Latest updates

Check the Important info page for latest updates! (6 October 2022)
Twitter

Monday, September 5, 2022

FIFA ranking: October 2022 probable results

Here are the probable results of all 159 played and currently scheduled matches up to and including October 2nd, used to calculate the October 2022 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. Also the already played matches since August 22nd, (probably) counting for the October ranking, are presented.

In the first column is indicated if the match is included or not, according to my inclusion-method. You see after the match identification data, the I-factor, the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo and according to FIFA in %. 


For the already played matches the match result and the exchanged points are given. 

For the scheduled matches the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team are given. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) of loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.

Normally the home team's gained points will be the away-team's lost points. Still, both are given because there are in FIFA's calculation approach cases when they will not be the same: PSO-matches and knock-out matches in final competitions.

Before posting comments like: "Hey, my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)


Already played

incl.

date

match

tournament

I

We (elo)

We (FIFA)

res and exchanged pts

N

2022-08-22

MLI - GUI

Friendly 2022

5

87

64

D: 0,000/0,000

Y

2022-08-23

GHA - QAT

Friendly 2022

5

33

45

L: -2,268/2,268

Y

2022-08-23

MAR - JAM

Friendly 2022

5

75

66

W: 1,685/-1,685

Y

2022-08-26

DJI - SDN

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

8

28

L: -1,396/1,396

Y

2022-08-26

ETH - RWA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

63

49

D: 0,033/-0,033

Y

2022-08-26

JAM - QAT

Friendly 2022

5

34

44

D: 0,305/-0,305

Y

2022-08-27

BOT - MAD

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

76

37

L: -1,873/1,873

Y

2022-08-27

MWI - MOZ

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

60

48

D: 0,099/-0,099

Y

2022-08-27

SEN - GUI

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

90

75

W: 1,238/-1,238

Y

2022-08-27

SLE - MLI

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

20

26

L: -1,298/1,298

Y

2022-08-27

CIV - BFA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

75

51

D: -0,049/0,049

Y

2022-08-28

TAN - UGA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

49

37

L: -1,832/1,832

Y

2022-08-28

CTA - CGO

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

71

41

W: 2,969/-2,969

Y

2022-08-28

CHA - COD

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

18

18

L: -0,884/0,884

Y

2022-08-28

EQG - CMR

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

38

26

W: 3,689/-3,689

Y

2022-08-28

ANG - RSA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

43

32

W: 3,421/-3,421

Y

2022-08-28

GHA - NGA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

49

39

W: 3,036/-3,036

Y

2022-08-28

TOG - NIG

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

71

48

W: 2,620/-2,620

Y

2022-08-29

GNB - MTN

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

60

48

L: -2,422/2,422

Y

2022-08-31

MEX - PAR

Friendly 2022

5

64

69

L: -3,454/3,454

Y

2022-09-02

SDN - DJI

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

95

72

W: 1,385/-1,385

Y

2022-09-02

MAD - BOT

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

51

63

D: -0,644/0,644

Y

2022-09-02

GUI - SEN

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

17

25

W: 3,771/-3,771

Y

2022-09-02

MTN - GNB

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

60

52

W: 2,398/-2,398

Y

2022-09-03

RWA - ETH

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

51

51

L: -2,532/2,532

Y

2022-09-03

UGA - TAN

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

77

64

W: 1,816/-1,816

Y

2022-09-03

CMR - EQG

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

84

73

W: 1,338/-1,338

Y

2022-09-03

MLI - SLE

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

88

74

W: 1,288/-1,288

Y

2022-09-03

NIG - TOG

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

42

52

W: 2,405/-2,405

Y

2022-09-03

NGA - GHA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

77

60

W: 1,992/-1,992

Y

2022-09-04

CGO - CTA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

71

59

W: 2,058/-2,058

Y

2022-09-04

COD - CHA

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

89

82

W: 0,879/-0,879

Y

2022-09-04

MOZ - MWI

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

68

52

D: -0,098/0,098

Y

2022-09-04

RSA - ANG

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

80

68

L: -3,393/3,393

Y

2022-09-04

BFA - CIV

African Nations Championship 2023 Q

5

37

49

PSO-L: 0,049/1,201



Scheduled

incl.

