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Monday, May 27, 2019

FIFA ranking: June 2019 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including June 11th, used to calculate the June 2019 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. 
Also the already played matches since March 26th, (probably) counting for the June ranking, are presented.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)


already played:
1 2019-04-20 Botswana - Seychelles; Friendly; 1
1 2019-04-20 Eswatini - Malawi; Friendly; X
1 2019-05-11 Malawi - Eswatini; Friendly; X
1 2019-05-11 Seychelles - Botswana; Friendly; 2
1 2019-05-25 Eswatini - Mauritius; Friendly; X
1 2019-05-26 Malawi - Seychelles; Friendly; 1
1 2019-05-26 Mozambique - Namibia; Friendly; 2

scheduled:
1 2019-05-27 Eswatini - Comoros; Friendly; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-05-28 Namibia - Malawi; Friendly; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2019-05-28 Seychelles - Mozambique; Friendly; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2019-05-28 Laos - Sri Lanka; Friendly; We (elo): 62; X
1 2019-05-29 Comoros - Mauritius; Friendly; We (elo): 46; X
1 2019-05-30 Mozambique - Malawi; Friendly; We (elo): 54; X
1 2019-05-30 Namibia - Seychelles; Friendly; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-05-30 Turkey - Greece; Friendly; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-05-31 Laos - Sri Lanka; Friendly; We (elo): 62; X
1 2019-06-01 Lesotho - Uganda; Friendly; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2019-06-01 Zimbabwe - Eswatini; Friendly; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-06-01 Ecuador - Venezuela; Friendly; We (elo): 47; X
1 2019-06-02 South Africa - Botswana; Friendly; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2019-06-02 Zambia - Namibia; Friendly; We (elo): 57; Zambia pso win
1 2019-06-02 El Salvador - Haiti; Friendly; We (elo): 51; X
1 2019-06-02 France - Bolivia; Friendly; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-06-02 Luxembourg - Madagascar; Friendly; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2019-06-02 Malaysia - Nepal; Friendly; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-06-02 Turkey - Uzbekistan; Friendly; We (elo): 78; 1
0 2019-06-02 Uganda - Djibouti; Friendly; We (elo): 98; 1
0 2019-06-03 Vanuatu - Tahiti; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 61; X
1 2019-06-03 Colombia - Panama; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-06-04 Lesotho - Botswana; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 52; Lesotho pso win
1 2019-06-04 Eswatini - Namibia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 25; 2
1 2019-06-05 Uganda - South Africa; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 34; 2
1 2019-06-05 Zimbabwe - Zambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 59; Zimbabwe pso win
1 2019-06-05 Curacao - India; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; Curacao pso win
1 2019-06-05 Thailand - Vietnam; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 41; Vietnam pso win
1 2019-06-05 Brazil - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-06-05 Chile - Haiti; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-06-05 Japan - Trinidad and Tobago; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-06-05 Mexico - Venezuela; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 56; X
1 2019-06-05 Paraguay - Honduras; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-06-05 Peru - Costa Rica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 79; 1
0 2019-06-05 Turkmenistan - Djibouti; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-06-05 USA - Jamaica; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-06-05 Portugal - Switzerland; Nations League finals; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-06-06 Bhutan - Guam; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 31; 2
1 2019-06-06 Cambodia - Pakistan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 42; X
1 2019-06-06 Laos - Bangladesh; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 48; X
1 2019-06-06 Macau - Sri Lanka; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 59; X
1 2019-06-06 Mongolia - Brunei Darussalam; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2019-06-06 Fiji - Tahiti; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 51; X
0 2019-06-06 Bermuda - Guyana; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 69; 1
1 2019-06-06 Chinese Taipei - Nepal; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 75; 1
0 2019-06-06 Ghana - South Africa; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X
0 2019-06-06 Iran - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 88; 1
1 2019-06-06 Netherlands - England; Nations League finals; We (elo): 47; England pso win
1 2019-06-07 Uganda - Zambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 50; Zambia pso win
1 2019-06-07 Lesotho - Namibia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 35; 2
1 2019-06-07 Malaysia - Timor-Leste; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-06-07 Argentina - Nicaragua; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-06-07 China PR - Philippines; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 84; 1
0 2019-06-07 Cote d'Ivoire - Comoros; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
0 2019-06-07 Guinea - Gambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
1 2019-06-07 Korea Republic - Australia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
0 2019-06-07 Madagascar - Kenya; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X
0 2019-06-07 Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 53; X
1 2019-06-07 Slovakia - Jordan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
0 2019-06-07 Tajikistan - Afghanistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-06-07 Tunisia - Iraq; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 69; 1
1 2019-06-07 Uruguay - Panama; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-06-07 Uzbekistan - Korea DPR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-06-07 Czech Republic - Bulgaria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2019-06-07 Montenegro - Kosovo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-06-07 Lithuania - Luxembourg; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 59; X
1 2019-06-07 Ukraine - Serbia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 59; X
1 2019-06-07 Denmark - Republic of Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2019-06-07 Georgia - Gibraltar; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-06-07 Faroe Islands - Spain; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2019-06-07 Norway - Romania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 55; X
1 2019-06-07 Sweden - Malta; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-06-07 Austria - Slovenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2019-06-07 Latvia - Israel; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 24; 2
1 2019-06-07 North Macedonia - Poland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 30; 2
1 2019-06-08 South Africa - Zimbabwe; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 75; 1
1 2019-06-08 Vanuatu - Fiji; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-06-08 Thailand - Curacao; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1
1 2019-06-08 Vietnam - India; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
0 2019-06-08 Nigeria - Zimbabwe; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1
0 2019-06-08 Singapore - Solomon Islands; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 48; X
1 2019-06-08 Belarus - Germany; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 13; 2
1 2019-06-08 Estonia - Northern Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 41; X
1 2019-06-08 Azerbaijan - Hungary; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 32; 2
1 2019-06-08 Croatia - Wales; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2019-06-08 Iceland - Albania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-06-08 Moldova - Andorra; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2019-06-08 Turkey - France; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2019-06-08 Belgium - Kazakhstan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-06-08 Russia - San Marino; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2019-06-08 Scotland - Cyprus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2019-06-08 Armenia - Liechtenstein; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2019-06-08 Finland - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 44; X
1 2019-06-08 Greece - Italy; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 27; 2
1 2019-06-09 Brazil - Honduras; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-06-09 Cameroon - Zambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1
0 2019-06-09 Congo DR - Burkina Faso; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 67; 1
0 2019-06-09 Ghana - Namibia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-06-09 Japan - El Salvador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-06-09 Mexico - Ecuador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X
0 2019-06-09 Papua New Guinea - New Caledonia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 53; X
1 2019-06-09 Paraguay - Guatemala; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2019-06-09 Peru - Colombia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 47; X
0 2019-06-09 Uganda - Turkmenistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-06-09 USA - Venezuela; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 63; X
1 2019-06-09 Portugal - England; Nations League finals; We (elo): 59; Portugal pso win
1 2019-06-09 Switzerland - Netherlands; Nations League finals; We (elo): 43; Netherlands pso win
1 2019-06-10 Angola - Guinea-Bissau; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 56; X
1 2019-06-10 Iraq - Libya; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 69; 1
0 2019-06-10 Trinidad and Tobago - Canada; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 46; X
1 2019-06-10 Bulgaria - Kosovo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2019-06-10 Czech Republic - Montenegro; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2019-06-10 Serbia - Lithuania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-06-10 Ukraine - Luxembourg; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-06-10 Denmark - Georgia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-06-10 Republic of Ireland - Gibraltar; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-06-10 Faroe Islands - Norway; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2019-06-10 Malta - Romania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 7; 2
1 2019-06-10 Spain - Sweden; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-06-10 Latvia - Slovenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 27; 2
1 2019-06-10 North Macedonia - Austria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2019-06-10 Poland - Israel; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2019-06-11 Bangladesh - Laos; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-06-11 Brunei Darussalam - Mongolia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 48; Mongolia pso win
1 2019-06-11 Guam - Bhutan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-06-11 Pakistan - Cambodia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2019-06-11 Sri Lanka - Macau; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2019-06-11 Timor-Leste - Malaysia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 2
1 2019-06-11 Algeria - Burundi; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
0 2019-06-11 Benin - Mauritania; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1
1 2019-06-11 China PR - Tajikistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-06-11 Croatia - Tunisia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
0 2019-06-11 Guinea - Benin; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 60; X
0 2019-06-11 Haiti - Guyana; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-06-11 Hong Kong - Chinese Taipei; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-06-11 Jordan - Indonesia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 90; 1
1 2019-06-11 Korea Republic - Iran; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-06-11 Kyrgyzstan - Palestine; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 51; X
0 2019-06-11 Singapore - Myanmar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 73; 1
1 2019-06-11 Uzbekistan - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 73; 1
1 2019-06-11 Belarus - Northern Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 47; X
1 2019-06-11 Germany - Estonia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-06-11 Azerbaijan - Slovakia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2019-06-11 Hungary - Wales; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 47; X
1 2019-06-11 Albania - Moldova; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-06-11 Andorra - France; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 0; 2
1 2019-06-11 Iceland - Turkey; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-06-11 Belgium - Scotland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-06-11 Kazakhstan - San Marino; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-06-11 Russia - Cyprus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-06-11 Greece - Armenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2019-06-11 Italy - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 79; 1

