time ever.
Nicaragua will be ranked above Canada for the first time ever.
Algeria will be ranked above Uruguay for the first time in the last 16 years and 4 months.
Czech Republic will be ranked above Italy for the first time in the last 9 years and 5 months.
Guatemala will be ranked above Honduras for the first time in the last 9 years and 1 month.

October 2015 rank - Team - October 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Argentina 1419 0 -23
2 Germany 1401 1 153
3 Belgium 1387 -1 118
4 Portugal 1235 2 49
5 Colombia 1228 -1 4
6 Spain 1223 5 101
7 Brazil 1204 -2 -5
8 Wales 1195 1 49
9 Chile 1177 -1 28
10 England 1161 0 18
11 Austria 1100 2 62
12 Switzerland 1044 5 33
13 Romania 1042 -6 -134
14 Netherlands 1004 -2 -50
15 Czech Republic 983 5 43
16 Croatia 965 -2 -72
17 Italy 962 -1 -50
18 Slovakia 936 -3 -77
19 Algeria 927 0 -28
20 Uruguay 919 -2 -83
21 Côte d'Ivoire 916 0 -8
22 France 899 2 6
23 Iceland 882 0 -12
24 Ukraine 874 5 62
25 Ghana 849 2 22
26 Russia 845 6 65
27 Mexico 842 -1 -6
28 Denmark 835 -6 -66
29 USA 807 -1 -16
30 Bosnia-Herzegovina 787 0 -24
31 Ecuador 765 3 1
32 Albania 755 -7 -123
33 Hungary 741 4 1
34 Norway 739 35 243
35 Northern Ireland 724 6 37
36 Tunisia 722 -3 -52
37 Turkey 717 9 82
38 Iran 703 2 -13
39 Scotland 702 -8 -87
40 Cape Verde Islands 701 16 112
41 Costa Rica 691 -2 -40
42 Senegal 684 -4 -50
43 Poland 680 -9 -84
44 Greece 676 0 19
45 Sweden 672 -9 -84
46 Slovenia 662 -1 9
47 Israel 659 -1 24
48 Cameroon 640 -6 -31
49 Congo 637 -7 -35
50 Peru 623 -2 -5
51 Egypt 620 -2 1
52 Nigeria 600 1 1
53 Korea Republic 590 4 16
54 Republic of Ireland 587 -3 -18
55 Japan 582 3 12
55 Guinea 582 8 47
57 Jamaica 576 -5 -26
58 Australia 567 3 19
59 Trinidad and Tobago 564 -5 -30
60 Congo DR 563 5 34
61 Paraguay 552 -6 -40
62 Mali 546 -2 -4
63 Serbia 538 3 10
64 Finland 534 28 183
65 Panama 529 -6 -22
66 Equatorial Guinea 510 -4 -36
66 Bolivia 510 1 -11
68 Gabon 507 -5 -28
69 Venezuela 500 -19 -112
70 United Arab Emirates 491 0 7
71 Zambia 487 3 23
72 Montenegro 470 5 40
73 South Africa 465 -1 -4
74 Uzbekistan 464 2 11
75 Uganda 455 -4 -23
76 Burkina Faso 427 -3 -41
77 Haiti 418 10 33
78 Bulgaria 414 -10 -89
79 Togo 411 0 -7
80 Morocco 407 5 16
81 China PR 405 3 12
82 Guatemala 401 16 68
83 Antigua and Barbuda 400 22 96
84 Sudan 399 5 22
85 Faroe Islands 396 -10 -63
85 Iraq 396 -3 -3
87 Estonia 388 -7 -17
88 Saudi Arabia 384 5 34
89 Honduras 379 -8 -25
90 Armenia 377 -7 -17
91 Qatar 365 3 18
92 Rwanda 364 -14 -62
93 El Salvador 363 14 63
94 Nicaragua 360 45 162
94 Liberia 360 66 206
96 Angola 353 -8 -28
97 Belarus 350 0 15
98 Jordan 348 -7 -8
99 Benin 341 16 72
100 Mauritania 340 14 67
101 Malawi 339 -5 3
102 Oman 338 -2 9
103 Latvia 335 -13 -31
104 Canada 333 -2 14
105 Libya 328 -7 -5
105 Azerbaijan 328 5 37
107 Mozambique 327 -12 -13
108 Ethiopia 315 -5 2
109 Zimbabwe 313 -1 15
110 Georgia 308 37 128
111 Botswana 305 7 39
112 St. Kitts and Nevis 303 7 47
113 Burundi 302 21 84
114 Cyprus 300 -28 -86
115 Aruba 299 22 98
116 Lithuania 298 -7 4
117 Cuba 294 -4 14
118 Belize 292 10 65
119 Dominican Republic 290 4 42
120 Niger 287 -19 -39
121 Sierra Leone 286 -16 -18
122 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 284 -6 16
123 Bahrain 283 -11 2
123 Syria 283 -2 32
125 Namibia 274 -14 -10
126 Central African Republic 271 42 153
127 Madagascar 262 -6 11
128 Kuwait 260 -1 25
129 Korea DPR 252 -3 15
130 Palestine 246 -11 -10
131 Kenya 245 -15 -23
132 FYR Macedonia 239 -28 -66
132 Moldova 239 -8 -6
134 Philippines 238 -9 -3
135 Swaziland 224 0 11
136 Tanzania 218 4 23
137 Guyana 210 17 45
138 Bermuda 209 -6 -11
139 St. Lucia 208 -8 -14
140 Lesotho 201 -12 -26
140 Lebanon 201 -7 -18
142 Luxembourg 199 -1 5
142 Kazakhstan 199 3 15
144 South Sudan 198 54 176
145 Thailand 196 -8 -5
146 Kyrgyzstan 195 9 35
147 Guinea-Bissau 193 -5 2
148 New Zealand 188 -12 -21
149 Vietnam 187 3 21
150 Afghanistan 183 -20 -43
150 Guam 183 -4 1
152 Curaçao 181 -4 3
153 Hong Kong 180 -2 11
154 Barbados 175 -10 -11
155 Turkmenistan 172 -6 0
156 Liechtenstein 170 -6 -1
157 Singapore 164 0 5
157 Malta 164 3 10
159 Grenada 159 -1 4
160 Tajikistan 156 -2 1
161 Gambia 154 -18 -35
162 Samoa 152 34 127
163 Myanmar 147 -1 5
164 American Samoa 145 35 128
165 Puerto Rico 134 -13 -32
166 Cook Islands 132 39 128
167 India 128 -12 -32
168 Mauritius 123 17 67
169 New Caledonia 120 -3 0
170 Timor-Leste 118 -7 -12
171 Indonesia 111 -6 -10
171 Malaysia 111 -2 -4
173 Bhutan 106 -9 -22
174 Dominica 102 -2 4
175 Chad 100 -4 0
176 Maldives 96 1 14
177 Pakistan 89 -7 -16
178 US Virgin Islands 88 -2 0
179 Laos 85 -5 -7
180 Yemen 82 -5 -8
181 Suriname 79 -15 -41
182 Bangladesh 77 -9 -18
183 Chinese Taipei 69 -4 -3
184 Montserrat 67 -6 -7
184 Seychelles 67 8 24
186 Cambodia 66 -6 0
187 Brunei Darussalam 61 -5 0
188 Fiji 60 -7 -4
188 Tahiti 60 -6 -1
190 Nepal 51 -5 -5
191 Sri Lanka 49 -7 -10
191 Cayman Islands 49 -4 0
193 Macau 48 -6 -1
193 Comoros 48 -3 0
193 São Tomé e Príncipe 48 -3 0
196 San Marino 35 -3 -5
197 Solomon Islands 33 -10 -16
197 Turks and Caicos Islands 33 -3 0
199 British Virgin Islands 27 -4 0
200 Tonga 17 -1 0
201 Vanuatu 13 -4 -10
202 Eritrea 8 -1 0
203 Mongolia 6 -1 0
203 Somalia 6 -1 0
205 Andorra 5 -3 -1
206 Djibouti 4 -1 0
206 Papua New Guinea 4 -1 0
208 Anguilla 0 0 0
208 Bahamas 0 0 0