date

match

tournament

I

We (elo)

pred elo

We (FIFA)

W

D

L

PSO-W

PSO-L

Y

2022-09-17

FIJ - NCL

Melanesian Cup 2022

5

54

X

49

2,5/-2,5

0,0/0,0

-2,5/2,5

N

2022-09-21

BRU - MDV

Friendly 2022

10

24

2

39

6,1/-6,1

1,1/-1,1

-3,9/3,9

Y

2022-09-21

LBY - ZAM

Friendly 2022

10

45

X

38

6,2/-6,2

1,2/-1,2

-3,8/3,8

Y

2022-09-21

VIE - SIN

Friendly 2022

10

88

1

69

3,1/-3,1

-1,9/1,9

-6,9/6,9

Y

2022-09-21

HKG - MYA

Friendly 2022

10

86

1

54

4,6/-4,6

-0,4/0,4

-5,4/5,4

Y

2022-09-21

SMR - SEY

Friendly 2022

10

49

X

41

5,9/-5,9

0,9/-0,9

-4,1/4,1

Y

2022-09-21

NCL - SOL

Melanesian Cup 2022

10

51

X

41

5,9/-5,9

0,9/-0,9

-4,1/4,1

Y

2022-09-21

SCO - UKR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

44

X

42

8,6/-8,6

1,1/-1,1

-6,4/6,4

Y

2022-09-22

AUS - NZL

Friendly 2022

10

82

1

75

2,5/-2,5

-2,5/2,5

-7,5/7,5

Y

2022-09-22

CAM - BAN

Friendly 2022

10

67

1

57

4,3/-4,3

-0,7/0,7

-5,7/5,7

N

2022-09-22

PUR - DOM

Friendly 2022

10

36

2

45

5,5/-5,5

0,5/-0,5

-4,5/4,5

Y

2022-09-22

SUR - NCA

Friendly 2022

10

58

X

49

5,1/-5,1

0,1/-0,1

-4,9/4,9

Y

2022-09-22

CRO - DEN

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

52

X

47

8,0/-8,0

0,5/-0,5

-7,0/7,0

Y

2022-09-22

FRA - AUT

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

89

1

73

4,0/-4,0

-3,5/3,5

-11,0/11,0

Y

2022-09-22

BEL - WAL

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

86

1

72

4,3/-4,3

-3,2/3,2

-10,7/10,7

Y

2022-09-22

POL - NED

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

36

2

37

9,4/-9,4

1,9/-1,9

-5,6/5,6

Y

2022-09-22

LTU - FRO

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

64

1

44

8,4/-8,4

0,9/-0,9

-6,6/6,6

Y

2022-09-22

TUR - LUX

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

92

1

72

4,3/-4,3

-3,2/3,2

-10,7/10,7

Y

2022-09-22

KAZ - BLR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

65

1

44

8,4/-8,4

0,9/-0,9

-6,6/6,6

Y

2022-09-22

SVK - AZE

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

91

1

77

3,5/-3,5

-4,0/4,0

-11,5/11,5

Y

2022-09-22

LVA - MDA

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

83

1

67

5,0/-5,0

-2,5/2,5

-10,0/10,0

Y

2022-09-22

LIE - AND

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

58

X

36

9,7/-9,7

2,2/-2,2

-5,3/5,3

N

2022-09-23

JOR - IRQ

Friendly 2022

10

66

1

44

5,6/-5,6

0,6/-0,6

-4,4/4,4

N

2022-09-23

SYR - OMA

Friendly 2022

10

50

X

44

5,6/-5,6

0,6/-0,6

-4,4/4,4

Y

2022-09-23

ALG - GUI

Friendly 2022

10

92

1

67

3,3/-3,3

-1,7/1,7

-6,7/6,7

Y

2022-09-23

ARG - HON

Friendly 2022

10

98

1

86

1,4/-1,4

-3,6/3,6

-8,6/8,6

Y

2022-09-23

BHR - CPV

Friendly 2022

10

71

1

46

5,4/-5,4

0,4/-0,4

-4,6/4,6

Y

2022-09-23

BRA - GHA

Friendly 2022

10

97

1

85

1,5/-1,5

-3,5/3,5

-8,5/8,5

Y

2022-09-23

CMR - UZB

Friendly 2022

10

60

X

66

3,4/-3,4

-1,6/1,6

-6,6/6,6

Y

2022-09-23

