Since it would have been quite a long post, I decided to split the CAF and UEFA seeding in two different posts.
The groups using the October ranking are based on the actual groups taking into account the zonal rank in July and October. For instance UEFA Group I had the teams ranked 1, 10, 25, 30 and 38 (Spain, France, Belarus, Georgia and Finland). Using the October rankings Group I would have been: Spain, Russia, Wales, Ukraine and Latvia.
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding: CAF (July vs. October 2011)
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding: UEFA (July vs. October 2011)
We all know FIFA brought the draw date forward to allow more time for AFC and CONCACAF qualifiers - already in full swing as I write this. I don't think it would have been feasible to postpone the draw for UEFA and CAF until now, but it was interesting (at least for me :D ) to take a look at the differences.
Friday, October 21, 2011
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding: UEFA (July vs. October 2011)
This is what actually happened using the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams.
Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, England, Portugal, Italy, Croatia, Norway, Greece
Pot 2: France, Montenegro, Russia, Sweden, Denmark, Slovenia, Turkey, Serbia, Slovakia
Pot 3: Switzerland, Israel, Republic of Ireland, Belgium, Czech Republic, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belarus, Ukraine, Hungary
Pot 4: Bulgaria, Romania, Georgia, Lithuania, Albania, Scotland, Northern Ireland, Austria, Poland
Pot 5: Armenia, Finland, Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Moldova, Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Faroe Islands
Pot 6: Wales, Liechtenstein, Iceland, Kazakhstan, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, San Marino
Group A: Croatia, Serbia, Belgium, Scotland, Macedonia, Wales
Group B: Italy, Denmark, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Armenia, Malta
Group C: Germany, Sweden, Republic of Ireland, Austria, Faroe Islands, Kazakhstan
Group D: Netherlands, Turkey, Hungary, Romania, Estonia, Andorra
Group E: Norway, Slovenia, Switzerland, Albania, Cyprus, Iceland
Group F: Portugal, Russia, Israel, Northern Ireland, Azerbaijan, Luxembourg
Group G: Greece, Slovakia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Lithuania, Latvia, Liechtenstein
Group H: England, Montenegro, Ukraine, Poland, Moldova, San Marino
Group I: Spain, France, Belarus, Georgia, Finland
What would have happened had FIFA postponed the draw to October?
Wales would have jumped from Pot 6 to Pot 3.
Armenia would have jumped from Pot 5 to Pot 3.
Denmark would have climbed from Pot 2 to Pot 1.
Bosnia-Herzegovina, Republic of Ireland and Switzerland would have climbed from Pot 3 to Pot 2.
Estonia would have climbed from Pot 5 to Pot 4.
Iceland and Luxembourg would have climbed from Pot 6 to Pot 5.
Norway would have dropped from Pot 1 to Pot 2.
Montenegro, Slovakia and Slovenia would have dropped from Pot 2 to Pot 3.
Belarus and Ukraine would have dropped from Pot 3 to Pot 4.
Bulgaria, Lithuania and Northern Ireland would have dropped from Pot 4 to Pot 5.
Cyprus, Faroe Islands and Moldova would have dropped from Pot 5 to Pot 6.
Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Italy, England, Greece, Portugal, Denmark, Croatia
Pot 2: Russia, Sweden, France, Switzerland, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Serbia, Norway, Republic of Ireland, Turkey
Pot 3: Slovenia, Hungary, Belgium, Israel, Montenegro, Slovakia, Wales, Armenia, Czech Republic
Pot 4: Scotland, Romania, Ukraine, Estonia, Belarus, Poland, Georgia, Albania, Austria
Pot 5: Bulgaria, Latvia, Finland, Northern Ireland, Lithuania, FYR Macedonia, Iceland, Azerbaijan, Luxembourg
Pot 6: Cyprus, Faroe Islands, Moldova, Liechtenstein, Kazakhstan, Malta, Andorra, San Marino
Group A: Portugal, Republic of Ireland, Israel, Poland, Iceland, Cyprus
Group B: Greece, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro, Scotland, Bulgaria, Malta
Group C: Germany, Switzerland, Belgium, Albania, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein
Group D: Netherlands, Norway, Czech Republic, Romania, Finland, Andorra
Group E: Denmark, Serbia, Slovenia, Belarus, Northern Ireland, Moldova
Group F: England, France, Hungary, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan
Group G: Croatia, Turkey, Slovakia, Estonia, Lithuania, Faroe Islands
Group H: Italy, Sweden, Armenia, Austria, FYR Macedonia, San Marino
Group I: Spain, Russia, Wales, Ukraine, Latvia
Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, England, Portugal, Italy, Croatia, Norway, Greece
Pot 2: France, Montenegro, Russia, Sweden, Denmark, Slovenia, Turkey, Serbia, Slovakia
Pot 3: Switzerland, Israel, Republic of Ireland, Belgium, Czech Republic, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belarus, Ukraine, Hungary
Pot 4: Bulgaria, Romania, Georgia, Lithuania, Albania, Scotland, Northern Ireland, Austria, Poland
Pot 5: Armenia, Finland, Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Moldova, Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Faroe Islands
Pot 6: Wales, Liechtenstein, Iceland, Kazakhstan, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, San Marino
Group A: Croatia, Serbia, Belgium, Scotland, Macedonia, Wales
Group B: Italy, Denmark, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Armenia, Malta
Group C: Germany, Sweden, Republic of Ireland, Austria, Faroe Islands, Kazakhstan
Group D: Netherlands, Turkey, Hungary, Romania, Estonia, Andorra
Group E: Norway, Slovenia, Switzerland, Albania, Cyprus, Iceland
Group F: Portugal, Russia, Israel, Northern Ireland, Azerbaijan, Luxembourg
Group G: Greece, Slovakia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Lithuania, Latvia, Liechtenstein
Group H: England, Montenegro, Ukraine, Poland, Moldova, San Marino
Group I: Spain, France, Belarus, Georgia, Finland
What would have happened had FIFA postponed the draw to October?
Wales would have jumped from Pot 6 to Pot 3.
Armenia would have jumped from Pot 5 to Pot 3.
Denmark would have climbed from Pot 2 to Pot 1.
Bosnia-Herzegovina, Republic of Ireland and Switzerland would have climbed from Pot 3 to Pot 2.
Estonia would have climbed from Pot 5 to Pot 4.
Iceland and Luxembourg would have climbed from Pot 6 to Pot 5.
Norway would have dropped from Pot 1 to Pot 2.
Montenegro, Slovakia and Slovenia would have dropped from Pot 2 to Pot 3.
Belarus and Ukraine would have dropped from Pot 3 to Pot 4.
Bulgaria, Lithuania and Northern Ireland would have dropped from Pot 4 to Pot 5.
Cyprus, Faroe Islands and Moldova would have dropped from Pot 5 to Pot 6.
Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Italy, England, Greece, Portugal, Denmark, Croatia
Pot 2: Russia, Sweden, France, Switzerland, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Serbia, Norway, Republic of Ireland, Turkey
Pot 3: Slovenia, Hungary, Belgium, Israel, Montenegro, Slovakia, Wales, Armenia, Czech Republic
Pot 4: Scotland, Romania, Ukraine, Estonia, Belarus, Poland, Georgia, Albania, Austria
Pot 5: Bulgaria, Latvia, Finland, Northern Ireland, Lithuania, FYR Macedonia, Iceland, Azerbaijan, Luxembourg
Pot 6: Cyprus, Faroe Islands, Moldova, Liechtenstein, Kazakhstan, Malta, Andorra, San Marino
Group A: Portugal, Republic of Ireland, Israel, Poland, Iceland, Cyprus
Group B: Greece, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro, Scotland, Bulgaria, Malta
Group C: Germany, Switzerland, Belgium, Albania, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein
Group D: Netherlands, Norway, Czech Republic, Romania, Finland, Andorra
Group E: Denmark, Serbia, Slovenia, Belarus, Northern Ireland, Moldova
Group F: England, France, Hungary, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan
Group G: Croatia, Turkey, Slovakia, Estonia, Lithuania, Faroe Islands
Group H: Italy, Sweden, Armenia, Austria, FYR Macedonia, San Marino
Group I: Spain, Russia, Wales, Ukraine, Latvia
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding: CAF (July vs. October 2011)
This is what actually happened using the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams.