9 comments:

  1. Hi Edgar,

    Where do you get your information about the fixtures these days? I used to get it from the FIFA-matchcenter website, but they made it far too complicated to extract the games easily. Any suggestions?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I took the time and wrote a special parser for the new match center.

      Delete
  2. Dear Mr. Edgar

    This Fifa list has always been a mystery to me.
    Can you inform me why Iceland (ranked 23) loses 12 points despite their 1-0 away win over Netherland (ranked 12)?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That's because despite the win over Holland, they lose the win against Turkey (Sep 9, 2014) in the first timeframe. And in addition the draw against Kazachstan drags the average of the first timeframe down. If they had won that game, they would have gained 12 points on the ranking and 1 place.

      Delete
  3. Edgar, according to FIFA match center and other reports Botswana is playing Ethiopia on the 30th of September. how will this affect the two's rankings?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Botswana-Ethiopia friendly counts for November ranking as the deadline for the October ranking is September 28th.

    ReplyDelete
  5. France at 22. The rankings have to be taken with a huge grain of salt for this alone. FIFA needs to come up with a way so that upcoming hosts can be judged more accurately.

    ReplyDelete
  6. FIFA is still messing up the rounding of their points calculation for the ranking. In the October edition not only the rounding of exactly a half is sometimes up and sometimes down (what's so difficult on doing that consistently up or down ?), but now they also made a more serious mistake. Fiji has 59.5 points rounded up (this time) to 60, but what's worse: their position is set at 189 where it should be equal to Tahiti (also with 60 points) on 188. I don't think Fiji plays a match coming month, so it does not have any consequences in terms of calculated matchpoints this time, but I think it's a bit 'disturbing' (or plain stupid) that they can't even produce their own ranking correctly.

    ReplyDelete