Friday, April 10, 2009

FIFA Ranking: April 2009 ranking without friendlies

Development competitions (AFC Challenge Cup, CECAFA Cup etc) are considered friendlies by FIFA.

This is not 100% accurate, as I would have to go back and compute all the rankings in the last 4 years.

Rank in the April 2009 ranking without friendlies
Points
Difference between the official FIFA ranking and this ranking
Difference in points between the official FIFA ranking and this ranking

1 Spain 2116 0 387
2 Netherlands 1915 1 555
3 Germany 1801 -1 439
4 Brazil 1709 0 434
5 England 1677 2 504
6 Italy 1656 -1 385
7 Argentina 1582 -1 381
8 Croatia 1443 0 292
9 Russia 1376 0 259
10 Paraguay 1368 7 472
11 France 1350 -1 276
12 Serbia 1277 11 458
13 Portugal 1269 -2 256
13 Turkey 1269 1 344
15 Ghana 1247 16 468
16 Sweden 1246 17 477
17 Greece 1224 -4 297
18 Czech Republic 1192 -6 224
19 Slovakia 1168 28 542
20 Denmark 1158 9 368
21 USA 1127 -6 208
22 Switzerland 1073 -4 190
23 Scotland 1067 1 252
24 Mexico 1065 1 257
25 Chile 1060 1 254
26 Côte dIvoire 1044 10 301
27 Bulgaria 1041 -7 201
28 Israel 1020 -7 184
29 Egypt 1016 8 274
30 Japan 1010 5 261
31 Northern Ireland 1001 -4 206
32 Romania 1000 -4 208
33 Ecuador 999 9 302
34 Uruguay 995 -18 86
35 Republic of Ireland 984 -1 223
36 Nigeria 982 -6 201
37 Saudi Arabia 976 18 399
38 Bosnia-Herzegovina 971 0 234
39 Cameroon 964 -20 93
40 Australia 892 -8 116
41 Poland 891 0 172
42 Korea Republic 863 3 222
43 Finland 851 8 260
44 Honduras 849 -5 123
45 Ukraine 846 -23 14
46 Hungary 816 -2 154
47 Panama 803 13 256
48 Costa Rica 755 -8 34
49 Colombia 754 -6 80
50 Iran 753 3 171
51 Guinea 742 2 160
52 Tunisia 741 0 156
53 Lithuania 737 4 182
54 Latvia 730 7 189
55 Iraq 724 30 316
56 Slovenia 721 7 211
57 Burkina Faso 702 -1 143
58 Norway 697 -12 57
59 Bolivia 688 -1 134
60 Mali 677 -11 68
61 Zambia 674 29 281
62 Bahrain 672 9 196
63 Morocco 667 -13 74
64 Angola 648 23 249
65 Gabon 641 -17 25
66 Venezuela 629 -8 75
67 Uzbekistan 628 9 173
68 Belgium 624 -6 90
69 Togo 620 -4 114
70 Uganda 616 -2 124
71 Syria 611 26 254
72 Sudan 604 12 192
73 Libya 584 9 165
74 Senegal 583 -8 86
75 Jamaica 580 -5 95
76 Trinidad and Tobago 579 -1 123
77 FYR Macedonia 577 -13 70
77 Qatar 577 19 201
79 Rwanda 576 4 159
80 Oman 575 1 152
81 Korea DPR 555 23 221
82 China PR 538 18 186
83 Iceland 525 10 139
84 Benin 517 9 131
85 Belarus 505 -5 74
86 South Africa 503 -9 50
87 Wales 500 -14 32
88 Canada 497 1 103
89 Kenya 492 18 165
90 Algeria 489 -18 14
91 Mozambique 483 -5 82
92 Cyprus 480 -18 20
93 Peru 474 -5 77
94 Austria 471 -16 25
95 El Salvador 470 7 131
95 Gambia 470 -26 -21
97 Albania 461 -6 71
98 Congo 454 -31 -39
