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Monday, November 12, 2018

FIFA ranking: November 2018 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches until November 25th, used to calculate the November 2018 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) into the FIFA fixture-list at the moment of writing. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.


Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)


1 2018-11-11 Chinese Taipei - Hong Kong; Friendly; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2018-11-11 Korea DPR - Mongolia; Friendly; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2018-11-12 Malaysia - Laos; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 93; 1
1 2018-11-12 Myanmar - Cambodia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 90; 1
1 2018-11-13 Chinese Taipei - Mongolia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2018-11-13 Hong Kong - Korea DPR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 19; 2
1 2018-11-13 Indonesia - Timor-Leste; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 98; 1
1 2018-11-13 Philippines - Singapore; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 75; 1
0 2018-11-14 Nepal - Afghanistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 26; 2
1 2018-11-14 Switzerland - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1
0 2018-11-14 Vanuatu - New Caledonia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 66; 1
1 2018-11-15 England - USA; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 84; 1
1 2018-11-15 Germany - Russia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
1 2018-11-15 Iran - Trinidad and Tobago; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1
1 2018-11-15 Israel - Guatemala; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
1 2018-11-15 Kuwait - Bahrain; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
1 2018-11-15 Palestine - Pakistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2018-11-15 Peru - Ecuador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 81; 1
1 2018-11-15 Poland - Czech Republic; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1
0 2018-11-15 Republic of Ireland - Northern Ireland; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1
1 2018-11-15 Uzbekistan - Lebanon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 69; 1
1 2018-11-15 Belgium - Iceland; Nations League group; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2018-11-15 Croatia - Spain; Nations League group; We (elo): 48; X
1 2018-11-15 Austria - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Nations League group; We (elo): 58; X
1 2018-11-15 Greece - Finland; Nations League group; We (elo): 60; X
1 2018-11-15 Hungary - Estonia; Nations League group; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2018-11-15 Andorra - Georgia; Nations League group; We (elo): 9; 2
1 2018-11-15 Kazakhstan - Latvia; Nations League group; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2018-11-15 Luxembourg - Belarus; Nations League group; We (elo): 44; X
1 2018-11-15 San Marino - Moldova; Nations League group; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2018-11-16 Morocco - Cameroon; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2018-11-16 South Sudan - Burundi; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 23; 2
1 2018-11-16 Egypt - Tunisia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 53; X
1 2018-11-16 Aruba - Montserrat; Nations League group; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2018-11-16 Belize - Puerto Rico; Nations League group; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2018-11-16 Bermuda - El Salvador; Nations League group; We (elo): 22; 2
0 2018-11-16 British Virgin Islands - Bonaire; Nations League group; We (elo): 16; 2
0 2018-11-16 Grenada - St. Martin; Nations League group; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2018-11-16 Chinese Taipei - Korea DPR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 10; 2
1 2018-11-16 Mongolia - Hong Kong; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 6; 2
0 2018-11-16 Argentina - Mexico; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 76; 1
1 2018-11-16 Brazil - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 76; 1
0 2018-11-16 Chile - Costa Rica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 83; 1
0 2018-11-16 China PR - Turkmenistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 91; 1
0 2018-11-16 Honduras - Panama; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
1 2018-11-16 Japan - Venezuela; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 61; X
1 2018-11-16 Oman - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X
1 2018-11-16 Saudi Arabia - Yemen; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1
1 2018-11-16 United Arab Emirates - Bolivia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 42; X
1 2018-11-16 Laos - Myanmar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 20; 2
1 2018-11-16 Vietnam - Malaysia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 85; 1
1 2018-11-16 Netherlands - France; Nations League group; We (elo): 39; 2
1 2018-11-16 Slovakia - Ukraine; Nations League group; We (elo): 54; X
1 2018-11-16 Wales - Denmark; Nations League group; We (elo): 50; X
1 2018-11-16 Cyprus - Bulgaria; Nations League group; We (elo): 34; 2
1 2018-11-16 Slovenia - Norway; Nations League group; We (elo): 49; X
1 2018-11-16 Gibraltar - Armenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 22; 2
1 2018-11-16 Liechtenstein - FYR Macedonia; Nations League group; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2018-11-17 Equatorial Guinea - Senegal; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2018-11-17 Comoros - Malawi; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2018-11-17 Gabon - Mali; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 53; X
1 2018-11-17 Gambia - Benin; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 43; X
1 2018-11-17 Seychelles - Libya; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2018-11-17 South Africa - Nigeria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2018-11-17 Namibia - Guinea-Bissau; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2018-11-17 Uganda - Cape Verde Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2018-11-17 Cayman Islands - St. Lucia; Nations League group; We (elo): 35; 2
1 2018-11-17 Cuba - Dominican Republic; Nations League group; We (elo): 71; 1
1 2018-11-17 Jamaica - Suriname; Nations League group; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2018-11-17 Nicaragua - Haiti; Nations League group; We (elo): 24; 2
1 2018-11-17 Australia - Korea Republic; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X
1 2018-11-17 Jordan - India; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 88; 1
0 2018-11-17 Vanuatu - New Caledonia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
1 2018-11-17 Thailand - Indonesia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 84; 1
1 2018-11-17 Timor-Leste - Philippines; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 4; 2
1 2018-11-17 Italy - Portugal; Nations League group; We (elo): 52; X
1 2018-11-17 Turkey - Sweden; Nations League group; We (elo): 50; X