Pot 1: Mozambique, Congo DR, Togo, Liberia, Tanzania, Congo, Kenya, Rwanda, Ethiopia, Namibia, Burundi, Madagascar
Pot 2: Guinea-Bissau, Equatorial Guinea, Chad, Swaziland, Comoros, Lesotho, Eritrea, Somalia, Djibouti, Mauritius, Seychelles, Sao Tome e Principe
Seychelles - Kenya
Guinea-Bissau - Togo
Djibouti - Namibia
Mauritius - Liberia
Comoros - Mozambique
Equatorial Guinea - Madagascar
Somalia - Ethiopia
Lesotho - Burundi
Eritrea - Rwanda
Swaziland - Congo DR
Sao Tome e Principe - Congo
Chad - Tanzania
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Burkina Faso, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Cameroon, Algeria, Tunisia
Pot 2: Gabon, Libya, Morocco, Guinea, Botswana, Malawi, Zambia, Uganda, Mali, Cape Verde Islands
Pot 3: Benin, Zimbabwe, Central African Republic, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Niger, Angola, Gambia
Group A: South Africa, Botswana, Central African Republic, Somalia/Ethiopia
Group B: Tunisia, Cape Verde Islands, Sierra Leone, Equatorial Guinea/Madagascar
Group C: Côte d'Ivoire, Morocco, Gambia, Chad/Tanzania
Group D: Ghana, Zambia, Sudan, Lesotho/Burundi
Group E: Burkina Faso, Gabon, Niger, Sao Tome e Principe/Congo
Group F: Nigeria, Malawi, Seychelles/Kenya, Djibouti/Namibia
Group G: Egypt, Guinea, Zimbabwe, Comoros/Mozambique
Group H: Algeria, Mali, Benin, Eritrea/Rwanda
Group I: Cameroon, Libya, Guinea-Bissau/Togo, Swaziland/Congo DR
Group J: Senegal, Uganda, Angola, Mauritius/Liberia
What would have happened had FIFA postponed the draw to October?
Morocco would have replaced Tunisia in Pot 1.
Sierra Leone, Zimbabwe and Angola would have replaced Malawi, Uganda and Botswana in Pot 2.
Togo and Mozambique would have replaced Benin and Central African Republic in Pot 3.
Chad would have replaced Madagascar in Pot 4.
Pot 1: Rwanda, Benin, Liberia, Central African Republic, Namibia, Tanzania, Congo DR, Kenya, Ethiopia, Congo, Burundi, Chad
Pot 2: Equatorial Guinea, Lesotho, Madagascar, Guinea-Bissau, Swaziland, Seychelles, Comoros, Mauritius, Eritrea, Somalia, Djibouti, Sao Tome e Principe
Djibouti - Congo DR
Equatorial Guinea - Liberia
Eritrea - Congo
Somalia - Central African Republic
Swaziland - Rwanda
Lesotho - Chad
Mauritius - Ethiopia
Seychelles - Burundi
Comoros - Kenya
Guinea-Bissau - Benin
Sao Tome e Principe - Tanzania
Madagascar - Namibia
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Algeria, Senegal, Nigeria, Cameroon, South Africa, Burkina Faso, Morocco