99 Malawi 434 13 132
100 Tanzania 421 1 79
101 Namibia 420 20 139
102 United Arab Emirates 416 20 136
103 New Zealand 407 -24 -38
104 Congo DR 406 -9 21
105 Kuwait 405 15 123
106 Moldova 394 -14 7
107 Cuba 388 -9 33
108 Zimbabwe 384 -2 55
109 Guatemala 371 2 68
110 Sierra Leone 367 0 48
111 Georgia 364 -2 42
112 Estonia 362 3 69
113 Haiti 347 6 64
114 Botswana 324 10 56
114 Grenada 324 -6 0
116 Luxembourg 322 10 63
117 Cape Verde Islands 321 -14 -14
118 Fiji 319 -13 -14
119 Barbados 308 4 30
120 Jordan 302 7 47
121 Singapore 300 12 80
122 Ethiopia 296 -23 -57
123 Antigua and Barbuda 290 -8 -3
124 Madagascar 286 10 70
125 Armenia 283 -1 15
126 Kazakhstan 269 10 55
127 Suriname 266 2 13
128 Swaziland 264 8 50
129 Thailand 262 -16 -36
130 Bermuda 258 -16 -38
131 Chad 246 -1 -5
132 Equatorial Guinea 241 -15 -43
133 Burundi 232 -1 8
134 New Caledonia 228 -3 -1
135 Guyana 222 -8 -33
136 Montenegro 218 -19 -66
137 Liberia 205 3 15
138 Nicaragua 195 1 0
139 Indonesia 194 -1 -16
140 Malta 188 11 47
141 Liechtenstein 185 14 51
141 Vanuatu 185 2 9
143 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 170 8 29
144 Netherlands Antilles 167 5 15
144 Niger 167 1 -1
146 Vietnam 162 -12 -54
147 Yemen 155 -1 -12
148 Hong Kong 151 -6 -32
149 Azerbaijan 138 -9 -52
150 Lebanon 137 0 -11
151 St. Kitts and Nevis 135 2 -4
152 Turkmenistan 131 5 7
153 Mauritania 129 3 -1
154 Eritrea 127 6 13
155 Solomon Islands 106 9 6
156 Puerto Rico 101 -3 -38
157 Kyrgyzstan 83 -10 -73
158 Cayman Islands 76 10 0
159 Mauritius 68 13 -1
160 Belize 64 15 4
160 Samoa 64 14 0
162 Faroe Islands 59 4 -37
163 Tajikistan 55 -19 -117
164 Bahamas 53 14 0
165 Turks and Caicos Islands 51 16 0
166 Dominican Republic 47 19 7
167 Lesotho 43 -4 -58
168 Maldives 41 -10 -81
169 Seychelles 40 4 -28
170 Palestine 35 1 -36
171 Djibouti 32 14 -8
171 Pakistan 32 6 -26
171 St. Lucia 32 18 0
171 Tahiti 32 18 0
171 Tonga 32 18 0
176 Bangladesh 28 2 -25
177 Aruba 22 17 0
177 Malaysia 22 -16 -83
179 British Virgin Islands 21 14 -9
180 Andorra 16 15 -2
181 India 13 -34 -143
182 Dominica 12 15 0
183 Guinea-Bissau 11 4 -27
184 Afghanistan 0 0 -41
184 American Samoa 0 18 0
184 Anguilla 0 18 0
184 Bhutan 0 5 -32
184 Brunei Darussalam 0 -2 -47
184 Cambodia 0 -9 -60
184 Central African Republic 0 17 -4
184 Chinese Taipei 0 -4 -52
184 Comoros 0 15 -8
184 Cook Islands 0 18 0
184 Guam 0 4 -34
184 Laos 0 -14 -73
184 Macau 0 11 -18
184 Mongolia 0 -1 -43
184 Montserrat 0 18 0
184 Myanmar 0 -25 -121
184 Nepal 0 -15 -74
184 Papua New Guinea 0 18 0
184 Philippines 0 -22 -103
184 San Marino 0 18 0
184 Somalia 0 -17 -82
184 Sri Lanka 0 -19 -97
184 Timor-Leste 0 14 -9
184 US Virgin Islands 0 15 -8

