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Saturday, September 25, 2021

FIFA ranking: October 2021 probable results

Here are the probable results of all 162 currently scheduled matches up to and including October 17th, used to calculate the October 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings.

Also the already played matches since September 13th, (probably) counting for the October ranking, are presented.


The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.


Before posting comments like: "Hey, my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)


already played

1 2021-09-24 El Salvador - Guatemala; Friendly; 2


scheduled

1 2021-09-26 Nepal - Oman; Friendly; We (elo): 3; 2
0 2021-09-30 Egypt - Liberia; Friendly; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2021-10-01 Curacao - Aruba; Friendly; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2021-10-01 Nepal - Maldives; Friendly; We (elo): 66; 2
1 2021-10-01 Sri Lanka - Bangladesh; Friendly; We (elo): 26; 2
0 2021-10-03 Curacao - Bonaire; Friendly; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2021-10-04 Bangladesh - India; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 12; 2
1 2021-10-04 Sri Lanka - Nepal; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 17; 2
1 2021-10-06 Algeria - Niger; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2021-10-06 Djibouti - Burkina Faso; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2021-10-06 Equatorial Guinea - Zambia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 53; X
1 2021-10-06 Tunisia - Mauritania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2021-10-06 Liberia - Cape Verde Islands; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 39; 2
1 2021-10-06 Nigeria - Central African Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2021-10-06 Cameroon - Mozambique; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-10-06 Malawi - Cote d'Ivoire; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2021-10-06 Mali - Kenya; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2021-10-06 Rwanda - Uganda; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 46; X
1 2021-10-06 Angola - Gabon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 53; X
1 2021-10-06 Egypt - Libya; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2021-10-06 Ethiopia - South Africa; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 39; 2
1 2021-10-06 Ghana - Zimbabwe; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-10-06 Senegal - Namibia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2021-10-06 Togo - Congo; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 50; X
1 2021-10-06 Morocco - Guinea-Bissau; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2021-10-06 Sudan - Guinea; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 52; X
1 2021-10-06 Congo DR - Madagascar; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2021-10-06 Tanzania - Benin; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 46; X
1 2021-10-06 Bahrain - Curacao; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 79; 1
1 2021-10-06 Jordan - Malaysia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2021-10-06 Italy - Spain; Nations League finals; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2021-10-07 Indonesia - Chinese Taipei; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2021-10-07 Iraq - Lebanon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-10-07 Korea Republic - Syria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2021-10-07 United Arab Emirates - Iran; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2021-10-07 Australia - Oman; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-10-07 China PR - Vietnam; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; 1
1 2021-10-07 Saudi Arabia - Japan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 49; X
1 2021-10-07 El Salvador - Panama; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 52; X
1 2021-10-07 Honduras - Costa Rica; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 59; X
1 2021-10-07 Mexico - Canada; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2021-10-07 USA - Jamaica; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2021-10-07 Ecuador - Bolivia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2021-10-07 Paraguay - Argentina; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 26; 2
1 2021-10-07 Peru - Chile; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2021-10-07 Uruguay - Colombia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2021-10-07 Venezuela - Brazil; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
0 2021-10-07 Nicaragua - Cuba; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
1 2021-10-07 India - Sri Lanka; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-10-07 Maldives - Bangladesh; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 78; 1
1 2021-10-07 Belgium - France; Nations League finals; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2021-10-08 Czech Republic - Wales; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2021-10-08 Estonia - Belarus; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 55; X
1 2021-10-08 Gibraltar - Montenegro; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2021-10-08 Latvia - Netherlands; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 4; 2
1 2021-10-08 Turkey - Norway; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 58; X
1 2021-10-08 Cyprus - Croatia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 7; 2
1 2021-10-08 Malta - Slovenia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 19; 2
1 2021-10-08 Russia - Slovakia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2021-10-08 Germany - Romania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2021-10-08 Iceland - Armenia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2021-10-08 Liechtenstein - North Macedonia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2021-10-09 Guam - Cambodia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 49; X
1 2021-10-09 Azerbaijan - Republic of Ireland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 31; 2
1 2021-10-09 Luxembourg - Serbia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2021-10-09 Georgia - Greece; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2021-10-09 Sweden - Kosovo; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2021-10-09 Lithuania - Bulgaria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 30; 2
1 2021-10-09 Switzerland - Northern Ireland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2021-10-09 Finland - Ukraine; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 52; X
1 2021-10-09 Kazakhstan - Bosnia-Herzegovina; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 29; 2
1 2021-10-09 Faroe Islands - Austria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2021-10-09 Moldova - Denmark; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2021-10-09 Scotland - Israel; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2021-10-09 Andorra - England; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 1; 2
1 2021-10-09 Hungary - Albania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2021-10-09 Poland - San Marino; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2021-10-09 Curacao - New Zealand; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 41; X
1 2021-10-09 Uzbekistan - Malaysia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 88; 1
1 2021-10-09 Portugal - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 93; 1
1 2021-10-10 Burkina Faso - Djibouti; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2021-10-10 Niger - Algeria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2