Pot 2: Tunisia, Sierra Leone, Libya, Cape Verde Islands, Gabon, Mali, Zimbabwe, Guinea, Zambia, Angola
Pot 3: Malawi, Uganda, Botswana, Togo, Niger, Sudan, Mozambique, Gambia
Group A: Cameroon, Gabon, Botswana, Mauritius/Ethiopia
Group B: Morocco, Angola, Togo, Lesotho/Chad
Group C: Côte d'Ivoire, Libya, Gambia, Madagascar/Namibia
Group D: Ghana, Zimbabwe, Niger, Seychelles/Burundi
Group E: Algeria, Tunisia, Sudan, Sao Tome e Principe/Tanzania
Group F: Senegal, Mali, Djibouti/Congo DR, Eritrea/Congo
Group G: Egypt, Cape Verde Islands, Uganda, Swaziland/Rwanda
Group H: Burkina Faso, Zambia, Malawi, Comoros/Kenya
Group I: South Africa, Sierra Leone, Equatorial Guinea/Liberia, Guinea-Bissau/Benin
Group J: Cameroon, Guinea, Mozambique, Somalia/Central African Republic
Pot 1: Mozambique, Congo DR, Togo, Liberia, Tanzania, Congo, Kenya, Rwanda, Ethiopia, Namibia, Burundi, Madagascar
Pot 2: Guinea-Bissau, Equatorial Guinea, Chad, Swaziland, Comoros, Lesotho, Eritrea, Somalia, Djibouti, Mauritius, Seychelles, Sao Tome e Principe
Seychelles - Kenya
Guinea-Bissau - Togo
Djibouti - Namibia
Mauritius - Liberia
Comoros - Mozambique
Equatorial Guinea - Madagascar
Somalia - Ethiopia
Lesotho - Burundi
Eritrea - Rwanda
Swaziland - Congo DR
Sao Tome e Principe - Congo
Chad - Tanzania
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Burkina Faso, Nigeria, Senegal, South Africa, Cameroon, Algeria, Tunisia
Pot 2: Gabon, Libya, Morocco, Guinea, Botswana, Malawi, Zambia, Uganda, Mali, Cape Verde Islands
Pot 3: Benin, Zimbabwe, Central African Republic, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Niger, Angola, Gambia
Group A: South Africa, Botswana, Central African Republic, Somalia/Ethiopia
Group B: Tunisia, Cape Verde Islands, Sierra Leone, Equatorial Guinea/Madagascar
Group C: Côte d'Ivoire, Morocco, Gambia, Chad/Tanzania
Group D: Ghana, Zambia, Sudan, Lesotho/Burundi
Group E: Burkina Faso, Gabon, Niger, Sao Tome e Principe/Congo
Group F: Nigeria, Malawi, Seychelles/Kenya, Djibouti/Namibia
Group G: Egypt, Guinea, Zimbabwe, Comoros/Mozambique
Group H: Algeria, Mali, Benin, Eritrea/Rwanda
Group I: Cameroon, Libya, Guinea-Bissau/Togo, Swaziland/Congo DR
Group J: Senegal, Uganda, Angola, Mauritius/Liberia
What would have happened had FIFA postponed the draw to October?
Morocco would have replaced Tunisia in Pot 1.
Sierra Leone, Zimbabwe and Angola would have replaced Malawi, Uganda and Botswana in Pot 2.
Togo and Mozambique would have replaced Benin and Central African Republic in Pot 3.
Chad would have replaced Madagascar in Pot 4.