CAN - QAT

Friendly 2022

10

65

1

53

4,7/-4,7

-0,3/0,3

-5,3/5,3

Y

2022-09-23

IRN - URU

Friendly 2022

10

32

2

42

5,8/-5,8

0,8/-0,8

-4,2/4,2

Y

2022-09-23

JPN - USA

Friendly 2022

10

44

X

42

5,8/-5,8

0,8/-0,8

-4,2/4,2

Y

2022-09-23

KOR - CRC

Friendly 2022

10

71

1

52

4,8/-4,8

-0,2/0,2

-5,2/5,2

Y

2022-09-23

MAR - CHI

Friendly 2022

10

53

X

54

4,6/-4,6

-0,4/0,4

-5,4/5,4

Y

2022-09-23

PAR - UAE

Friendly 2022

10

79

1

59

4,1/-4,1

-0,9/0,9

-5,9/5,9

Y

2022-09-23

KSA - ECU

Friendly 2022

10

22

2

47

5,3/-5,3

0,3/-0,3

-4,7/4,7

N

2022-09-23

TUN - COM

Friendly 2022

10

92

1

81

1,9/-1,9

-3,1/3,1

-8,1/8,1

Y

2022-09-23

GER - HUN

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

82

1

66

5,1/-5,1

-2,4/2,4

-9,9/9,9

Y

2022-09-23

ITA - ENG

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

66

1

48

7,8/-7,8

0,3/-0,3

-7,2/7,2

Y

2022-09-23

BIH - MNE

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

69

1

55

6,8/-6,8

-0,7/0,7

-8,2/8,2

Y

2022-09-23

FIN - ROU

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

75

1

47

7,9/-7,9

0,4/-0,4

-7,1/7,1

Y

2022-09-23

BUL - GIB

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

95

1

86

2,1/-2,1

-5,4/5,4

-12,9/12,9

Y

2022-09-23

GEO - MKD

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

68

1

43

8,6/-8,6

1,1/-1,1

-6,4/6,4

Y

2022-09-23

EST - MLT

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

83

1

69

4,7/-4,7

-2,8/2,8

-10,3/10,3

Y

2022-09-24

LAO - MDV

Friendly 2022

10

20

2

40

6,0/-6,0

1,0/-1,0

-4,0/4,0

Y

2022-09-24

MLI - ZAM

Friendly 2022

10

71

1

66

3,4/-3,4

-1,6/1,6

-6,6/6,6

Y

2022-09-24

SIN - IND

Friendly 2022

10

34

2

32

6,8/-6,8

1,8/-1,8

-3,2/3,2

Y

2022-09-24

COL - GUA

Friendly 2022

10

92

1

85

1,5/-1,5

-3,5/3,5

-8,5/8,5

N

2022-09-24

GRN - VIN

Friendly 2022

10

73

1

53

4,7/-4,7

-0,3/0,3

-5,3/5,3

N

2022-09-24

HON - SLV

Friendly 2022

10

58

X

47

5,3/-5,3

0,3/-0,3

-4,7/4,7

Y

2022-09-24

HKG - MYA

Friendly 2022

10

86

1

55

4,5/-4,5

-0,5/0,5

-5,5/5,5

N

2022-09-24

IDN - CUW

Friendly 2022

10

41

X

26

7,4/-7,4

2,4/-2,4

-2,6/2,6

Y

2022-09-24

MEX - PER

Friendly 2022

10

44

X

58

4,2/-4,2

-0,8/0,8

-5,8/5,8

Y

2022-09-24

SEN - BOL

Friendly 2022

10

55

X

75

2,5/-2,5

-2,5/2,5

-7,5/7,5

Y

2022-09-24

VAN - PNG

Melanesian Cup 2022

10

59

X

49

5,1/-5,1

0,1/-0,1

-4,9/4,9

Y

2022-09-24

FIJ - SOL

Melanesian Cup 2022

10

55

X

41

5,9/-5,9

0,9/-0,9

-4,1/4,1

Y

2022-09-24

CZE - POR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

40

X

34

9,9/-9,9

2,4/-2,4

-5,1/5,1

Y

2022-09-24

ESP - SUI

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

82

1

59

6,1/-6,1

-1,4/1,4

-8,9/8,9

Y

2022-09-24

ARM - UKR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

18

2

24

11,4/-11,4

3,9/-3,9

-3,6/3,6

Y

2022-09-24

SCO - IRL

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

