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Friday, October 21, 2011

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding: UEFA (July vs. October 2011)

This is what actually happened using the July 2011 FIFA ranking to seed the teams.

Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, England, Portugal, Italy, Croatia, Norway, Greece
Pot 2: France, Montenegro, Russia, Sweden, Denmark, Slovenia, Turkey, Serbia, Slovakia
Pot 3: Switzerland, Israel, Republic of Ireland, Belgium, Czech Republic, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Belarus, Ukraine, Hungary
Pot 4: Bulgaria, Romania, Georgia, Lithuania, Albania, Scotland, Northern Ireland, Austria, Poland
Pot 5: Armenia, Finland, Estonia, Cyprus, Latvia, Moldova, Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Faroe Islands
Pot 6: Wales, Liechtenstein, Iceland, Kazakhstan, Luxembourg, Malta, Andorra, San Marino

Group A: Croatia, Serbia, Belgium, Scotland, Macedonia, Wales
Group B: Italy, Denmark, Czech Republic, Bulgaria, Armenia, Malta
Group C: Germany, Sweden, Republic of Ireland, Austria, Faroe Islands, Kazakhstan
Group D: Netherlands, Turkey, Hungary, Romania, Estonia, Andorra
Group E: Norway, Slovenia, Switzerland, Albania, Cyprus, Iceland
Group F: Portugal, Russia, Israel, Northern Ireland, Azerbaijan, Luxembourg
Group G: Greece, Slovakia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Lithuania, Latvia, Liechtenstein
Group H: England, Montenegro, Ukraine, Poland, Moldova, San Marino
Group I: Spain, France, Belarus, Georgia, Finland

What would have happened had FIFA postponed the draw to October?

Wales would have jumped from Pot 6 to Pot 3.
Armenia would have jumped from Pot 5 to Pot 3.
Denmark would have climbed from Pot 2 to Pot 1.
Bosnia-Herzegovina, Republic of Ireland and Switzerland would have climbed from Pot 3 to Pot 2.
Estonia would have climbed from Pot 5 to Pot 4.
Iceland and Luxembourg would have climbed from Pot 6 to Pot 5.

Norway would have dropped from Pot 1 to Pot 2.
Montenegro, Slovakia and Slovenia would have dropped from Pot 2 to Pot 3.
Belarus and Ukraine would have dropped from Pot 3 to Pot 4.
Bulgaria, Lithuania and Northern Ireland would have dropped from Pot 4 to Pot 5.
Cyprus, Faroe Islands and Moldova would have dropped from Pot 5 to Pot 6.


Pot 1: Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Italy, England, Greece, Portugal, Denmark, Croatia
Pot 2: Russia, Sweden, France, Switzerland, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Serbia, Norway, Republic of Ireland, Turkey
Pot 3: Slovenia, Hungary, Belgium, Israel, Montenegro, Slovakia, Wales, Armenia, Czech Republic
Pot 4: Scotland, Romania, Ukraine, Estonia, Belarus, Poland, Georgia, Albania, Austria
Pot 5: Bulgaria, Latvia, Finland, Northern Ireland, Lithuania, FYR Macedonia, Iceland, Azerbaijan, Luxembourg
Pot 6: Cyprus, Faroe Islands, Moldova, Liechtenstein, Kazakhstan, Malta, Andorra, San Marino

Group A: Portugal, Republic of Ireland, Israel, Poland, Iceland, Cyprus
Group B: Greece, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro, Scotland, Bulgaria, Malta
Group C: Germany, Switzerland, Belgium, Albania, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein
Group D: Netherlands, Norway, Czech Republic, Romania, Finland, Andorra
Group E: Denmark, Serbia, Slovenia, Belarus, Northern Ireland, Moldova
Group F: England, France, Hungary, Georgia, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan
Group G: Croatia, Turkey, Slovakia, Estonia, Lithuania, Faroe Islands
Group H: Italy, Sweden, Armenia, Austria, FYR Macedonia, San Marino
Group I: Spain, Russia, Wales, Ukraine, Latvia

8 comments:

  1. Very interesting.

    Wales (and everyone that drew them) will be gutted to have got them as a bottom seed.

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  2. Goes to show that it doesn't really matter which pot you're in. The group you've put Wales in if they were in pot 3 is much harder than the pot 6 one.

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  3. It mattered for Norway. I think our chances would have been around 10 % of going through from the 'new' group, while in the old group it's about 50/50.

    Also, the Wales group is made artificially hard by the host penalty to Ukraine.

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  4. thank god not them im english!

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  5. september ranking would be epic!

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  6. did you know that gibraltar will be members of uefa by june 2012 !























    according to gfa

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  7. I found it strange that Norway were seeded in the top spot because they have not qualified for a major tournament since Euro 2000.

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    Replies
    1. They've got good results in both friendlies and recent qualifiers (before the World Cup draw).

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