Pot 1: Rwanda, Benin, Liberia, Central African Republic, Namibia, Tanzania, Congo DR, Kenya, Ethiopia, Congo, Burundi, Chad
Pot 2: Equatorial Guinea, Lesotho, Madagascar, Guinea-Bissau, Swaziland, Seychelles, Comoros, Mauritius, Eritrea, Somalia, Djibouti, Sao Tome e Principe
Djibouti - Congo DR
Equatorial Guinea - Liberia
Eritrea - Congo
Somalia - Central African Republic
Swaziland - Rwanda
Lesotho - Chad
Mauritius - Ethiopia
Seychelles - Burundi
Comoros - Kenya
Guinea-Bissau - Benin
Sao Tome e Principe - Tanzania
Madagascar - Namibia
Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ghana, Algeria, Senegal, Nigeria, Cameroon, South Africa, Burkina Faso, Morocco
Pot 2: Tunisia, Sierra Leone, Libya, Cape Verde Islands, Gabon, Mali, Zimbabwe, Guinea, Zambia, Angola
Pot 3: Malawi, Uganda, Botswana, Togo, Niger, Sudan, Mozambique, Gambia
Group A: Cameroon, Gabon, Botswana, Mauritius/Ethiopia
Group B: Morocco, Angola, Togo, Lesotho/Chad
Group C: Côte d'Ivoire, Libya, Gambia, Madagascar/Namibia
Group D: Ghana, Zimbabwe, Niger, Seychelles/Burundi
Group E: Algeria, Tunisia, Sudan, Sao Tome e Principe/Tanzania
Group F: Senegal, Mali, Djibouti/Congo DR, Eritrea/Congo
Group G: Egypt, Cape Verde Islands, Uganda, Swaziland/Rwanda
Group H: Burkina Faso, Zambia, Malawi, Comoros/Kenya
Group I: South Africa, Sierra Leone, Equatorial Guinea/Liberia, Guinea-Bissau/Benin
Group J: Cameroon, Guinea, Mozambique, Somalia/Central African Republic
2014 FIFA World Cup seeding update (21 October 2011)
Next update: 18 November 2011 or later.
See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post.
This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking:
Mexico (23), USA (45).
Italy replace Portugal in the list of seeds.
Right now, the seeds for the 2014 World Cup would be: Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Uruguay, England, Argentina and Italy.
See more info in the original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post.
This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking:
| 1 | Spain | 405 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 375 |
| 3 | Germany | 369 |
| 4 | Uruguay | 340 |
| 5 | England | 284 |
| 6 | Argentina | 278 |
| 7 | Italy | 277 |
| 8 | Greece | 275 |
| 9 | Portugal | 272 |
| 10 | Denmark | 262 |
| 11 | Brazil | 258 |
| 12 | Sweden | 251 |
| 13 | Croatia | 249 |
| 14 | Russia | 244 |
| 15 | Japan | 241 |
| 16 | France | 239 |
| 17 | Norway | 233 |
| 18 | Chile | 232 |
| 19 | Côte d'Ivoire | 220 |
| 20 | Switzerland | 218 |
Mexico (23), USA (45).
Italy replace Portugal in the list of seeds.
Right now, the seeds for the 2014 World Cup would be: Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Uruguay, England, Argentina and Italy.
2014 World Cup seeding: AFC 4th round (21 October 2011)
Next update: 18 November 2011 or later.
AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings.
2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw
The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3.
Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :)
The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29, while the first match day of round 4 is scheduled for June 3.
I think the draw will take place in March, using the March FIFA ranking that will be released based on my calculations on March 15.
4 years ago, the 4 lowest seeded teams of the 10 qualified for the 4th round were placed in a single pot.
Here's the March 2012 FIFA ranking, counting scheduled games as defeats:
Pot 1: Australia, Japan
Pot 2: Korea Republic, Iran
Pot 3: China PR, Jordan
Pot 4: Uzbekistan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia
AFC have announced the draw for the 4th round will also be based on the FIFA rankings.
2014 F1FA World Cup Brazil™ - Asian Qualifiers Round 4 - Draw
The Committee decided to take the latest FIFA/Coca Cola rankings at the time of the Draw for Round 4 as F1FA Ranking has already been implemented for Round 3.
Yes, it's F1FA, not FIFA :)
The last match day of round 3 takes place on February 29, while the first match day of round 4 is scheduled for June 3.
I think the draw will take place in March, using the March FIFA ranking that will be released based on my calculations on March 15.
4 years ago, the 4 lowest seeded teams of the 10 qualified for the 4th round were placed in a single pot.