66

1

52

7,2/-7,2

-0,3/0,3

-7,8/7,8

Y

2022-09-24

ISR - ALB

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

74

1

46

8,2/-8,2

0,7/-0,7

-6,8/6,8

Y

2022-09-24

SRB - SWE

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

73

1

49

7,7/-7,7

0,2/-0,2

-7,3/7,3

Y

2022-09-24

SVN - NOR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

37

2

39

9,1/-9,1

1,6/-1,6

-5,9/5,9

Y

2022-09-24

CYP - GRE

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

16

2

27

11,0/-11,0

3,5/-3,5

-4,0/4,0

Y

2022-09-24

NIR - KOS

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

67

1

70

4,6/-4,6

-2,9/2,9

-10,4/10,4

Y

2022-09-25

NZL - AUS

Friendly 2022

10

41

X

25

7,5/-7,5

2,5/-2,5

-2,5/2,5

Y

2022-09-25

AUT - CRO

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

47

X

37

9,4/-9,4

1,9/-1,9

-5,6/5,6

Y

2022-09-25

DEN - FRA

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

54

X

40

9,0/-9,0

1,5/-1,5

-6,0/6,0

Y

2022-09-25

NED - BEL

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

61

1

37

9,5/-9,5

2,0/-2,0

-5,5/5,5

Y

2022-09-25

WAL - POL

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

68

1

54

7,0/-7,0

-0,5/0,5

-8,0/8,0

Y

2022-09-25

FRO - TUR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

9

2

21

11,9/-11,9

4,4/-4,4

-3,1/3,1

Y

2022-09-25

LUX - LTU

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

79

1

64

5,4/-5,4

-2,1/2,1

-9,6/9,6

Y

2022-09-25

AZE - KAZ

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

47

X

45

8,2/-8,2

0,7/-0,7

-6,8/6,8

Y

2022-09-25

SVK - BLR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

87

1

70

4,4/-4,4

-3,1/3,1

-10,6/10,6

Y

2022-09-25

AND - LVA

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

22

2

40

9,0/-9,0

1,5/-1,5

-6,0/6,0

Y

2022-09-25

MDA - LIE

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

83

1

56

6,6/-6,6

-0,9/0,9

-8,4/8,4

N

2022-09-26

JOR - OMA

Friendly 2022

10

67

1

46

5,4/-5,4

0,4/-0,4

-4,6/4,6

N

2022-09-26

SYR - IRQ

Friendly 2022

10

51

X

43

5,7/-5,7

0,7/-0,7

-4,3/4,3

Y

2022-09-26

ENG - GER

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

54

X

56

6,6/-6,6

-0,9/0,9

-8,4/8,4

Y

2022-09-26

HUN - ITA

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

42

X

28

10,7/-10,7

3,2/-3,2

-4,3/4,3

Y

2022-09-26

MNE - FIN

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

51

X

44

8,3/-8,3

0,8/-0,8

-6,7/6,7

Y

2022-09-26

ROU - BIH

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

52

X

51

7,4/-7,4

-0,1/0,1

-7,6/7,6

Y

2022-09-26

GIB - GEO

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

5

2

15

12,7/-12,7

5,2/-5,2

-2,3/2,3

Y

2022-09-26

MKD - BUL

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

79

1

54

6,9/-6,9

-0,6/0,6

-8,1/8,1

Y

2022-09-26

SMR - EST

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

4

2

17

12,5/-12,5

5,0/-5,0

-2,5/2,5