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

April 2009: FIFA Ranking vs. Elo Ratings

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Montenegro 117 55 62
Guinea-Bissau 187 139 48
Central African Republic 201 154 47
Solomon Islands 164 120 44
Jordan 127 87 40
Tahiti 189 149 40
Papua New Guinea 202 166 36
Syria 97 64 33
Turkmenistan 157 126 31
Korea DPR 104 75 29

Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Luxembourg 126 172 -46
Bermuda 114 155 -41
Gambia 69 109 -40
Northern Ireland 27 62 -35
Congo 67 101 -34
Burkina Faso 56 89 -33
Philippines 162 194 -32
Rwanda 83 113 -30
Nicaragua 139 169 -30
Equatorial Guinea 117 146 -29

Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)

Top 10 differences for countries with a better Elo Rating:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Iran 53 34 19
Denmark 29 14 15
Venezuela 58 46 12
Korea Republic 45 34 11
Chile 26 16 10
Costa Rica 40 30 10
Saudi Arabia 55 45 10
Republic of Ireland 34 25 9
Egypt 37 28 9
Japan 35 27 8

Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Ranking:

Team - FIFA Ranking - Elo Rating - Difference

Northern Ireland 27 62 -35
Gabon 48 71 -23
Scotland 24 43 -19
Israel 21 39 -18
Mali 49 67 -18
Bosnia-Herzegovina 38 54 -16
Cameroon 19 33 -14
Greece 13 24 -11
Ghana 31 41 -10
Czech Republic 12 21 -9

Matches I would have liked to see in April:

Iran - Northern Ireland
Denmark - Bosnia-Herzegovina
Venezuela - Burkina Faso
Korea Republic - Hungary
Chile - Scotland
Costa Rica - Latvia
Saudi Arabia - Gabon
Republic of Ireland - Israel
Egypt - Slovakia
Japan - Slovenia

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Wednesday, April 8, 2009

2010 WC: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (8 April 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
 1 Germany        60.3 30.3 30.0
2 Brazil 58.7 29.3 29.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 Argentina 49.7 21.0 28.7
7 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 Mexico 37.3 19.3 18.0
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Sweden 32.7 19.3 13.3
12 Paraguay 32.3 11.7 20.7
13 Switzerland 30.0 15.3 14.7
14 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
15 Ghana 26.0 13.3 12.7
16 Japan 24.3 13.3 11.0
17 Korea Republic 23.3 15.7 7.7
18 Cameroon 22.7 3.0 19.7
19 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
20 Australia 21.7 11.3 10.3
21 Uruguay 21.0 2.7 18.3
22 Serbia 20.7 5.3 15.3
23 Denmark 20.0 7.7 12.3
24 Cote d'Ivoire 17.7 6.0 11.7
25 Egypt 14.0 0.0 14.0
26 Tunisia 13.3 8.7 4.7
27 Costa Rica 12.0 8.3 3.7
28 Iran 12.0 5.3 6.7
29 Chile 11.0 0.0 11.0
30 Saudi Arabia 10.7 8.0 2.7
31 Slovakia 4.7 0.0 4.7
32 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Russia, Australia, Paraguay
Group B: Germany, Netherlands, Iran, Cote d'Ivoire
Group C: Brazil, Denmark, Japan, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Sweden, Mexico, Cameroon
Group E: France, Slovakia, USA, Egypt
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Korea Republic, Chile
Group G: England, Switzerland, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group H: Argentina, Greece, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

2010 WC: Seeding formula based on current standings (8 April 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using the current standings and the FIFA rankings.

Saudi Arabia/Gabon/Zambia/Tunisia/Honduras/Northern Ireland/France/Switzerland/Scotland replace Iran/Cameroon/Egypt/Nigeria/Trinidad and Tobago/Croatia/Turkey/Israel/Slovakia.

Croatia miss the UEFA playoffs as worst runner-ups (see Wikipedia).
 1 Germany          60.3 30.3 30.0
2 Brazil 58.7 29.3 29.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 Argentina 49.7 21.0 28.7
7 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
----------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 USA 35.3 13.7 21.7
10 Paraguay 33.0 11.7 21.3
11 Switzerland 31.7 15.3 16.3
12 Ghana 27.7 13.3 14.3
13 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
14 Japan 26.0 13.3 12.7
15 Korea Republic 25.3 15.7 9.7
16 Australia 23.7 11.3 12.3
17 Greece 23.3 0.0 23.3
18 Serbia 22.7 5.3 17.3
19 Uruguay 22.3 2.7 19.7
20 Denmark 21.7 7.7 14.0
21 Cote d'Ivoire 19.3 6.0 13.3
22 Scotland 17.7 0.0 17.7
23 Tunisia 16.0 8.7 7.3
24 Costa Rica 14.0 8.3 5.7
25 Saudi Arabia 13.7 8.0 5.7
26 Chile 13.3 0.0 13.3
27 Northern Ireland 12.3 0.0 12.3
28 Honduras 8.7 0.0 8.7
29 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
30 Gabon 4.0 0.0 4.0
31 Zambia 3.3 0.0 3.3
32 Korea DPR 1.0 0.0 1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Northern Ireland, Russia, Scotland, Serbia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay, Zambia

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Greece, Korea DPR, Uruguay
Group B: England, Denmark, Saudi Arabia, Gabon
Group C: Germany, Scotland, Costa Rica, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Netherlands, Korea Republic, Cote d'Ivoire
Group E: France, Northern Ireland, Honduras, Chile
Group F: Italy, Russia, USA, Paraguay
Group G: Argentina, Serbia, Japan, Zambia
Group H: Brazil, Switzerland, Australia, Tunisia

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

2010 WC: Seeding formula based on the latest FIFA Rankings (8 April 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using only the latest FIFA rankings.