1 2018-11-17 Albania - Scotland; Nations League group; We (elo): 43; X
1 2018-11-17 Romania - Lithuania; Nations League group; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2018-11-17 Serbia - Montenegro; Nations League group; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2018-11-17 Azerbaijan - Faroe Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2018-11-17 Malta - Kosovo; Nations League group; We (elo): 30; 2
1 2018-11-18 Madagascar - Sudan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2018-11-18 Togo - Algeria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 50; X
1 2018-11-18 Ethiopia - Ghana; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2018-11-18 Kenya - Sierra Leone; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2018-11-18 Congo - Congo DR; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 41; X
1 2018-11-18 Liberia - Zimbabwe; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 39; 2
1 2018-11-18 Guinea - Cote d'Ivoire; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 44; X
1 2018-11-18 Rwanda - Central African Republic; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 56; X
1 2018-11-18 Angola - Burkina Faso; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 28; 2
1 2018-11-18 Mauritania - Botswana; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2018-11-18 Swaziland - Niger; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 57; X
1 2018-11-18 Mozambique - Zambia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 41; X
1 2018-11-18 Lesotho - Tanzania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 54; X
1 2018-11-18 Bahamas - Anguilla; Nations League group; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2018-11-18 Barbados - US Virgin Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2018-11-18 St. Kitts and Nevis - Canada; Nations League group; We (elo): 26; 2
1 2018-11-18 Turks and Caicos Islands - St. Vincent and the Grenadines; Nations League
 group; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2018-11-18 Spain - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1
1 2018-11-18 Switzerland - Belgium; Nations League group; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2018-11-18 England - Croatia; Nations League group; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2018-11-18 Northern Ireland - Austria; Nations League group; We (elo): 48; X
1 2018-11-18 Greece - Estonia; Nations League group; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2018-11-18 Hungary - Finland; Nations League group; We (elo): 52; X
1 2018-11-18 Moldova - Luxembourg; Nations League group; We (elo): 58; X
1 2018-11-18 San Marino - Belarus; Nations League group; We (elo): 4; 2
0 2018-11-19 Curacao - Guadeloupe; Nations League group; We (elo): 74; 1
0 2018-11-19 Martinique - Antigua and Barbuda; Nations League group; We (elo): 89; 1
0 2018-11-19 Iceland - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1
1 2018-11-19 Oman - Bahrain; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 80; 1
1 2018-11-19 Germany - Netherlands; Nations League group; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2018-11-19 Czech Republic - Slovakia; Nations League group; We (elo): 59; X
1 2018-11-19 Denmark - Republic of Ireland; Nations League group; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2018-11-19 Bulgaria - Slovenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2018-11-19 Cyprus - Norway; Nations League group; We (elo): 30; 2
1 2018-11-19 Andorra - Latvia; Nations League group; We (elo): 32; 2
1 2018-11-19 Georgia - Kazakhstan; Nations League group; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2018-11-19 FYR Macedonia - Gibraltar; Nations League group; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2018-11-19 Liechtenstein - Armenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 21; 2
0 2018-11-20 French Guyana - Guyana; Nations League group; We (elo): 78; 1
0 2018-11-20 St. Maarten - Dominica; Nations League group; We (elo): 24; 2
0 2018-11-20 Albania - Wales; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 28; 2
0 2018-11-20 Argentina - Mexico; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2018-11-20 Australia - Lebanon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
0 2018-11-20 Bolivia - Iraq; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 64; 1
1 2018-11-20 Brazil - Cameroon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 95; 1
0 2018-11-20 Chile - Honduras; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 90; 1
1 2018-11-20 China PR - Palestine; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
0 2018-11-20 El Salvador - Haiti; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 61; X
1 2018-11-20 France - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2018-11-20 Iran - Venezuela; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 60; X
0 2018-11-20 Italy - USA; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
1 2018-11-20 Japan - Kyrgyzstan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2018-11-20 Jordan - Saudi Arabia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 48; X
1 2018-11-20 Kuwait - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 43; X
1 2018-11-20 Nigeria - Uganda; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 90; 1
1 2018-11-20 Panama - Ecuador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 41; X
0 2018-11-20 Peru - Costa Rica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2018-11-20 South Africa - Paraguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 35; 2
1 2018-11-20 Tunisia - Morocco; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 59; X
0 2018-11-20 Ukraine - Turkey; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 75; 1
1 2018-11-20 United Arab Emirates - Egypt; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 50; X
1 2018-11-20 Uzbekistan - Korea Republic; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 28; 2
1 2018-11-20 Cambodia - Laos; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1
1 2018-11-20 Myanmar - Vietnam; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 33; 2
1 2018-11-20 Portugal - Poland; Nations League group; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2018-11-20 Sweden - Russia; Nations League group; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2018-11-20 Scotland - Israel; Nations League group; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2018-11-20 Montenegro - Romania; Nations League group; We (elo): 47; X
1 2018-11-20 Serbia - Lithuania; Nations League group; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2018-11-20 Kosovo - Azerbaijan; Nations League group; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2018-11-20 Malta - Faroe Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 55; X
1 2018-11-21 Philippines - Thailand; Friendly; We (elo): 35; 2
1 2018-11-21 Singapore - Timor-Leste; Friendly; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2018-11-24 Malaysia - Myanmar; Friendly; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2018-11-24 Vietnam - Cambodia; Friendly; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2018-11-25 Indonesia - Philippines; Friendly; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2018-11-25 Thailand - Singapore; Friendly; We (elo): 93; 1

