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Wednesday, April 8, 2009

2010 WC: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (8 April 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.
 1 Germany        60.3 30.3 30.0
2 Brazil 58.7 29.3 29.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.3 25.3 31.0
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 Argentina 49.7 21.0 28.7
7 France 48.3 23.3 25.0
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8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 Mexico 37.3 19.3 18.0
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Sweden 32.7 19.3 13.3
12 Paraguay 32.3 11.7 20.7
13 Switzerland 30.0 15.3 14.7
14 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
15 Ghana 26.0 13.3 12.7
16 Japan 24.3 13.3 11.0
17 Korea Republic 23.3 15.7 7.7
18 Cameroon 22.7 3.0 19.7
19 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
20 Australia 21.7 11.3 10.3
21 Uruguay 21.0 2.7 18.3
22 Serbia 20.7 5.3 15.3
23 Denmark 20.0 7.7 12.3
24 Cote d'Ivoire 17.7 6.0 11.7
25 Egypt 14.0 0.0 14.0
26 Tunisia 13.3 8.7 4.7
27 Costa Rica 12.0 8.3 3.7
28 Iran 12.0 5.3 6.7
29 Chile 11.0 0.0 11.0
30 Saudi Arabia 10.7 8.0 2.7
31 Slovakia 4.7 0.0 4.7
32 South Africa 4.0 3.0 1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Sweden, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Iran, Japan, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia, USA
Pot 4: Cameroon, Chile, Cote d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Russia, Australia, Paraguay
Group B: Germany, Netherlands, Iran, Cote d'Ivoire
Group C: Brazil, Denmark, Japan, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Sweden, Mexico, Cameroon
Group E: France, Slovakia, USA, Egypt
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Korea Republic, Chile
Group G: England, Switzerland, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group H: Argentina, Greece, Saudi Arabia, Tunisia

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