Here's the March 2012 FIFA ranking, counting scheduled games as defeats:
| 1 | Australia | 753 |
| 2 | Japan | 694 |
| 3 | Korea Republic | 619 |
| 4 | Iran | 510 |
| 5 | China PR | 418 |
| 6 | Jordan | 401 |
| 7 | Uzbekistan | 393 |
| 8 | Iraq | 355 |
| 9 | Kuwait | 349 |
| 10 | Qatar | 331 |
| 11 | Saudi Arabia | 318 |
| 12 | Bahrain | 305 |
| 13 | Oman | 280 |
| 14 | Thailand | 234 |
| 15 | United Arab Emirates | 208 |
| 16 | Korea DPR | 203 |
| 17 | Tajikistan | 195 |
| 18 | Indonesia | 159 |
| 19 | Singapore | 148 |
| 20 | Lebanon | 122 |
Pot 1: Australia, Japan
Pot 2: Korea Republic, Iran
Pot 3: China PR, Jordan
Pot 4: Uzbekistan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia
EURO 2016 qualifying draw seeding (21 October 2011)
Next update: 18 November 2011 or later.
The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known (but things might change): 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
3 group stages losses added for the teams already qualified. 2 playoff losses added for the playoff teams.
Sweden and Denmark replace Ukraine and Croatia in Pot 1.
Belgium and Scotland replace Montenegro and Finland in Pot 3.
Wales replace Bulgaria in Pot 4.
Best movers:
8 - Scotland
7 - Wales
4 - Belgium, Latvia, Armenia and Austria
Worst movers:
-8 - Montenegro
-7 - Poland
-6 - Ukraine
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:
2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting
Click here for more info on the coefficient system.
The qualifying format is already known (but things might change): 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)
Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.
3 group stages losses added for the teams already qualified. 2 playoff losses added for the playoff teams.
Sweden and Denmark replace Ukraine and Croatia in Pot 1.
Belgium and Scotland replace Montenegro and Finland in Pot 3.
Wales replace Bulgaria in Pot 4.
Best movers:
8 - Scotland
7 - Wales
4 - Belgium, Latvia, Armenia and Austria
Worst movers:
-8 - Montenegro
-7 - Poland
-6 - Ukraine
Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points
1 2 Spain 23198 2 1 Netherlands 22806 3 3 Germany 22561 4 5 Italy 19462 5 4 England 18889 6 8 Russia 18584 7 9 Greece 18408 8 10 Sweden 18204 9 12 Denmark 18086 ------------------------------ 10 7 Croatia 17978 11 11 Portugal 17424 12 6 Ukraine 17078 13 13 Hungary 16981 14 17 Ireland 16926 15 14 Bosnia-Herzegovina 16668 16 18 Norway 16601 17 15 Serbia 16244 18 16 Slovakia 16112 ------------------------------ 19 20 Slovenia 15774 20 23 Switzerland 15751 21 21 Israel 15741 22 19 Turkey 15131 23 22 Czech Republic 15071 24 28 Belgium 14051 25 27 Romania 14021 26 34 Scotland 13913 27 24 Belarus 13871 ------------------------------ 28 32 Latvia 13771 29 33 Armenia 13681 30 26 Finland 13601 31 35 Austria 13571 32 30 Estonia 13201 33 25 Montenegro 13030 34 41 Wales 12770 35 31 Northern Ireland 12561 36 29 Poland 12543 ------------------------------ 37 36 Bulgaria 11090 38 39 Albania 10790 39 40 Macedonia 10755 40 37 Lithuania 10665 41 38 Georgia 10440 42 44 Moldova 10001 43 42 Azerbaijan 9380 44 43 Iceland 8975 45 45 Cyprus 8456 ------------------------------ 46 47 Kazakhstan 8260 47 46 Luxembourg 8030 48 49 Faroe Islands 7850 49 48 Liechtenstein 7840 50 50 Malta 6000 51 51 Andorra 5160 52 52 San Marino 4480
Friday, October 14, 2011
EURO 2012: How the play-offs affect the pots
France will root for Bosnia-Herzegovina... Isn't that something :)
Sure to be in pot 4 if they qualify: Czech Republic, Republic of Ireland, Turkey, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro and Estonia.
That leaves Croatia and Portugal as the ones that could push teams to a lower pot.
