30 September 2011: Problems solved.
________________________
I expected FIFA to include the awarded results of the Tajikistan - Syria qualifiers for the September edition. It didn't quite happen. Don't know why.
Lesotho seem to be missing the August 20 draw against Swaziland. Wrote to FIFA about it. Hopefully they will answer.
Also unexpected differences for Qatar, Dominican Republic, Sudan, Curacao and Iraq.
Friday, September 23, 2011
Friday, September 16, 2011
FIFA Ranking: Brazil fall to 7th
The Argentina - Brazil friendly played on August 14 finished 0 - 0. This is the September 2011 top 10:
September 2011 rank - Team - September 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
The ranking outside of the top 10 remains unchanged from the final preview.
A Seleção drop to 7th. This is their worst ever position in the last 18 years - since August 1993, the first edition of the FIFA ranking when they were ranked 8th.
Brazil were ranked 6th on three occasions: August 2008, September 2008 and August 2011.
Before anyone says: "This is because they will host the 2014 FIFA World Cup and they have no competitive matches", let me remind you the 2014 World Cup CONMEBOL qualifiers only start next month.
Elo and SPI both have Brazil 4th.
September 2011 rank - Team - September 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
| 1 | Spain | 1605 | 1 | 42 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 1571 | -1 | -25 |
| 3 | Germany | 1290 | 0 | -40 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 1184 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Portugal | 1158 | 3 | 98 |
| 6 | Italy | 1142 | 1 | 32 |
| 7 | Brazil | 1132 | -1 | -24 |
| 8 | England | 1089 | -4 | -88 |
| 9 | Croatia | 1057 | 1 | 48 |
| 10 | Argentina | 1024 | -1 | 7 |
The ranking outside of the top 10 remains unchanged from the final preview.
A Seleção drop to 7th. This is their worst ever position in the last 18 years - since August 1993, the first edition of the FIFA ranking when they were ranked 8th.
Brazil were ranked 6th on three occasions: August 2008, September 2008 and August 2011.
Before anyone says: "This is because they will host the 2014 FIFA World Cup and they have no competitive matches", let me remind you the 2014 World Cup CONMEBOL qualifiers only start next month.
Elo and SPI both have Brazil 4th.
2012 African Cup of Nations: Seeding for the final draw (16 September 2011)
See the first AFCON seeding post for more details.
Bostwana, Côte d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso and Senegal have already qualified.
Removed from the table: Egypt, Cameroon, Congo DR, Benin, Mozambique and Namibia.
If the teams with the best coefficient qualify, this is how the pots would look like (teams in bold already qualified):
Pot 1: Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire
Pot 2: Nigeria, Angola, Tunisia, Zambia
Pot 3: Algeria, Guinea, Mali, Senegal
Pot 4: Morocco, Malawi, Burkina Faso, Botswana
Bostwana, Côte d'Ivoire, Burkina Faso and Senegal have already qualified.
Removed from the table: Egypt, Cameroon, Congo DR, Benin, Mozambique and Namibia.
Team ACN'06 ACN'08 ACN'10 Total Pts Goals ------------------------------------------------------- 1 Ghana 1 3 5 22 2 Côte d'Ivoire 5 3 2 17 3 Nigeria 3 2 3 16 4 Angola 1 2 2 11 5 Tunisia 2 2 1 9 15 6 Zambia 1 1 2 9 12 7 Algeria 0 0 3 9 7 8 Guinea 2 2 0 6 9 Mali 0 1 1 5 8 (8-9) 10 Senegal 3 1 0 5 8 (11-14) 11 Morocco 1 1 0 3 5 12 Gabon 0 0 1 3 4 13 Malawi 0 0 1 3 3 14 South Africa 1 1 0 3 2 15 Burkina Faso 0 0 1 3 1 (0-1) 16 Sudan 0 1 0 2 0 17 Zimbabwe 1 0 0 1 3 18 Libya 1 0 0 1 1
If the teams with the best coefficient qualify, this is how the pots would look like (teams in bold already qualified):
Pot 1: Gabon, Equatorial Guinea, Ghana, Côte d'Ivoire
Pot 2: Nigeria, Angola, Tunisia, Zambia
Pot 3: Algeria, Guinea, Mali, Senegal
Pot 4: Morocco, Malawi, Burkina Faso, Botswana
2014 World Cup seeding: AFC 4th round (16 September 2011)
Next update: 14 October 2011 or later.
AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings.
2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw
The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3.
Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :)
The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29, while the first match day of round 4 is scheduled for June 3.
I think the draw will take place in March, using the March FIFA ranking that will be released based on my calculations on March 15.
4 years ago, the 4 lowest seeded teams of the 10 qualified for the 4th round were placed in a single pot.
Here's the March 2012 FIFA ranking, counting scheduled games as defeats:
Pot 1: Australia, Japan
Pot 2: Korea Republic, Iran
Pot 3: China PR, Jordan
Pot 4: Uzbekistan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia
Jordan replace Saudi Arabia in the third pot.
AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings.
2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw
The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3.
Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :)
The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29, while the first match day of round 4 is scheduled for June 3.
I think the draw will take place in March, using the March FIFA ranking that will be released based on my calculations on March 15.
4 years ago, the 4 lowest seeded teams of the 10 qualified for the 4th round were placed in a single pot.
Here's the March 2012 FIFA ranking, counting scheduled games as defeats:
| 1 | Australia | 708 |
| 2 | Japan | 644 |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 573 |
| 4 | Iran | 471 |
| 5 | China PR | 430 |
| 6 | Jordan | 383 |
| 7 | Uzbekistan | 359 |
| 8 | Kuwait | 353 |
| 9 | Bahrain | 323 |
| 10 | Saudi Arabia | 319 |
| 11 | Iraq | 305 |
| 11 | Qatar | 305 |
| 13 | Oman | 291 |
| 14 | Thailand | 228 |
| 15 | United Arab Emirates | 226 |
| 16 | Korea DPR | 209 |
| 17 | Tajikistan | 196 |
| 18 | Indonesia | 164 |
| 19 | Singapore | 143 |
| 20 | Lebanon | 111 |
Pot 1: Australia, Japan
Pot 2: Korea Republic, Iran
Pot 3: China PR, Jordan
Pot 4: Uzbekistan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia
Jordan replace Saudi Arabia in the third pot.
EURO 2016 qualifying draw seeding (16 September 2011)
Next update: 14 October 2011 or later.
The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known: 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Portugal replace Russia in the first pot.
Bosnia-Herzegovina, Hungary, Turkey and Serbia replace Ireland, Israel, Montenegro and Czech Republic in the second pot.
Romania and Finland replace Northern Ireland and Belgium in the third pot.
Estonia replace Bulgaria in the fourth pot.
Wales and Iceland replace Cyprus and Kazakhstan in the fifth pot.
Best movers:
10 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
9 - Estonia
8 - Hungary
Worst movers:
-8 - Slovakia and Czech Republic
-7 - Ireland
-6 - Montenegro
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known: 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
Portugal replace Russia in the first pot.
Bosnia-Herzegovina, Hungary, Turkey and Serbia replace Ireland, Israel, Montenegro and Czech Republic in the second pot.
Romania and Finland replace Northern Ireland and Belgium in the third pot.
Estonia replace Bulgaria in the fourth pot.
Wales and Iceland replace Cyprus and Kazakhstan in the fifth pot.