Y

2022-09-27

BRU - LAO

Friendly 2022

10

55

X

49

5,1/-5,1

0,1/-0,1

-4,9/4,9

Y

2022-09-27

LBY - MLI

Friendly 2022

10

25

2

24

7,6/-7,6

2,6/-2,6

-2,4/2,4

Y

2022-09-27

VIE - IND

Friendly 2022

10

80

1

52

4,8/-4,8

-0,2/0,2

-5,2/5,2

Y

2022-09-27

ALG - NGA

Friendly 2022

10

73

1

48

5,2/-5,2

0,2/-0,2

-4,8/4,8

Y

2022-09-27

ARG - JAM

Friendly 2022

10

96

1

82

1,8/-1,8

-3,2/3,2

-8,2/8,2

Y

2022-09-27

BHR - PAN

Friendly 2022

10

48

X

41

5,9/-5,9

0,9/-0,9

-4,1/4,1

Y

2022-09-27

BRA - TUN

Friendly 2022

10

94

1

78

2,2/-2,2

-2,8/2,8

-7,8/7,8

N

2022-09-27

BFA - COM

Friendly 2022

10

87

1

76

2,4/-2,4

-2,6/2,6

-7,6/7,6

Y

2022-09-27

CAN - URU

Friendly 2022

10

27

2

35

6,5/-6,5

1,5/-1,5

-3,5/3,5

Y

2022-09-27

CHI - QAT

Friendly 2022

10

59

X

57

4,3/-4,3

-0,7/0,7

-5,7/5,7

Y

2022-09-27

CRC - UZB

Friendly 2022

10

72

1

67

3,3/-3,3

-1,7/1,7

-6,7/6,7

N

2022-09-27

CIV - GUI

Friendly 2022

10

90

1

63

3,7/-3,7

-1,3/1,3

-6,3/6,3

Y

2022-09-27

ECU - JPN

Friendly 2022

10

60

X

42

5,8/-5,8

0,8/-0,8

-4,2/4,2

Y

2022-09-27

HON - GUA

Friendly 2022

10

50

X

63

3,7/-3,7

-1,3/1,3

-6,3/6,3

N

2022-09-27

IDN - CUW

Friendly 2022

10

42

X

26

7,4/-7,4

2,4/-2,4

-2,6/2,6

Y

2022-09-27

KOR - CMR

Friendly 2022

10

82

1

55

4,5/-4,5

-0,5/0,5

-5,5/5,5

Y

2022-09-27

MLT - ISR

Friendly 2022

10

14

2

20

8,0/-8,0

3,0/-3,0

-2,0/2,0

Y

2022-09-27

MEX - COL

Friendly 2022

10

37

X

54

4,6/-4,6

-0,4/0,4

-5,4/5,4

Y

2022-09-27

NEP - BAN

Friendly 2022

10

74

1

57

4,3/-4,3

-0,7/0,7

-5,7/5,7

Y

2022-09-27

NCA - GHA

Friendly 2022

10

17

2

23

7,7/-7,7

2,7/-2,7

-2,3/2,3

Y

2022-09-27

PAR - MAR

Friendly 2022

10

51

X

39

6,1/-6,1

1,1/-1,1

-3,9/3,9

N

2022-09-27

PER - SLV

Friendly 2022

10

88

1

71

2,9/-2,9

-2,1/2,1

-7,1/7,1

Y

2022-09-27

KSA - USA

Friendly 2022

10

24

2

31

6,9/-6,9

1,9/-1,9

-3,1/3,1

N

2022-09-27

SEN - IRN

Friendly 2022

10

45

X

52

4,8/-4,8

-0,2/0,2

-5,2/5,2

Y

2022-09-27

PNG - NCL

Melanesian Cup 2022

10

46

NCL pso win

50

5,0/-5,0

0,0/0,0

-5,0/5,0

2,5/0,0

0,0/2,5

Y

2022-09-27

FIJ - VAN

Melanesian Cup 2022

10

64

1

50

5,0/-5,0

0,0/0,0

-5,0/5,0

2,5/0,0

0,0/2,5

Y

2022-09-27

POR - ESP

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

55

X

46

8,2/-8,2

0,7/-0,7

-6,8/6,8

Y

2022-09-27

SUI - CZE

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

70

1

60

5,9/-5,9

-1,6/1,6

-9,1/9,1

Y

2022-09-27

IRL - ARM

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

85

1

68

4,8/-4,8

-2,7/2,7

-10,2/10,2

Y

2022-09-27

UKR - SCO

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

68

1

57

6,4/-6,4

-1,1/1,1

-8,6/8,6

Y

2022-09-27

ALB - ISL

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

64

1

48

7,9/-7,9

0,4/-0,4

-7,1/7,1

Y

2022-09-27

NOR - SRB

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

60

X

44

8,4/-8,4