Teams that could be affected: Russia, Denmark and France.
So who's safe?
Pot 1: Poland, Ukraine, Spain, Netherlands
Pot 2: Germany, Italy, England
Pot 3: Greece, Sweden
Pot 4: All play-off teams, bar Croatia and Portugal
Russia
Pot 2: If Croatia don't get two wins against Turkey
Pot 3: If Croatia qualify with two wins against Turkey
Croatia
Pot 2: If they qualify with two wins against Turkey
Pot 3: If they qualify but not with two wins against Turkey
Denmark
Pot 3: If Croatia don't qualify or Portugal don't get a win against Bosnia-Herzegovina
Pot 4: If Croatia qualify and Portugal qualify with at least one win
Portugal
Pot 3: If they get at least one win or (they qualify with two draws and Croatia don't qualify)
Pot 4: If they qualify with two draws and Croatia qualify
France
Pot 3: If Croatia and Portugal don't qualify
Pot 4: If Croatia or Portugal qualify
And here's the table with possible coefficient values - goals scored in the play-offs not taken into account since they won't affect the pots.
D - draw, W - win - L - loss, Q - qualified team, P - play-off team
Team - 2D - 1W1L - 1W1D - 2W
Sure to be in pot 4 if they qualify: Czech Republic, Republic of Ireland, Turkey, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro and Estonia.
That leaves Croatia and Portugal as the ones that could push teams to a lower pot.
Teams that could be affected: Russia, Denmark and France.
So who's safe?
Pot 1: Poland, Ukraine, Spain, Netherlands
Pot 2: Germany, Italy, England
Pot 3: Greece, Sweden
Pot 4: All play-off teams, bar Croatia and Portugal
Russia
Pot 2: If Croatia don't get two wins against Turkey
Pot 3: If Croatia qualify with two wins against Turkey
Croatia
Pot 2: If they qualify with two wins against Turkey
Pot 3: If they qualify but not with two wins against Turkey
Denmark
Pot 3: If Croatia don't qualify or Portugal don't get a win against Bosnia-Herzegovina
Pot 4: If Croatia qualify and Portugal qualify with at least one win
Portugal
Pot 3: If they get at least one win or (they qualify with two draws and Croatia don't qualify)
Pot 4: If they qualify with two draws and Croatia qualify
France
Pot 3: If Croatia and Portugal don't qualify
Pot 4: If Croatia or Portugal qualify
And here's the table with possible coefficient values - goals scored in the play-offs not taken into account since they won't affect the pots.
D - draw, W - win - L - loss, Q - qualified team, P - play-off team
Team - 2D - 1W1L - 1W1D - 2W
| Spain (Q) | 43116 | 43116 | 43116 | 43116 |
| Netherlands (Q) | 40860 | 40860 | 40860 | 40860 |
| Germany (Q) | 40446 | 40446 | 40446 | 40446 |
| Italy (Q) | 34357 | 34357 | 34357 | 34357 |
| England (Q) | 33563 | 33563 | 33563 | 33563 |
| Russia (Q) | 33212 | 33212 | 33212 | 33212 |
| Greece (Q) | 32455 | 32455 | 32455 | 32455 |
| Croatia (P) | 32286 | 32620 | 32953 | 33620 |
| Sweden (Q) | 31675 | 31675 | 31675 | 31675 |
| Denmark (Q) | 31205 | 31205 | 31205 | 31205 |
| Portugal (P) | 30837 | 31237 | 31637 | 32437 |
| France (Q) | 30508 | 30508 | 30508 | 30508 |
| Czech Republic (P) | 27942 | 28342 | 28742 | 29542 |
| Ireland (P) | 27843 | 28176 | 28510 | 29176 |
| Turkey (P) | 27528 | 27861 | 28195 | 28861 |
| Bosnia-Herzegovina (P) | 26902 | 27235 | 27568 | 28235 |
| Montenegro (P) | 21976 | 22476 | 22976 | 23976 |
| Estonia (P) | 20351 | 20684 | 21018 | 21684 |
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)