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

12 comments:

  1. Ukraine plays in Turkey (20.11)

    ReplyDelete
  2. If a game is not included in the FIFA fixture list, does it count toward FIFA rankings?

    Thank you

    ReplyDelete
  3. Only matches included in FIFA's fixture list count for their ranking.
    These days, FIFA tends to include especially friendlies only at the very last moment though. But previous experience shows that most of the above excluded matches will be added this week, for instance the Ukraine-Turkey friendly.

    ReplyDelete
  4. after cancellation of UAE vs Egypt game & Egypt win over Tunisia , how many points will Egypt had in next ranking?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Egypt will end at 1393 points (+15 pts) around spot 57 in the November ranking, if they don't play another friendly.
    Morocco now at 1434 points (+12 pts), but a friendly against Tunisia to be played next Tuesday. With the elo-predicted draw they'll end up at 1435 pts around spot 43.

    ReplyDelete
  6. With Nigeria draw with South Africa at the last weekend what position and point would Nigeria be?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nigeria now at 1428 points (-3). Elo predicts a win in the friendly against Uganda tomorrow. Nigeria will have 1432 points around spot 44 then.

      Delete
  7. After yesterday games , whats the next top 10 CAf teams ranking?

    ReplyDelete
  8. You just can't wait for the final preview, can you ?

    Preview top-15 African teams in November 2018 ranking:
    1 Senegal 1505
    2 Tunisia 1493
    3 Morocco 1440
    4 Nigeria 1427
    5 Congo DR 1420
    6 Ghana 1412
    7 Cameroon 1394
    8 Egypt 1393
    9 Burkina Faso 1371
    10 Mali 1363
    11 Cote d'Ivoire 1356
    12 Guinea 1354
    13 Algeria 1347
    14 South Africa 1325
    14 Cape Verde Islands 1325

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. When will you release November ranking final preview, Ed??

      Delete
    2. Somewhere the next few days :)

      Delete