0,9/-0,9

-6,6/6,6

Y

2022-09-27

SWE - SVN

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

81

1

67

4,9/-4,9

-2,6/2,6

-10,1/10,1

Y

2022-09-27

GRE - NIR

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

83

1

54

6,9/-6,9

-0,6/0,6

-8,1/8,1

Y

2022-09-27

KOS - CYP

UEFA Nations League 2023

15

83

1

50

7,5/-7,5

0,0/0,0

-7,5/7,5

Y

2022-09-30

NCL - FIJ

Melanesian Cup 2022

5

44

FIJ pso win

50

2,5/-2,5

0,0/0,0

-2,5/2,5

1,2/0,0

0,0/1,3

Y

2022-09-30

PNG - VAN

Melanesian Cup 2022

5

58

PNG pso win

51

2,4/-2,4

-0,1/0,1

-2,6/2,6

1,2/0,1

-0,1/1,3



About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

12 comments:

  1. Hi Ed, For November 2022 and specifically a week before a world cup, there are many friendly matches scheduled. Are these international matches considered with weight 10 or weight 5 only??

    ReplyDelete
  2. Tarek, there is no official FIFA International Match Window in November, so these friendlies will carry an I-factor of only 5.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Egypt are playing 2 friendly games but not in the list

    ReplyDelete
  4. Well, this was the known list of matches on September 5th. Egypt's friendlies were scheduled afterwards. You do realise I can't look into the future? :)

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hi Ed, Do you have any idea about the mechanism of POTS distribution for the AFC asia cup 2023? To be more specific, will they consider the FIFA ranking for distributing teams into four Pots, OR just to distribute teams into Pots 3&4, while Pot 1&2 to be dedicated for the teams who qualifies to 3rd round of fifa wc 2022 qualification??

    ReplyDelete
  6. Hi Tarek, AFC hasn't confirmed this yet (we don't even have a host assigned yet for that tournament) so I know nothing more than the manner the pot distribution was determined for the last AFC Cup in 2019. Then it was the latter: pots 1&2 contain the 3rd round WC-qualification qualifiers and pots 3&4 contain the remaining teams.

    ReplyDelete
  7. Hi Ed, will you do a simulation for the Euro 2024 qualification games once the draw is made next week.

    Can you also then do a simulation for the playoffs for the last 3 spots at the finals.

    As a Rep of Ireland fan i think we will probably finish 3rd or 4th in our group and so will be relying on a playoff opportunity. Thanks!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Yes, before the qualifications start I will run the first simulations, including the play-offs. Upcoming first in October are the simulations for the World Cup :)

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hi Ed! Jordan played against Syria on 23-9, and Oman on 26-9, Iraq played against Oman on 23-9 and Syria on 26-9. This is to correct the list and modify the expected results if needed.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Thanks for the feedback. These matches are included in my final preview.

    ReplyDelete