Honduras/Switzerland replace Costa Rica/Israel.
 1 Germany        60.3 30.3 30.0
2 Brazil 58.7 29.3 29.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 England 50.3 26.3 24.0
6 Argentina 49.7 21.0 28.7
7 France 46.3 23.3 23.0
--------------------------------
8 Portugal 45.0 22.3 22.7
9 Netherlands 42.7 14.7 28.0
10 Mexico 33.7 19.3 14.3
11 Croatia 33.7 9.0 24.7
12 USA 30.3 13.7 16.7
13 Turkey 30.3 10.0 20.3
14 Czech Republic 29.3 6.0 23.3
15 Paraguay 28.0 11.7 16.3
16 Switzerland 26.3 15.3 11.0
17 Russia 24.0 3.0 21.0
18 Ghana 22.7 13.3 9.3
19 Japan 22.0 13.3 8.7
20 Korea Republic 21.0 15.7 5.3
21 Greece 19.0 0.0 19.0
22 Australia 18.7 11.3 7.3
23 Cameroon 18.7 3.0 15.7
24 Nigeria 17.3 2.7 14.7
25 Uruguay 17.0 2.7 14.3
26 Cote d'Ivoire 14.7 6.0 8.7
27 Egypt 11.3 0.0 11.3
28 Iran 10.3 5.3 5.0
29 Saudi Arabia 10.0 8.0 2.0
30 Chile 8.0 0.0 8.0
31 Honduras 4.3 0.0 4.3
32 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Czech Republic, Greece, Netherlands, Portugal, Russia, Switzerland, Turkey
Pot 3: Australia, Honduras, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Nigeria, Paraguay, Uruguay

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Portugal, USA, Uruguay
Group B: Germany, Croatia, Australia, Cameroon
Group C: Brazil, Netherlands, Japan, Egypt
Group D: Spain, Greece, Korea Republic, Nigeria
Group E: Argentina, Russia, Honduras, Cote d'Ivoire
Group F: Italy, Czech Republic, Mexico, Chile
Group G: France, Turkey, Iran, Ghana
Group H: England, Switzerland, Saudi Arabia, Paraguay

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Friday, April 3, 2009

Liga a II-a: Sezonul 2009-2010 (28 martie 2009)

Componenta esalonului secund pe baza clasamentelor primelor trei divizii la data de 28 martie 2009.

Seria I

Farul Constanta
CS Otopeni
Gloria Buzau
CSM Ploiesti
Progresul Bucuresti
Petrolul Ploiesti
Dunarea Galati
FC Snagov
Concordia Chiajna
CS Buftea
Sportul Studentesc Bucuresti
FC Botosani
Dunarea Giurgiu
FCM Bacau
Dinamo II Bucuresti
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
Steaua II Bucuresti
Victoria Branesti

Victoria Branesti - castigatoare a barajului datorita mediei puncte/meci superioare.

Seria a II-a

Gaz Metan Medias
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
International Curtea de Arges
FC Drobeta Turnu Severin
FC Bihor Oradea
Dacia Mioveni
Jiul Petrosani
Ariesul Turda
UTA Arad
Liberty Oradea
ACU Arad
Muresul Deva
Universitatea Cluj
Tricolorul Breaza
Gaz Metan Craiova
Fortuna Covaci
FC Baia Mare
FCM Caracal

FCM Caracal - castigatoare a barajului datorita mediei puncte/meci superioare.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

Romania - 0,63% sanse de calificare

Voros McCracken a publicat ieri sansele echipelor aflate in cursa pentru calificarea la CM 2010.

Pe Climbing the Ladder puteti vedea mai bine cum sta situatia in fiecare grupa pe baza sanselor calculate de Voros.

Grupa 7

Franta 84.19%
Serbia 71.04%
Lituania 1.37%
Austria 1.03%
Romania 0.63%
Insulele Feroe 0.00%

Cam asta ar fi...

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.