1 2021-10-10 Mauritania - Tunisia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 22; 2
1 2021-10-10 Zambia - Equatorial Guinea; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2021-10-10 Cape Verde Islands - Liberia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2021-10-10 Central African Republic - Nigeria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 9; 2
1 2021-10-10 Cote d'Ivoire - Malawi; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2021-10-10 Mozambique - Cameroon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 19; 2
1 2021-10-10 Kenya - Mali; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2021-10-10 Uganda - Rwanda; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2021-10-10 Gabon - Angola; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2021-10-10 Libya - Egypt; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 31; 2
1 2021-10-10 South Africa - Ethiopia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2021-10-10 Zimbabwe - Ghana; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 30; 2
1 2021-10-10 Congo - Togo; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2021-10-10 Namibia - Senegal; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2021-10-10 Guinea - Sudan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2021-10-10 Guinea-Bissau - Morocco; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 91; 2
1 2021-10-10 Benin - Tanzania; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2021-10-10 Madagascar - Congo DR; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 42; X
1 2021-10-10 Costa Rica - El Salvador; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2021-10-10 Jamaica - Canada; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2021-10-10 Mexico - Honduras; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2021-10-10 Panama - USA; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 28; 2
1 2021-10-10 Argentina - Uruguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2021-10-10 Bolivia - Peru; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 30; 2
1 2021-10-10 Chile - Paraguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; 1
1 2021-10-10 Colombia - Brazil; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2021-10-10 Venezuela - Ecuador; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 52; X
0 2021-10-10 Nicaragua - Cuba; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 67; 1
1 2021-10-10 Maldives - Sri Lanka; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2021-10-10 Nepal - India; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 17; 2
1 2021-10-10 Italy - Belgium; Nations League finals; We (elo): 40; Belgium pso win
1 2021-10-10 Spain - France; Nations League finals; We (elo): 45; France pso win
1 2021-10-11 Belarus - Czech Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2021-10-11 Estonia - Wales; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2021-10-11 Latvia - Turkey; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2021-10-11 Netherlands - Gibraltar; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2021-10-11 Norway - Montenegro; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2021-10-11 Croatia - Slovakia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2021-10-11 Cyprus - Malta; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2021-10-11 Slovenia - Russia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 45; X
1 2021-10-11 Iceland - Liechtenstein; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-10-11 North Macedonia - Germany; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2021-10-11 Romania - Armenia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2021-10-12 Cambodia - Guam; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2021-10-12 Chinese Taipei - Indonesia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 35; 2
1 2021-10-12 Iran - Korea Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2021-10-12 Syria - Lebanon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; X
1 2021-10-12 United Arab Emirates - Iraq; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 43; X
1 2021-10-12 Japan - Australia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 61; 1
1 2021-10-12 Oman - Vietnam; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2021-10-12 Saudi Arabia - China PR; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 80; 1
1 2021-10-12 Portugal - Luxembourg; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2021-10-12 Serbia - Azerbaijan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-10-12 Kosovo - Georgia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2021-10-12 Sweden - Greece; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2021-10-12 Bulgaria - Northern Ireland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 56; X
1 2021-10-12 Lithuania - Switzerland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 4; 2
1 2021-10-12 Kazakhstan - Finland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2021-10-12 Ukraine - Bosnia-Herzegovina; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2021-10-12 Denmark - Austria; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2021-10-12 Faroe Islands - Scotland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2021-10-12 Israel - Moldova; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2021-10-12 Albania - Poland; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2021-10-12 England - Hungary; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2021-10-12 San Marino - Andorra; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2021-10-12 Bahrain - New Zealand; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
0 2021-10-12 Jordan - Uzbekistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 53; X
1 2021-10-12 Republic of Ireland - Qatar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X
1 2021-10-13 Canada - Panama; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2021-10-13 El Salvador - Mexico; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2021-10-13 Honduras - Jamaica; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 71; 1
1 2021-10-13 USA - Costa Rica; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2021-10-13 Bangladesh - Nepal; Friendly; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2021-10-13 India - Maldives; Friendly; We (elo): 32; 1
1 2021-10-14 Argentina - Peru; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2021-10-14 Bolivia - Paraguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 35; 2
1 2021-10-14 Brazil - Uruguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2021-10-14 Chile - Venezuela; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2021-10-14 Colombia - Ecuador; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2021-10-16 Nepal - India; Friendly; We (elo): 16; 2


About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

9 comments:

  1. morocco will play three games, two against guinea bissau, and one against guinea ( postponed from the second gameweek)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks for the feedback. Do you happen to have a source for this news ?

    ReplyDelete
  3. Never mind. It's on FIFA.com :)

    ReplyDelete
  4. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  5. 10-10-2021 guinea Bissau - Morocco
    Please double check expected result 91, 2

    ReplyDelete
  6. The elo win expectancy is 91% for Morocco as this match is played in Casablanca, Morocco. The result is a 2, so the second team in the match-up (the 'away' team = Morocco) in the match is expected to win.

    ReplyDelete
  7. 12-10-2021 Guinea - Morocco 25, 2

    ReplyDelete