1 2019-06-11 Liechtenstein - Finland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2


About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

6 comments:

  1. you made a mistake. In the match between Curacao and India, you assumed Curacao will win in PSO. But you took India on the final scheduled on 8th. It should be Curacao as your assumption was Curacao to win in semifinal against India

    ReplyDelete
  2. You are right.

    In the meantime it turned out that Curacao-Vietnam indeed is the final of the King's Çup this Saturday. Elo expects a win for Vietnam (We=23).
    Third place play-off Thailand-India has a We=78, so a win for the Thai.

    ReplyDelete
  3. India defeated Thailand. How many points will India have then ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think India should have 1219 points, upon a loss against Curaçao and a win against Thailand.we'd confirmationffrom Ed.

      Delete
    2. Correct, Tarek. They lose 4.2 pts against Curacao but make up for that with a 4.5 pts win against Thailand, so a net gain of 0.3 points for India which leaves them on 1219.2 points in the June ranking.

      Delete
  4. I found the following article from last week (regarding european path to 2022 WC):

    https://www.apnews.com/d30c09518ce940ac8e86a8f04c34dee3

    Uefa is currently working on a qualification procedure:

    The following Option was mentioned.
    Looks like 10 Groups like Euro 2020. The winners take direct qualification. The runners up and two Teams from Nations league 2020 can fill 3 Playoff tournaments consisting of four Teams to determine the final 3 spots of 2022 World Cup qualification

    ReplyDelete