Best movers:
10 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
9 - Estonia
8 - Hungary
Worst movers:
-8 - Slovakia and Czech Republic
-7 - Ireland
-6 - Montenegro
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 1 Netherlands 25947 2 2 Spain 25659 3 4 Italy 25522 4 5 England 25225 5 3 Germany 24659 6 9 Croatia 23095 7 6 Sweden 22282 8 7 Greece 22254 9 11 Portugal 21084 ------------------------------ 10 13 Denmark 20632 11 21 Bosnia-Herzegovina 20251 12 20 Hungary 19736 13 8 Russia 19126 14 18 Norway 18966 15 22 Turkey 18464 16 14 Ukraine 17951 17 24 Serbia 17274 18 10 Slovakia 17122 ------------------------------ 19 12 Ireland 17017 20 15 Israel 16730 21 27 Switzerland 16681 22 16 Montenegro 16631 23 28 Romania 16474 24 19 Slovenia 16466 25 17 Czech Republic 16078 26 29 Finland 15635 27 23 Belarus 15536 ------------------------------ 28 25 Northern Ireland 15041 29 26 Belgium 14931 30 39 Estonia 14879 31 36 Latvia 14664 32 30 Austria 13991 33 35 Armenia 13891 34 34 Scotland 13771 35 31 Poland 12751 36 33 Albania 12531 ------------------------------ 37 32 Bulgaria 12481 38 37 Georgia 12166 39 38 Lithuania 12150 40 44 Azerbaijan 11167 41 41 Macedonia 11100 42 40 Moldova 10247 43 47 Wales 10137 44 48 Iceland 10135 45 45 Liechtenstein 8870 ------------------------------ 46 42 Cyprus 8847 47 49 Luxembourg 8705 48 43 Kazakhstan 8521 49 46 Faroe Islands 8150 50 50 Malta 6174 51 51 Andorra 5240 52 52 San Marino 4140
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding update (16 September 2011)
Next update: 14 October 2011
See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post.
This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking:
USA are 44th.
England replace Japan in the list of seeds.
Right now, the seeds for the 2014 World Cup would be: Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Uruguay, Germany, England, Argentina and Portugal.
See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post.
This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking:
| 1 | Netherlands | 357 |
| 2 | Spain | 342 |
| 3 | Uruguay | 314 |
| 4 | Germany | 305 |
| 5 | England | 268 |
| 6 | Argentina | 257 |
| 7 | Portugal | 249 |
| 8 | Italy | 238 |
| 9 | Brazil | 228 |
| 10 | Japan | 226 |
| 11 | Croatia | 221 |
| 12 | Greece | 209 |
| 13 | Mexico | 208 |
| 14 | Chile | 207 |
| 15 | Norway | 205 |
| 16 | Côte d'Ivoire | 204 |
| 17 | France | 203 |
| 18 | Russia | 201 |
| 19 | Australia | 199 |
| 20 | Serbia | 194 |
USA are 44th.
England replace Japan in the list of seeds.
Right now, the seeds for the 2014 World Cup would be: Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Uruguay, Germany, England, Argentina and Portugal.
Norway "manipulating" the ranking
It seems Norway chose to play against Lithuania (see Google Translation to English in case your Norwegian is a bit rusty) in June and not a more dangerous opponent in order to keep their first pot position.
The Danish media and football officials consider this to be a "manipulation".
However, Norway didn't always play against weak/medium opponents and they didn't always win.
Lost to Poland, Croatia, Ukraine (twice), South Africa
Won against Republic of Ireland, France, Montenegro, Slovakia, Switzerland, South Africa, Finland, Germany.
In a July ranking counting only friendlies (see the second table), Norway were 3rd in Europe, behind Spain and Netherlands.
And if anyone asks - I had nothing to do with this, although I think the Norwegians did what they had to do - it is not illegal.
The Danish media and football officials consider this to be a "manipulation".
However, Norway didn't always play against weak/medium opponents and they didn't always win.
Lost to Poland, Croatia, Ukraine (twice), South Africa
Won against Republic of Ireland, France, Montenegro, Slovakia, Switzerland, South Africa, Finland, Germany.
In a July ranking counting only friendlies (see the second table), Norway were 3rd in Europe, behind Spain and Netherlands.
And if anyone asks - I had nothing to do with this, although I think the Norwegians did what they had to do - it is not illegal.
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